Handicappers' Racing Form
"A Premier Resource for Free horse Racing Picks, Strong Longshots and Vulnerable Favorites."
Thoroughbred Racing Simulator is licensed and powered by Brisnet.
Visit us at tbrsimulator.com.
Contact us at support@tbrsimulator.com.
Follow us on X@tbrsimulator.
 
The Longshot Specialist!
Ellis Park
Saturday - August 10, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
ELP-1   WIN (8/4/1/9) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (8/4/1/9)-(8/4/1/5/9) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (8/4/1/9)-(8/4/1/5/9)-(8/4/1/5/9) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (8/4/1/9)-(5/7/3/1) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (8/4/1/9)-(5/7/3/1)-(3/5/2) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
ELP-2   WIN (5/7/3/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/7/3/1)-(5/7/3/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/7/3/1)-(5/7/3/1)-(5/7/3/1) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (5/7/3/1)-(3/5/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (5/7/3/1)-(3/5/2)-(3/12/11/10) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
ELP-3   WIN (3/5/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/5/2)-(3/5/2/1) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (3/5/2)-(3/5/2/1)-(3/5/2/1) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (3/5/2)-(3/12/11/10) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (3/5/2)-(3/12/11/10)-(1/6/3) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
ELP-4   WIN (3/12/11/10) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/12/11/10)-(3/12/11/10/9) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (3/12/11/10)-(3/12/11/10/9)-(3/12/11/10/9) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (3/12/11/10)-(1/6/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (3/12/11/10)-(1/6/3)-(1/6/4/9/10) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
ELP-5   WIN (1/6/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/6/3)-(1/6/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/6/3)-(1/6/3)-(1/6/3) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (1/6/3)-(1/6/4/9/10) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
    PK3 (1/6/3)-(1/6/4/9/10)-(6/8/7) 45 $0.50 $22.50 
ELP-6   WIN (1/6/4/9/10) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (1/6/4/9/10)-(1/6/4/9/10) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (1/6/4/9/10)-(1/6/4/9/10)-(1/6/4/9/10) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (1/6/4/9/10)-(6/8/7) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
    PK3 (1/6/4/9/10)-(6/8/7)-(4/3/12/2) 60 $0.50 $180 
ELP-7   WIN (6/8/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/8/7)-(6/8/9/4/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (6/8/7)-(6/8/9/4/7)-(6/8/9/4/7) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
    DD (6/8/7)-(4/3/12/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (6/8/7)-(4/3/12/2)-(8/11/9/7/1) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
ELP-8   WIN (4/3/12/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (4/3/12/2)-(4/3/12/8/2) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (4/3/12/2)-(4/3/12/8/2)-(4/3/12/8/2) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (4/3/12/2)-(8/11/9/7/1) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
ELP-9   WIN (8/11/9/7/1) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (8/11/9/7/1)-(8/11/9/7/1) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (8/11/9/7/1)-(8/11/9/7/1)-(8/11/9/7/1) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
ELP-1   08/10/2024 3630ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($71K) 2 F PT-12:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  NO MO COOKIES         (mott riley)TORRES A 119 15.00 5% 19.00    
  (by MO TOWN out of LAGERTHA by BELLAMY ROAD)
2  LIBERTY QUEEN         (camejo)LOPEZ EDUARDO 119 30.00 ★    
  (by AMERICAN FREEDOM out of UNKNOWN by UNKNOWN)
3  LOB         (arnold george)MORALES EDGAR 119 10.00    
  (by STREET BOSS out of NET by CURLIN)
4  LOVELY EMMA         (eurton pe)TORRES A 119 3.50 26% 2.80    
  (by TWIRLING CANDY out of SALSA DIAVOLA by MINESHAFT)
5  MAKE A MILLION         (rice adam)CONCEPCION AXEL 119 20.00 5% 19.00    
  (by HIGHER POWER out of RAINBOW DREAMS by EMPIRE MAKER)
6  PAX AMERICANA Jul22         (lynch a)CANNON DECLAN 119 4.50    
  (by WAR FRONT out of COEXISTENCE by VIOLENCE)
SCR  ARE YOU A SPY         (bogle fer)BEALMEAR C 112 30.00    
  (by UNION RAGS out of VEIL DANCE by ESKENDEREYA)
8  CIVETTA         (walsh brendan )MACHADO LUAN 119 4.00 27% 2.70    
  (by INTO MISCHIEF out of SENTIERO ITALIA by MEDAGLIA D'ORO)
9  LAINEY         (wilkes r)LANERIE J 119 15.00 5% 19.00    
  (by INTO MISCHIEF out of FROM THE HOOD by STREET SENSE)
10  BENEVOLENCE         (brisset rodo)GEROUX FLORENT 119 10.00    
  (by TOM'S D'ETAT out of BE FRUITFUL by PULPIT)
11  LA FANTASTICA May02         (asmussen stev)ASMUSSEN ERIK 114 5.00    
  (by VOLATILE out of SOPHIA MIA by PIONEEROF THE NILE)
12  EMMY BLUE         (oliver vic)LOVEBERRY JARETH 119 12.00    
  (by OSCAR PERFORMANCE out of BLUE HEART by EXCHANGE RATE)
SCR  UNCORK IT         (hughes g)BEJARANO R 119 30.00    
  (by UNION RAGS out of SOMEPLACE ELSE by HARLAN'S HOLIDAY)
SCR  VICTORY WALTZ Jul16         (corrigan jim)LEZCANO ABEL 119 12.00    
  (by VEKOMA out of VIENNA'S WALTZ by FREUD)
15  LADY SPUN SUGAR         (sharp joe)TORRES A 119 12.00    
  (by SPUN TO RUN out of LADY ACCLAMATION by ACCLAMATION)
SCR  GOLD SPIN         (kenneally )LOVEBERRY JARETH 119 8.00    
  (by UNCLE MO out of UNKNOWN by UNKNOWN)
 
