Handicappers' Race Results
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Ellis Park
Monday - August 12, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bet Results
Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss
ELP-1   Win (5/6/3/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 8 1 0 $7.90  
ELP-2   Win (3/8/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 7 1 0 $11.02  
ELP-3   Win (3/7/4/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 7 1 1 $4.30 $4.30  
ELP-4   Win (8/2/5/4/3) 5 $2.00 $10.00 2 1 1 $3.98 $3.98  
ELP-5   Win (2/7/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 5 1 1 $12.58 $12.58 6.58
ELP-6   Win (8/10/11/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 8 1 1 $7.64 $7.64  
ELP-7   Win (1/8/7/12) 4 $2.00 $8.00 8 1 1 $11.02 $11.02 3.02
ELP-8   Win (1/3/6/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 1 1 1 $11.66 $11.66 3.66
ELP-9   Win (3/4/5/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00 4 1 1 $8.02 $8.02 0.02
Simulator Race results
 
ELP-1   08/12/2024 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($30K) Purse ($30K) 2 F PT-12:50
See original race card.
:222 :461 :592     1:131   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
8  HEARTS UNITED 7 2 64¼ 55   44 1nk (mcpeek kenne)HERNANDEZ J 119 5.00 2.95  
6  PEANUT GALLERY 5 6 32 1nk   12½ 2nk (cox h)GEROUX FLORENT 119 3.00 15% 5.70 2.53 P
4  TAKE WINGS 3 5 22 31½   32½ 35 (lynch a)NELSON TYRONE 119 10.00 ★ 4.71 S
5  ISLAND RIDE 4 1 12 2nk   22½ 46 (ennis john)MORALES EDGAR 119 4.00 60% 0.70 3.07  
1  MIDNIGHT BLAZE 1 7 86¼ 77¼   56 58¾ (desormeaux )HERNANDEZ J 119 30.00 5% 19.00 21.03  
9  WAVER 8 3 75¼ 87¼   66¼ 69¼ (asmussen steven)ASMUSSEN ERIK 114 12.00 27.52  
10  INDY'S UNIVERSE 9 4 43 43½   76¼ 710¾ (davis christop)TORRES A 119 12.00 27.84  
3  RUMORED 2 9 96¾ 99¼   88¾ 817¼ (asmussen steven )MACHADO LUAN 119 10.00 5% 19.00 12.27  
7  PREYATHOUSANDWORDS 6 8 54 67   911¼ 932¾ (hamilton sarah)BEJARANO R 119 20.00 14.31  
SCR  HONEYBEEBOBBIE               (gonzalez)LOPEZ EDUARDO 119 30.00    
SCR  ROGUE DIAMOND               (rivelli larry)COHEN DAVID 119 4.50    
 
ELP-2   08/12/2024 4290ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($16K) Purse ($31K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:20
See original race card.
:23 :462 1:104     1:172   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
7  STAND BY YOU 6 3 41½ 41½   31½ 1nk (watkins jame)CORRALES GERARDO 122 8.00 ★ 4.51  
3  MAZOKU 3 2 1nk 2nk   1½ 2nk (butcher jam)BEALMEAR C 117 2.00 48% 1.10 0.75 P
2  SHIP IT 2 5 51¾ 51¾   41½ 31¾ (esquivel jesus)MACHADO LUAN 122 12.00 7.59  
6  FAIRY CAKES (GB) 5 1 31 3½   52½ 46 (mcentee paul)TORRES A 122 15.00 19.43  
1  GHOSTLY NIGHT 1 4 2nk 1nk   2½ 56¾ (shirer a)BESCHIZZA ADAM 122 5.00 6% 17.20 2.76  
5  FREE TIME 4 6 65¾ 66¾   68½ 615½ (hancock dana)MIRANDA ROGELIO 122 20.00 32.67  
SCR  ATLANTIC STRIKE               (asmussen steven)ASMUSSEN ERIK 117 2.50 20% 4.10    
SCR  SUMMER OF MISCHIEF               (cox h)GEROUX FLORENT 122 4.50    
 
