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Handicappers' Race Results

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The Longshot Hunter!


Ellis Park
Saturday - August 24, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

			Wgr	Pick						Tot	Bet	Bet	Winning		Pay
			Type	Numbers						Tkts	Unit	Amt	Numbers		Amt			Profit				ROI

ELP-2			WIN	(2/4/8)						3	$2.00	$6.00	4		$6.58			$0.58				10%
			EXA	(2/4/8)-(2/4/8/7)						9	$2.00	$18.00	4-8		$34.32			$16.32				91%
			TRI	(2/4/8)-(2/4/8/7)-(2/4/8/7)						18	$0.50	$9.00	4-8-7		$23.90			$14.90				166%
			DD	(12/4/11/3)-(2/4/8)						12	$2.00	$24.00	4-4		$32.72			$8.72				36%
ELP-3			PK3	(12/4/11/3)-(2/4/8)-(5/2/3)						36	$0.50	$18.00	4-4-2		$29.86			$11.86				66%
ELP-9			EXA	(9/5/8/4/11)-(9/5/8/4/11)						20	$2.00	$40.00	8-4		$135.68			$95.68				239%
			TRI	(9/5/8/4/11)-(9/5/8/4/11)-(9/5/8/4/11)						60	$0.50	$30.00	8-4-5		$152.80			$122.80				409%

Simulator Race results


ELP-1			08/24/2024		3630ft	TURF	RC2	FIRM	Mdn Opt Clm ($50K)					Purse ($44K)			2		ALL		PT-12:50
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.																M/L		W/P		B/E		F/O
4	ROBERT'S MOON									(vanden britt)EMIGH A 119						4.50		28%		2.60		2.67	W
2	CAPTAIN FANCY									(foley greg)CANNON DECLAN 119						12.00						16.91
7	GERALDRAYDAPLEGRAY									(foster eric)MACHADO LUAN 119						4.00		★				2.35	S
11	STASHU									(wainwrigh)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 119						6.00		18%		4.50		6.55
12	VERY BOLD									(harty eoin)BEJARANO R 119						3.50		29%		2.50		3.86
3	MR. COLOSSAL									(williamson)LOVEBERRY JARETH 119						10.00		5%		19.00		11.24
6	HOTLINE BLINK									(chavez manuel)ACHARD ALEX 119						20.00						25.35
9	TAP ME A SONG									(santamaria ca)GARCIA MARTIN 119						20.00						36.74
10	DANCER'S SHADOW									(sharp joe)TORRES A 119						8.00						13.30
1	ENJOY THE GAME									(hancock john )POSTON AMANDA 109						30.00						58.76
13	MISTER BABY									(hancock j)HOLLINGSWORTH L 119						30.00						64.67
SCR	SKYNET									(barrett roddin)ELLIOTT JANE 119						20.00
SCR	WAYLLEN RICHARD									(catalano way)MONCADA IRVING 112						15.00

ELP-2			08/24/2024		5280ft	DIRT	RC7	FAST	Claiming ($50K)					Purse ($36K)			3UP		M/F		PT- 1:20
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.																M/L		W/P		B/E		F/O
4	EAST SHORE									(romans dale)CHUAN MARTIN 123						4.00		23%		3.40		2.29	W
8	EYES OF GOLD									(demeritte larry)BEJARANO R 123						3.50		14%		6.30		3.24	P
7	KRICKLE									(holsapple)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 118						4.50		★				3.44	S
5	TANGO ZULU									(wismer glen)CONCEPCION AXEL 123						6.00						12.38
2	UP ON THE EDGE									(moquett ronal)ASMUSSEN ERIK 113						6.00		29%		2.40		6.11
1	CUMBERLAND FALLS									(gibson dewayne)MACHADO LUAN 123						6.00						9.32
3	THE BIG CALHOUNA									(santamaria)MURRILL MITCHELL 118						5.00						6.33
SCR	STARLIT SOFI									(sanchez)DE CRUZ 123						15.00

