Handicappers' Racing Form
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Always check Track, Date, Race Number, Program Number and Horse Name before the race.
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Ellis Park
Saturday - August 24, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets
Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss
ELP-1   Win (12/4/11/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00
ELP-2   Win (2/4/8) 3 $2.00 $6.00
ELP-3   Win (5/2/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00
ELP-4   Win (2/5/3/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00
ELP-5   Win (6/2/12/4/7) 5 $2.00 $10.00
ELP-6   Win (8/1/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00
ELP-7   Win (7/9/1/2/5) 5 $2.00 $10.00
ELP-8   Win (3/7/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00
ELP-9   Win (9/5/8/4/11) 5 $2.00 $10.00
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
 
ELP-1   08/24/2024 3630ft TURF RC2 FIRM Mdn Opt Clm ($50K) Purse ($44K) 2 ALL PT-12:50
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ENJOY THE GAME         (hancock a)POSTON AMANDA 109 30.00    
2  CAPTAIN FANCY         (foley greg)CANNON DECLAN 119 12.00    
3  MR. COLOSSAL Jul22         (williamson b)LOVEBERRY JARETH 119 10.00 5% 19.00    
4  ROBERT'S MOON Aug11         (vanden brittan)EMIGH A 119 4.50 28% 2.60    
SCR  WAYLLEN RICHARD         (catalano wayne)MONCADA IRVING 112 15.00    
6  HOTLINE BLINK         (chavez manuel)ACHARD ALEX 119 20.00    
7  GERALDRAYDAPLEGRAY Jul28         (foster eric)MACHADO LUAN 119 4.00 ★    
SCR  SKYNET Jul28         (barrett roddina )ELLIOTT JANE 119 20.00    
9  TAP ME A SONG         (santamaria carl)GARCIA MARTIN 119 20.00    
10  DANCER'S SHADOW         (sharp joe)TORRES A 119 8.00    
11  STASHU Jul22         (wainwright )ARRIETA FRANCISCO 119 6.00 18% 4.50    
12  VERY BOLD         (harty eoin)BEJARANO R 119 3.50 29% 2.50    
13  MISTER BABY         (hancock joh)HOLLINGSWORTH L 119 30.00    
 
ELP-2   08/24/2024 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($50K) Purse ($36K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:20
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CUMBERLAND FALLS Jul04 Jun14 Apr19 Mar15 Oct07 (gibson dewa)TORRES A 123 6.00    
2  UP ON THE EDGE Jul20 Jun19 May27 Apr20 Dec09 (moquett ronald )ASMUSSEN ERIK 113 6.00 29% 2.40    
3  THE BIG CALHOUNA Jun27 Jun08 May16 Apr21 Apr07 (santamaria c)MURRILL MITCHELL 118 5.00    
4  EAST SHORE Jul22 Nov12 Oct18 Jul22 Jun11 (romans dale)CHUAN MARTIN 123 4.00 23% 3.40    
5  TANGO ZULU Mar21 Feb24 Feb16 Jan13 Nov23 (wismer glenn )CONCEPCION AXEL 123 6.00    
SCR  STARLIT SOFI Aug07 Jul16 Jul02 May26 May03 (sanchez e)DE CRUZ 123 15.00    
7  KRICKLE Jun28 May30 May09 Jan26 Dec29 (holsapple h)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 118 4.50 ★    
8  EYES OF GOLD Jul22 Apr13 Mar23 Feb07 Jan13 (demeritte larry)BEJARANO R 123 3.50 14% 6.30    
 
ELP-3   08/24/2024 5940ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($73K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:49
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MO RHODES Jul28 Jun29 May31 Apr24 Mar02 (amoss m)CHUAN MARTIN 118 8.00    
2  BATON ROUGE (IRE) Jul21 Jun07 May05 Mar15   (hartman chris)BEJARANO R 123 2.50 34% 2.00    
3  MY BROTHER KEITH Jul20 Jun23 May18 Apr07 Mar15 (vanden brittan)EMIGH A 123 15.00 5% 19.00    
4  FIRST OF HIS NAME Jul28 Jun27 May29 May09 Mar21 (brisset rodolphe)MACHADO LUAN 118 10.00    
5  CORNISHMAN Jun30 May04 Mar16 Feb17 Jan20 (cox h)CONCEPCION AXEL 118 1.20 44% 1.30    
SCR  LADAN Aug10 Jul22 Jun12 May23 Apr07 (bogle fergus)CANNON DECLAN 118 30.00    
7  NATIVE SHAMAN Jul29 Jun09 May15     (arnold geor)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 118 12.00    
8  INDY MAGIC Jun30 Jun02 Apr17     (o'neill doug)TORRES A 118 6.00 ★    
 
