Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Monmouth Park
Saturday - July 27, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
MTH-1   WIN (9/5/7/2/1) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (9/5/7/2/1)-(9/5/7/2/1) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (9/5/7/2/1)-(9/5/7/2/1)-(9/5/7/2/1) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
MTH-2   WIN (6/7/1/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (6/7/1/3)-(6/7/1/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (6/7/1/3)-(6/7/1/3)-(6/7/1/3) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
MTH-3   WIN (9/1/8) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (9/1/8)-(9/1/10/3/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (9/1/8)-(9/1/10/3/8)-(9/1/10/3/8) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
MTH-4   WIN (8/7/1/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (8/7/1/4)-(8/7/1/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (8/7/1/4)-(8/7/1/4)-(8/7/1/4) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
MTH-5   WIN (2/5/9/4/10) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (2/5/9/4/10)-(2/5/9/4/10) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (2/5/9/4/10)-(2/5/9/4/10)-(2/5/9/4/10) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
MTH-6   WIN (2/6/3/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/6/3/5)-(2/6/3/5/9) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (2/6/3/5)-(2/6/3/5/9)-(2/6/3/5/9) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
MTH-7   WIN (2/3/4/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/3/4/6)-(2/3/4/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/3/4/6)-(2/3/4/6)-(2/3/4/6) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
MTH-8   WIN (5/8/1/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/8/1/7)-(5/8/1/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/8/1/7)-(5/8/1/7)-(5/8/1/7) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
MTH-9   WIN (6/3/9/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (6/3/9/7)-(6/3/9/7/2) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (6/3/9/7)-(6/3/9/7/2)-(6/3/9/7/2) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
MTH-10   WIN (7/5/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (7/5/6)-(7/5/4/6) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (7/5/6)-(7/5/4/6)-(7/5/4/6) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
MTH-1   07/27/2024 3300ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($47.5K) 2 ALL PT-12:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  JUNGLE GLOW Jun21         (spina charles)TORRES JOMAR 117 8.00 5% 19.00    
  (by CARAVAGGIO out of SUNLIT FOREST by BERNARDINI)
2  UNCLE TIMMY         (delgado jose )JARA FERNANDO 117 8.00 8% 11.30    
  (by TWIRLING CANDY out of SOMETHINGELSE by LEROIDESANIMAUX)
3  PRETTY SIXXY         (grullon rique)IORIO MELISSA 112 15.00    
  (by DON SIX out of PRETTY VENEZUELA by BIRDSTONE)
4  K PAZ         (ortega )GONZALEZ LUIS 117 10.00    
  (by ADIOS CHARLIE out of FLORENCE by KIRIDASHI)
5  MAKEIT TO CHEYENNE May11         (orseno josep)LOPEZ PASCACIO 117 3.00 18% 4.70    
  (by LIAM'S MAP out of SPEIGHT'S COMETE by SPEIGHTSTOWN)
6  DUMB MONEY         (sacco gregory )MARIN SAMUEL 117 10.00    
  (by SEA WIZARD out of CYCLICAL by MORE THAN READY)
7  CITY TIME Jun21         (sacco )ROJAS EDUARDO 117 6.00 9% 10.50    
  (by CITY OF LIGHT out of TIMESLOT by FIRST DEFENCE)
SCR  SHOOTERSGOTTASHOOT         (serey ma)HERNANDEZ J 117 8.00    
  (by HONOR A. P. out of BEERSHEEBA by LIMEHOUSE)
9  U DIRTY DOG Jul04 Jun02       (spina charles)RENDON JAIRO 117 3.50 18% 4.50    
  (by WEST COAST out of POOCHY by OFFLEE WILD)
10  WOLF BEACH         (delgado j)VARGAS A 117 10.00    
  (by OMAHA BEACH out of CHANNEL PRINCESS by ENGLISH CHANNEL)
SCR  PARLAY FOR DESTINY         (serey mario )CASTILLO ISAAC 117 12.00    
  (by HONOR A. P. out of SWEET DESTINY by STRONG PERFORMANCE)
 
