Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Elko County Fair
Sunday - September 03, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
ELK-3   WIN (6/5/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/5/3)-(6/5/3) 6 $2.00 $12.00 
    TRI (6/5/3)-(6/5/3)-(6/5/3) 6 $2.00 $12.00 
ELK-5   WIN (1/6/2/10) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/6/2/10)-(1/6/2/10) 12 $2.00 $24.00 
ELK-8   WIN (5/4/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/4/1)-(5/4/1) 6 $2.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/4/1)-(5/4/1)-(5/4/1) 6 $2.00 $12.00 
ELK-9   WIN (1/2/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/2/6)-(1/2/6) 6 $2.00 $12.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
ELK-3   09/03/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($2.5K) Purse ($6K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  TWIST OF FATE Sep01 Aug26 Jul22 Jul02 Jun17 (kellett wes)DEL RICARDO 125 10.00    
2  ASSETS INCLUDED Aug19 Aug06 Jan10 Dec13 Sep04 (mitchell r)GAMEZ M 125 4.00    
3  ELLE VICTOIRE Aug09 Jul01 Jun17 Aug27 Aug06 (crystal dusti)BURNEY ROBERT 122 8.00 5% 19.00    
4  SHACKALOV Sep01 Aug19 Oct01 Sep02 Aug27 (pope stuart)AGUILAR DANIEL 125 2.50    
5  MO GEE Sep02 Aug05 Jul29 Jul15 Jun24 (mckin)FIGUEROA ANTONIO 125 6.00 22% 3.50    
6  PRESS BRIEFING Sep01 Aug26 Aug06 Jul29 Jun25 (gibbs tyler)JAMES JARELL 125 2.00 42% 1.40    
 
ELK-5   09/03/2023 3630ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($7K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:40
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  STAYSOBER         (carter ronal)AGUILAR DANIEL 124 2.00 33% 2.10    
  (by STAY THIRSTY out of SOBRESALIENTE by EL PRADO (IRE))
2  VINCE'S CORNER Sep01 Aug19 Jul30 Jul08 Feb17 (mitchell r)GAMEZ M 122 2.50 8% 12.00    
  (by LOOKIN AT LUCKY out of MORNING JEWEL by AWESOME AGAIN)
SCR  MAKE MY YEAR Sep01 Aug26 Aug19     (mckinney kynd)BURNEY ROBERT 124 3.50    
  (by NEW YEAR'S DAY out of INVENT by CONCERN)
4  JENNY B BLAZIN Aug26         (mitchell chris )CORTEZ LUIS 121 20.00    
  (by ROI CHARMANT out of JENNYWAY U WANT IT by GOOD JOURNEY)
5  MCBRUTAL Jul16         (chris)FIGUEROA ANTONIO 119 10.00    
  (by INDIAN BRUT out of MCBOOMER by HARLAN'S HOLIDAY)
6  LEAP DAY Jul30         (tsosie )ORTIZ ROLANDO 122 4.00 24% 3.10    
  (by MCCRAKEN out of SLY STAR by COLONEL JOHN)
7  BEER THIRTY         (gibbs tyler)JAMES JARELL 122 6.00    
  (by NORTHERN CAUSEWAY out of APRIL SKY by BENNY THE BULL)
8  KASONS CANDY Jul30         (jensen jare)DEL RICARDO 122 8.00    
  (by DANZING CANDY out of ELLOLUV by GILDED TIME)
9  WATSON JR Jul15 Jun25 Jun11     (scudder r)KELLENBERGER KODY 124 12.00    
  (by HAYNESFIELD out of PRIDELANDER by PLEASANTLY PERFECT)
10  BIG BLUE CAT         (estrada jorge)ZAVALA JULIAN 124 20.00 7% 12.40    
  (by BLUEGRASS CAT out of LISA LULU by UNUSUAL HEAT)
 
ELK-8   09/03/2023 3630ft DIRT RC10 Allowance Purse ($7K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BLUE SKYE JADE Aug19 Aug06 Jul15 Jun17 Jun04 (williams dew)AGUILAR DANIEL 124 1.60 17% 4.80    
2  SCOTTY WHO Aug26 Aug06 Jul29 Jul15 Jul01 (mckinney d)GAMEZ M 124 3.50    
3  FOREST ECHO Aug19 Aug05 Jul15 Jul01 Jun11 (dahlk)FIGUEROA ANTONIO 124 1.80    
4  ROYAL TAP Aug25 Jul29 Jul08 Jun16 Jun04 (scudder m)KELLENBERGER KODY 124 2.50 21% 3.70    
5  POPS AWESOME Aug19 Aug05 Jul29 Jul22 Jul09 (williams dewe)BURNEY ROBERT 124 4.00 38% 1.60    
6  MUSCLE HEAD Jul01 Jun17 Jun03 May28 Oct02 (tsosie terr)DEL RICARDO 124 6.00    
7  HIDETHELOOT Aug20 Aug06 Oct28 Sep24 Aug29 (gibbs tyler)JAMES JARELL 124 8.00    
 
ELK-9   09/03/2023 3630ft DIRT RC11 Ely Purse ($10K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BETTOR TRIP NICK Aug05 Feb24 Jan29 Dec26 Apr30 (christoffersen far)ACEVES E 124 1.60 43% 1.30    
  (by BOAT TRIP out of BETTOR KNOT by IN EXCESS (IRE))
2  SOLA Aug05 Jul16 Jul09 Jun25 Jun10 (mckinney kynd)BURNEY ROBERT 121 2.00 26% 2.90    
  (by DA STOOPS out of ALONE (IRE) by GALILEO (IRE))
3  ACE AND KINGS Aug05 Jul15 Jun18 May27 May06 (mitchell chris)JAMES JARELL 124 10.00    
  (by PEPPERED CAT out of GOTNACEUPERSLEEVE by SOUGHT AFTER)
4  CHASE THE MUSIC Aug06 Jul22 Jul09 Jun10 Sep18 (scudder m)KELLENBERGER KODY 121 8.00    
  (by TIAGO out of HIP HOP GIRL by AWESOME AGAIN)
5  TOOTHLESS WONDER Aug25 Aug06 Jul29 Jun18 Jun11 (scudder mike)GAMEZ M 124 4.00    
  (by STREET BOSS out of AWESOMEKAYLEE by AWESOME AGAIN)
6  MCGEORGE Feb26 Feb05 Jan15 Nov25 Nov04 (chris)FIGUEROA ANTONIO 124 6.00 9% 9.70    
  (by STREET GEORGE out of MCBOOMER by HARLAN'S HOLIDAY)
7  WAYLAY Aug05 Jul29 Jul09 Jun24 Aug06 (hadley tori)AGUILAR DANIEL 124 2.50    
  (by ATTILA'S STORM out of POISED BY DESIGN by MONTBROOK)
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.