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Handicappers' Race Results

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Ellis Park
Monday - August 12, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

			Wgr	Pick						Tot	Bet	Bet	Winning		Pay
			Type	Numbers						Tkts	Unit	Amt	Numbers		Amt			Profit				ROI

ELP-4			SFT	(8/2/5/4/3)-(8/2/5/4/3/7)-(8/2/5/4/3/7)-(8/2/5/4/3/7)						300	$0.10	$30.00	2-4-8-5		$39.43			$9.43				31%
			SHF	(8/2/5/4/3)-(8/2/5/4/3/7)-(8/2/5/4/3/7)-(8/2/5/4/3/7)-(8/2/5/4/3/7)						600	$1.00	$600	2-4-8-5-3		$657.32			$57.32				10%
ELP-5			WIN	(2/7/5)						3	$2.00	$6.00	5		$12.58			$6.58				110%
			DD	(8/2/5/4/3)-(2/7/5)						15	$2.00	$30.00	2-5		$33.40			$3.40				11%
			PK3	(3/7/4/1)-(8/2/5/4/3)-(2/7/5)						60	$0.50	$30.00	7-2-5		$32.31			$2.31				8%
ELP-6			DD	(2/7/5)-(8/10/11/3)						12	$2.00	$24.00	5-8		$47.94			$23.94				100%
			PK3	(8/2/5/4/3)-(2/7/5)-(8/10/11/3)						60	$0.50	$30.00	2-5-8		$36.69			$6.69				22%
ELP-7			WIN	(1/8/7/12)						4	$2.00	$8.00	8		$11.02			$3.02				38%
			DD	(8/10/11/3)-(1/8/7/12)						16	$2.00	$32.00	8-8		$38.94			$6.94				22%
			PK3	(2/7/5)-(8/10/11/3)-(1/8/7/12)						48	$0.50	$24.00	5-8-8		$105.40			$81.40				339%
ELP-8			WIN	(1/3/6/5)						4	$2.00	$8.00	1		$11.66			$3.66				46%
			EXA	(1/3/6/5)-(1/3/6/5)						12	$2.00	$24.00	1-5		$113.50			$89.50				373%
			TRI	(1/3/6/5)-(1/3/6/5)-(1/3/6/5)						24	$0.50	$12.00	1-5-3		$132.73			$120.73				1006%
			DD	(1/8/7/12)-(1/3/6/5)						16	$2.00	$32.00	8-1		$44.86			$12.86				40%
			PK3	(8/10/11/3)-(1/8/7/12)-(1/3/6/5)						64	$0.50	$32.00	8-8-1		$41.94			$9.94				31%
ELP-9			EXA	(3/4/5/8)-(3/4/5/2/6/8)						20	$2.00	$40.00	4-6		$107.20			$67.20				168%
			TRI	(3/4/5/8)-(3/4/5/2/6/8)-(3/4/5/2/6/8)						80	$0.50	$40.00	4-6-2		$142.80			$102.80				257%
			SFT	(3/4/5/8)-(3/4/5/2/6/8)-(3/4/5/2/6/8)-(3/4/5/2/6/8)						240	$0.10	$24.00	4-6-2-3		$92.34			$68.34				285%
			DD	(1/3/6/5)-(3/4/5/8)						16	$2.00	$32.00	1-4		$38.06			$6.06				19%
			PK3	(1/8/7/12)-(1/3/6/5)-(3/4/5/8)						64	$0.50	$32.00	8-1-4		$47.07			$15.07				47%
			PK4	(8/10/11/3)-(1/8/7/12)-(1/3/6/5)-(3/4/5/8)						256	$0.50	$128	2/5/7/8-8-1-4		$164.80			$36.80				29%
			PK5	(2/7/5)-(8/10/11/3)-(1/8/7/12)-(1/3/6/5)-(3/4/5/8)						768	$0.50	$384	5-2/5/7/8-8-1-4		$2976			$2592				675%
			PK6	(8/2/5/4/3)-(2/7/5)-(8/10/11/3)-(1/8/7/12)-(1/3/6/5)-(3/4/5/8)						3840	$0.20	$768	2/13/14/15/16-5-2/5/7/8-8-1-4		$2868			$2100				274%

