Handicappers' Race Results

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The Longshot Hunter!

Monmouth Park
Saturday - July 27, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

MTH-3   EXA (9/1/8)-(9/1/10/3/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00  1-9 $14.70 $2.70 23%
    TRI (9/1/8)-(9/1/10/3/8)-(9/1/10/3/8) 36 $0.50 $18.00  1-9-8 $165.30 $147.30 818%
MTH-5   WIN (2/5/9/4/10) 5 $2.00 $10.00  4 $10.80 $0.80 8%
    EXA (2/5/9/4/10)-(2/5/9/4/10) 20 $1.00 $20.00  4-5 $24.60 $4.60 23%
    TRI (2/5/9/4/10)-(2/5/9/4/10)-(2/5/9/4/10) 60 $0.50 $30.00  4-5-9 $57.90 $27.90 93%
    SFT (2/5/9/4/10)-(2/5/9/4/10)-(2/5/9/4/10)-(2/5/9/4/10) 120 $0.10 $12.00  4-5-9-2 $36.90 $24.90 208%
MTH-7   WIN (2/3/4/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00  4 $16.00 $8.00 100%
MTH-8   WIN (5/8/1/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00  1 $8.60 $0.60 8%
    EXA (5/8/1/7)-(5/8/1/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00  1-5 $14.10 $2.10 18%
    TRI (5/8/1/7)-(5/8/1/7)-(5/8/1/7) 24 $0.50 $12.00  1-5-8 $22.50 $10.50 88%
MTH-9   EXA (6/3/9/7)-(6/3/9/7/2) 16 $1.00 $16.00  6-9 $59.50 $43.50 272%
    TRI (6/3/9/7)-(6/3/9/7/2)-(6/3/9/7/2) 48 $0.50 $24.00  6-9-2 $269.40 $245.40 1023%
    SFT (6/3/9/7)-(6/3/9/7/2)-(6/3/9/7/2)-(6/3/9/7/2) 96 $0.10 $9.60  6-9-2-3 $285.51 $275.91 2874%

Simulator Race results

 
MTH-1   07/27/2024 3300ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($47.5K) 2 ALL PT-12:50
See original race card.
:213 :444       :564   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MAKEIT TO CHEYENNE 5 2 1 11   13 1 (orseno josep)LOPEZ PASCACIO 117 3.00 18% 4.70 1.40 W
  (by LIAM'S MAP out of SPEIGHT'S COMETE by SPEIGHTSTOWN)
JUNGLE GLOW 1 4 3 33   3 2 (spina charles)TORRES JOMAR 117 8.00 5% 19.00 5.60 P
  (by CARAVAGGIO out of SUNLIT FOREST by BERNARDINI)
K PAZ 4 3 2 21   23 3 (ortega )GONZALEZ LUIS 117 10.00 59.30  
  (by ADIOS CHARLIE out of FLORENCE by KIRIDASHI)
DUMB MONEY 6 7 811½ 79   6 4 (sacco gregory )MARIN SAMUEL 117 10.00 8.90  
  (by SEA WIZARD out of CYCLICAL by MORE THAN READY)
U DIRTY DOG 8 1 45 45   4 58 (spina charles)RENDON JAIRO 117 3.50 18% 4.50 4.80  
  (by WEST COAST out of POOCHY by OFFLEE WILD)
CITY TIME 7 5 58 5   58 6 (sacco )ROJAS EDUARDO 117 6.00 9% 10.50 7.20  
  (by CITY OF LIGHT out of TIMESLOT by FIRST DEFENCE)
UNCLE TIMMY 2 8 6 68   7 710 (delgado jose )JARA FERNANDO 117 8.00 8% 11.30 4.30  
  (by TWIRLING CANDY out of SOMETHINGELSE by LEROIDESANIMAUX)
10  WOLF BEACH 9 6 711½ 811   811½ 810 (delgado j)VARGAS A 117 10.00 26.50  
  (by OMAHA BEACH out of CHANNEL PRINCESS by ENGLISH CHANNEL)
PRETTY SIXXY 3 9 936½ 936   936½ 951½ (grullon rique)IORIO MELISSA 112 15.00 66.20  
  (by DON SIX out of PRETTY VENEZUELA by BIRDSTONE)
SCR  PARLAY FOR DESTINY               (serey mario )CASTILLO ISAAC 117 12.00    
  (by HONOR A. P. out of SWEET DESTINY by STRONG PERFORMANCE)
SCR  SHOOTERSGOTTASHOOT               (serey ma)HERNANDEZ J 117 8.00    
  (by HONOR A. P. out of BEERSHEEBA by LIMEHOUSE)
 
