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Handicappers' Race Results

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The Longshot Hunter!


Ellis Park
Saturday - August 10, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

			Wgr	Pick						Tot	Bet	Bet	Winning		Pay
			Type	Numbers						Tkts	Unit	Amt	Numbers		Amt			Profit				ROI

ELP-1			WIN	(8/4/9/1/5)						5	$2.00	$10.00	8		$11.18			$1.18				12%
			EXA	(8/4/9/1/5)-(8/4/9/5/1/2)						25	$2.00	$50.00	8-4		$54.54			$4.54				9%
			TRI	(8/4/9/1/5)-(8/4/9/5/1/2)-(8/4/9/5/1/2)						100	$0.50	$50.00	8-4-1		$142.19			$92.19				184%
			SFT	(8/4/9/1/5)-(8/4/9/5/1/2)-(8/4/9/5/1/2)-(8/4/9/5/1/2)						300	$0.10	$30.00	8-4-1-5		$260.22			$230.22				767%
ELP-3			EXA	(3/5/2)-(3/5/2/1)						9	$2.00	$18.00	5-2		$38.56			$20.56				114%
ELP-8			EXA	(4/3/12/2)-(4/3/12/8/5/2)						20	$2.00	$40.00	4-12		$49.52			$9.52				24%
			TRI	(4/3/12/2)-(4/3/12/8/5/2)-(4/3/12/8/5/2)						80	$0.50	$40.00	4-12-2		$93.33			$53.33				133%
ELP-9			WIN	(8/11/9/7/15)						5	$2.00	$10.00	11		$12.64			$2.64				26%
			DD	(4/3/12/2)-(8/11/9/7/15)						20	$2.00	$40.00	4-11		$61.24			$21.24				53%

Simulator Race results


ELP-1			08/10/2024		3630ft	TURF	RC5	FIRM	Maiden Sp Wt					Purse ($71K)			2		F		PT-12:50
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.																M/L		W/P		B/E		F/O
8	CIVETTA									(walsh brendan )MACHADO LUAN 119						4.00		27%		2.70		4.59	W
		(by INTO MISCHIEF out of SENTIERO ITALIA by MEDAGLIA D'ORO)
4	LOVELY EMMA									(eurton pe)TORRES A 119						3.50		26%		2.80		3.09	P
		(by TWIRLING CANDY out of SALSA DIAVOLA by MINESHAFT)
1	NO MO COOKIES									(mott riley)TORRES A 119						15.00		5%		19.00		13.52	S
		(by MO TOWN out of LAGERTHA by BELLAMY ROAD)
5	MAKE A MILLION									(rice adam)CONCEPCION AXEL 119						20.00		5%		19.00		8.09
		(by HIGHER POWER out of RAINBOW DREAMS by EMPIRE MAKER)
11	LA FANTASTICA									(asmussen stev)ASMUSSEN ERIK 114						5.00						12.35
		(by VOLATILE out of SOPHIA MIA by PIONEEROF THE NILE)
6	PAX AMERICANA									(lynch a)CANNON DECLAN 119						4.50						2.38
		(by WAR FRONT out of COEXISTENCE by VIOLENCE)
12	EMMY BLUE									(oliver vic)LOVEBERRY JARETH 119						12.00						14.34
		(by OSCAR PERFORMANCE out of BLUE HEART by EXCHANGE RATE)
2	LIBERTY QUEEN									(camejo)LOPEZ EDUARDO 119						30.00		★				57.02
		(by AMERICAN FREEDOM out of UNKNOWN by UNKNOWN)
3	LOB									(arnold george)MORALES EDGAR 119						10.00						17.35
		(by STREET BOSS out of NET by CURLIN)
10	BENEVOLENCE									(brisset rodo)GEROUX FLORENT 119						10.00						17.26
		(by TOM'S D'ETAT out of BE FRUITFUL by PULPIT)
9	LAINEY									(wilkes r)LANERIE J 119						15.00		5%		19.00		37.01
		(by INTO MISCHIEF out of FROM THE HOOD by STREET SENSE)
15	LADY SPUN SUGAR									(sharp joe)HERNANDEZ J 119						12.00						44.16
		(by SPUN TO RUN out of LADY ACCLAMATION by ACCLAMATION)
SCR	ARE YOU A SPY									(bogle fer)BEALMEAR C 112						30.00
		(by UNION RAGS out of VEIL DANCE by ESKENDEREYA)
SCR	GOLD SPIN									(kenneally )LOVEBERRY JARETH 119						8.00
		(by UNCLE MO out of UNKNOWN by UNKNOWN)
SCR	UNCORK IT									(hughes g)BEJARANO R 119						30.00
		(by UNION RAGS out of SOMEPLACE ELSE by HARLAN'S HOLIDAY)
SCR	VICTORY WALTZ									(corrigan jim)LEZCANO ABEL 119						12.00
		(by VEKOMA out of VIENNA'S WALTZ by FREUD)