MTH-2   07/27/2024 5610ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($17.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:19
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  KERN RIVER Jul07 Jun22 Jun02 Jan01 Dec14 (potts wa)MARTINEZ FRANCISCO 114 10.00 12% 7.20    
2  IMAGINIZED Jul14 Jul04 Jun16 Jun08 May18 (gonzalez claud)MARIN SAMUEL 120 4.00    
3  EL DE LEO Jul06 Jun28 Jun02 May12 Mar24 (gonzale)ELLIOTT CHRISTOPHER 114 8.00 5% 19.00    
4  THE HEIGHTS Jul21 Jul04 Jun16 Jun08 May18 (serey )ROJAS EDUARDO 121 4.00    
5  QUINCY MARKET Jun22 May18 Apr19 Mar29 Feb10 (ward dan)LOPEZ PASCACIO 121 3.50    
6  GUN RIGHT Jul05 Jun16 May18 May01 Mar22 (o'connell kat)IORIO MELISSA 116 3.00 34% 1.90    
7  THAT SUN OF A GUN Jun22 May26 May12 Mar16 Feb23 (mcburney )BOCACHICA J 116 3.50 19% 4.40    
 
MTH-3   07/27/2024 3630ft TURF RC4 FIRM Maiden Claimer ($16K) Purse ($17.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:48
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SOPHISTICATED CAT Jun30 May26 May03     (wilson tony)MARIN SAMUEL 119 3.00 26% 2.80    
2  GOOD MAGICCHILD Jun12 Apr10       (crook-demasi k)TORRES JOMAR 119 15.00    
3  MARYVIC Jul14 Apr27       (avila carl)OLIVERO A 119 6.00 ★    
4  PAINT ME BEAUTIFUL Jun08 Aug27 Jul23 Jun24 Jun11 (breen j)IORIO MELISSA 118 12.00    
5  SHAMU Jun30 Jun15 May25 Apr24 Mar13 (dini mike)CAMACHO SAMY 119 8.00    
6  DENIM N LACE Jun30 Jun21 May26 Dec14 Nov09 (bedard alan)OLVER MADISON 123 8.00    
7  TEDDY BALABAN Feb11 Jan26 Dec23     (mcburney pat)CASTILLO ISAAC 123 6.00    
8  WELLTON GIRL Jul12 Jun21 May26 Sep02 Aug13 (ortega )GONZALEZ LUIS 119 10.00 5% 19.00    
9  MO'S VINO MESA Jun30 May30 May04 Apr05 Dec02 (wilson t)HERNANDEZ J 119 5.00 47% 1.10    
10  NICKYS NOTION Jul14 Jun23 May25 Aug05 Jun11 (martin ra)VARGAS A 123 4.00 ★    
SCR  LA BELLA BOROBETA Jun26 Jun12 Mar26 Feb28 Jan31 (aro mich)MARTINEZ FRANCISCO 112 10.00    
SCR  I LOVE VENEZUELA Jun16 May03 Feb07 Dec01 Nov04 (yanez reynaldo)RENDON JAIRO 119 10.00    
SCR  SUNNYRIDGE JAIME Jul06 Aug27 Jul23 Jun11 May20 (mcburney pat)LOPEZ PASCACIO 123 5.00    
SCR  MYGIRLISABOMB Jul14 Jun23 Jun09 May25 Sep23 (bedard a)MARTINEZ FRANCISCO 112 6.00    
 
MTH-4   07/27/2024 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($18.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:18
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SHOOT THEMESSENGER Jun16 Apr26 Apr07 Mar16 Mar02 (tessore bruno)MARIN SAMUEL 124 4.00 14% 5.90    
2  GIVE IT A GO Jul19 Jun28 Jun16 May27 May12 (gonzalez)HERNANDEZ J 124 10.00    
3  TUCKER ROAD Jul09 Jun04 May14 Apr05 Mar13 (whylie her)MITCHELL RICHARD 124 20.00    
4  DURKIN'S CALL Jul19 Jul07 Jun22 Jun01 May25 (serey mario )CASTILLO ISAAC 124 8.00 5% 18.80    
5  WE BE THERE Jul03 Jun17 May29 May13 Apr16 (velazq)ROJAS EDUARDO 124 10.00    
6  CANADIAN PHAROAH Jul07 Jun29 Jun22 May27 May05 (gonzalez )VARGAS A 124 3.00    
7  KITTEN'S SPA Jun18 Jun05 May04 Apr25 Mar22 (collazo )MARTINEZ FRANCISCO 117 5.00 19% 4.10    
8  ORDER OF MAGNITUDE May25 Mar17 Feb11 Nov29 Aug12 (walder peter)LOPEZ PASCACIO 124 1.60 33% 2.00    
 