MTH-2   07/27/2024 5610ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($17.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:19
See original race card.
:241 :49 1:134 1:394   1:463   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
IMAGINIZED 2 4 54 52 41 11 12 (gonzalez claud)MARIN SAMUEL 120 4.00 4.50  
THE HEIGHTS 4 2 3 31 1½ 21 22 (serey )ROJAS EDUARDO 121 4.00 4.30  
GUN RIGHT 6 7 75 63 5 32 36 (o'connell kat)IORIO MELISSA 116 3.00 34% 1.90 2.80 S
THAT SUN OF A GUN 7 5 65 7 6 6 411¼ (mcburney patri)RENDON JAIRO 116 3.50 19% 4.40 4.20  
QUINCY MARKET 5 3 2½ 2½ 31 57 512½ (ward dan)LOPEZ PASCACIO 121 3.50 3.40  
KERN RIVER 1 1 1½ 1½ 2½ 46 615¼ (potts wa)MARTINEZ FRANCISCO 114 10.00 12% 7.20 11.80  
EL DE LEO 3 6 43 4 7 715½ 728 (gonzale)ELLIOTT CHRISTOPHER 114 8.00 5% 19.00 11.00  
 
MTH-3   07/27/2024 3630ft TURF RC4 FIRM Maiden Claimer ($16K) Purse ($17.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:48
See original race card.
:223 :453 :573     1:034   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SOPHISTICATED CAT 1 5 1nk 1nk   14 1 (wilson tony)MARIN SAMUEL 119 3.00 26% 2.80 1.00 W
MO'S VINO MESA 9 6 711¼ 68   46 2 (wilson t)HERNANDEZ J 119 5.00 47% 1.10 6.70 P
WELLTON GIRL 8 2 5 56   56 3 (ortega )GONZALEZ LUIS 119 10.00 5% 19.00 57.80 S
PAINT ME BEAUTIFUL 4 3 2nk 2nk   24 4 (breen j)IORIO MELISSA 118 12.00 12.60  
MARYVIC 3 4 33 3   3 5 (avila carl)OLIVERO A 119 6.00 14.70  
10  NICKYS NOTION 10 1 46 4   6 69 (martin ra)VARGAS A 123 4.00 2.20  
SHAMU 5 10 1014¼ 912½   912¼ 713½ (dini mike)CAMACHO SAMY 119 8.00 19.10  
DENIM N LACE 6 8 914¼ 810½   812¼ 815 (bedard alan)OLVER MADISON 123 8.00 45.60  
TEDDY BALABAN 7 9 611 7   711¼ 916 (mcburney pat)CASTILLO ISAAC 123 6.00 21.30  
GOOD MAGICCHILD 2 7 812¼ 1015½   1018¼ 1025 (crook-demasi k)TORRES JOMAR 119 15.00 65.50  
SCR  I LOVE VENEZUELA               (yanez reynaldo)RENDON JAIRO 119 10.00    
SCR  LA BELLA BOROBETA               (aro mich)MARTINEZ FRANCISCO 112 10.00    
SCR  MYGIRLISABOMB               (bedard a)MARTINEZ FRANCISCO 112 6.00    
SCR  SUNNYRIDGE JAIME               (mcburney pat)LOPEZ PASCACIO 123 5.00    
 
