Handicappers' Race Results
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Ellis Park
Saturday - August 10, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bet Results
Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss
ELP-1   Win (8/4/9/1/5) 5 $2.00 $10.00 8 1 1 $11.18 $11.18 1.18
ELP-2   Win (5/7/3/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 2 1 0 $9.42  
ELP-3   Win (3/5/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 5 1 1 $5.68 $5.68  
ELP-4   Win (3/12/11/10/9) 5 $2.00 $10.00 3 1 1 $5.88 $5.88  
ELP-5   Win (1/6/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 1 1 1 $4.50 $4.50  
ELP-6   Win (1/6/4/8/10) 5 $2.00 $10.00 7 1 0 $50.04  
ELP-7   Win (6/8/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00 3 1 0 $7.66  
ELP-8   Win (4/3/12/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 4 1 1 $6.26 $6.26  
ELP-9   Win (8/11/9/7/15) 5 $2.00 $10.00 11 1 1 $12.64 $12.64 2.64
Simulator Race results
 
ELP-1   08/10/2024 3630ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($71K) 2 F PT-12:50
See original race card.
:211 :44 :554     1:014   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
8  CIVETTA 7 2 2nk 2nk   2nk 1¼ (walsh p)MACHADO LUAN 119 4.00 27% 2.70 4.59 W
4  LOVELY EMMA 4 1 1nk 1nk   1nk 2¼ (eurton pete)TORRES A 119 3.50 26% 2.80 3.09 P
1  NO MO COOKIES 1 4 63¼ 63¾   64½ 31½ (mott riley)TORRES A 119 15.00 5% 19.00 13.52 S
5  MAKE A MILLION 5 7 41¼ 41¾   31 42 (rice adam)CONCEPCION AXEL 119 20.00 5% 19.00 8.09  
11  LA FANTASTICA 10 5 73¼ 74¾   75 52¾ (asmussen steven)ASMUSSEN ERIK 114 5.00 12.35  
6  PAX AMERICANA 6 9 51¾ 51¾   42 63¼ (lynch a)CANNON DECLAN 119 4.50 2.38  
12  EMMY BLUE 11 3 3.2 3.2   53½ 75 (oliver victo)LOVEBERRY JARETH 119 12.00 14.34  
2  LIBERTY QUEEN 2 8 84¼ 85¼   87 810½ (camejo j)LOPEZ EDUARDO 119 30.00 ★ 57.02  
3  LOB 3 10 107¾ 97¾   99½ 911½ (arnold r)MORALES EDGAR 119 10.00 17.35  
10  BENEVOLENCE 9 6 96¼ 108¾   1012½ 1015½ (brisset rodolp)GEROUX FLORENT 119 10.00 17.26  
9  LAINEY 8 11 118¼ 1110¼   1113 1115½ (wilkes r)LANERIE J 119 15.00 5% 19.00 37.01  
15  LADY SPUN SUGAR 12 12 128½ 1210½   1215 1222 (sharp joe)HERNANDEZ J 119 12.00 44.16  
SCR  ARE YOU A SPY               (bogle fergu)BEALMEAR C 112 30.00    
SCR  GOLD SPIN               (kenneally ed)LOVEBERRY JARETH 119 8.00    
SCR  UNCORK IT               (hughes g)BEJARANO R 119 30.00    
SCR  VICTORY WALTZ               (corrigan jim)LEZCANO ABEL 119 12.00    
 
ELP-2   08/10/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($30K) Purse ($32K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:20
See original race card.
:223 :46 :581     1:104   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
2  REGAL REY 2 1 1nk 1nk   11 11¼ (antonuik j)RODRIGUEZ A 122 3.50 3.71  
3  BRAZEN BOY 3 3 2nk 2nk   21 21¼ (blair jordan)TORRES A 122 2.50 9% 10.20 1.80 P
5  PROTEGE 5 2 3½ 31½   32½ 34¾ (moquett ronald )CANNON DECLAN 122 5.00 44% 1.30 3.01 S
6  REWIRE 6 7 73 75¼   66 47¾ (shorter aar)TORRES A 122 12.00 5% 19.00 14.89  
1  TWIRLING TROILLET 1 4 41 41¾   44½ 57¾ (king l)MURRILL MITCHELL 118 6.00 13.76  
7  ALILNALOT 7 5 62 53¾   76½ 69½ (catalano m)MACHADO LUAN 124 4.00 13% 6.50 4.06  
4  TOOLPUSHER 4 6 51½ 63¾   56 713½ (asmussen steven)ASMUSSEN ERIK 113 4.50 14.19  
 