ELP-2			08/10/2024		3960ft	DIRT	RC7	FAST	Claiming ($30K)					Purse ($32K)			3UP		ALL		PT- 1:20
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.																M/L		W/P		B/E		F/O
2	REGAL REY									(antonuik)RODRIGUEZ A 122						3.50						3.71
3	BRAZEN BOY									(blair jordan)TORRES A 122						2.50		9%		10.20		1.80	P
5	PROTEGE									(moquett ronal)CANNON DECLAN 122						5.00		44%		1.30		3.01	S
6	REWIRE									(shorter a)TORRES A 122						12.00		5%		19.00		14.89
1	TWIRLING TROILLET									(king barry)MURRILL MITCHELL 118						6.00						13.76
7	ALILNALOT									(catalano wayne)MACHADO LUAN 124						4.00		13%		6.50		4.06
4	TOOLPUSHER									(asmussen stev)ASMUSSEN ERIK 113						4.50						14.19

ELP-3			08/10/2024		4620ft	DIRT	RC5	FAST	Maiden Sp Wt					Purse ($71K)			3UP		ALL		PT- 1:49
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.																M/L		W/P		B/E		F/O
5	LINEBACKER									(blair jordan)MORALES EDGAR 119						2.00		33%		2.00		1.84	W
		(by BOLT D'ORO out of JINNY JUMP UP by JUMP START)
2	GOOD LORD									(amoss thomas)TORRES A 119						6.00		5%		19.00		12.06	P
		(by LORD NELSON out of MALIBU PARTY by HARD SPUN)
7	BLUE LINE									(asmussen stev)ASMUSSEN ERIK 114						8.00						12.50
		(by NYQUIST out of TAKECHARGEDELILAH by TAKE CHARGE INDY)
1	TOUCHDOWN ROCKET									(cox brad )TORRES A 119						4.50		★				4.31
		(by ARROGATE out of SENSITIVELY by STREET SENSE)
3	UNCLE WILLIAM									(guida e)BEJARANO R 124						3.50		42%		1.40		1.88
		(by SHARP AZTECA out of AWESOME MARY by AWESOME AGAIN)
6	SOUND OF VICTORY									(brisset rodolph)ACHARD ALEX 119						8.00						24.27
		(by AUDIBLE out of VICTRESS by INCLUDE)
4	SECURED LENDER									(brown c)GEROUX FLORENT 119						5.00						6.30
		(by OMAHA BEACH out of SATISFACTION by AWESOME AGAIN)

ELP-4			08/10/2024		5280ft	TURF	RC2	FIRM	Mdn Opt Clm ($50K)					Purse ($44K)			2		ALL		PT- 2:21
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.																M/L		W/P		B/E		F/O
3	BLUE COAST									(walsh brendan )MACHADO LUAN 119						4.50		24%		3.20		1.94	W
2	RAG TREE									(hamilton )ARRIETA FRANCISCO 119						6.00						16.19
4	LOOK TO THE CROSS									(mcpeek ke)HERNANDEZ J 119						12.00						12.05
11	COALMOON									(lobo h)ROMAN A 119						5.00		7%		14.10		7.35
10	SPIRIT RAGS									(salas felip)CONCEPCION AXEL 119						6.00		7%		14.20		4.21
9	ANEGADA									(ennis john)MORALES EDGAR 119						12.00		5%		19.00		32.64
1	CLASSIC SENSATION									(camejo jose )TORRES A 119						15.00						32.67
6	BAYTOWN BARACUS									(mcentee pa)ANDERSON MCKENNA 119						30.00						84.19
13	REAL CONVICTION									(kenneally )LOVEBERRY JARETH 119						10.00						18.98
12	HEADS OF ARGUMENT									(cox h)GEROUX FLORENT 119						4.00		23%		3.40		4.29
7	BAYTOWN BEATLE									(mcentee p)BEALMEAR C 112						10.00						9.92
5	MR LEE									(humphries tho)CANNON DECLAN 119						20.00						39.80
SCR	AMERICAN CITY									(desormeaux ke)LANERIE J 119						20.00