MTH-4   07/27/2024 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($18.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:18
See original race card.
:251 :493 1:14 1:264   1:393   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CANADIAN PHAROAH 6 3 5 32 1½ 11 12 (gonzalez )VARGAS A 124 3.00 3.80  
ORDER OF MAGNITUDE 8 6 23 22 2½ 21 22 (walder peter)LOPEZ PASCACIO 124 1.60 33% 2.00 0.80 P
GIVE IT A GO 2 1 85 64 4 4 3 (gonzalez)HERNANDEZ J 124 10.00 33.80  
DURKIN'S CALL 4 7 7 43 3½ 32 4 (serey mario )CASTILLO ISAAC 124 8.00 5% 18.80 10.20  
WE BE THERE 5 2 13 12 53 5 5 (velazq)ROJAS EDUARDO 124 10.00 19.90  
KITTEN'S SPA 7 4 4 7 66 6 611¾ (collazo )MARTINEZ FRANCISCO 117 5.00 19% 4.10 12.90  
TUCKER ROAD 3 8 6 8 78 713½ 718 (whylie her)MITCHELL RICHARD 124 20.00 49.20  
SHOOT THEMESSENGER 1 5 33 5 89 816½ 822¼ (tessore bruno)MARIN SAMUEL 124 4.00 14% 5.90 4.00  
 
MTH-5   07/27/2024 3630ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($16K) Purse ($18K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:48
See original race card.
:222 :443 :561     1:021   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
JETAROS 4 3 11 12   14 1 (pompay terri)JARA FERNANDO 121 3.50 7% 13.60 4.40 W
NEW YORK STRONG 5 2 4 4   3 2 (delgado jorge)RENDON JAIRO 124 5.00 20% 4.10 3.80 P
SIR ROBERT HALL 9 1 21 22   24 3 (o'connell kat)IORIO MELISSA 116 6.00 9% 10.70 8.20 S
NATURAL STAR 2 7 5 67   6 4 (hernandez)VARGAS A 120 3.00 38% 1.70 1.80  
CAPTAIN QUICK 6 6 8 77   5 5 (milne )ROJAS EDUARDO 121 6.00 13.70  
TIE BREAKER 7 8 6 56   7 6 (sanchez jose)LOPEZ PASCACIO 121 4.50 4.10  
10  O'BRIEN 10 5 3 33   4 710¾ (dotolo david)OCASIO M 121 20.00 5% 19.00 41.90  
VINDICATED TIGER 8 4 7 89   8 810¾ (o'connell kath)MARIN SAMUEL 124 12.00 37.70  
MEROKEE 1 10 9 9   911¾ 912¼ (dini mike)CAMACHO SAMY 121 15.00 60.50  
IT'S A PITY 3 9 1012¾ 1012¼   1014¾ 1015½ (whylie her)MITCHELL RICHARD 119 30.00 35.80  
SCR  GRAND AGAIN               (shivmanga)BOCACHICA J 116 20.00    
 