Simulator Race results


ELP-1			08/12/2024		3960ft	DIRT	RC4	FAST	Maiden Claimer ($30K)					Purse ($30K)			2		F		PT-12:50
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.																M/L		W/P		B/E		F/O
8	HEARTS UNITED									(mcpeek ken)HERNANDEZ J 119						5.00						2.95
6	PEANUT GALLERY									(cox h)GEROUX FLORENT 119						3.00		15%		5.70		2.53	P
4	TAKE WINGS									(lynch a)NELSON TYRONE 119						10.00		★				4.71	S
5	ISLAND RIDE									(ennis john)MORALES EDGAR 119						4.00		60%		0.70		3.07
1	MIDNIGHT BLAZE									(desormeau)HERNANDEZ J 119						30.00		5%		19.00		21.03
9	WAVER									(asmussen stev)ASMUSSEN ERIK 114						12.00						27.52
10	INDY'S UNIVERSE									(davis christ)TORRES A 119						12.00						27.84
3	RUMORED									(asmussen steve)MACHADO LUAN 119						10.00		5%		19.00		12.27
7	PREYATHOUSANDWORDS									(hamilton sarah)BEJARANO R 119						20.00						14.31
SCR	HONEYBEEBOBBIE									(gonzal)LOPEZ EDUARDO 119						30.00
SCR	ROGUE DIAMOND									(rivelli larry)COHEN DAVID 119						4.50

ELP-2			08/12/2024		4290ft	DIRT	RC6	FAST	Optional Claiming ($16K)					Purse ($31K)			3UP		M/F		PT- 1:20
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.																M/L		W/P		B/E		F/O
7	STAND BY YOU									(watkins ja)CORRALES GERARDO 122						8.00		★				4.51
3	MAZOKU									(butcher j)BEALMEAR C 117						2.00		48%		1.10		0.75	P
2	SHIP IT									(esquivel jesus)MACHADO LUAN 122						12.00						7.59
6	FAIRY CAKES (GB)									(mcentee paul)TORRES A 122						15.00						19.43
1	GHOSTLY NIGHT									(shirer matt )BESCHIZZA ADAM 122						5.00		6%		17.20		2.76
5	FREE TIME									(hancock dan)MIRANDA ROGELIO 122						20.00						32.67
SCR	ATLANTIC STRIKE									(asmussen stev)ASMUSSEN ERIK 117						2.50		20%		4.10
SCR	SUMMER OF MISCHIEF									(cox h)GEROUX FLORENT 122						4.50

ELP-3			08/12/2024		5280ft	DIRT	RC10	FAST	Allowance					Purse ($73K)			3UP		ALL		PT- 1:49
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.																M/L		W/P		B/E		F/O
7	SINGLE DOT YAHT									(drury thomas )MORALES EDGAR 123						2.00		26%		2.80		1.15	W
6	SILVER HEIST									(asmussen stev)ASMUSSEN ERIK 118						4.00						7.77
4	METALHEAD									(morey william )MACHADO LUAN 118						10.00		13%		6.60		11.78	S
3	MAXWELL									(walsh bre)TORRES A 120						3.00		33%		2.00		2.49
5	CURLIN GUNNER									(medina robert)SAEZ LUIS 118						15.00						20.83
2	HIGGINS BOAT									(amoss thom)LOVEBERRY JARETH 118						5.00						6.39
1	G T FIVE HUNDRED									(cano mu)TORRES A 123						6.00		7%		13.70		10.28