ELP-3   08/10/2024 4620ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($71K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:49
See original race card.
:222 :461 1:11     1:233   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
5  LINEBACKER 5 4 51½ 31   1½ 11½ (blair jordan)MORALES EDGAR 119 2.00 33% 2.00 1.84 W
2  GOOD LORD 2 5 41 51½   3½ 21½ (amoss m)TORRES A 119 6.00 5% 19.00 12.06 P
7  BLUE LINE 7 1 2½ 2½   2½ 34½ (asmussen steven)ASMUSSEN ERIK 114 8.00 12.50  
1  TOUCHDOWN ROCKET 1 6 3½ 41   41 46 (cox h)TORRES A 119 4.50 ★ 4.31  
3  UNCLE WILLIAM 3 2 1½ 1½   53½ 510½ (guida e)BEJARANO R 124 3.50 42% 1.40 1.88  
6  SOUND OF VICTORY 6 3 61¾ 62   67½ 615½ (brisset rodolphe)ACHARD ALEX 119 8.00 24.27  
4  SECURED LENDER 4 7 73¼ 73½   78 716¾ (brown c)GEROUX FLORENT 119 5.00 6.30  
 
ELP-4   08/10/2024 5280ft TURF RC2 FIRM Mdn Opt Clm ($50K) Purse ($44K) 2 ALL PT- 2:21
See original race card.
:223 :46 1:11 1:231   1:35   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
3  BLUE COAST 3 2 1nk 1nk 11 11 1½ (walsh p)MACHADO LUAN 119 4.50 24% 3.20 1.94 W
2  RAG TREE 2 5 41¾ 63¾ 42½ 21 2½ (hamilton sa)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 119 6.00 16.19  
4  LOOK TO THE CROSS 4 6 84¼ 95 74¾ 33½ 34¼ (mcpeek kenn)HERNANDEZ J 119 12.00 12.05  
11  COALMOON 10 11 106¼ 108 107¼ 54½ 45¾ (lobo h)ROMAN A 119 5.00 7% 14.10 7.35  
10  SPIRIT RAGS 9 8 62¾ 53¾ 21 44 57¾ (salas felipe)CONCEPCION AXEL 119 6.00 7% 14.20 4.21  
9  ANEGADA 8 7 129 119 96¼ 76½ 68¼ (ennis john)MORALES EDGAR 119 12.00 5% 19.00 32.64  
1  CLASSIC SENSATION 1 3 73¼ 74¼ 54 65½ 710¼ (camejo m)TORRES A 119 15.00 32.67  
6  BAYTOWN BARACUS 6 1 2nk 2nk 31 97½ 811½ (mcentee paul)ANDERSON MCKENNA 119 30.00 84.19  
13  REAL CONVICTION 12 12 52¾ 42¼ 64¼ 87½ 912¼ (kenneally ed)LOVEBERRY JARETH 119 10.00 18.98  
12  HEADS OF ARGUMENT 11 10 94¾ 84¾ 119¾ 109½ 1014 (cox h)GEROUX FLORENT 119 4.00 23% 3.40 4.29  
7  BAYTOWN BEATLE 7 4 31½ 32 86¼ 1112½ 1121¾ (mcentee pau)BEALMEAR C 112 10.00 9.92  
5  MR LEE 5 9 118¾ 1215 1220¾ 1223½ 1242¼ (humphries thoma)CANNON DECLAN 119 20.00 39.80  
SCR  AMERICAN CITY               (desormeaux keit)LANERIE J 119 20.00    
 