MTH-6   07/27/2024 3300ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($52.5K) 2 F PT- 3:14
See original race card.
:223 :47       :594   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
PIGGY TALES UP 2 2 2nk 2nk   1 1 (ward dan)BRAVO J 117 4.00 29% 2.50 2.30 W
  (by MITOLE out of HOPEFUL UNION by DIXIE UNION)
BEE BLUFF 8 4 3 31   2 2 (schultz lind)LOPEZ PASCACIO 117 5.00 6.90  
  (by DAREDEVIL out of THE VAPORS by CONGRATS)
KAI KAI 9 3 5 5   33 3 (medina ro)VARGAS A 117 6.00 14.80 S
  (by AUTHENTIC out of CONIAH by HARLINGTON)
LITTLE SQUEEZE 7 9 10 8   45 4 (delgado jorge)RENDON JAIRO 117 6.00 9.40  
  (by UNION RAGS out of UNCHAIN HER HEART by SHACKLEFORD)
UNBOUNDED MOVEMENT 6 7 8 7   5 57 (delgado jorge)OLVER MADISON 117 4.50 25% 3.00 2.80  
  (by GLOBAL CAMPAIGN out of I THINK SO by PROUD CITIZEN)
C C GIRL 5 10 9 9   88 69 (hills timot)BURNHAM MATILDA 110 12.00 5% 19.00 28.10  
  (by CATALINA CRUISER out of LOOKIN VIBRANT by LOOKIN AT LUCKY)
10  LADY COLLECTED 10 1 1nk 1nk   6 79 (ortega )GONZALEZ LUIS 117 20.00 39.10  
  (by COLLECTED out of MRS. COOPER by UNIFIED)
SCREEN 4 6 7 10   1010 810¾ (pletcher todd)JARA FERNANDO 117 6.00 4.70  
  (by INTO MISCHIEF out of GLOBAL GOLD by PLEASANT TAP)
MI BELLA GENIO 1 5 4 42   77 911¼ (avila carl)OLIVERO A 117 6.00 9.40  
  (by CATALINA CRUISER out of PLAYA BLANCA by UNBRIDLED'S SONG)
MYA WAY 3 8 6 6   99 1011¼ (schultz lind)CASTILLO ISAAC 117 10.00 5% 19.00 29.60  
  (by MIDNIGHT STORM out of UNION WAY by UNION RAGS)
 
MTH-7   07/27/2024 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($8K) Purse ($21K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:44
See original race card.
:242 :481 1:133 1:27   1:402   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
AFY KID 4 1 31 21 1½ 11 1¼ (gonzalez )VARGAS A 121 6.00 10% 9.00 7.00 W
CUMBERLAND BLUES 5 4 42 7 7 3 2¼ (potts wayne)LOPEZ PASCACIO 124 3.50 2.70  
DUDLEY DICKERSON 6 8 7 53 5 43 3 (perez ruperto )AGUILAR JEAN 117 8.00 5% 19.00 16.30 S
HOME SCHOOL (IRE) 7 5 6 43 3½ 21 4 (serey mario )GONZALEZ CESAR 109 15.00 30.50  
KING RAMOS 3 3 83 8 42 54 5 (o'connell kath)MARIN SAMUEL 121 6.00 24% 3.10 6.60  
PREDICTED 2 2 21 3 6 6 6 (delgado jorge)OLVER MADISON 121 2.50 35% 1.80 1.90  
LOOKIN' SUPER 1 7 5 6 8 8 713¾ (potts wayne)JARA FERNANDO 121 3.00 5.70  
FIRST MONEY 8 6 11 11 2½ 7 814½ (hawthorne bob)OCASIO M 121 6.00 8.50  
 
