Handicappers' Racing Form

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Ellis Park
Sunday - August 04, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss

ELP-1   Win (5/6/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00
ELP-2   Win (6/7/2/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00
ELP-3   Win (10/12/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00
ELP-4   Win (8/7/6/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00
ELP-5   Win (2/6/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00
ELP-6   Win (3/1/10) 3 $2.00 $6.00
ELP-7   Win (11/1/3/10) 4 $2.00 $8.00
ELP-8   Win (3/11/2/9) 4 $2.00 $8.00
ELP-9   Win (7/6/3/2/1) 5 $2.00 $10.00
ELP-10   Win (5/7/14/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

 
ELP-1   08/04/2024 4290ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($73K) 3UP ALL PT-12:50
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
HAILSTORM Jun23 Jun01 May04 Apr14 Mar08 (asmussen steven)ASMUSSEN ERIK 113 3.00    
MIACOMET Aug13 May28 Apr26 Feb11 Jan08 (shirer a)BESCHIZZA ADAM 122 10.00    
JUSTIFREAK Jun30 Mar20 Feb17 Dec23 Nov12 (kenneally ed)LOVEBERRY JARETH 118 4.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  ONE GIANT LEAP Jun07 Apr26 Nov10 Oct12 Apr26 (hartman )LOPEZ EDUARDO 122 5.00    
HARRODSBURG Jun28 May24 Apr12 Jul01 May06 (tomlinson mich)TORRES A 122 2.00 50% 1.00    
PENSACOLA Jun21 Nov11 Oct15 Sep17 Aug20 (cowans d)MACHADO LUAN 122 3.50 22% 3.50    
 
ELP-2   08/04/2024 4290ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($16K) Purse ($25K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:20
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
EARLY MUNNY May26 Mar22 Jan18 May18 Apr27 (hancock a)FUENTES ERICK 109 20.00 5% 19.00    
HEZMORETHANREADY Jul13 Jun22 Jun13 May01 Apr05 (house gary)BEALMEAR C 117 15.00 10% 9.30    
SCR  CRABTREE May05 Mar30       (moquett ronald )CANNON DECLAN 119 5.00    
SOUL SNATCHER Jul06         (ortiz ale)TORRES A 119 6.00    
KALL KARL Jun23 May11       (garcia genaro)BARBOSA CARLOS 119 6.00    
ATLANTIC DANCER Oct27 Oct08 Aug24 Jul30 Jun22 (moquett ronald )ASMUSSEN ERIK 119 2.00 41% 1.50    
LORD DIAMOND Jul21 Jun16 May27     (asmussen steven)GARCIA MARTIN 119 6.00 26% 2.90    
ACE THE RACE Jun19 Dec20 Nov02 Aug19 Jul22 (pittman )LOPEZ EDUARDO 124 20.00    
PHENOMENAL DREAM Jun07 May11 Apr20 Mar28 Feb09 (shorter aar)TORRES A 119 4.50    
 
ELP-3   08/04/2024 5610ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($71K) 2 F PT- 1:49
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ALONGCOMESAWOMAN Jul06         (kenneally ed)LOVEBERRY JARETH 119 8.00    
SWEET STAR         (bahena ismael)SANJUR SANTO 119 30.00    
AMY'S LAW         (von donni)GARCIA MARTIN 119 12.00    
TAKE NOTE OF THIS Jul06         (asmussen steven)ASMUSSEN ERIK 114 6.00    
JEWELED CITY         (stall alber)TORRES A 119 10.00    
BERRIES AND CREAM         (devaux cherie)ORTIZ L 119 8.00    
CAT PAYS THE TOLL Jul04         (wilkes r)MORALES EDGAR 119 15.00 5% 19.00    
POWERWASHED         (ortiz ale)GEROUX FLORENT 119 6.00    
SHEILA'S LION         (desormeaux keith)GRAHAM J 119 15.00    
10  ALWAYS PRACTICAL Jul06         (maker michael )TORRES A 119 5.00 46% 1.20    
11  GROVE CITY SUNSET Jul06         (danner kelsey)BESCHIZZA ADAM 119 10.00    
12  SOMETHINABOUTHER Jun14         (walsh p)CANNON DECLAN 119 4.50 30% 2.30    
SCR  LES IS BEST         (foster eric)CORRALES GERARDO 119 20.00    
SCR  DERRY GIRL Jul06 Jun14       (romans dale)CHUAN MARTIN 119 3.50    
SCR  MISS RUMMIKUB (FR)         (ramos rafae)ESQUIVEL EMMANUEL 119 20.00    
 
