Handicappers' Race Results

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Ellis Park
Sunday - August 04, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss

ELP-1   Win (5/6/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 2 1 0 $38.38  
ELP-2   Win (6/7/2/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 6 1 1 $3.94 $3.94  
ELP-3   Win (10/12/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00 12 1 1 $6.52 $6.52 0.52
ELP-4   Win (8/7/6/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 7 1 1 $5.40 $5.40  
ELP-5   Win (2/6/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 6 1 1 $6.16 $6.16 0.16
ELP-6   Win (3/1/10) 3 $2.00 $6.00 3 1 1 $3.18 $3.18  
ELP-7   Win (11/1/3/10) 4 $2.00 $8.00 12 1 0 $55.88  
ELP-8   Win (3/11/2/9) 4 $2.00 $8.00 11 1 1 $5.74 $5.74  
ELP-9   Win (7/6/3/2/1) 5 $2.00 $10.00 3 1 1 $16.68 $16.68 6.68
ELP-10   Win (5/7/14/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 4 1 1 $10.36 $10.36 2.36

Simulator Race results

 
ELP-1   08/04/2024 4290ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($73K) 3UP ALL PT-12:50
See original race card.
:222 :444 1:09     1:16   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MIACOMET 2 4 1nk 2nk   1nk 11 (shirer a)BESCHIZZA ADAM 122 10.00 18.19  
JUSTIFREAK 3 1 2nk 1nk   2nk 21 (kenneally ed)LOVEBERRY JARETH 118 4.00 5% 19.00 4.49 P
HAILSTORM 1 5 5 5   4 3 (asmussen steven)ASMUSSEN ERIK 113 3.00 6.44  
HARRODSBURG 4 2 31 3.2   3 4 (tomlinson mich)TORRES A 122 2.00 50% 1.00 0.78  
PENSACOLA 5 3 42 4   55 510¼ (cowans william )MORALES EDGAR 122 3.50 22% 3.50 2.53  
SCR  ONE GIANT LEAP               (hartman )LOPEZ EDUARDO 122 5.00    
 
ELP-2   08/04/2024 4290ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($16K) Purse ($25K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:20
See original race card.
:221 :453 1:111     1:173   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ATLANTIC DANCER 5 6 6 6   1 1 (moquett ronald )ASMUSSEN ERIK 119 2.00 41% 1.50 0.97 W
SOUL SNATCHER 3 5 2 2nk   2 2 (ortiz ale)TORRES A 119 6.00 5.44  
PHENOMENAL DREAM 8 2 5 41   4 313 (shorter aar)TORRES A 119 4.50 4.49  
LORD DIAMOND 6 3 44 5   3 414¼ (asmussen steven)GARCIA MARTIN 119 6.00 26% 2.90 7.03  
EARLY MUNNY 1 7 78 7   6 516½ (hancock a)FUENTES ERICK 109 20.00 5% 19.00 18.00  
KALL KARL 4 4 33 1nk   5 617½ (garcia genaro)BARBOSA CARLOS 119 6.00 6.52  
HEZMORETHANREADY 2 8 811½ 810¾   8 719¼ (house gary)BEALMEAR C 117 15.00 10% 9.30 25.70  
ACE THE RACE 7 1 1 3½   7 823½ (pittman )LOPEZ EDUARDO 124 20.00 44.29  
SCR  CRABTREE               (moquett ronald )CANNON DECLAN 119 5.00    
 