ELP-2   08/10/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($30K) Purse ($32K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  TWIRLING TROILLET Jul05 Jun23 Jun13 May26 Apr05 (king barry)MURRILL MITCHELL 118 6.00    
2  REGAL REY Jul27 Jul07 Jun20 May08 Apr08 (antonuik)RODRIGUEZ A 122 3.50    
3  BRAZEN BOY Jul15 May30 May09 Dec29 Jun25 (blair jordan)TORRES A 122 2.50 9% 10.20    
4  TOOLPUSHER Jun08 May03 Mar15 Feb18 Jan13 (asmussen stev)ASMUSSEN ERIK 113 4.50    
5  PROTEGE Jul15 Jul15 Apr14 Feb04 Dec17 (moquett ronal)CANNON DECLAN 122 5.00 44% 1.30    
6  REWIRE Jul15 Jan28 Nov18 Nov01 Feb17 (shorter a)ESQUIVEL EMMANUEL 122 12.00 5% 19.00    
7  ALILNALOT Jul21 Jun05 Sep17 Jul30 Jun10 (catalano wayne)MACHADO LUAN 124 4.00 13% 6.50    
 
ELP-3   08/10/2024 4620ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($71K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:49
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  TOUCHDOWN ROCKET         (cox brad )TORRES A 119 4.50 ★    
  (by ARROGATE out of SENSITIVELY by STREET SENSE)
2  GOOD LORD Dec23 Nov24 Oct29     (amoss thomas)TORRES A 119 6.00 5% 19.00    
  (by LORD NELSON out of MALIBU PARTY by HARD SPUN)
3  UNCLE WILLIAM Jun30 Jan06 Dec08 Nov04   (guida e)BEJARANO R 124 3.50 42% 1.40    
  (by SHARP AZTECA out of AWESOME MARY by AWESOME AGAIN)
4  SECURED LENDER         (brown c)GEROUX FLORENT 119 5.00    
  (by OMAHA BEACH out of SATISFACTION by AWESOME AGAIN)
5  LINEBACKER Feb03 Dec31 Nov25 Oct22   (blair jordan)MORALES EDGAR 119 2.00 33% 2.00    
  (by BOLT D'ORO out of JINNY JUMP UP by JUMP START)
6  SOUND OF VICTORY         (brisset rodolph)ACHARD ALEX 119 8.00    
  (by AUDIBLE out of VICTRESS by INCLUDE)
7  BLUE LINE Oct18         (asmussen stev)ASMUSSEN ERIK 114 8.00    
  (by NYQUIST out of TAKECHARGEDELILAH by TAKE CHARGE INDY)
 
ELP-4   08/10/2024 5280ft TURF RC2 FIRM Mdn Opt Clm ($50K) Purse ($44K) 2 ALL PT- 2:21
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CLASSIC SENSATION         (camejo jose )TORRES A 119 15.00    
2  RAG TREE Jul07 Jun17 May26     (hamilton )ARRIETA FRANCISCO 119 6.00    
3  BLUE COAST         (walsh brendan )MACHADO LUAN 119 4.50 24% 3.20    
4  LOOK TO THE CROSS         (mcpeek ke)HERNANDEZ J 119 12.00    
5  MR LEE         (humphries tho)CANNON DECLAN 119 20.00    
6  BAYTOWN BARACUS Jun17 May14 Apr25 Apr05   (mcentee pa)ANDERSON MCKENNA 119 30.00    
7  BAYTOWN BEATLE Jul18 Apr21       (mcentee p)BEALMEAR C 112 10.00    
SCR  AMERICAN CITY May18 May09 Apr25     (desormeaux ke)LANERIE J 119 20.00    
9  ANEGADA         (ennis john)MORALES EDGAR 119 12.00 5% 19.00    
10  SPIRIT RAGS Jul22 Jun19 May26 Apr26   (salas felip)CONCEPCION AXEL 119 6.00 7% 14.20    
11  COALMOON         (lobo h)ROMAN A 119 5.00 7% 14.10    
12  HEADS OF ARGUMENT         (cox h)GEROUX FLORENT 119 4.00 23% 3.40    
13  REAL CONVICTION         (kenneally )LOVEBERRY JARETH 119 10.00    
 