ELP-3   08/12/2024 5280ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($73K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:49
See original race card.
:241 :473 1:113 1:24   1:371   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
7  SINGLE DOT YAHT 7 5 41½ 32 2nk 11½ 12½ (drury jr)MORALES EDGAR 123 2.00 26% 2.80 1.15 W
6  SILVER HEIST 6 7 63 63¼ 42 32 22½ (asmussen steven)ASMUSSEN ERIK 118 4.00 7.77  
4  METALHEAD 4 3 21 21 1nk 21½ 32½ (morey e)MACHADO LUAN 118 10.00 13% 6.60 11.78 S
3  MAXWELL 3 2 52½ 53 54½ 45 47½ (walsh brend)TORRES A 120 3.00 33% 2.00 2.49  
5  CURLIN GUNNER 5 6 75 75¼ 77¼ 66½ 58¼ (medina robert)SAEZ LUIS 118 15.00 20.83  
2  HIGGINS BOAT 2 4 31½ 42 64¾ 78 614 (amoss thomas)LOVEBERRY JARETH 118 5.00 6.39  
1  G T FIVE HUNDRED 1 1 11 11 31½ 55 715¼ (cano muno)TORRES A 123 6.00 7% 13.70 10.28  
 
ELP-4   08/12/2024 4620ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($71K) 2 ALL PT- 2:21
See original race card.
:223 :452 1:102     1:232   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
2  AUTHENTIC STRIKE 2 9 1½ 1½   1nk 1¼ (brisset rodolphe)SAEZ LUIS 119 3.00 22% 3.60 0.99 W
4  KINETIC CONTROL 4 12 51½ 42   2nk 2¼ (romans dale)LANERIE J 119 12.00 5% 19.00 10.87 P
8  PUBLISHER 8 4 82¾ 62¼   31½ 32¾ (asmussen steven)ASMUSSEN ERIK 114 4.50 22% 3.50 7.08 S
5  INSTANT REPLAY 5 7 3½ 3½   42½ 48½ (cox h)GEROUX FLORENT 119 5.00 12% 7.20 6.72  
3  KEVIN'S STRIKE 3 8 2½ 2½   53½ 511 (amoss thomas)LOVEBERRY JARETH 119 15.00 5% 19.00 34.70  
7  RIGHTEOUS STAR 7 5 127¾ 129   76½ 613 (mcpeek kenne)HERNANDEZ J 119 15.00 ★ 20.86  
11  BOURBON FLIGHT 11 6 115¾ 74¾   87½ 713¼ (wilkes r)MACHADO LUAN 119 6.00 5.88  
6  BRERETON'S BAYTOWN 6 3 41 52¼   65½ 814½ (mcentee pau)BEALMEAR C 112 20.00 25.64  
9  SO SANDY 9 2 105¾ 119   99 915½ (devaux cherie)CONCEPCION AXEL 119 8.00 19.00  
12  VADEN 12 1 94¾ 97¼   109½ 1021¼ (ortiz ale)TORRES A 119 30.00 58.87  
1  MONET'S MAGIC 1 11 62 108¾   1114½ 1132¼ (colebrook be)CORRALES GERARDO 119 10.00 25.81  
10  BLUE OCEAN RAVE 10 10 72½ 86¼   1215½ 1240¼ (desormea)LOPEZ EDUARDO 119 30.00 72.07  
SCR  DESERT AIRE               (puhich mike)SAEZ GABRIEL 119 20.00    
SCR  SPEECHLESS               (brisset rodolp)GEROUX FLORENT 119 6.00    
SCR  WINNING SONG               (mcpeek kenne)HERNANDEZ J 119 15.00    
SCR  WINTER CREEK               (bauer a)SAEZ GABRIEL 119 10.00    
 
ELP-5   08/12/2024 3630ft TURF RC10 FIRM Allowance Purse ($77K) 3 F PT- 2:54
See original race card.
:213 :44 :551     1:01   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
5  MOONLIT LADY 4 1 11 1½   1nk 1½ (gutierrez fau)CONCEPCION AXEL 118 5.00 5% 19.00 5.29 W
1  NIKI NINE DOORS 1 5 32 31½   2nk 2½ (davis christ)CORRALES GERARDO 120 1.80 1.58  
3  CROWN IMPERIAL 3 4 53½ 52½   31½ 32¼ (ortiz ale)TORRES A 118 6.00 7.80  
2  MAKEUP 2 6 63¾ 63   51¾ 44 (asmussen steven )MACHADO LUAN 120 3.50 54% 0.80 1.98  
6  FROLIC IN THE PARK 5 3 21 2½   41¾ 54½ (cowans william )MORALES EDGAR 118 15.00 21.30  
7  QUIMICHIS 6 2 42 42   63¼ 67¾ (gutierrez f)TORRES A 118 3.00 21% 3.80 4.80  
SCR  DI'S SURPRISE               (rivelli larry)COHEN DAVID 120 15.00    
 