ELP-4   08/24/2024 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($73K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:21
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  RED HOT JEANIE Jun27 May11 Mar27 Jul07 May29 (drury jr)MORALES EDGAR 122 6.00    
2  REAGAN'S FLAME Jul29 Jun28 May31 Mar20 Feb01 (schultz lin)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 120 2.00 48% 1.10    
3  FROSTY AFFAIR Feb14         (wells duane)MURRILL MITCHELL 118 12.00 11% 8.00    
4  LUCY GOT GAME Feb24 Feb04       (amoss thoma)TORRES A 118 5.00    
5  SISTER KISSES Jun19 May11 Mar30 Mar09 Feb10 (garcia genaro)BARBOSA CARLOS 122 3.50 20% 4.00    
6  PLUM TRICKY Jul13 Jun05 Apr25 Mar16 Feb17 (stewart dal)HERNANDEZ J 118 4.50    
7  THESE APPLES Jul29 Jul06 Jun01 Apr19 Mar30 (foster eric)ACHARD ALEX 118 20.00    
8  PARTY Feb10 Dec29 Nov04 Sep30 Jul15 (colebrook ben)MACHADO LUAN 118 10.00 5% 19.00    
 
ELP-5   08/24/2024 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($71K) 2 ALL PT- 2:54
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  SIR GALLIVANT         (cox h)CONCEPCION AXEL 119 8.00    
2  EXUBERANT MISCHIEF         (amoss m)TORRES A 119 3.50 25% 3.00    
3  BUILT         (catalano m)LANERIE J 119 8.00    
4  GREATDAYFORHOCKEY         (romans dale)CHUAN MARTIN 119 12.00 5% 19.00    
5  WINDTALKER         (devaux cher)TORRES A 119 8.00    
6  EAST AVENUE         (walsh p)MACHADO LUAN 119 4.50 26% 2.90    
7  OUT OF THE CLOUDS         (asmussen ste)CORRALES GERARDO 119 12.00 5% 19.00    
8  RAVENS DREAM         (asmussen steven)ASMUSSEN ERIK 114 12.00    
SCR  GRYPHON         (casse mark)MORALES EDGAR 119 20.00    
10  CAMPAIGN TRAIL         (foster eric)LOVEBERRY JARETH 119 30.00    
11  POPPA ECHO         (milligan ed)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 119 20.00    
12  SPEECHLESS         (brisset rodolphe)ACHARD ALEX 119 5.00 7% 12.60    
 
ELP-6   08/24/2024 5280ft TURF RC10 FIRM Allowance Purse ($73K) 3 F PT- 3:26
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DETERMINED CANDY Jul13 Jun02 Apr12     (devaux cherie)CONCEPCION AXEL 118 5.00 8% 11.10    
2  LIVI ME DREAMING Jul11 Feb01 Dec31 Dec03 Oct10 (devaux cherie)CANNON DECLAN 118 15.00    
3  BEST KISS YET Jul29 May31 Apr20 Apr05 Mar13 (catalano m)LANERIE J 118 8.00    
4  SANCTIFY Aug04 Jun29 Jun07 May18 Apr17 (holsapple h)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 120 3.50 ★    
SCR  PEIGNOIR Aug05 Jul05 Nov10 Oct15 Aug26 (brisset rodolphe)ACHARD ALEX 118 4.00    
6  STERLING LUCK Jul25 Jun05 Feb13 Jan19 Dec21 (forster t)GRAHAM J 118 12.00    
7  EGYPTIAN CANDY Jan05 Nov29 Oct27     (leitch daniel)MACHADO LUAN 118 8.00 5% 19.00    
8  TWIRL AROUND Jul06 May16 Apr20 Jan26 Dec23 (foley greg)MORALES EDGAR 118 4.50 64% 0.60    
SCR  WINAKACHING Jun28 May25 Apr20 Mar28   (romans dale)CHUAN MARTIN 118 15.00    
10  TOASTED ROLL Jul29 Dec29 Nov26 Oct29 Sep28 (sharp joe)TORRES A 118 15.00    
SCR  AUTUMN CHILL Jul29 Nov25 Oct07 Aug27 Aug06 (asmussen steven)ASMUSSEN ERIK 113 6.00    
 