ELP-5   08/10/2024 5940ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($73K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:54
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ENCLOSURE Nov19 Aug31 Jun04 Mar18   (mott william)TORRES A 124 1.20 38% 1.60    
SCR  LET'S DUET Jun26 Mar30 Mar10 Feb11 Dec29 (mcpeek ke)HERNANDEZ J 124 6.00    
3  MUSTANG LADY Jul15 Jun19 Oct18 Sep10 Aug05 (newton troy)MACHADO LUAN 124 8.00 5% 19.00    
4  FORESEEN Jun15 Apr27 Apr17 Feb18 Nov29 (arnold george)MORALES EDGAR 120 3.50    
5  LADAN Jul22 Jun12 May23 Apr07 Mar27 (bogle fergus)BEJARANO R 124 20.00    
6  AMBER CASCADE Jun26 Nov01 Sep23 Jan21 Dec31 (devaux cher)CONCEPCION AXEL 124 3.00 33% 2.00    
 
ELP-6   08/10/2024 3630ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($71K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:26
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  PETCOFF Feb11 Jan07 Nov18 Oct27 Oct01 (caramori )ARRIETA FRANCISCO 124 4.50 38% 1.60    
  (by MUNNINGS out of MYLITTA by SKY MESA)
2  LIVEHAPPY Jul06 Jun21 Apr27 Mar02 Feb11 (estvanko richa)MACHADO LUAN 119 12.00    
  (by RUNHAPPY out of ARTISTIC LIFE by DISTORTED HUMOR)
3  FIREFIGHT         (kenneally )LOVEBERRY JARETH 119 12.00    
  (by WAR FRONT out of CACHE by DISTORTED HUMOR)
4  FLY J'S FUNTASTIC Jul20         (stinso)LOPEZ EDUARDO 119 12.00 11% 8.00    
  (by FUNTASTIC out of FLOWERY by DISTORTED HUMOR)
SCR  SEND CASH Jun27 May12       (cox h)GEROUX FLORENT 119 1.40    
  (by MENDELSSOHN out of CASH IN by TAPIT)
6  GUN BARREL         (asmussen stev)ASMUSSEN ERIK 114 6.00 17% 4.90    
  (by BOLT D'ORO out of QUEEN LAILA by THE FACTOR)
7  HARD TO SAY Jun30         (medina ro)TORRES A 119 15.00    
  (by HARD SPUN out of SOARING EMOTIONS by KINGMAMBO)
8  NOT SO HOLY Jul06 Jun05 Aug19     (lynch a)SAEZ GABRIEL 124 10.00 6% 16.90    
  (by GREAT NOTION out of ALTAGRACIA by FLATTER)
9  D DAY Jun27 Jun05       (atras rob)TORRES A 119 8.00    
  (by OMAHA BEACH out of UNKNOWN by UNKNOWN)
10  FLAME ROCK FIRE Jul28         (camejo jose )RENGIFO KEIBER 119 20.00 5% 17.60    
  (by FLAMEAWAY out of MISSILETOE KISS by GOLDEN MISSILE)
 
ELP-7   08/10/2024 3300ft DIRT RC2 FAST Mdn Opt Clm ($50K) Purse ($44K) 2 F PT- 3:52
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  WHITELICK ROAD Jun22         (hancock joh)CONCEPCION AXEL 119 15.00    
2  WISCONSIN GAL         (mcentee p)BEALMEAR C 112 15.00    
3  BILYANA         (foster eric)MACHADO LUAN 119 20.00    
4  LOVEBUG Jul13 Jun09       (hamilton sarah)ELLIOTT JANE 119 8.00 5% 19.00    
5  VIRAL PLANE LADY         (asmussen stev)ASMUSSEN ERIK 114 8.00 ★    
6  GRACE ON GRACE Jun09 May27 May10     (demeritte larr)CASTANON L 119 2.50 47% 1.10    
7  BIRTHDAY GIRL         (danner kelse)TORRES A 119 12.00    
8  DIAGRAM         (calhou)LOPEZ EDUARDO 119 5.00 24% 3.20    
9  MELITTLEFROSTGIRL Jul13 Jun22       (hancock j)TORRES A 119 4.50 ★    
10  HALEAKALA (IRE)         (calhoun wi)MURRILL MITCHELL 119 8.00    
SCR  CRACKLE (GB)         (holsapple )LOVEBERRY JARETH 119 30.00    
 
