Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Turf Paradise
Wednesday - February 07, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
TUP-3   WIN (1/2/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/2/3)-(1/2/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/2/3)-(1/2/3)-(1/2/3) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (1/2/3)-(3/2/1) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (1/2/3)-(3/2/1)-(1/4) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
TUP-4   WIN (3/2/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/2/1)-(3/2/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/2/1)-(3/2/1)-(3/2/1) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (3/2/1)-(1/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (3/2/1)-(1/4)-(5/6/3) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
TUP-5   WIN (1/4) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (1/4)-(1/4) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $0.50 $0.00 
    DD (1/4)-(5/6/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (1/4)-(5/6/3)-(4/5/3) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
TUP-6   WIN (5/6/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/6/3)-(5/6/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/6/3)-(5/6/3)-(5/6/3) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (5/6/3)-(4/5/3) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (5/6/3)-(4/5/3)-(4/1/5) 27 $0.50 $13.50 
TUP-7   WIN (4/5/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/5/3)-(4/5/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/5/3)-(4/5/3)-(4/5/3) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (4/5/3)-(4/1/5) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
TUP-8   WIN (4/1/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/1/5)-(4/1/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/1/5)-(4/1/5)-(4/1/5) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
TUP-3   02/07/2024 3300ft DIRT RC7 WET FAST Claiming ($4.5K) Purse ($13K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:33
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MISS JOANNIE Nov20 Sep13 Aug29 Aug22 Aug03 (si)DA FAUSTO 124 3.00 53% 0.90    
2  FLATTER ME ZEN Dec15 Oct20 Oct06 Aug31 Aug05 (skidgel sheena)RADKE K 124 3.50 12% 7.10    
3  LOTSA LOU Mar25 Mar07 Feb04 Jan17 Dec26 (person ke)KELLENBERGER KODY 124 4.00 5% 19.00    
4  BONITA DIXIE Sep09 Aug21 Sep19 Apr21 Mar31 (barrio sergio)LULL E 124 5.00    
5  WORK N FLIRT Dec04 Nov26 Nov19 Oct31 Aug13 (silva j)BRAVO MISAEL 119 1.20    
 
TUP-4   02/07/2024 5280ft DIRT RC7 WET FAST Claiming ($4.5K) Purse ($13K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:03
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ISLAND BEAUTY Dec12 Nov19 Nov13 Oct23 Oct08 (simpson shann)VALDES ALEXIS 124 8.00 5% 19.00    
2  HIGH FASHION LADY Dec12 Dec02 Nov16 Oct31 Oct01 (silva j)BRAVO MISAEL 119 4.00 11% 7.80    
3  MIDNIGHT SUSI Jan05 Dec04 Oct27 Sep07 Jul09 (cappellucci dic)NEGRON LUIS 124 2.00 59% 0.70    
4  MEAN ELENITA Dec12 Dec06 Nov22 Nov16 Nov08 (silva pabl)CRUZ M 124 3.00    
5  OUT OF STARS Dec01 Nov10 Oct21 Sep16 Aug26 (lucarelli fran)ENRIQUEZ D 124 1.80    
 
TUP-5   02/07/2024 5280ft DIRT RC2 WET FAST Mdn Opt Clm ($30K) Purse ($30K) 3 ALL PT- 4:33
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  FREE AGAIN Dec31 Dec09       (essex charles)RADKE K 121 2.00 52% 0.90    
2  SILENT REASON Jan07         (birdwell tena)PENA BRYAN 121 3.50    
SCR  DEKUDYLAN Jan30         (birdwell tena)MAWING A 121 4.00    
4  JIMMY'S WILD BOY Dec31         (belvoir vann)AYUSO ARMANDO 121 3.00 16% 5.30    
5  MAGIC STORM Jan30 Dec20 Dec04 Nov20   (silva l)CRUZ M 121 4.00    
 
TUP-6   02/07/2024 5280ft DIRT RC6 WET FAST Optional Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($21K) 4UP M/F PT- 5:03
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  FOLK HERO Jan29 Nov05 Oct30 Oct23 Oct09 (gomez alejandro)CRUZ M 122 15.00    
2  BUSKER ALLIE Jan13 Dec01 Oct30 Oct23 Oct02 (tamayo isidro)OROZCO IRVING 122 3.50    
3  GYPSY WIFE Nov14 Sep03 Aug11 Jul27 Jul09 (eikleberry)MONTANEZ ROSARIO 122 5.00 5% 19.00    
4  BANDEENA Feb01 Jan13 Dec01 Sep23 Aug27 (silva jr)ARBOLEDA ALDO 122 4.00    
5  CLUBHOUSE SAINT Nov21 Nov14 Oct11 Aug24 Jul29 (woolley bennie )LOPEZ KARLO 122 2.00 58% 0.70    
6  DIRT FLIRT Dec11 Oct18 Sep27 Sep14 Aug06 (barraza s)RADKE K 122 3.00 18% 4.60    
 
TUP-7   02/07/2024 5280ft DIRT RC6 WET FAST Optional Claiming ($10K) Purse ($19.5K) 4UP ALL PT- 5:33
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  INESPERADO (FR) Dec18 Sep04 Aug09 Jul03 May26 (eikleberry kevi)CORBETT W 122 8.00    
2  EAST RAND Jan31 Nov21 Oct29 Oct21 Oct06 (valerio r)VALENZUELA A 122 10.00    
3  FAR WEST Jan19 Jan05 Nov03 Oct14 Sep04 (tamayo isidro)OROZCO IRVING 122 5.00 5% 19.00    
4  PONTI PRIDE Jan29 Dec11 Dec05 Nov22 Oct29 (si)DA FAUSTO 124 4.50 34% 1.90    
5  PUSH THROUGH Jan31 Dec20 Oct25 Aug03 Jul26 (silva jr)ARBOLEDA ALDO 122 3.50 24% 3.20    
SCR  HEAT N REHEAT Jan26 Jan13 Dec10 Nov12 Oct23 (tamayo isi)FIGUEROA CERAPIO 122 4.00    
SCR  LIKEABLE Dec12 Nov27 Oct28 Oct02 Sep22 (silva pabl)CRUZ M 122 3.00    
 
TUP-8   02/07/2024 4290ft DIRT RC7 WET FAST Claiming ($8.5K) Purse ($18K) 4UP M/F PT- 6:03
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CLAY'S OPAL INDY Jan25 Nov21 Sep02 Jul31 Jul10 (alvarez ser)ESPINOZA ASSAEL 124 4.00 34% 1.90    
2  FLAG SALUTE Dec17 Nov26 Nov11 Sep16 Sep03 (si)DA FAUSTO 124 5.00    
3  FLIPLIT Oct14 Jul22 Jul08 Jun19 Apr25 (whitehouse wilt)CORBETT W 124 8.00    
4  GHOST OF GENEVIEVE Sep13 Aug30 Aug13 Jul26 Jul02 (silva a)LOPEZ KARLO 124 2.50 38% 1.70    
5  LADY LANA Dec10 Nov17 Sep26 Aug30 Jul17 (vitali ma)VALENZUELA A 124 6.00 6% 16.50    
6  LUCY L Dec02 Nov11 Oct22 Oct07 Aug10 (evans justin)NEGRON LUIS 124 2.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.