ELP-4   08/04/2024 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($22K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:21
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
PLATINUM GHOST Jul04 May26 Apr27 Mar10 Dec01 (roberson dennis)CASTANON L 123 5.00    
VERSATILE Jul03 Jun06 May23 May13 Apr30 (wisner tracey)CONCEPCION AXEL 123 12.00 5% 19.00    
READY PURSUIT Jul20 May16 Apr27 Mar14 Mar01 (gonzalez)LOPEZ EDUARDO 123 20.00    
SCR  MAN ON THE MOON Jul06 May19 Apr20 Apr05 Mar15 (vance d)SAEZ GABRIEL 123 4.50    
STAR NATION Jun28 Jun12 May24 Apr27 Apr05 (hartlage ga)BEALMEAR C 116 20.00    
LEGENDARY LORE Jun22 May16 Apr21 Apr05 Mar09 (asmussen steven)ASMUSSEN ERIK 118 3.00 16% 5.30    
COOL RAGS Jul06 Sep30 Sep14 Aug06 Jul02 (foster eric)TORRES A 123 4.00 28% 2.60    
HOME RUN TRICK Jun29 May04 Apr26 Mar17 Feb02 (brennan terry)ELLIOTT JANE 123 3.50 29% 2.50    
MR. PETERKIN Jun28 May02 Mar21 Feb22 Feb08 (norris mike)CANNON DECLAN 123 20.00    
 
ELP-5   08/04/2024 3960ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($50K) Purse ($76K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:54
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TX WOMEN FOR ARTS Jul06 Apr20 Mar16 Dec15 Nov28 (asmussen ste)HERNANDEZ J 118 6.00    
CONNIE K Jun26 Jun07 Apr28 Mar02 Feb04 (morse l)GARCIA MARTIN 122 6.00 23% 3.40    
TIFFANY TWIST Jun23 May05 Apr15 Mar04 Dec15 (asmussen steven)ASMUSSEN ERIK 117 6.00    
ALWAYS ANGELS Jul07 Jun09 Apr15 Mar16 Feb10 (ortiz ale)TORRES A 122 6.00    
PROUD FOOT Jun09 Apr25 Mar17 Feb04 Dec31 (dutrow richar)CONCEPCION AXEL 122 4.00 12% 7.60    
UPPER CASE Jul07 May29 May01 Feb15 Jan04 (lobo h)ROMAN A 122 4.50 17% 5.00    
QUICK MUNNY Jun16 Apr30 Apr18 Mar09 Dec17 (kenneally ed)LOVEBERRY JARETH 122 3.50    
WUPKAR Jun27 Jun08 May20 Apr19 Mar03 (short thoma)BEALMEAR C 117 12.00    
 
ELP-6   08/04/2024 4620ft DIRT RC2 FAST Mdn Opt Clm ($50K) Purse ($44K) 2 F PT- 3:26
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ON THE MOVE         (cox h)ORTIZ L 119 5.00 15% 5.60    
SCR  TEGWAR Jul09         (wainwright jo)ARRIETA REYNIER 119 15.00    
CHATTANOOGA CREW Jul06         (mcpeek kenne)HERNANDEZ J 119 3.50 63% 0.60    
PARISIAN LIGHT         (humphries thoma)CANNON DECLAN 119 15.00    
SCR  EVALINA         (thomas jonatha)GEROUX FLORENT 119 4.50    
KATE WINS         (humphries thoma)MORALES EDGAR 119 15.00    
WELL AWARE Jun24         (rutledge la)ESQUIVEL EMMANUEL 119 15.00    
SCR  EVIE'S EYEBROWS         (walsh brend)TORRES A 119 6.00    
SCR  BIRTHDAY GIRL         (danner kelsey)BESCHIZZA ADAM 119 12.00    
10  BLUE DAZZLER         (colebrook ben)MACHADO LUAN 119 12.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  DIVINEINTERVENTION         (maker michae)CORRALES GERARDO 119 6.00    
 