ELP-3			08/24/2024		5940ft	DIRT	RC10	FAST	Allowance					Purse ($73K)			3UP		ALL		PT- 1:49
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.																M/L		W/P		B/E		F/O
2	BATON ROUGE (IRE)									(hartman chris)BEJARANO R 123						2.50		34%		2.00		0.85	W
5	CORNISHMAN									(cox h)CONCEPCION AXEL 118						1.20		44%		1.30		1.83	P
7	NATIVE SHAMAN									(arnold ge)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 118						12.00						29.47
4	FIRST OF HIS NAME									(brisset rodolp)MACHADO LUAN 118						10.00						18.12
8	INDY MAGIC									(o'neill doug)TORRES A 118						6.00		★				6.34
3	MY BROTHER KEITH									(vanden britt)EMIGH A 123						15.00		5%		19.00		24.12
1	MO RHODES									(amoss m)CHUAN MARTIN 118						8.00						15.59
SCR	LADAN									(bogle fergus)CANNON DECLAN 118						30.00

ELP-4			08/24/2024		3960ft	DIRT	RC10	FAST	Allowance					Purse ($73K)			3UP		M/F		PT- 2:21
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.																M/L		W/P		B/E		F/O
2	REAGAN'S FLAME									(schultz l)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 120						2.00		48%		1.10		0.78	W
5	SISTER KISSES									(garcia genar)BARBOSA CARLOS 122						3.50		20%		4.00		3.44	P
7	THESE APPLES									(foster eric)ACHARD ALEX 118						20.00						25.72
8	PARTY									(colebrook ben)MACHADO LUAN 118						10.00		5%		19.00		19.33
1	RED HOT JEANIE									(drury thomas )MORALES EDGAR 122						6.00						17.37
6	PLUM TRICKY									(stewart d)HERNANDEZ J 118						4.50						5.26
4	LUCY GOT GAME									(amoss thomas)TORRES A 118						5.00						9.37
3	FROSTY AFFAIR									(wells duan)MURRILL MITCHELL 118						12.00		11%		8.00		34.00

ELP-5			08/24/2024		3960ft	DIRT	RC5	FAST	Maiden Sp Wt					Purse ($71K)			2		ALL		PT- 2:54
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.																M/L		W/P		B/E		F/O
6	EAST AVENUE									(walsh brendan )MACHADO LUAN 119						4.50		26%		2.90		1.22	W
		(by MEDAGLIA D'ORO out of DANCE MUSIC by GHOSTZAPPER)
11	POPPA ECHO									(milligan )ARRIETA FRANCISCO 119						20.00						31.72	DQ↓5
		(by ECHO TOWN out of QUEEN OF ACES by STREET BOSS)
10	CAMPAIGN TRAIL									(foster eri)LOVEBERRY JARETH 119						30.00						44.16
		(by GLOBAL CAMPAIGN out of LUNA RISING by STAY THIRSTY)
3	BUILT									(catalano wayne )LANERIE J 119						8.00						3.33
		(by HARD SPUN out of SEA GARDEN by CURLIN)
12	SPEECHLESS									(brisset rodolph)ACHARD ALEX 119						5.00		7%		12.60		12.95
		(by STREET SENSE out of OH MY by MEDAGLIA D'ORO)
2	EXUBERANT MISCHIEF									(amoss thomas)TORRES A 119						3.50		25%		3.00		3.43
		(by INTO MISCHIEF out of EXUBERANCE by ARCHARCHARCH)
8	RAVENS DREAM									(asmussen stev)ASMUSSEN ERIK 114						12.00						31.50
		(by LIAM'S MAP out of SALLY RIDE by TAPIT)
7	OUT OF THE CLOUDS									(asmussen s)CORRALES GERARDO 119						12.00		5%		19.00		32.99
		(by UNION RAGS out of HOT RENDEZVOUS by MACHO UNO)
4	GREATDAYFORHOCKEY									(romans dale)CHUAN MARTIN 119						12.00		5%		19.00		25.29
		(by TWIRLING CANDY out of CAT RAGS by UNION RAGS)
5	WINDTALKER									(devaux cher)CONCEPCION AXEL 119						8.00						10.99
		(by VIOLENCE out of AMERICA'S SURPRISE by AMERICAN PHAROAH)
SCR	GRYPHON									(casse mark)MORALES EDGAR 119						20.00
		(by CONNECT out of SA FONT SALADA by MALIBU MOON)
SCR	SIR GALLIVANT									(cox h)CONCEPCION AXEL 119						8.00
		(by PRACTICAL JOKE out of NAUGHTY SISTER by ARCHARCHARCH)