ELP-6   08/12/2024 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($25K) Purse ($34K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:26
See original race card.
:222 :451 1:094     1:163   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
8  SUMMER SPLASH 5 6 41 2½   1½ 13 (hartman chris)BEJARANO R 122 4.00 41% 1.40 2.82 W
6  FRIAR LAURENCE 4 3 52 54   44½ 23 (garcia genaro)BARBOSA CARLOS 122 15.00 14.27  
9  CATHEDRAL BEACH 6 5 62½ 64½   54½ 33 (amoss thoma)TORRES A 122 6.00 3.18  
11  FITZPATRICK 8 4 2nk 1½   2½ 45 (esquivel jesus)MACHADO LUAN 122 8.00 6% 15.30 5.92  
3  EFFICIENCY 2 8 83½ 85½   65½ 56½ (santamaria c)MURRILL MITCHELL 122 8.00 6% 15.30 9.99  
10  SOARING BIRD 7 2 3½ 31½   33½ 68 (asmussen steven)ASMUSSEN ERIK 117 8.00 21% 3.70 6.72  
1  FAN THE FIRE 1 7 73 75½   76½ 710 (cano muno)GEROUX FLORENT 122 10.00 4.73  
4  ONE RED CENT 3 1 1nk 43½   89½ 830¼ (jazdzewski j)CORRALES GERARDO 120 12.00 8.34  
SCR  CIRCLE BACK JACK               (garcia genaro)MORALES EDGAR 122 15.00    
SCR  SHACKS WAY               (hewitt mich)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 122 10.00    
SCR  TILTED TOWERS               (rice adam)CONCEPCION AXEL 122 3.50    
 
ELP-7   08/12/2024 3630ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($71K) 2 F PT- 3:52
See original race card.
:212 :44 :553     1:013   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
8  SHE'S ALL CHARM 7 2 4¾ 3.2   11½ 1nk (harty eoin)RODRIGUEZ A 119 3.50 22% 3.50 4.51 W
10  MISS LONELLE 9 10 84¾ 73¾   43 2nk (catalano m)LANERIE J 119 15.00 22.28  
6  BIRKIN GIRL 5 7 72¾ 52¼   54 33¼ (colebrook b)TORRES A 119 12.00 ★ 33.03 S
3  SCATTITUDE 3 11 106 84   65½ 43½ (sharp joe)CONCEPCION AXEL 119 15.00 35.16  
1  DON'T CALL ME BABE 1 4 1nk 2nk   21½ 54¾ (walsh brenda)HERNANDEZ J 119 3.00 44% 1.30 0.85  
13  TIGER DIVISION 12 8 62¾ 62¼   75¾ 65¾ (arnold r)MORALES EDGAR 119 15.00 22.08  
7  BOIS BLANC 6 1 3.2 1nk   33 76¾ (wojczynski justi)DOYLE SOPHIE 119 4.00 14% 6.20 5.59  
4  EVELYN LOUISE 4 6 95¾ 106   109¼ 88½ (oliver victoria)MACHADO LUAN 119 12.00 20.64  
12  DESIGN 11 9 118 117½   98¼ 98¾ (mott riley)TORRES A 119 12.00 5% 19.00 32.50  
2  MOMOZOME 2 3 2nk 4¾   86¾ 1010¾ (brisset rodolphe)SAEZ LUIS 119 12.00 ★ 11.33  
9  CHAMPAGNE ON ICE 8 12 1210½ 129½   1110¾ 1111 (wilkes ian )ARRIETA FRANCISCO 119 20.00 64.44  
11  BARBARINA 10 5 51¾ 95   1211¾ 1215½ (jazdzewski j)CORRALES GERARDO 119 15.00 42.42  
SCR  AIRFORCE LIGHTNING               (puhich mike)BARBOSA CARLOS 119 15.00    
SCR  RHAENYS               (thomas jonatha)GEROUX FLORENT 119 10.00    
SCR  TICKIN TIME BLONDE               (oliver victo)LOVEBERRY JARETH 119 15.00    
SCR  VICTORY WALTZ               (corrigan jim)LEZCANO ABEL 119 20.00    
 
