Handicappers' Race Results
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Ellis Park
Saturday - August 24, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bet Results
Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss
ELP-1   Win (12/4/11/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 4 1 1 $7.34 $7.34  
ELP-2   Win (2/4/8) 3 $2.00 $6.00 4 1 1 $6.58 $6.58 0.58
ELP-3   Win (5/2/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 2 1 1 $3.70 $3.70  
ELP-4   Win (2/5/3/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00 2 1 1 $3.56 $3.56  
ELP-5   Win (6/2/12/7/4) 5 $2.00 $10.00 6 1 1 $4.44 $4.44  
ELP-6   Win (8/1/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00 4 1 0 $5.88  
ELP-7   Win (7/9/1/2/5) 5 $2.00 $10.00 9 1 1 $8.20 $8.20  
ELP-8   Win (3/7/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 4 1 0 $87.32  
ELP-9   Win (9/5/8/4/11) 5 $2.00 $10.00 8 1 1 $9.74 $9.74  
Simulator Race results
 
ELP-1   08/24/2024 3630ft TURF RC2 FIRM Mdn Opt Clm ($50K) Purse ($44K) 2 ALL PT-12:50
See original race card.
:214 :444 :562     1:022   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
4  ROBERT'S MOON 4 1 1½ 1½   11 12¼ (vanden brittan)EMIGH A 119 4.50 28% 2.60 2.67 W
2  CAPTAIN FANCY 2 7 51½ 52½   32½ 22¼ (foley greg)CANNON DECLAN 119 12.00 16.91  
7  GERALDRAYDAPLEGRAY 6 4 2½ 2½   21 32¼ (foster eric)MACHADO LUAN 119 4.00 ★ 2.35 S
11  STASHU 9 6 41½ 32   42½ 42½ (wainwright )ARRIETA FRANCISCO 119 6.00 18% 4.50 6.55  
12  VERY BOLD 10 11 115½ 84½   64¼ 52½ (harty eoin)BEJARANO R 119 3.50 29% 2.50 3.86  
3  MR. COLOSSAL 3 8 83½ 74   54 63¾ (williamson b)LOVEBERRY JARETH 119 10.00 5% 19.00 11.24  
6  HOTLINE BLINK 5 10 94 94¾   86¼ 77 (chavez manuel)ACHARD ALEX 119 20.00 25.35  
9  TAP ME A SONG 7 5 62½ 63½   97¾ 89½ (santamaria carl)GARCIA MARTIN 119 20.00 36.74  
10  DANCER'S SHADOW 8 9 104½ 115¾   109¾ 910½ (sharp joe)TORRES A 119 8.00 13.30  
1  ENJOY THE GAME 1 2 31 42   75¼ 1011¾ (hancock a)POSTON AMANDA 109 30.00 58.76  
13  MISTER BABY 11 3 73 105¾   1112¾ 1116½ (hancock joh)HOLLINGSWORTH L 119 30.00 64.67  
SCR  SKYNET               (barrett roddina )ELLIOTT JANE 119 20.00    
SCR  WAYLLEN RICHARD               (catalano wayne)MONCADA IRVING 112 15.00    
 
ELP-2   08/24/2024 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($50K) Purse ($36K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:20
See original race card.
:233 :464 1:113 1:244   1:381   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
4  EAST SHORE 4 4 64 64 41½ 11½ 12 (romans dale)CHUAN MARTIN 123 4.00 23% 3.40 2.29 W
8  EYES OF GOLD 7 2 32 32 31½ 21½ 22 (demeritte larry)BEJARANO R 123 3.50 14% 6.30 3.24 P
7  KRICKLE 6 6 21 2½ 11 33 39½ (holsapple h)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 118 4.50 ★ 3.44 S
5  TANGO ZULU 5 5 75 76 55 57 411 (wismer glenn )CONCEPCION AXEL 123 6.00 12.38  
2  UP ON THE EDGE 2 1 11 1½ 21 43½ 511½ (moquett ronald )ASMUSSEN ERIK 113 6.00 29% 2.40 6.11  
1  CUMBERLAND FALLS 1 3 42 42 78 714½ 633 (gibson c)MACHADO LUAN 123 6.00 9.32  
3  THE BIG CALHOUNA 3 7 53 53 66½ 613 734 (santamaria c)MURRILL MITCHELL 118 5.00 6.33  
SCR  STARLIT SOFI               (sanchez e)DE CRUZ 123 15.00    
 