ELP-8   08/10/2024 3630ft TURF RC10 FIRM Allowance Purse ($73K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:19
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BELLA HAZE Jul05 May10 Apr04 Nov25 Oct06 (santamaria ca)GARCIA MARTIN 118 15.00    
2  COPPER EM Mar20 Feb23 Feb02 Nov26 Oct27 (asmussen )TORRES A 118 15.00 ★    
3  LA LA ROSE Jul13 Jun19 May11 Jan06   (foley greg)MURRILL MITCHELL 118 3.50 7% 12.80    
4  ELLEN JAY Jul15 Jun08 May11     (cox h)GEROUX FLORENT 120 3.00 64% 0.60    
5  NURSEKRINGLEDANCES Jan10 Dec13 Nov17 Oct12 Aug23 (wilkes r)TORRES A 122 10.00 ★    
6  GATITA SUAVE Jul09 Jun20 May20 Mar28 Mar15 (walsh rya)ESQUIVEL EMMANUEL 122 30.00    
7  STEAMPUNK Jun12 Oct15 Aug31 Aug02   (davis ch)RODRIGUEZ A 118 15.00    
8  RED RIVER MAGIC Feb18 Dec29 Nov23 Oct26 Sep15 (hartman chris)BEJARANO R 122 8.00 5% 19.00    
9  CABERNEIGH Jul13 Jun15 Apr20 Mar07 Feb21 (barker scott )CANUTO THIAGO 118 8.00    
10  FOOLISH Jul05 Jun15 May16 Apr06 Jul16 (caramori )ARRIETA FRANCISCO 122 10.00    
11  ABITIBI Jul04 Jun06 May17 Apr19 Mar27 (esquivel jesu)MORALES EDGAR 122 30.00    
12  HUNTRESS FOR HIRE Jun26 May18 Sep21 Jul22 May05 (stall m)MACHADO LUAN 122 6.00 7% 14.30    
SCR  MOON SPUN Jun15 May16 Mar29 Mar08   (lynch a)CANNON DECLAN 118 2.50    
 
ELP-9   08/10/2024 5280ft TURF RC4 FIRM Maiden Claimer ($30K) Purse ($30K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:48
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ULTIMATE STRIKE Nov23 Oct26 Sep29 Sep10 Aug06 (santamaria)MURRILL MITCHELL 118 30.00    
2  MISSION RIVER Jul14 Jun09       (asmussen stev)ASMUSSEN ERIK 113 12.00    
3  BALTIMORE HEART Jul03 Jun05 Apr19 Mar13 Feb13 (williamso)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 118 15.00    
4  ROCKET NIGHT Jun27 Apr13 Mar21 Feb11 Dec16 (van thomas)BEJARANO R 118 8.00    
5  VICTORY DASH Jul05 May04 Apr07 Mar08   (moquett ronal)MORALES EDGAR 118 12.00    
6  ACCONA Jul15 Jun10 May19 Apr10 Feb23 (camejo jos)LOVEBERRY JARETH 118 8.00    
7  PUBLIUS Jan18 Jan06 Nov25 Oct28 Aug31 (foster)LOPEZ EDUARDO 118 8.00 6% 16.20    
8  GAGLIARDI Jul15 Jun12 Apr13     (mott william)TORRES A 118 4.00 28% 2.50    
9  MOVING TO KENTUCKY Apr13         (sims p)ACHARD ALEX 124 12.00 13% 6.80    
10  AZOI Jul05 Jun12 Mar02 Jan31 Dec21 (morey william )MACHADO LUAN 118 6.00    
11  OVERSTATEMENT Jun07 May24       (blair jordan)CHUAN MARTIN 118 5.00 27% 2.60    
SCR  MO EL GRANDE Apr13 Mar30 Mar15 Feb24   (morse ran)TORRES A 118 10.00    
SCR  UNCLE TUFFY Jun13 May23 Apr25     (pinzon maria)BEJARANO R 118 20.00    
SCR  REMARKABLE MO Jul22 Jun30 Jun13 Jun01 May04 (brennan te)LOVEBERRY JARETH 124 3.50    
15  FREE RAMBLING MAN Jul02 May20 May06 Jan05 Dec17 (calhoun will)TORRES A 124 30.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  MUNYHUNGRY Jul29 Jul21 Jul05 May26 May11 (parker donald)LEBRON VICTOR 118 10.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.