ELP-7   08/24/2024 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($71K) 2 ALL PT- 3:52
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BYE BYE MILES         (asmussen st)TORRES A 119 5.00 7% 13.80    
2  SILENT BREEZE         (hancock john)LOVEBERRY JARETH 119 30.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  COPP         (mccarthy micha)TORRES A 119 8.00    
4  COCKTAILSNKRINGLE         (wilkes r)LANDEROS CHRIS 119 6.00    
5  DESERT AIRE         (puhich mike)GARCIA MARTIN 119 12.00 5% 19.00    
6  PREPOSITION         (asmussen steven)ASMUSSEN ERIK 114 8.00    
7  PIQUANT         (cox h)CONCEPCION AXEL 119 4.50 26% 2.80    
8  WAR AND MAJESTY         (romans dale)CHUAN MARTIN 119 10.00    
9  FIRMUS         (catalano m)LANERIE J 119 4.00 25% 3.00    
10  SHOTGUN         (casse mark)MORALES EDGAR 119 15.00    
11  BIG WALK         (lukas wayne)CANNON DECLAN 119 30.00    
12  BORROWED TIME Jul27 Jul05       (brisset rodolphe)ACHARD ALEX 119 20.00    
 
ELP-8   08/24/2024 5280ft TURF RC10 FIRM Allowance Purse ($73K) 3 ALL PT- 4:19
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  PURE POETRY Jul06 Jun07 Apr13 Feb15 Jul31 (cox h)CONCEPCION AXEL 118 4.50 ★    
2  WILL TAKE IT Jun30 Jun02 Apr27 Mar30 Feb24 (milligan ed)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 118 10.00 ★    
3  HAMMERSTEIN Jul27 Feb03 Dec23 Oct07   (lynch brian)TORRES A 118 1.80 60% 0.70    
4  HIGGINS BOAT Aug12 May27 May04 Mar06 Feb17 (amoss m)LANERIE J 118 20.00    
5  FORTUNE SELLER Jul27 Jul06 Jun07 May11 Oct26 (williamson b)LOVEBERRY JARETH 118 10.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  LEAD FOOT Aug12 Jul28 Jun14 May26 May10 (gonzalez e)BEJARANO R 118 50.00    
7  SOVEREIGNS JOY Jul15 May29       (maker michael )TORRES A 122 4.00 17% 5.00    
8  TWO BEERS BY TEN Jul18 May13 Apr30 Mar30 Mar01 (maker michae)CORRALES GERARDO 118 20.00    
9  SAN SIRO Mar09 Jan20 Dec23 Nov25   (walsh p)MORALES EDGAR 118 5.00    
SCR  OVERSTATEMENT Aug10 Jun07 May24     (miller kenny)BURGOS ALBERTO 118 20.00    
SCR  STORMS HOME Jul27 Jun23 May26 May05 Apr14 (asmussen steven)ASMUSSEN ERIK 113 3.50    
 
ELP-9   08/24/2024 5280ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($71K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:48
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CAN'T STOP WILLIS         (milligan eddie )ASMUSSEN ERIK 113 15.00    
2  LINE OF SCRIMMAGE         (cox h)CONCEPCION AXEL 118 8.00    
3  AMENTUM Jul28         (walsh brenda)LOVEBERRY JARETH 118 12.00    
4  DUKE OF DUVAL Jul07 Mar15       (asmussen st)TORRES A 118 12.00 5% 19.00    
5  TOP GUN ROCKET Jul14 May27 May04 Feb16 Nov25 (mott riley)TORRES A 118 5.00 15% 5.50    
6  KNOW WHO YOU ARE Oct07 Aug27       (cowans william )MORALES EDGAR 118 30.00    
7  HE'S A JOKER Jun21 May27       (kenneally eddie)MACHADO LUAN 118 15.00    
8  MULTITASK Jul28 Jun19       (harty eoin)BEJARANO R 118 10.00 15% 5.60    
9  MOBSTER Jun21 May27 Jan21 Dec26 Nov26 (casse mark)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 124 3.00 34% 1.90    
SCR  COMMUTED Jul13 Jun21       (mcpeek kenn)HERNANDEZ J 118 4.50    
11  BIG SALT LICK Jul07 Jun09       (o'neill doug)CANNON DECLAN 124 20.00 5% 19.00    
12  GREER'S GOLD         (mott i)GRAHAM J 118 8.00    
SCR  MAJOR MACK Jun12 Apr27 Apr12 Mar08 Feb16 (shirer a)BESCHIZZA ADAM 118 20.00    
SCR  MASMAK Dec17 Nov12 Sep22     (dutrow richar)CONCEPCION AXEL 118 12.00    
SCR  SHALLUS Aug06 Jul10 Jun26 Jun17 May10 (sanchez e)DE CRUZ 118 20.00    
SCR  BLACK IRON Jul14         (asmussen steven)ASMUSSEN ERIK 113 15.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.