ELP-3   08/24/2024 5940ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($73K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:49
See original race card.
:242 :48 1:114 1:372   1:503   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
2  BATON ROUGE (IRE) 2 5 11½ 11 11 12 12¼ (hartman chris)BEJARANO R 123 2.50 34% 2.00 0.85 W
5  CORNISHMAN 5 3 43 21 21 22 22¼ (cox h)CONCEPCION AXEL 118 1.20 44% 1.30 1.83 P
7  NATIVE SHAMAN 6 6 54½ 54 44 35 38 (arnold geor)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 118 12.00 29.47  
4  FIRST OF HIS NAME 4 4 32½ 43 33 46½ 411¾ (brisset rodolphe)MACHADO LUAN 118 10.00 18.12  
8  INDY MAGIC 7 2 76 75½ 65 58 516½ (o'neill doug)TORRES A 118 6.00 ★ 6.34  
3  MY BROTHER KEITH 3 1 21½ 31 54½ 612 622¼ (vanden brittan)EMIGH A 123 15.00 5% 19.00 24.12  
1  MO RHODES 1 7 65 64½ 77½ 713½ 727½ (amoss m)CHUAN MARTIN 118 8.00 15.59  
SCR  LADAN               (bogle fergus)CANNON DECLAN 118 30.00    
 
ELP-4   08/24/2024 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($73K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:21
See original race card.
:223 :46 :582     1:111   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
2  REAGAN'S FLAME 2 1 11½ 1½   2nk 12¼ (schultz lin)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 120 2.00 48% 1.10 0.78 W
5  SISTER KISSES 5 2 32 2½   1nk 22¼ (garcia genaro)BARBOSA CARLOS 122 3.50 20% 4.00 3.44 P
7  THESE APPLES 7 6 53 32½   32½ 34¼ (foster eric)ACHARD ALEX 118 20.00 25.72  
8  PARTY 8 7 84½ 45   46½ 411½ (colebrook ben)MACHADO LUAN 118 10.00 5% 19.00 19.33  
1  RED HOT JEANIE 1 8 74 87½   68¼ 513¾ (drury jr)MORALES EDGAR 122 6.00 17.37  
6  PLUM TRICKY 6 5 42½ 55½   58 615¾ (stewart dal)HERNANDEZ J 118 4.50 5.26  
4  LUCY GOT GAME 4 4 63 67   78¼ 716½ (amoss m)TORRES A 118 5.00 9.37  
3  FROSTY AFFAIR 3 3 21½ 77   813¼ 839¼ (wells duane)MURRILL MITCHELL 118 12.00 11% 8.00 34.00  
 
ELP-5   08/24/2024 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($71K) 2 ALL PT- 2:54
See original race card.
:231 :462 :581     1:103   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
6  EAST AVENUE 5 2 11 12   14 18 (walsh p)MACHADO LUAN 119 4.50 26% 2.90 1.22 W
11  POPPA ECHO 9 9 41½ 32   34 28 (milligan ed)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 119 20.00 31.72 DQ↓5
10  CAMPAIGN TRAIL 8 3 21 22   24 38½ (foster eric)LOVEBERRY JARETH 119 30.00 44.16  
3  BUILT 2 5 84¾ 86¼   78 49¾ (catalano m)LANERIE J 119 8.00 3.33  
12  SPEECHLESS 10 10 72¾ 43   67½ 510¼ (brisset rodolphe)ACHARD ALEX 119 5.00 7% 12.60 12.95  
2  EXUBERANT MISCHIEF 1 4 52 53½   46 610¾ (amoss m)TORRES A 119 3.50 25% 3.00 3.43  
8  RAVENS DREAM 7 8 62½ 63¾   57 711¼ (asmussen steven)ASMUSSEN ERIK 114 12.00 31.50  
7  OUT OF THE CLOUDS 6 7 109¼ 108¼   811 818 (asmussen ste)CORRALES GERARDO 119 12.00 5% 19.00 32.99  
4  GREATDAYFORHOCKEY 3 6 94¾ 97¾   913 922¼ (romans dale)CHUAN MARTIN 119 12.00 5% 19.00 25.29  
5  WINDTALKER 4 1 31 75¾   1015 1028¾ (devaux cherie)CONCEPCION AXEL 119 8.00 10.99  
SCR  GRYPHON               (casse mark)MORALES EDGAR 119 20.00    
SCR  SIR GALLIVANT               (cox h)CONCEPCION AXEL 119 8.00    
 