ELP-8   08/12/2024 5940ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($50K) Purse ($76K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:19
See original race card.
:243 :483 1:121 1:38   1:511   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ELUSIVE TARGET 1 3 51¾ 63¾ 64¼ 42 11¾ (maker michael )TORRES A 124 2.50 38% 1.70 4.83 W
5  EXPENSIVE CUT 5 5 31 3.2 3½ 2½ 21¾ (morse randy )HERNANDEZ J 122 8.00 5% 19.00 19.53 P
3  HORACE MANN 3 1 1nk 1nk 1nk 1½ 34 (damato philip)GARCIA MARTIN 124 3.50 30% 2.40 1.46 S
2  MIGHTY MESSAGE 2 2 41¼ 41¾ 42½ 53 45 (amoss thoma)TORRES A 118 4.50 4.02  
6  MAN IN THE CAN 6 4 2nk 2nk 2nk 3½ 57¾ (moquett ronald )MORALES EDGAR 122 5.00 6% 15.60 8.58  
4  ONTHESTAGE 4 7 77¼ 710¾ 79¾ 65 68½ (asmussen steven)ASMUSSEN ERIK 117 10.00 19.59  
7  GILMORE 7 6 62¼ 52¼ 54 79½ 723¼ (maker michae)CORRALES GERARDO 122 4.00 3.25  
 
ELP-9   08/12/2024 5280ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($16K) Purse ($28K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:48
See original race card.
:221 :444 1:09 1:21   1:331   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
4  SAINT IN THE CITY 4 3 66¾ 56½ 52¾ 2½ 1¼ (mott i)TORRES A 123 4.00 10% 9.00 3.01 W
6  RIGEL 6 2 2nk 1nk 1½ 1½ 2¼ (sancal murat)GRAHAM J 123 6.00 ★ 14.36 P
2  RANSOMWARE 2 6 87¾ 77¾ 64¼ 4¾ 31 (garcia genaro)MORALES EDGAR 123 5.00 ★ 7.12 S
3  DOUBLE YOUR MONEY 3 1 45 46 42½ 3½ 43¼ (lynch brian )CORRALES GERARDO 118 3.50 64% 0.60 1.71  
9  LEAD FOOT 8 9 98¾ 108¾ 87¾ 63¼ 53¼ (gonzalez)LOPEZ EDUARDO 118 30.00 63.89  
12  MR. FAVERSHAM 11 11 109¾ 119 109¼ 95¼ 65½ (cano mun)CONCEPCION AXEL 118 30.00 45.65  
1  AMERICAN RAIDER 1 7 56½ 66¾ 76¼ 73¾ 76 (asmussen steven)ASMUSSEN ERIK 120 20.00 22.42  
11  GOLDEN BUCK 10 5 32 32½ 32½ 84¼ 86¼ (castanon g)CASTANON L 118 15.00 14.46  
5  WASHINGTON'S UNION 5 8 77¾ 87¾ 99¼ 106¼ 97¾ (pino michae)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 123 6.00 5% 19.00 5.95  
8  RED LINE OVERDRIVE 7 4 1nk 2nk 2½ 52¾ 109 (kubinova el)TORRES A 123 20.00 5% 19.00 21.05  
10  CELESTIAL JOY (GB) 9 10 1110 1210 1111¾ 118¼ 119¼ (estvanko richard)BEJARANO R 118 10.00 19.77  
13  MERLOTTI 12 12 1210½ 98¼ 1212 128¾ 129¾ (wainwright jo)ARRIETA REYNIER 123 20.00 38.80  
SCR  GIOVANNINO               (davis christ)CORRALES GERARDO 123 12.00    
SCR  HASKELLED               (van thomas)MACHADO LUAN 123 10.00    
SCR  IBN AL ARABI               (cano mun)CONCEPCION AXEL 123 12.00    
SCR  TRACK TYRANT               (drury jr)MORALES EDGAR 118 12.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.