ELP-3   08/04/2024 5610ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($71K) 2 F PT- 1:49
See original race card.
:232 :481 1:123 1:37   1:433   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
12  SOMETHINABOUTHER 12 5 6 54 4 1nk 1¼ (walsh p)CANNON DECLAN 119 4.50 30% 2.30 2.26 W
JEWELED CITY 5 9 8 8 7 31 2¼ (stall alber)TORRES A 119 10.00 16.08  
ALONGCOMESAWOMAN 1 6 5 6 8 42 31 (kenneally ed)LOVEBERRY JARETH 119 8.00 3.25  
11  GROVE CITY SUNSET 11 10 73 7 6 5 4 (danner kelsey)BESCHIZZA ADAM 119 10.00 14.37  
10  ALWAYS PRACTICAL 10 4 21 2½ 2nk 2nk 5 (maker michael )TORRES A 119 5.00 46% 1.20 4.55  
TAKE NOTE OF THIS 4 1 31 32 52 7 6 (asmussen steven)ASMUSSEN ERIK 114 6.00 10.85  
CAT PAYS THE TOLL 7 3 4 42 31 6 7 (wilkes r)MORALES EDGAR 119 15.00 5% 19.00 25.12  
SHEILA'S LION 9 11 109 10 1010¼ 9 89 (desormeaux keith)GRAHAM J 119 15.00 39.22  
SWEET STAR 2 12 1214 1212¾ 1111¼ 1110 910¾ (bahena ism)RODRIGUEZ A 119 30.00 67.16  
POWERWASHED 8 2 11 1½ 1nk 8 1012 (ortiz a)CORRALES GERARDO 119 6.00 12.17  
BERRIES AND CREAM 6 7 9 9 9 109 1112½ (devaux cherie)CONCEPCION AXEL 119 8.00 12.62  
AMY'S LAW 3 8 1111½ 1111¼ 1211¾ 1213½ 1217¾ (von donni)GARCIA MARTIN 119 12.00 17.10  
SCR  DERRY GIRL               (romans dale)CHUAN MARTIN 119 3.50    
SCR  LES IS BEST               (foster eric)CORRALES GERARDO 119 20.00    
SCR  MISS RUMMIKUB (FR)               (ramos rafae)ESQUIVEL EMMANUEL 119 20.00    
 
ELP-4   08/04/2024 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($22K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:21
See original race card.
:231 :461 1:11 1:242   1:381   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
COOL RAGS 6 6 55 5 65 5 1 (foster eric)TORRES A 123 4.00 28% 2.60 1.70 W
STAR NATION 4 8 817 815¼ 810½ 76 2 (hartlage ga)BEALMEAR C 116 20.00 15.76  
HOME RUN TRICK 7 4 2½ 2nk 1½ 2nk 3 (brennan terry)ELLIOTT JANE 123 3.50 29% 2.50 4.20 S
VERSATILE 2 3 6 6 43 42 43 (wisner tracey)CONCEPCION AXEL 123 12.00 5% 19.00 9.63  
MR. PETERKIN 8 7 33 3 3 3 5 (norris mike)CANNON DECLAN 123 20.00 32.01  
PLATINUM GHOST 1 2 1½ 1nk 2½ 1nk 6 (roberson dennis)CASTANON L 123 5.00 3.17  
LEGENDARY LORE 5 5 77 7 5 64 7 (asmussen steven)ASMUSSEN ERIK 118 3.00 16% 5.30 3.90  
READY PURSUIT 3 1 43 4 7 88 811 (gonzalez)LOPEZ EDUARDO 123 20.00 42.61  
SCR  MAN ON THE MOON               (vance d)SAEZ GABRIEL 123 4.50    
 
ELP-5   08/04/2024 3960ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($50K) Purse ($76K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:54
See original race card.
:222 :453 :573     1:093   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
UPPER CASE 6 4 3 2½   13 1 (lobo h)ROMAN A 122 4.50 17% 5.00 2.08 W
ALWAYS ANGELS 4 3 54 7   44 2 (ortiz ale)TORRES A 122 6.00 3.49  
PROUD FOOT 5 6 8 31   3 3 (dutrow richar)CONCEPCION AXEL 122 4.00 12% 7.60 7.04 S
CONNIE K 2 2 2½ 5   54 4 (morse l)GARCIA MARTIN 122 6.00 23% 3.40 9.24  
TX WOMEN FOR ARTS 1 5 4 62   65 511½ (asmussen ste)HERNANDEZ J 118 6.00 7.28  
TIFFANY TWIST 3 7 7 8   8 614¾ (asmussen steven)ASMUSSEN ERIK 117 6.00 8.03  
QUICK MUNNY 7 1 1½ 1½   23 717 (kenneally ed)LOVEBERRY JARETH 122 3.50 5.28  
WUPKAR 8 8 6 41   7 817 (short thoma)BEALMEAR C 117 12.00 17.82  
 