ELP-6   08/24/2024 5280ft TURF RC10 FIRM Allowance Purse ($73K) 3 F PT- 3:26
See original race card.
:224 :454 1:092 1:211   1:331   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
4  SANCTIFY 4 6 67 77½ 75 64 1½ (holsapple h)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 120 3.50 ★ 1.94  
10  TOASTED ROLL 8 2 1½ 1½ 1½ 11 2½ (sharp joe)TORRES A 118 15.00 19.28  
7  EGYPTIAN CANDY 6 7 78 67 65 74¼ 3½ (leitch daniel)MACHADO LUAN 118 8.00 5% 19.00 4.25 S
3  BEST KISS YET 3 4 2½ 2½ 2½ 21 4¾ (catalano m)LANERIE J 118 8.00 6.44  
8  TWIRL AROUND 7 1 32 31½ 31 32 52½ (foley greg)MORALES EDGAR 118 4.50 64% 0.60 7.45  
2  LIVI ME DREAMING 2 5 53½ 53 41½ 42½ 62½ (devaux cherie)CANNON DECLAN 118 15.00 21.05  
1  DETERMINED CANDY 1 3 42½ 42 52 52½ 72¾ (devaux cherie)CONCEPCION AXEL 118 5.00 8% 11.10 3.49  
6  STERLING LUCK 5 8 88½ 89 88½ 89¼ 89 (forster t)GRAHAM J 118 12.00 7.86  
SCR  AUTUMN CHILL               (asmussen steven)ASMUSSEN ERIK 113 6.00    
SCR  PEIGNOIR               (brisset rodolphe)ACHARD ALEX 118 4.00    
SCR  WINAKACHING               (romans dale)CHUAN MARTIN 118 15.00    
 
ELP-7   08/24/2024 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($71K) 2 ALL PT- 3:52
See original race card.
:223 :461 :59     1:114   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
9  FIRMUS 8 1 52 41½   11 11¼ (catalano m)LANERIE J 119 4.00 25% 3.00 3.10 W
4  COCKTAILSNKRINGLE 3 9 63½ 52   32½ 21¼ (wilkes r)LANDEROS CHRIS 119 6.00 3.65  
5  DESERT AIRE 4 3 2nk 1½   21 34½ (puhich mike)GARCIA MARTIN 119 12.00 5% 19.00 13.43 S
7  PIQUANT 6 2 75½ 75½   66 45¼ (cox h)CONCEPCION AXEL 119 4.50 26% 2.80 1.83  
12  BORROWED TIME 11 6 3½ 2½   54 512¼ (brisset rodolphe)ACHARD ALEX 119 20.00 16.44  
1  BYE BYE MILES 1 5 1nk 31   43 613¼ (asmussen steven )MACHADO LUAN 119 5.00 7% 13.80 7.70  
11  BIG WALK 10 7 117¾ 85¾   78½ 713¾ (lukas wayne)CANNON DECLAN 119 30.00 68.79  
6  PREPOSITION 5 10 86½ 1110¼   1011 815 (asmussen steven)ASMUSSEN ERIK 114 8.00 27.21  
10  SHOTGUN 9 8 97 97¾   89 915¼ (casse mark)MORALES EDGAR 119 15.00 16.94  
8  WAR AND MAJESTY 7 11 107¼ 108¾   910 1018½ (romans dale)CHUAN MARTIN 119 10.00 23.41  
2  SILENT BREEZE 2 4 41½ 65½   1113½ 1128½ (hancock john)LOVEBERRY JARETH 119 30.00 5% 19.00 76.89  
SCR  COPP               (mccarthy micha)TORRES A 119 8.00    
 
