Handicappers' Race Results
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The Longshot Hunter!
Elko County Fair
Sunday - September 03, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
Simulator Race results
 
ELK-3   09/03/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($2.5K) Purse ($6K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:50
See original race card.
1:122         1:122   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
4  SHACKALOV 4 5 44 34   3½ 12¼ (pope stuart)AGUILAR DANIEL 125 2.50 4.10  
2  ASSETS INCLUDED 2 1 2½ 2nk   1nk 22¼ (mitchell r)GAMEZ M 125 4.00 2.10  
3  ELLE VICTOIRE 3 2 32 45   43½ 35¼ (crystal dusti)BURNEY ROBERT 122 8.00 5% 19.00 8.00 S
6  PRESS BRIEFING 6 4 54 57   55½ 46¼ (gibbs tyler)JAMES JARELL 125 2.00 42% 1.40 4.50  
1  TWIST OF FATE 1 3 1½ 1nk   2nk 56¼ (kellett wes)DEL RICARDO 125 10.00 5.30  
5  MO GEE 5 6 67 610   613½ 620 (mckin)FIGUEROA ANTONIO 125 6.00 22% 3.50 2.20  
 
ELK-5   09/03/2023 3630ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($7K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:40
See original race card.
1:072         1:072   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
2  VINCE'S CORNER 2 1 34½ 1½   11 11 (mitchell r)GAMEZ M 122 2.50 8% 12.00 6.60 DQ↓2
  (by LOOKIN AT LUCKY out of MORNING JEWEL by AWESOME AGAIN)
1  STAYSOBER 1 2 2½ 33½   21 21 (carter ronal)AGUILAR DANIEL 124 2.00 33% 2.10 3.00 W
  (by STAY THIRSTY out of SOBRESALIENTE by EL PRADO (IRE))
6  LEAP DAY 5 9 45½ 45½   46 33½ (tsosie terrill)VILLA OSCAR 122 4.00 24% 3.10 4.80 S
  (by MCCRAKEN out of SLY STAR by COLONEL JOHN)
9  WATSON JR 8 4 57 56   59 48¾ (scudder r)KELLENBERGER KODY 124 12.00 10.00  
  (by HAYNESFIELD out of PRIDELANDER by PLEASANTLY PERFECT)
10  BIG BLUE CAT 9 8 68½ 68   69½ 513 (estrada jorge)ZAVALA JULIAN 124 20.00 7% 12.40 4.60  
  (by BLUEGRASS CAT out of LISA LULU by UNUSUAL HEAT)
8  KASONS CANDY 7 3 1½ 2½   34 613½ (jensen jare)DEL RICARDO 122 8.00 14.60  
  (by DANZING CANDY out of ELLOLUV by GILDED TIME)
5  MCBRUTAL 4 7 79 79½   713½ 724¼ (chris)FIGUEROA ANTONIO 119 10.00 4.70  
  (by INDIAN BRUT out of MCBOOMER by HARLAN'S HOLIDAY)
7  BEER THIRTY 6 5 810½ 810   816½ 824¾ (gibbs tyler)JAMES JARELL 122 6.00 6.20  
  (by NORTHERN CAUSEWAY out of APRIL SKY by BENNY THE BULL)
4  JENNY B BLAZIN 3 6 911½ 912   922½ 934¼ (mitchell chris )CORTEZ LUIS 121 20.00 12.60  
  (by ROI CHARMANT out of JENNYWAY U WANT IT by GOOD JOURNEY)
SCR  MAKE MY YEAR               (mckinney kynd)BURNEY ROBERT 124 3.50    
  (by NEW YEAR'S DAY out of INVENT by CONCERN)
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.