ELP-7   08/04/2024 3630ft TURF RC11 FIRM KY Downs Preview Turf Sprint Purse ($250K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:52
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
OUTADORE Jun22 Apr27 Mar22 Dec15 Sep13 (kenneally ed)LOVEBERRY JARETH 122 8.00 17% 5.00    
SCR  OCEANIC Jun29 Apr19 Dec15 Oct08 Aug06 (blair jorda)TORRES A 122 4.50    
ARREST ME RED May04 Mar22 Feb03 Sep02 Jul26 (ward wesle)RODRIGUEZ A 122 5.00 15% 5.70    
SCR  MISTER MMMMM Jul05 May27 May04 Mar16 Feb25 (sharp joe)MURRILL MITCHELL 122 20.00    
SCR  BEAR RIVER Jul04 Jun13 May17 May01 Mar24 (desormeaux keith)GRAHAM J 118 12.00    
SCR  KAVOD Jun29 Jun08 May02 Apr07 Mar14 (sharp joe)ORTIZ L 122 20.00    
MIDNIGHT TAXES Jul04 May16 Apr14 Mar15 Feb25 (hartman chris)CANNON DECLAN 122 15.00    
MO STASH Jun08 May04 Apr05 Sep09 Aug12 (oliver victoria)MACHADO LUAN 122 6.00    
SPANKSTER Jun29 May24 May06 Apr06 Mar09 (cunningham )BEALMEAR C 122 20.00    
10  JOE SHIESTY May01 Mar23 Mar08 Jan06 Dec21 (foster eric)CORRALES GERARDO 120 10.00 5% 19.00    
11  COPPOLA Jul05 Jun08 May04 Apr06 Mar09 (romans dale)ZAYAS J 126 3.00 34% 1.90    
12  CHARCOAL Jul05 Jun08 May06 Sep02 Aug06 (wisner tracey)CONCEPCION AXEL 122 30.00    
 
ELP-8   08/04/2024 5280ft TURF RC11 FIRM KY Downs Preview Ladies Turf M Purse ($250K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:19
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  QUALITY STAR Jun20 May19 Apr20 Dec07 Oct07 (lobo h)ROMAN A 122 30.00    
SHE'S LOOKIN LUCKY Jul07 Jun02 Oct27 Sep23 Jul22 (shirer a)CONCEPCION AXEL 122 20.00 5% 19.00    
REGAL REALM Jul06 Nov19 Sep09 Aug02 Jun21 (thomas jonatha)GEROUX FLORENT 122 5.00 42% 1.40    
NEVERWALKALONE (BRZ) Jun22         (lobo paulo )TORRES A 122 10.00    
SCR  FAST AS FLIGHT Jun29 May03 Mar30 Dec30 Dec03 (drexler martin)MACHADO LUAN 124 4.00    
JILL JITTERBUG Jun07 Apr18 Dec02 Nov03 Sep18 (walsh ryan )ESQUIVEL EMMANUEL 122 30.00    
EXCELLENT QUESTION Jul07 Jun02 Apr26 Jan31 Dec30 (walsh p)CANNON DECLAN 122 30.00    
GET TWISTED Oct22 Sep15       (navarrete anna)SANJUR SANTO 122 30.00    
BOLIVIE (IRE) Jul06 May29 Nov01 Sep15 Aug13 (walsh brendan )TORRES A 122 12.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  TEQUILERA Jul06 Jun08 May18 Dec30 Nov04 (matz r)BESCHIZZA ADAM 122 15.00    
11  WALKATHON Jun30 May04 Apr13 Mar02 Feb03 (wilkes r)HERNANDEZ J 126 3.00 34% 2.00    
12  DANA'S BEAUTY Jun29 May27 Mar23 Mar08 Feb13 (maker j)ORTIZ L 124 8.00    
13  MAXISUPERFLY May03 Mar23 Mar01 Feb10 Jan18 (foster eric)CORRALES GERARDO 118 20.00    
14  SAFEEN Jun29 Jun02 Apr20 Nov24 Oct27 (kenneally ed)LOVEBERRY JARETH 122 12.00    
 