ELP-5			08/10/2024		5940ft	DIRT	RC10	FAST	Allowance					Purse ($73K)			3UP		M/F		PT- 2:54
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.																M/L		W/P		B/E		F/O
1	ENCLOSURE									(mott william)TORRES A 124						1.20		38%		1.60		1.25	W
6	AMBER CASCADE									(devaux cher)CONCEPCION AXEL 124						3.00		33%		2.00		1.93	P
5	LADAN									(bogle fergus)BEJARANO R 124						20.00						32.39
3	MUSTANG LADY									(newton troy)MACHADO LUAN 124						8.00		5%		19.00		8.77
4	FORESEEN									(arnold george)MORALES EDGAR 120						3.50						2.37
SCR	LET'S DUET									(mcpeek ke)HERNANDEZ J 124						6.00

ELP-6			08/10/2024		3630ft	TURF	RC5	FIRM	Maiden Sp Wt					Purse ($71K)			3UP		ALL		PT- 3:26
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.																M/L		W/P		B/E		F/O
7	HARD TO SAY									(medina ro)TORRES A 119						15.00						24.02
		(by HARD SPUN out of SOARING EMOTIONS by KINGMAMBO)
2	LIVEHAPPY									(estvanko richa)MACHADO LUAN 119						12.00						9.79
		(by RUNHAPPY out of ARTISTIC LIFE by DISTORTED HUMOR)
6	GUN BARREL									(asmussen stev)ASMUSSEN ERIK 114						6.00		17%		4.90		5.10	S
		(by BOLT D'ORO out of QUEEN LAILA by THE FACTOR)
8	NOT SO HOLY									(lynch a)SAEZ GABRIEL 124						10.00		6%		16.90		3.77
		(by GREAT NOTION out of ALTAGRACIA by FLATTER)
4	FLY J'S FUNTASTIC									(stinso)LOPEZ EDUARDO 119						12.00		11%		8.00		10.77
		(by FUNTASTIC out of FLOWERY by DISTORTED HUMOR)
10	FLAME ROCK FIRE									(camejo jose )RENGIFO KEIBER 119						20.00		5%		17.60		43.95
		(by FLAMEAWAY out of MISSILETOE KISS by GOLDEN MISSILE)
9	D DAY									(atras rob)TORRES A 119						8.00						6.22
		(by OMAHA BEACH out of UNKNOWN by UNKNOWN)
3	FIREFIGHT									(kenneally )LOVEBERRY JARETH 119						12.00						10.13
		(by WAR FRONT out of CACHE by DISTORTED HUMOR)
1	PETCOFF									(caramori )ARRIETA FRANCISCO 124						4.50		38%		1.60		1.69
		(by MUNNINGS out of MYLITTA by SKY MESA)
SCR	SEND CASH									(cox h)GEROUX FLORENT 119						1.40
		(by MENDELSSOHN out of CASH IN by TAPIT)

ELP-7			08/10/2024		3300ft	DIRT	RC2	FAST	Mdn Opt Clm ($50K)					Purse ($44K)			2		F		PT- 3:52
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.																M/L		W/P		B/E		F/O
3	BILYANA									(foster eric)MACHADO LUAN 119						20.00						2.83
8	DIAGRAM									(calhou)LOPEZ EDUARDO 119						5.00		24%		3.20		7.39	P
10	HALEAKALA (IRE)									(calhoun wi)MURRILL MITCHELL 119						8.00						4.56
5	VIRAL PLANE LADY									(asmussen stev)ASMUSSEN ERIK 114						8.00		★				14.80
6	GRACE ON GRACE									(demeritte larr)CASTANON L 119						2.50		47%		1.10		4.62
9	MELITTLEFROSTGIRL									(hancock j)TORRES A 119						4.50		★				4.92
2	WISCONSIN GAL									(mcentee p)BEALMEAR C 112						15.00						12.95
4	LOVEBUG									(hamilton sarah)ELLIOTT JANE 119						8.00		5%		19.00		12.72
1	WHITELICK ROAD									(hancock joh)CONCEPCION AXEL 119						15.00						23.46
7	BIRTHDAY GIRL									(danner kelse)TORRES A 119						12.00						16.44
SCR	CRACKLE (GB)									(holsapple )LOVEBERRY JARETH 119						30.00