ELP-6			08/24/2024		5280ft	TURF	RC10	FIRM	Allowance					Purse ($73K)			3		F		PT- 3:26
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.																M/L		W/P		B/E		F/O
4	SANCTIFY									(holsapple)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 120						3.50		★				1.94
10	TOASTED ROLL									(sharp joe)TORRES A 118						15.00						19.28
7	EGYPTIAN CANDY									(leitch daniel)MACHADO LUAN 118						8.00		5%		19.00		4.25	S
3	BEST KISS YET									(catalano wayne )LANERIE J 118						8.00						6.44
8	TWIRL AROUND									(foley greg)MORALES EDGAR 118						4.50		64%		0.60		7.45
2	LIVI ME DREAMING									(devaux cherie)CANNON DECLAN 118						15.00						21.05
1	DETERMINED CANDY									(devaux cher)CONCEPCION AXEL 118						5.00		8%		11.10		3.49
6	STERLING LUCK									(forster t)GRAHAM J 118						12.00						7.86
SCR	AUTUMN CHILL									(asmussen stev)ASMUSSEN ERIK 113						6.00
SCR	PEIGNOIR									(brisset rodolph)ACHARD ALEX 118						4.00
SCR	WINAKACHING									(romans dale)CHUAN MARTIN 118						15.00

ELP-7			08/24/2024		3960ft	DIRT	RC5	FAST	Maiden Sp Wt					Purse ($71K)			2		ALL		PT- 3:52
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.																M/L		W/P		B/E		F/O
9	FIRMUS									(catalano wayne )LANERIE J 119						4.00		25%		3.00		3.10	W
		(by CURLIN out of FARRELL by MALIBU MOON)
4	COCKTAILSNKRINGLE									(wilkes r)LANDEROS CHRIS 119						6.00						3.65
		(by PRESERVATIONIST out of CASUAL COCKTAIL by MAGNA GRADUATE)
5	DESERT AIRE									(puhich mike)GARCIA MARTIN 119						12.00		5%		19.00		13.43	S
		(by THOUSAND WORDS out of GEORGIA by DANCE CENTRE)
7	PIQUANT									(cox h)CONCEPCION AXEL 119						4.50		26%		2.80		1.83
		(by MEDAGLIA D'ORO out of TASTEFUL by STREET CRY)
12	BORROWED TIME									(brisset rodolph)ACHARD ALEX 119						20.00						16.44
		(by MORE THAN READY out of SECRETARIAL QUEEN by SECRETARIAT)
1	BYE BYE MILES									(asmussen steve)MACHADO LUAN 119						5.00		7%		13.80		7.70
		(by AUTHENTIC out of NEFERTITI by SPEIGHTSTOWN)
11	BIG WALK									(lukas wayne)CANNON DECLAN 119						30.00						68.79
		(by UNION RAGS out of BANKRUPTONTHEBEACH by TEMPLE CITY)
6	PREPOSITION									(asmussen stev)ASMUSSEN ERIK 114						8.00						27.21
		(by TAPIT out of MODIFY by CANDY RIDE (ARG))
10	SHOTGUN									(casse mark)MORALES EDGAR 119						15.00						16.94
		(by GUN RUNNER out of FALSE IMPRESSION by A.P. INDY)
8	WAR AND MAJESTY									(romans dale)CHUAN MARTIN 119						10.00						23.41
		(by WAR OF WILL out of JULIA TUTTLE by GIANT'S CAUSEWAY)
2	SILENT BREEZE									(hancock jo)LOVEBERRY JARETH 119						30.00		5%		19.00		76.89
		(by CATALINA RED out of ALL ABOUT JU JU by INTO MISCHIEF)
SCR	COPP									(mccarthy mic)TORRES A 119						8.00
		(by BLAME out of SIERRA OLIVIA by PULPIT)