MTH-8   07/27/2024 5610ft DIRT RC12 FAST Monmouth Oaks Purse ($250K) 3 F PT- 4:14
See original race card.
:243 :484 1:13 1:381   1:444   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCALABLE 1 3 5 4 4 2nk 1¾ (pletcher tod)LOPEZ PASCACIO 118 4.00 14% 6.10 3.30 W
  (by SPEIGHTSTOWN out of PASSION FLOWER by TAPIT)
GUN SONG 5 4 2½ 31 2nk 1nk 2¾ (hennig ma)LEPAROUX R 122 2.00 41% 1.40 1.50 P
  (by GUN RUNNER out of NICOLE H by MR. GREELEY)
LITTLE JAMIE 8 5 1½ 2nk 1nk 31 3 (medina ro)VARGAS A 116 3.50 18% 4.60 7.50 S
  (by COLLECTED out of SUDDEN HEAT by CONGRATS)
REGALED 3 6 8 8 8 510 4 (davis g)BOYCE FOREST 116 5.00 23.50  
  (by MOHAYMEN out of ASCOT WALK by DAAHER)
MY TWO SOPHIA'S 6 2 4 5 5 48 510¾ (sacco gregory )CAMACHO SAMY 118 30.00 35.80  
  (by HOPPERTUNITY out of MUTUAL FUND by NOTEBOOK)
CHILLED 2 8 7 6 6 611 616¼ (oliver victoria)BRAVO J 118 4.50 2.50  
  (by FROSTED out of SNUCK OUT by INTO MISCHIEF)
YES TO CHAMPAGNE 4 1 3½ 1nk 31 711¼ 717¾ (wilkes r)RENDON JAIRO 118 6.00 11.20  
  (by MITOLE out of GLENCOE CHURCH by CAPOTE)
LADY LALA 7 7 6 7 7 817¼ 825¾ (o'connell kath)MARIN SAMUEL 118 12.00 5% 19.00 29.70  
  (by GIRVIN out of ALLYOUNEEDISLOVIN by HIGH COTTON)
 
MTH-9   07/27/2024 3630ft TURF RC10 FIRM Allowance Purse ($50K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:44
See original race card.
:23 :451 :57     1:03   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
HOPESNDREAMS 6 1 12 11   1 1 (dini mike)CAMACHO SAMY 117 4.50 31% 2.30 2.20 W
BODACIOUS BREN 9 6 22 21   2 2 (gallegos jos)CASTILLO ISAAC 121 8.00 18% 4.40 22.50 P
HAPPY N SMILING 2 9 8 56   3 3 (schultz lind)LOPEZ PASCACIO 117 6.00 8.70 S
OUR DOTSIE 3 3 9 87   58 4 (oliver victoria)BRAVO J 121 3.00 27% 2.70 2.70  
AWESOMENEWYEAR 7 2 33 45   69 5 (collazo )MARTINEZ FRANCISCO 114 10.00 5% 19.00 12.60  
SADIE BABY 1 4 4 34   4 6 (mcburney patri)MARIN SAMUEL 121 4.00 4.20  
SEA MAIDEN 4 5 7 98   913 711¼ (huston k)IORIO MELISSA 116 6.00 9.70  
ROAD TO DREAMS 5 7 6 7   712 811¾ (chacon gustav)OCASIO M 121 15.00 48.90  
CANDY ARCADE 8 8 5 66   812 912 (ward dan)LEPAROUX R 121 8.00 8.00  
SCR  PARISIAN VIBE               (ramirez silvin)RENDON JAIRO 121 20.00    
 
MTH-10   07/27/2024 5280ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($10K) Purse ($17.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:13
See original race card.
:25 :493 1:152 1:292   1:434   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
FLAG SONG FLYIN 7 2 31 3.2 2½ 11 1 (gallegos jose )RENDON JAIRO 119 2.50 66% 0.50 1.20 W
LA DE PELUCHE 1 7 6 5 3 3 2 (avila carl)OLIVERO A 118 10.00 23.90  
CHACHITA 6 4 53 62 1½ 21 3 (gomez pompey)GONZALEZ CESAR 109 15.00 5% 19.00 39.50 S
HIGHLAND HOLIDAY 4 3 11 1nk 5 68 410¼ (dini mike)IORIO MELISSA 114 3.00 3.10  
PARIS GARTERS 5 1 21 2nk 65 58 511 (hurley )ELLIOTT CHRISTOPHER 112 3.50 6% 14.50 3.50  
BABY CAKES 3 6 7 74 43 4 621½ (ortega )GONZALEZ LUIS 123 12.00 18.40  
BAHAMIAN BABY 2 5 4 4 77 714 728¾ (yanez reynal)LOPEZ PASCACIO 119 4.00 5.90  
ALI'S HANNAH 8 8 8 86 811 820 831¼ (pantaleo jo)BURNHAM MATILDA 112 20.00 32.60  
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

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