ELP-6   08/04/2024 4620ft DIRT RC2 FAST Mdn Opt Clm ($50K) Purse ($44K) 2 F PT- 3:26
See original race card.
:232 :47 1:12     1:243   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CHATTANOOGA CREW 2 3 1½ 1½   12 1 (mcpeek kenne)HERNANDEZ J 119 3.50 63% 0.60 0.59 W
10  BLUE DAZZLER 6 1 2½ 2½   22 2 (colebrook ben)GRAHAM J 119 12.00 5% 19.00 6.15 P
WELL AWARE 5 2 42 32   3 3 (rutledge la)ESQUIVEL EMMANUEL 119 15.00 19.79  
ON THE MOVE 1 6 5 5   46 49 (cox h)CONCEPCION AXEL 119 5.00 15% 5.60 2.23  
PARISIAN LIGHT 3 5 3 4   57 5 (humphries thoma)CANNON DECLAN 119 15.00 32.82  
KATE WINS 4 4 6 65   6 612 (humphries thoma)MORALES EDGAR 119 15.00 16.10  
SCR  BIRTHDAY GIRL               (danner kelsey)BESCHIZZA ADAM 119 12.00    
SCR  DIVINEINTERVENTION               (maker michae)CORRALES GERARDO 119 6.00    
SCR  EVALINA               (thomas jonatha)GEROUX FLORENT 119 4.50    
SCR  EVIE'S EYEBROWS               (walsh brend)TORRES A 119 6.00    
SCR  TEGWAR               (wainwright jo)ARRIETA REYNIER 119 15.00    
 
ELP-7   08/04/2024 3630ft TURF RC11 FIRM KY Downs Preview Turf Sprint Purse ($250K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:52
See original race card.
:21 :432 :55     1:012   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
12  CHARCOAL 8 2 5 4   3 1nk (wisner tracey)CONCEPCION AXEL 122 30.00 26.94  
ARREST ME RED 2 7 6 6   4 2nk (ward wesle)RODRIGUEZ A 122 5.00 15% 5.70 5.79 P
11  COPPOLA 7 1 2½ 2½   11 3½ (romans dale)ZAYAS J 126 3.00 34% 1.90 1.29 S
MO STASH 4 6 7 7   5 3½ (oliver victo)HERNANDEZ J 122 6.00 5.81 DH
MIDNIGHT TAXES 3 5 4 54   7 5 (hartman chris)CANNON DECLAN 122 15.00 26.40  
OUTADORE 1 3 1½ 1½   21 6 (kenneally ed)LOVEBERRY JARETH 122 8.00 17% 5.00 3.09  
10  JOE SHIESTY 6 4 3 32   6 7 (foster eric)CORRALES GERARDO 120 10.00 5% 19.00 6.34  
SPANKSTER 5 8 8 810½   8 85 (cunningham )BEALMEAR C 122 20.00 33.48  
SCR  BEAR RIVER               (desormeaux keith)GRAHAM J 118 12.00    
SCR  KAVOD               (sharp joe)ORTIZ L 122 20.00    
SCR  MISTER MMMMM               (sharp joe)MURRILL MITCHELL 122 20.00    
SCR  OCEANIC               (blair jorda)TORRES A 122 4.50    
 
ELP-8   08/04/2024 5280ft TURF RC11 FIRM KY Downs Preview Ladies Turf M Purse ($250K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:19
See original race card.
:242 :483 1:11 1:231   1:343   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
11  WALKATHON 8 4 4 5 31 3½ 1nk (wilkes r)HERNANDEZ J 126 3.00 34% 2.00 1.87 W
12  DANA'S BEAUTY 9 3 21 2½ 2nk 1½ 2nk (maker michael )ZAYAS J 124 8.00 13.71 P
SHE'S LOOKIN LUCKY 1 1 11 1½ 1nk 2½ 31 (shirer a)CONCEPCION AXEL 122 20.00 5% 19.00 5.56 S
NEVERWALKALONE (BRZ) 3 8 63 83 8 5 44 (lobo paulo )TORRES A 122 10.00 7.22  
14  SAFEEN 11 9 9 7 5 6 5 (kenneally ed)LOVEBERRY JARETH 122 12.00 11.40  
GET TWISTED 6 7 7 6 115 10 66 (navarrete anna)MORALES EDGAR 122 30.00 48.49  
BOLIVIE (IRE) 7 10 10 10 9 7 7 (walsh brendan )TORRES A 122 12.00 5% 19.00 12.04  
REGAL REALM 2 5 31 3 42 43 8 (thomas jonathan)DOYLE SOPHIE 122 5.00 42% 1.40 3.91  
JILL JITTERBUG 4 2 8 9 7 9 98 (walsh ryan )ESQUIVEL EMMANUEL 122 30.00 71.07  
13  MAXISUPERFLY 10 6 52 4 6 8 10 (foster eric)CORRALES GERARDO 118 20.00 10.96 DH
EXCELLENT QUESTION 5 11 11 11 10 117 10 (walsh p)CANNON DECLAN 122 30.00 21.62 DH
SCR  FAST AS FLIGHT               (drexler martin)MACHADO LUAN 124 4.00    
SCR  QUALITY STAR               (lobo h)ROMAN A 122 30.00    
SCR  TEQUILERA               (matz r)BESCHIZZA ADAM 122 15.00    
 