ELP-9   08/04/2024 5940ft TURF RC12 FIRM Pucker Up Purse ($400K) 3 F PT- 4:48
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
EVERLAND Jul13 Jun01 May03 Mar23 Mar01 (foster eric)GEROUX FLORENT 118 8.00 5% 19.00    
KALISPERA (IRE) Jul07 Jun06 May03 Feb11 Jan07 (lynch a)GRAHAM J 118 15.00 5% 19.00    
WAVES OF MISCHIEF Jun29 May17 Apr18     (walsh p)MACHADO LUAN 118 4.50 16% 5.10    
SCR  HELLO HOLLYWOOD Jul07 Jun01 Apr25 Mar30 Feb25 (lynch a)ORTIZ L 118 5.00    
SHE'S FIRE Jul08 Jun25 Jun17 May27 Nov04 (rice kevin)RODRIGUEZ O 118 30.00    
PIN UP BETTY Jul06 Jun01 May09 Apr13 Jan19 (maker michael )TORRES A 122 1.80 20% 3.90    
MO FOX GIVIN Jun29 May03 Apr06 Mar10 Jan20 (casse mark)TORRES A 118 3.50 37% 1.70    
SANCTIFY Jun29 Jun07 May18 Apr17 Mar06 (holsapple hu)LOVEBERRY JARETH 118 30.00    
MONT SAINT MICHEL (FR) Jul08 Jun01 Mar10     (walsh p)ACHARD ALEX 118 10.00    
10  ADRASTEIA Jul15 Jun15 Mar28 Nov29 Nov16 (bogle fergus)CANNON DECLAN 118 30.00    
 
ELP-10   08/04/2024 6600ft TURF RC11 FIRM KY Downs Preview Turf Cup Purse ($300K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:17
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  WIN FOR THE MONEY Aug03 Jun29 May25 Dec03 Nov05 (casse mark)TORRES A 124 4.00    
ANGLOPHILE Jun15 May04 Mar02 Jan27 Dec23 (lynch a)CANNON DECLAN 122 6.00    
SCR  DESERT DUKE Jul29 Jul06 May31 Dec30 Nov23 (hartman )LOPEZ EDUARDO 122 30.00    
HIGHWAY ROBBER Jun28 May18 Sep02 Aug05 Jul09 (lynch a)GEROUX FLORENT 122 12.00 5% 19.00    
SIEGE OF BOSTON Jun15 May04 Mar02 Feb03 Nov11 (toner j)ORTIZ L 122 2.50 43% 1.30    
SCR  MIRANDA RIGHTS Aug03 Jun22 May31 May02 Dec03 (casse mark)MACHADO LUAN 122 20.00    
WHAT SAY THEE Jun29 May31 Apr17 Mar03 Jan25 (maker michael )TORRES A 124 6.00 24% 3.20    
LAST SAMURAI Jun01 Apr20 Mar30 Aug05 Jul01 (milligan ed)ESQUIVEL EMMANUEL 122 15.00    
KING CURLIN May18 Apr20 Jan01 Nov05 Oct12 (vanden brittan)EMIGH A 122 20.00    
10  UNCLE JAKE May27 Apr11 Mar07 Jan28 Oct17 (vaccarezza ca)CONCEPCION AXEL 122 30.00    
11  CLASSIC CAUSEWAY Jun29 May27 May01 Mar29 Jun03 (mcpeek kenne)HERNANDEZ J 122 5.00    
12  GUNTOWN Jul06 Jun06 May18 Apr20 Mar21 (maker michae)CORRALES GERARDO 122 30.00    
13  CLYDE'S GOT A GUN Jun22 May31 May18 Dec22 Nov24 (pitts helen)MORALES EDGAR 122 30.00    
14  CAMP HOPE Jun06 May09 Feb17 Aug06 Jul01 (maker michael )ZAYAS J 122 20.00 10% 8.70    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.