ELP-8			08/24/2024		5280ft	TURF	RC10	FIRM	Allowance					Purse ($73K)			3		ALL		PT- 4:19
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.																M/L		W/P		B/E		F/O
4	HIGGINS BOAT									(amoss m)LANERIE J 118						20.00						42.66
2	WILL TAKE IT									(milligan )ARRIETA FRANCISCO 118						10.00		★				13.28	P
3	HAMMERSTEIN									(lynch a)MACHADO LUAN 118						1.80		60%		0.70		0.84	S
5	FORTUNE SELLER									(williamson)LOVEBERRY JARETH 118						10.00		5%		19.00		9.95
8	TWO BEERS BY TEN									(maker mich)CORRALES GERARDO 118						20.00						16.53
7	SOVEREIGNS JOY									(maker michae)TORRES A 122						4.00		17%		5.00		5.61
1	PURE POETRY									(cox h)CONCEPCION AXEL 118						4.50		★				3.95
9	SAN SIRO									(walsh brendan)MORALES EDGAR 118						5.00						12.09
SCR	LEAD FOOT									(gonzalez e)BEJARANO R 118						50.00
SCR	OVERSTATEMENT									(miller kenny)BURGOS ALBERTO 118						20.00
SCR	STORMS HOME									(asmussen stev)ASMUSSEN ERIK 113						3.50

ELP-9			08/24/2024		5280ft	DIRT	RC5	FAST	Maiden Sp Wt					Purse ($71K)			3UP		ALL		PT- 4:48
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.																M/L		W/P		B/E		F/O
8	MULTITASK									(harty eoin)BEJARANO R 118						10.00		15%		5.60		3.87	W
		(by CANDY RIDE out of DIVIDED ATTENTION by A.P. INDY)
4	DUKE OF DUVAL									(asmussen s)CORRALES GERARDO 118						12.00		5%		19.00		10.12	P
		(by ARROGATE out of CHAOTIC CAT by TALE OF THE CAT)
5	TOP GUN ROCKET									(mott riley)TORRES A 118						5.00		15%		5.50		4.75	S
		(by INTO MISCHIEF out of ROCKET TWENTYONE by INDIAN CHARLIE)
6	KNOW WHO YOU ARE									(cowans willia)MORALES EDGAR 118						30.00						26.87
		(by UNION RAGS out of BIRDY NUM by TAPIT)
7	HE'S A JOKER									(kenneally eddi)MACHADO LUAN 118						15.00						9.95
		(by PRACTICAL JOKE out of SHE'S PRETTY LUCKY by LOOKIN AT LUCKY)
9	MOBSTER									(casse mar)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 124						3.00		34%		1.90		2.31
		(by UNCLE MO out of MEADOW BREEZE by MEADOWLAKE)
11	BIG SALT LICK									(o'neill doug)CANNON DECLAN 124						20.00		5%		19.00		15.42
		(by GHOSTZAPPER out of RUBINDY by BERNARDINI)
12	GREER'S GOLD									(mott i)GRAHAM J 118						8.00						11.68
		(by MEDAGLIA D'ORO out of GREER LYNN by SPEIGHTSTOWN)
1	CAN'T STOP WILLIS									(milligan eddi)ASMUSSEN ERIK 113						15.00						30.31
		(by NYQUIST out of INDELIBLE by TIZNOW)
2	LINE OF SCRIMMAGE									(cox h)CONCEPCION AXEL 118						8.00						9.92
		(by AUDIBLE out of OH BOO HOO by KAFWAIN)
3	AMENTUM									(walsh bren)LOVEBERRY JARETH 118						12.00						18.42
		(by MUNNINGS out of IMPERTINENT by DISTORTED HUMOR)
SCR	BLACK IRON									(asmussen stev)ASMUSSEN ERIK 113						15.00
		(by CONSTITUTION out of TIZSOMTHINGSPECIAL by TIZNOW)
SCR	COMMUTED									(mcpeek ke)HERNANDEZ J 118						4.50
		(by GUN RUNNER out of FINAL HOLIDAY by HARLAN'S HOLIDAY)
SCR	MAJOR MACK									(shirer matt )BESCHIZZA ADAM 118						20.00
		(by OMAHA BEACH out of D'CATS MEOW by D'WILDCAT)
SCR	MASMAK									(dutrow rich)CONCEPCION AXEL 118						12.00
		(by VINO ROSSO out of NITE IN ROME by HARLAN'S HOLIDAY)
SCR	SHALLUS									(sanchez)DE CRUZ 118						20.00
		(by CONSTITUTION out of STRIKE FREE by CONCERN)



	Labels:
	M/L	Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
	W/P	Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
	B/E	Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
	F/O	Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

	Two Groups of Contenders:
	Win Contenders
		The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
	Place/Show Contenders
		The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

	Legal:
	Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.