The Thoroughbred Racing
Simulator
Handicappers' Race Results

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Turf Paradise
Wednesday - February 07, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss

TUP-3   Win (1/2/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 1 1 1 $5.20 $5.20 -0.80
TUP-4   Win (3/2/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 3 1 1 $5.00 $5.00 -1.00
TUP-5   Win (1/4) 2 $2.00 $4.00 4 1 1 $6.00 $6.00 2.00
TUP-6   Win (5/6/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 5 1 1 $4.00 $4.00 -2.00
TUP-7   Win (4/5/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 1 1 0 $12.40 -6.00
TUP-8   Win (4/1/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 6 1 0 $3.80 -6.00

Simulator Race results

 
TUP-3   02/07/2024 3300ft DIRT WET FAST Claiming ($4.5K) Purse ($13K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:33
See original race card.
:222 :46       :59   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MISS JOANNIE 1 4 1nk 13   11(silv)DA FAUSTO 124 3.00 53% 0.90 1.60 W
WORK N FLIRT 5 3 42 34   22(silva jua)BRAVO MISAEL 119 1.20 0.80  
BONITA DIXIE 4 2 31 44   35 3(barrio sergio)LULL E 124 5.00 9.60  
FLATTER ME ZEN 2 5 53 5   45 45 (skidgel sheena)RADKE K 124 3.50 12% 7.10 5.50  
LOTSA LOU 3 1 2nk 23   58 512¼ (person kenn)KELLENBERGER KODY 124 4.00 5% 19.00 8.30  
 
TUP-4   02/07/2024 5280ft DIRT WET FAST Claiming ($4.5K) Purse ($13K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:03
See original race card.
:241 :481 1:133 1:264   1:394   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MIDNIGHT SUSI 3 2 2nk 1nk 1 11(cappellucci dick)NEGRON LUIS 124 2.00 59% 0.70 1.50 W
HIGH FASHION LADY 2 1 32 31 2 22(silva jos)BRAVO MISAEL 119 4.00 11% 7.80 2.30 P
MEAN ELENITA 4 4 45 4 34 34 3(silva pablo)CRUZ M 124 3.00 6.50  
OUT OF STARS 5 5 57 54 47 48 415½ (lucarelli frank)ENRIQUEZ D 124 1.80 1.50  
ISLAND BEAUTY 1 3 1nk 2nk 513 522 538 (simpson shannon)VALDES ALEXIS 124 8.00 5% 19.00 23.70  
 
TUP-5   02/07/2024 5280ft DIRT WET FAST Mdn Opt Clm ($30K) Purse ($30K) 3 ALL PT- 4:33
See original race card.
:241 :483 1:133 1:27   1:403   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
JIMMY'S WILD BOY 3 1 2½ 2½ 12 12 1¾ (belvoir vann)AYUSO ARMANDO 121 3.00 16% 5.30 2.00 W
FREE AGAIN 1 3 32 32 3 22 2¾ (essex charles)RADKE K 121 2.00 52% 0.90 0.60 P
SILENT REASON 2 2 1½ 1½ 22 34 312½ (birdwell tena)PENA BRYAN 121 3.50 4.30  
MAGIC STORM 4 4 44 47 412 422 445½ (silva l)CRUZ M 121 4.00 6.50  
SCR  DEKUDYLAN               (birdwell tena)MAWING A 121 4.00    
 
TUP-6   02/07/2024 5280ft DIRT WET FAST Optional Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($21K) 4UP M/F PT- 5:03
See original race card.
:481 1:123 1:254   1:39   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CLUBHOUSE SAINT 4 1 31 1nk 1nk 11 1(woolley l)LOPEZ KARLO 122 2.00 58% 0.70 1.00 W
BUSKER ALLIE 1 5 5 4 3 21 2(tamayo isidro)OROZCO IRVING 122 3.50 4.30  
BANDEENA 3 4 2½ 2nk 2nk 31 33 (silva jr)ARBOLEDA ALDO 122 4.00 2.10  
GYPSY WIFE 2 3 1½ 3½ 4 5420¼ (eikleberry k)MONTANEZ ROSARIO 122 5.00 5% 19.00 14.70  
DIRT FLIRT 5 2 44 56 56 48 521 (barraza s)RADKE K 122 3.00 18% 4.60 3.70  
SCR  FOLK HERO               (gomez alejandro)CRUZ M 122 15.00    
 
TUP-7   02/07/2024 5280ft DIRT WET FAST Optional Claiming ($10K) Purse ($19.5K) 4UP ALL PT- 5:33
See original race card.
:251 :492 1:133 1:26   1:383   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
INESPERADO (FR) 1 2 11 11 1½ 12 1(eikleberry kevin)CORBETT W 122 8.00 5.20  
EAST RAND 2 4 21 4 31 22 2(valerio ray)VALENZUELA A 122 10.00 9.60  
FAR WEST 3 1 3 21 43 44 3(tamayo isidro)OROZCO IRVING 122 5.00 5% 19.00 5.60 S
PONTI PRIDE 4 5 5 5 56 57 410½ (silv)DA FAUSTO 124 4.50 34% 1.90 1.20  
PUSH THROUGH 5 3 42 31 2½ 34 511½ (silva jr)ARBOLEDA ALDO 122 3.50 24% 3.20 1.30  
SCR  HEAT N REHEAT               (tamayo isidr)FIGUEROA CERAPIO 122 4.00    
SCR  LIKEABLE               (silva pablo)CRUZ M 122 3.00    
 
TUP-8   02/07/2024 4290ft DIRT WET FAST Claiming ($8.5K) Purse ($18K) 4UP M/F PT- 6:03
See original race card.
:223 :451 1:101     1:163   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LUCY L 6 2 32 1nk   12 1(evans justin)NEGRON LUIS 124 2.00 0.90  
LADY LANA 5 4 43 3   22 2(vitali marc)VALENZUELA A 124 6.00 6% 16.50 5.10 P
CLAY'S OPAL INDY 1 6 6 6   45 310¾ (alvarez sergio)LULL E 124 4.00 34% 1.90 6.80 S
FLIPLIT 3 5 55 5   5410¾ (whitehouse wilton)CORBETT W 124 8.00 28.00  
GHOST OF GENEVIEVE 4 1 1nk 2nk   35 514¼ (silva a)LOPEZ KARLO 124 2.50 38% 1.70 2.40  
FLAG SALUTE 2 3 2nk 4   6614½ (silv)DA FAUSTO 124 5.00 6.30  
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.