ELP-8			08/10/2024		3630ft	TURF	RC10	FIRM	Allowance					Purse ($73K)			3UP		M/F		PT- 4:19
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.																M/L		W/P		B/E		F/O
4	ELLEN JAY									(cox h)GEROUX FLORENT 120						3.00		64%		0.60		2.13	W
12	HUNTRESS FOR HIRE									(stall m)MACHADO LUAN 122						6.00		7%		14.30		6.74	P
2	COPPER EM									(asmussen )TORRES A 118						15.00		★				11.58	S
10	FOOLISH									(caramori )ARRIETA FRANCISCO 122						10.00						15.35
1	BELLA HAZE									(santamaria ca)GARCIA MARTIN 118						15.00						7.18
6	GATITA SUAVE									(walsh d)ACHARD ALEX 122						30.00						82.67
11	ABITIBI									(esquivel jesu)MORALES EDGAR 122						30.00						78.08
7	STEAMPUNK									(davis ch)RODRIGUEZ A 118						15.00						34.80
8	RED RIVER MAGIC									(hartman chris)BEJARANO R 122						8.00		5%		19.00		3.80
3	LA LA ROSE									(foley greg)MURRILL MITCHELL 118						3.50		7%		12.80		5.51
5	NURSEKRINGLEDANCES									(wilkes r)TORRES A 122						10.00		★				23.38
9	CABERNEIGH									(barker scott )CANUTO THIAGO 118						8.00						21.01
SCR	MOON SPUN									(lynch a)CANNON DECLAN 118						2.50

ELP-9			08/10/2024		5280ft	TURF	RC4	FIRM	Maiden Claimer ($30K)					Purse ($30K)			3UP		ALL		PT- 4:48
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.																M/L		W/P		B/E		F/O
11	OVERSTATEMENT									(blair jordan)CHUAN MARTIN 118						5.00		27%		2.60		5.32	W
10	AZOI									(morey william )MACHADO LUAN 118						6.00						8.23
7	PUBLIUS									(foster)LOPEZ EDUARDO 118						8.00		6%		16.20		9.54	S
5	VICTORY DASH									(moquett ronal)MORALES EDGAR 118						12.00						11.21	DQ↓6
3	BALTIMORE HEART									(williamso)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 118						15.00						8.75
9	MOVING TO KENTUCKY									(sims p)ACHARD ALEX 124						12.00		13%		6.80		5.14
8	GAGLIARDI									(mott william)TORRES A 118						4.00		28%		2.50		2.68
6	ACCONA									(camejo jos)LOVEBERRY JARETH 118						8.00						23.67
1	ULTIMATE STRIKE									(santamaria)MURRILL MITCHELL 118						30.00						32.58
15	FREE RAMBLING MAN									(calhoun w)TORRES A 124						30.00		5%		19.00		47.28
2	MISSION RIVER									(asmussen stev)ASMUSSEN ERIK 113						12.00						15.79
4	ROCKET NIGHT									(van thomas)BEJARANO R 118						8.00						11.20
SCR	MO EL GRANDE									(morse ran)TORRES A 118						10.00
SCR	MUNYHUNGRY									(parker donald)LEBRON VICTOR 118						10.00
SCR	REMARKABLE MO									(brennan te)LOVEBERRY JARETH 124						3.50
SCR	UNCLE TUFFY									(pinzon maria)BEJARANO R 118						20.00



	Labels:
	M/L	Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
	W/P	Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
	B/E	Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
	F/O	Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

	Two Groups of Contenders:
	Win Contenders
		The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
	Place/Show Contenders
		The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

	Legal:
	Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.