ELP-4			08/12/2024		4620ft	DIRT	RC5	FAST	Maiden Sp Wt					Purse ($71K)			2		ALL		PT- 2:21
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.																M/L		W/P		B/E		F/O
2	AUTHENTIC STRIKE									(brisset rodolphe)SAEZ LUIS 119						3.00		22%		3.60		0.99	W
		(by AUTHENTIC out of WISE STRIKE by SMART STRIKE)
4	KINETIC CONTROL									(romans dale)LANERIE J 119						12.00		5%		19.00		10.87	P
		(by NOT THIS TIME out of DEVIOUS D'ORO by MEDAGLIA D'ORO)
8	PUBLISHER									(asmussen stev)ASMUSSEN ERIK 114						4.50		22%		3.50		7.08	S
		(by AMERICAN PHAROAH out of INDIAN PRIDE by PROUD CITIZEN)
5	INSTANT REPLAY									(cox h)GEROUX FLORENT 119						5.00		12%		7.20		6.72
		(by MAXIMUM SECURITY out of ACADEMY GAL by MEDAGLIA D'ORO)
3	KEVIN'S STRIKE									(amoss thom)LOVEBERRY JARETH 119						15.00		5%		19.00		34.70
		(by TOM'S D'ETAT out of LISA T. by AWESOME AGAIN)
7	RIGHTEOUS STAR									(mcpeek ken)HERNANDEZ J 119						15.00		★				20.86
		(by AUTHENTIC out of MUNNY SPUNT by MUNNINGS)
11	BOURBON FLIGHT									(wilkes r)MACHADO LUAN 119						6.00						5.88
		(by MCKINZIE out of DARKWINGSOVERDUBAI by RAVEN'S PASS)
6	BRERETON'S BAYTOWN									(mcentee p)BEALMEAR C 112						20.00						25.64
		(by UPSTART out of KIKA by BIRDSTONE)
9	SO SANDY									(devaux cher)CONCEPCION AXEL 119						8.00						19.00
		(by OMAHA BEACH out of SO FANCY by TAPIT)
12	VADEN									(ortiz a)TORRES A 119						30.00						58.87
		(by MAXIMUM SECURITY out of CATEYBUG by TIZNOW)
1	MONET'S MAGIC									(colebrook )CORRALES GERARDO 119						10.00						25.81
		(by GOOD MAGIC out of RONTOS LILY by BIG DRAMA)
10	BLUE OCEAN RAVE									(desorm)LOPEZ EDUARDO 119						30.00						72.07
		(by MIDNIGHT LUTE out of STEAL THE DANCE by TAPIT)
SCR	DESERT AIRE									(puhich mike)SAEZ GABRIEL 119						20.00
		(by THOUSAND WORDS out of GEORGIA by DANCE CENTRE)
SCR	SPEECHLESS									(brisset rodo)GEROUX FLORENT 119						6.00
		(by STREET SENSE out of OH MY by MEDAGLIA D'ORO)
SCR	WINNING SONG									(mcpeek ken)HERNANDEZ J 119						15.00
		(by GAME WINNER out of THMORUPLATHLESUPAY by UNBRIDLED'S SONG)
SCR	WINTER CREEK									(bauer a)SAEZ GABRIEL 119						10.00
		(by CONNECT out of PIKE CREEK by FOREST CAMP)

ELP-5			08/12/2024		3630ft	TURF	RC10	FIRM	Allowance					Purse ($77K)			3		F		PT- 2:54
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.																M/L		W/P		B/E		F/O
5	MOONLIT LADY									(gutierrez f)CONCEPCION AXEL 118						5.00		5%		19.00		5.29	W
1	NIKI NINE DOORS									(davis chri)CORRALES GERARDO 120						1.80						1.58
3	CROWN IMPERIAL									(ortiz a)TORRES A 118						6.00						7.80
2	MAKEUP									(asmussen steve)MACHADO LUAN 120						3.50		54%		0.80		1.98
6	FROLIC IN THE PARK									(cowans willia)MORALES EDGAR 118						15.00						21.30
7	QUIMICHIS									(gutierrez)TORRES A 118						3.00		21%		3.80		4.80
SCR	DI'S SURPRISE									(rivelli larry)COHEN DAVID 120						15.00