ELP-5   08/10/2024 5940ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($73K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:54
See original race card.
:232 :462 1:104 1:38   1:514   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ENCLOSURE 1 1 12½ 15 15 12 16 (mott i)TORRES A 124 1.20 38% 1.60 1.25 W
6  AMBER CASCADE 5 3 43½ 25 25 22 26 (devaux cherie)CONCEPCION AXEL 124 3.00 33% 2.00 1.93 P
5  LADAN 4 4 22½ 35½ 39½ 35½ 310¼ (bogle fergus)BEJARANO R 124 20.00 32.39  
3  MUSTANG LADY 2 2 55 57½ 411½ 47½ 416¼ (newton troy)MACHADO LUAN 124 8.00 5% 19.00 8.77  
4  FORESEEN 3 5 33 46½ 525½ 545½ 5100 (arnold r)MORALES EDGAR 120 3.50 2.37  
SCR  LET'S DUET               (mcpeek kenn)HERNANDEZ J 124 6.00    
 
ELP-6   08/10/2024 3630ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($71K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:26
See original race card.
:213 :443 :561     1:021   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
7  HARD TO SAY 6 8 62¼ 51¼   4¾ 1¾ (medina robe)TORRES A 119 15.00 24.02  
2  LIVEHAPPY 2 4 83½ 73¼   94 2¾ (estvanko richard)MACHADO LUAN 119 12.00 9.79  
6  GUN BARREL 5 7 52¼ 62¾   72¾ 31¼ (asmussen steven)ASMUSSEN ERIK 114 6.00 17% 4.90 5.10 S
8  NOT SO HOLY 7 1 41¼ 41¼   5¾ 41½ (lynch a)SAEZ GABRIEL 124 10.00 6% 16.90 3.77  
4  FLY J'S FUNTASTIC 4 9 95 94   83 53½ (stinson )LOPEZ EDUARDO 119 12.00 11% 8.00 10.77  
10  FLAME ROCK FIRE 9 3 11 1nk   1½ 63½ (camejo m)RENGIFO KEIBER 119 20.00 5% 17.60 43.95  
9  D DAY 8 5 31 2nk   2½ 74¼ (atras rob)TORRES A 119 8.00 6.22  
3  FIREFIGHT 3 2 21 31   3½ 84½ (kenneally ed)LOVEBERRY JARETH 119 12.00 10.13  
1  PETCOFF 1 6 73¼ 83¾   61¼ 94¾ (caramori ca)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 124 4.50 38% 1.60 1.69  
SCR  SEND CASH               (cox h)GEROUX FLORENT 119 1.40    
 
ELP-7   08/10/2024 3300ft DIRT RC2 FAST Mdn Opt Clm ($50K) Purse ($44K) 2 F PT- 3:52
See original race card.
:23 :461       :59   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
3  BILYANA 3 8 85¾ 63¾   32½ 11¼ (foster eric)MACHADO LUAN 119 20.00 2.83  
8  DIAGRAM 8 6 41 2nk   12 21¼ (calhoun )LOPEZ EDUARDO 119 5.00 24% 3.20 7.39 P
10  HALEAKALA (IRE) 10 5 62¾ 42¼   22 33 (calhoun will)MURRILL MITCHELL 119 8.00 4.56  
5  VIRAL PLANE LADY 5 1 2nk 1nk   43½ 47 (asmussen steven)ASMUSSEN ERIK 114 8.00 ★ 14.80  
6  GRACE ON GRACE 6 4 3½ 52¾   67 510¾ (demeritte larry)CASTANON L 119 2.50 47% 1.10 4.62  
9  MELITTLEFROSTGIRL 9 7 74¾ 86¾   88½ 611½ (hancock joh)TORRES A 119 4.50 ★ 4.92  
2  WISCONSIN GAL 2 9 96¾ 98¼   98½ 713¼ (mcentee pau)BEALMEAR C 112 15.00 12.95  
4  LOVEBUG 4 3 52½ 75¼   78 814½ (hamilton sarah)ELLIOTT JANE 119 8.00 5% 19.00 12.72  
1  WHITELICK ROAD 1 2 1nk 32   56½ 914½ (hancock john )CONCEPCION AXEL 119 15.00 23.46  
7  BIRTHDAY GIRL 7 10 1015¾ 10100   10100 10100 (danner kelsey)TORRES A 119 12.00 16.44  
SCR  CRACKLE (GB)               (holsapple hu)LOVEBERRY JARETH 119 30.00    
 