ELP-8   08/24/2024 5280ft TURF RC10 FIRM Allowance Purse ($73K) 3 ALL PT- 4:19
See original race card.
:23 :453 1:09 1:204   1:324   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
4  HIGGINS BOAT 4 4 31 31½ 41½ 3½ 1½ (amoss m)LANERIE J 118 20.00 42.66  
2  WILL TAKE IT 2 2 42½ 63½ 52 51¾ 2½ (milligan ed)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 118 10.00 ★ 13.28 P
3  HAMMERSTEIN 3 3 1½ 1½ 1nk 1½ 31 (lynch a)MACHADO LUAN 118 1.80 60% 0.70 0.84 S
5  FORTUNE SELLER 5 6 74¼ 74½ 83½ 73¼ 41 (williamson b)LOVEBERRY JARETH 118 10.00 5% 19.00 9.95  
8  TWO BEERS BY TEN 7 7 52½ 42 31 41½ 51¼ (maker michae)CORRALES GERARDO 118 20.00 16.53  
7  SOVEREIGNS JOY 6 5 2½ 2½ 2nk 2½ 61¼ (maker michael )TORRES A 122 4.00 17% 5.00 5.61  
1  PURE POETRY 1 1 62¾ 53 62½ 62¼ 72¼ (cox h)CONCEPCION AXEL 118 4.50 ★ 3.95  
9  SAN SIRO 8 8 86¼ 85 73 83¼ 82¾ (walsh p)MORALES EDGAR 118 5.00 12.09  
SCR  LEAD FOOT               (gonzalez e)BEJARANO R 118 50.00    
SCR  OVERSTATEMENT               (miller kenny)BURGOS ALBERTO 118 20.00    
SCR  STORMS HOME               (asmussen steven)ASMUSSEN ERIK 113 3.50    
 
ELP-9   08/24/2024 5280ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($71K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:48
See original race card.
:232 :47 1:12 1:244   1:373   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
8  MULTITASK 8 9 73¾ 83¾ 73¼ 42 1½ (harty eoin)BEJARANO R 118 10.00 15% 5.60 3.87 W
4  DUKE OF DUVAL 4 2 51½ 52 51¾ 32 2½ (asmussen ste)CORRALES GERARDO 118 12.00 5% 19.00 10.12 P
5  TOP GUN ROCKET 5 3 61¾ 41 2nk 11 31¾ (mott riley)TORRES A 118 5.00 15% 5.50 4.75 S
6  KNOW WHO YOU ARE 6 10 83¾ 73¼ 41½ 52½ 44¼ (cowans william )MORALES EDGAR 118 30.00 26.87  
7  HE'S A JOKER 7 4 1nk 3½ 62¼ 72¾ 56¼ (kenneally eddie)MACHADO LUAN 118 15.00 9.95  
9  MOBSTER 9 8 2nk 1nk 31 62¾ 66¾ (casse mark)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 124 3.00 34% 1.90 2.31  
11  BIG SALT LICK 10 7 3½ 2nk 1nk 21 78¼ (o'neill doug)CANNON DECLAN 124 20.00 5% 19.00 15.42  
12  GREER'S GOLD 11 11 116 105¾ 96¼ 86¾ 811¾ (mott i)GRAHAM J 118 8.00 11.68  
1  CAN'T STOP WILLIS 1 5 95¼ 95¼ 106¾ 118½ 912½ (milligan eddie )ASMUSSEN ERIK 113 15.00 30.31  
2  LINE OF SCRIMMAGE 2 6 105¾ 117¼ 116¾ 108 1013 (cox h)CONCEPCION AXEL 118 8.00 9.92  
3  AMENTUM 3 1 41 62¼ 85¾ 97¾ 1113½ (walsh brenda)LOVEBERRY JARETH 118 12.00 18.42  
SCR  BLACK IRON               (asmussen steven)ASMUSSEN ERIK 113 15.00    
SCR  COMMUTED               (mcpeek kenn)HERNANDEZ J 118 4.50    
SCR  MAJOR MACK               (shirer a)BESCHIZZA ADAM 118 20.00    
SCR  MASMAK               (dutrow richar)CONCEPCION AXEL 118 12.00    
SCR  SHALLUS               (sanchez e)DE CRUZ 118 20.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.