ELP-6			08/12/2024		4290ft	DIRT	RC7	FAST	Claiming ($25K)					Purse ($34K)			3UP		ALL		PT- 3:26
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.																M/L		W/P		B/E		F/O
8	SUMMER SPLASH									(hartman chris)BEJARANO R 122						4.00		41%		1.40		2.82	W
6	FRIAR LAURENCE									(garcia genar)BARBOSA CARLOS 122						15.00						14.27
9	CATHEDRAL BEACH									(amoss tho)TORRES A 122						6.00						3.18
11	FITZPATRICK									(esquivel jesus)MACHADO LUAN 122						8.00		6%		15.30		5.92
3	EFFICIENCY									(santamaria)MURRILL MITCHELL 122						8.00		6%		15.30		9.99
10	SOARING BIRD									(asmussen stev)ASMUSSEN ERIK 117						8.00		21%		3.70		6.72
1	FAN THE FIRE									(cano mu)GEROUX FLORENT 122						10.00						4.73
4	ONE RED CENT									(jazdzewski)CORRALES GERARDO 120						12.00						8.34
SCR	CIRCLE BACK JACK									(garcia genaro)MORALES EDGAR 122						15.00
SCR	SHACKS WAY									(hewitt mi)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 122						10.00
SCR	TILTED TOWERS									(rice adam)CONCEPCION AXEL 122						3.50

ELP-7			08/12/2024		3630ft	TURF	RC5	FIRM	Maiden Sp Wt					Purse ($71K)			2		F		PT- 3:52
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.																M/L		W/P		B/E		F/O
8	SHE'S ALL CHARM									(harty eo)RODRIGUEZ A 119						3.50		22%		3.50		4.51	W
		(by MORE THAN READY out of TOO CHARMING by BERNARDINI)
10	MISS LONELLE									(catalano wayne )LANERIE J 119						15.00						22.28
		(by FLAMEAWAY out of CHARLENE'S PAL by PROUD CITIZEN)
6	BIRKIN GIRL									(colebrook)TORRES A 119						12.00		★				33.03	S
		(by TWIRLING CANDY out of BLAME THE FROG by BLAME)
3	SCATTITUDE									(sharp joe)CONCEPCION AXEL 119						15.00						35.16
		(by VIOLENCE out of SHE'S ALL SCAT by SCAT DADDY)
1	DON'T CALL ME BABE									(walsh bren)HERNANDEZ J 119						3.00		44%		1.30		0.85
		(by TIZ THE LAW out of THAT VOODOO YOUDO by SPEIGHTSTOWN)
13	TIGER DIVISION									(arnold george)MORALES EDGAR 119						15.00						22.08
		(by OMAHA BEACH out of KOOL KAT by SCAT DADDY)
7	BOIS BLANC									(wojczynski jus)DOYLE SOPHIE 119						4.00		14%		6.20		5.59
		(by FIRST SAMURAI out of FLORIAN by TWIN TIME)
4	EVELYN LOUISE									(oliver victori)MACHADO LUAN 119						12.00						20.64
		(by CARAVAGGIO out of YOUNGEST DAUGHTER by THE FACTOR)
12	DESIGN									(mott riley)TORRES A 119						12.00		5%		19.00		32.50
		(by MUNNINGS out of LONG VIEW by GALILEO)
2	MOMOZOME									(brisset rodolphe)SAEZ LUIS 119						12.00		★				11.33
		(by GOOD SAMARITAN out of SUMIZOME by GIANT'S CAUSEWAY)
9	CHAMPAGNE ON ICE									(wilkes ia)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 119						20.00						64.44
		(by FROSTED out of TOO MUCH DETAIL by OVERANALYZE)
11	BARBARINA									(jazdzewski)CORRALES GERARDO 119						15.00						42.42
		(by UNIFIED out of DESTINATION LOVE by FRIESAN FIRE)
SCR	AIRFORCE LIGHTNING									(puhich mike)BARBOSA CARLOS 119						15.00
		(by AIR FORCE BLUE out of SASHAY by STROLL)
SCR	RHAENYS									(thomas jonat)GEROUX FLORENT 119						10.00
		(by HIGHER POWER out of KODIAC GAL by KODIAC)
SCR	TICKIN TIME BLONDE									(oliver vic)LOVEBERRY JARETH 119						15.00
		(by NOT THIS TIME out of BLONDE BOMBER by FORT LARNED)
SCR	VICTORY WALTZ									(corrigan jim)LEZCANO ABEL 119						20.00
		(by VEKOMA out of VIENNA'S WALTZ by FREUD)