ELP-9   08/04/2024 5940ft TURF RC12 FIRM Pucker Up Purse ($400K) 3 F PT- 4:48
See original race card.
:241 :482 1:114 1:353   1:473   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
WAVES OF MISCHIEF 3 2 31 21 2 22 1nk (walsh brenda)HERNANDEZ J 118 4.50 16% 5.10 7.34 W
PIN UP BETTY 5 3 2½ 11 1 12 2nk (maker michael )TORRES A 122 1.80 20% 3.90 1.26 P
KALISPERA (IRE) 2 7 74 75 7 5 31 (lynch a)GRAHAM J 118 15.00 5% 19.00 8.81 S
MO FOX GIVIN 6 6 5 53 6 7 42 (casse mark)TORRES A 118 3.50 37% 1.70 2.11  
MONT SAINT MICHEL (FR) 8 5 42 4 43 34 53 (walsh p)ACHARD ALEX 118 10.00 14.54  
EVERLAND 1 4 9 86 9 8 6 (foster eric)CONCEPCION AXEL 118 8.00 5% 19.00 12.88  
SHE'S FIRE 4 1 1½ 3 3 44 7 (rice kevin)MORALES EDGAR 118 30.00 33.88  
SANCTIFY 7 9 8 96 85 9 84 (holsapple hu)LOVEBERRY JARETH 118 30.00 22.61  
10  ADRASTEIA 9 8 6 6 5 6 9 (bogle fergus)CANNON DECLAN 118 30.00 49.91  
SCR  HELLO HOLLYWOOD               (lynch brian )CORRALES GERARDO 118 5.00    
 
ELP-10   08/04/2024 6600ft TURF RC11 FIRM KY Downs Preview Turf Cup Purse ($300K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:17
See original race card.
:242 :482 1:123 1:362   1:594   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
HIGHWAY ROBBER 2 85 8 6 1½ 1nk 11 (lynch brian )LOVEBERRY JARETH 122 12.00 5% 19.00 4.18 W
SIEGE OF BOSTON 3 4 4 5 3½ 2nk 21 (toner j)GRAHAM J 122 2.50 43% 1.30 2.32 P
ANGLOPHILE 1 6 6 8 7 8 33 (lynch a)CANNON DECLAN 122 6.00 3.98 S
KING CURLIN 6 7 74 9 10 5 43 (vanden brittan)EMIGH A 122 20.00 41.97  
10  UNCLE JAKE 7 11 11 1nk 2½ 32 5 (vaccarezza ca)CONCEPCION AXEL 122 30.00 12.47  
13  CLYDE'S GOT A GUN 10 107 10 10 5 44 64 (pitts helen)MORALES EDGAR 122 30.00 23.06  
12  GUNTOWN 9 118 11 116 9 10 7 (maker michae)CORRALES GERARDO 122 30.00 52.20  
14  CAMP HOPE 11 52 52 4 8 9 8 (maker j)DOYLE SOPHIE 122 20.00 10% 8.70 14.50  
WHAT SAY THEE 4 21 21 3 6 6 9 (maker michael )TORRES A 124 6.00 24% 3.20 5.47  
LAST SAMURAI 5 9 9 7 42 7 108 (milligan ed)ESQUIVEL EMMANUEL 122 15.00 38.29  
11  CLASSIC CAUSEWAY 8 31 31 2nk 11 11 1112¼ (mcpeek kenne)HERNANDEZ J 122 5.00 7.61  
SCR  DESERT DUKE               (hartman )LOPEZ EDUARDO 122 30.00    
SCR  MIRANDA RIGHTS               (casse mark)MACHADO LUAN 122 20.00    
SCR  WIN FOR THE MONEY               (casse mark)TORRES A 124 4.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.