ELP-8   08/10/2024 3630ft TURF RC10 FIRM Allowance Purse ($73K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:19
See original race card.
:212 :434 :544     1:004   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
4  ELLEN JAY 4 3 11 11   12 15¾ (cox h)GEROUX FLORENT 120 3.00 64% 0.60 2.13 W
12  HUNTRESS FOR HIRE 12 7 52½ 41¼   43 25¾ (stall m)MACHADO LUAN 122 6.00 7% 14.30 6.74 P
2  COPPER EM 2 9 74¼ 52¾   55 36 (asmussen st)TORRES A 118 15.00 ★ 11.58 S
10  FOOLISH 10 1 21 21   22 46¼ (caramori ca)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 122 10.00 15.35  
1  BELLA HAZE 1 4 42 31   33 57¾ (santamaria carl)GARCIA MARTIN 118 15.00 7.18  
6  GATITA SUAVE 6 10 105¾ 85¼   66 610 (walsh d)ACHARD ALEX 122 30.00 82.67  
11  ABITIBI 11 8 95¼ 105½   119¼ 711 (esquivel jesus)MORALES EDGAR 122 30.00 78.08  
7  STEAMPUNK 7 12 116¾ 117   108¾ 811 (davis chri)RODRIGUEZ A 118 15.00 34.80  
8  RED RIVER MAGIC 8 2 32 63¾   77½ 911¼ (hartman chris)BEJARANO R 122 8.00 5% 19.00 3.80  
3  LA LA ROSE 3 5 64 73¾   88½ 1011½ (foley greg)MURRILL MITCHELL 118 3.50 7% 12.80 5.51  
5  NURSEKRINGLEDANCES 5 6 84¾ 95½   98¾ 1114 (wilkes r)TORRES A 122 10.00 ★ 23.38  
9  CABERNEIGH 9 11 127¾ 128   1211¾ 1215¾ (barker w)CANUTO THIAGO 118 8.00 21.01  
SCR  MOON SPUN               (lynch a)CANNON DECLAN 118 2.50    
 
ELP-9   08/10/2024 5280ft TURF RC4 FIRM Maiden Claimer ($30K) Purse ($30K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:48
See original race card.
:23 :462 1:102 1:222   1:344   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
11  OVERSTATEMENT 11 12 115½ 104½ 73¾ 62¾ 1¼ (blair jordan)CHUAN MARTIN 118 5.00 27% 2.60 5.32 W
10  AZOI 10 6 73¼ 52 3½ 73¼ 2¼ (morey e)MACHADO LUAN 118 6.00 8.23  
7  PUBLIUS 7 9 63¼ 82¾ 41½ 52¼ 31 (foster e)LOPEZ EDUARDO 118 8.00 6% 16.20 9.54 S
5  VICTORY DASH 5 1 1½ 11 1½ 12 41½ (moquett ronald )MORALES EDGAR 118 12.00 11.21 DQ↓6
3  BALTIMORE HEART 3 5 41½ 72¾ 83¾ 42¼ 52 (williamson )ARRIETA FRANCISCO 118 15.00 8.75  
9  MOVING TO KENTUCKY 9 2 51¾ 21 2½ 22 62¼ (sims p)ACHARD ALEX 124 12.00 13% 6.80 5.14  
8  GAGLIARDI 8 3 93½ 42 52 32 73 (mott i)TORRES A 118 4.00 28% 2.50 2.68  
6  ACCONA 6 10 127 126 95¼ 105 84 (camejo jose )LOVEBERRY JARETH 118 8.00 23.67  
1  ULTIMATE STRIKE 1 7 31½ 62½ 105½ 95 94 (santamaria c)MURRILL MITCHELL 118 30.00 32.58  
15  FREE RAMBLING MAN 12 11 105 115 117½ 116½ 105¼ (calhoun wil)TORRES A 124 30.00 5% 19.00 47.28  
2  MISSION RIVER 2 8 83½ 94¼ 127½ 126½ 115¾ (asmussen steven)ASMUSSEN ERIK 113 12.00 15.79  
4  ROCKET NIGHT 4 4 2½ 31½ 62¼ 84¾ 126½ (van thomas)BEJARANO R 118 8.00 11.20  
SCR  MO EL GRANDE               (morse randy)TORRES A 118 10.00    
SCR  MUNYHUNGRY               (parker r)LEBRON VICTOR 118 10.00    
SCR  REMARKABLE MO               (brennan terr)LOVEBERRY JARETH 124 3.50    
SCR  UNCLE TUFFY               (pinzon maria)BEJARANO R 118 20.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.