ELP-8			08/12/2024		5940ft	DIRT	RC3	FAST	Alw Opt Clm ($50K)					Purse ($76K)			3UP		ALL		PT- 4:19
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.																M/L		W/P		B/E		F/O
1	ELUSIVE TARGET									(maker michae)TORRES A 124						2.50		38%		1.70		4.83	W
5	EXPENSIVE CUT									(morse rand)HERNANDEZ J 122						8.00		5%		19.00		19.53	P
3	HORACE MANN									(damato philip)GARCIA MARTIN 124						3.50		30%		2.40		1.46	S
2	MIGHTY MESSAGE									(amoss tho)TORRES A 118						4.50						4.02
6	MAN IN THE CAN									(moquett ronal)MORALES EDGAR 122						5.00		6%		15.60		8.58
4	ONTHESTAGE									(asmussen stev)ASMUSSEN ERIK 117						10.00						19.59
7	GILMORE									(maker mich)CORRALES GERARDO 122						4.00						3.25

ELP-9			08/12/2024		5280ft	TURF	RC7	FIRM	Claiming ($16K)					Purse ($28K)			3UP		ALL		PT- 4:48
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.																M/L		W/P		B/E		F/O
4	SAINT IN THE CITY									(mott william)TORRES A 123						4.00		10%		9.00		3.01	W
6	RIGEL									(sancal murat)GRAHAM J 123						6.00		★				14.36	P
2	RANSOMWARE									(garcia genaro)MORALES EDGAR 123						5.00		★				7.12	S
3	DOUBLE YOUR MONEY									(lynch bria)CORRALES GERARDO 118						3.50		64%		0.60		1.71
9	LEAD FOOT									(gonzal)LOPEZ EDUARDO 118						30.00						63.89
12	MR. FAVERSHAM									(cano m)CONCEPCION AXEL 118						30.00						45.65
1	AMERICAN RAIDER									(asmussen stev)ASMUSSEN ERIK 120						20.00						22.42
11	GOLDEN BUCK									(castanon jose )CASTANON L 118						15.00						14.46
5	WASHINGTON'S UNION									(pino mich)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 123						6.00		5%		19.00		5.95
8	RED LINE OVERDRIVE									(kubinova )TORRES A 123						20.00		5%		19.00		21.05
10	CELESTIAL JOY (GB)									(estvanko richard)BEJARANO R 118						10.00						19.77
13	MERLOTTI									(wainwright )ARRIETA REYNIER 123						20.00						38.80
SCR	GIOVANNINO									(davis chri)CORRALES GERARDO 123						12.00
SCR	HASKELLED									(van thoma)MACHADO LUAN 123						10.00
SCR	IBN AL ARABI									(cano m)CONCEPCION AXEL 123						12.00
SCR	TRACK TYRANT									(drury thomas )MORALES EDGAR 118						12.00



	Labels:
	M/L	Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
	W/P	Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
	B/E	Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
	F/O	Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

	Two Groups of Contenders:
	Win Contenders
		The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
	Place/Show Contenders
		The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

	Legal:
	Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.