MTH-5   07/27/2024 3630ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($16K) Purse ($18K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:48
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MEROKEE Jul07 Jun23 May27 Apr26 Apr12 (dini mike)CAMACHO SAMY 121 15.00    
2  NATURAL STAR Jul07 Jun23 May27 Feb10 Jan24 (hernandez)VARGAS A 120 3.00 38% 1.70    
3  IT'S A PITY Jul10 Jun16 Jun03 May14 Apr24 (whylie her)MITCHELL RICHARD 119 30.00    
4  JETAROS Jul27 Jun10 May20 Apr23 Apr07 (pompay terri)JARA FERNANDO 121 3.50 7% 13.60    
5  NEW YORK STRONG Jul13 Jun23 Jun09 Mar20 Oct20 (delgado jorge)RENDON JAIRO 124 5.00 20% 4.10    
6  CAPTAIN QUICK Jul07 Jun16 Nov02 Oct13 Aug26 (milne )ROJAS EDUARDO 121 6.00    
7  TIE BREAKER Jul13 May09 Apr18 Jul21 Jun18 (sanchez jose)LOPEZ PASCACIO 121 4.50    
8  VINDICATED TIGER Jul07 Jun23 Jun02 May03 Apr13 (o'connell kath)MARIN SAMUEL 124 12.00    
9  SIR ROBERT HALL Jul07 Jun23 May19 Apr12 Mar22 (o'connell kat)IORIO MELISSA 116 6.00 9% 10.70    
10  O'BRIEN Dec06 Oct24 Aug26 Jul18 Nov16 (dotolo david)OCASIO M 121 20.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  GRAND AGAIN Apr18 Mar21 Feb29 Feb11 Jan14 (shivmanga)BOCACHICA J 116 20.00    
 
MTH-6   07/27/2024 3300ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($52.5K) 2 F PT- 3:14
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MI BELLA GENIO         (avila carl)OLIVERO A 117 6.00    
  (by CATALINA CRUISER out of PLAYA BLANCA by UNBRIDLED'S SONG)
2  PIGGY TALES UP         (ward dan)BRAVO J 117 4.00 29% 2.50    
  (by MITOLE out of HOPEFUL UNION by DIXIE UNION)
3  MYA WAY         (schultz lind)CASTILLO ISAAC 117 10.00 5% 19.00    
  (by MIDNIGHT STORM out of UNION WAY by UNION RAGS)
4  SCREEN         (pletcher todd)JARA FERNANDO 117 6.00    
  (by INTO MISCHIEF out of GLOBAL GOLD by PLEASANT TAP)
5  C C GIRL         (hills timot)BURNHAM MATILDA 110 12.00 5% 19.00    
  (by CATALINA CRUISER out of LOOKIN VIBRANT by LOOKIN AT LUCKY)
6  UNBOUNDED MOVEMENT         (delgado jorge)OLVER MADISON 117 4.50 25% 3.00    
  (by GLOBAL CAMPAIGN out of I THINK SO by PROUD CITIZEN)
7  LITTLE SQUEEZE         (delgado jorge)RENDON JAIRO 117 6.00    
  (by UNION RAGS out of UNCHAIN HER HEART by SHACKLEFORD)
8  BEE BLUFF         (schultz lind)LOPEZ PASCACIO 117 5.00    
  (by DAREDEVIL out of THE VAPORS by CONGRATS)
9  KAI KAI         (medina ro)VARGAS A 117 6.00 ★    
  (by AUTHENTIC out of CONIAH by HARLINGTON)
10  LADY COLLECTED Jun16         (ortega )GONZALEZ LUIS 117 20.00    
  (by COLLECTED out of MRS. COOPER by UNIFIED)
 
MTH-7   07/27/2024 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($8K) Purse ($21K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:44
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LOOKIN' SUPER Jul13 Jun29 May19 Apr20 Dec12 (potts wayne)JARA FERNANDO 121 3.00    
2  PREDICTED Jun28 Jun08 May18 May04 Apr07 (delgado jorge)OLVER MADISON 121 2.50 35% 1.80    
3  KING RAMOS Jul12 May25 May04 Mar13 Feb14 (o'connell kath)MARIN SAMUEL 121 6.00 24% 3.10    
4  AFY KID Jun28 Jun08 May26 Mar26 Mar12 (gonzalez )VARGAS A 121 6.00 10% 9.00    
5  CUMBERLAND BLUES Jul12 Jun28 May18 Sep22 Aug03 (potts wayne)LOPEZ PASCACIO 124 3.50    
6  DUDLEY DICKERSON Jul09 Jun26 May20 May07 Apr08 (perez ruperto )AGUILAR JEAN 117 8.00 5% 19.00    
7  HOME SCHOOL (IRE) Jul12 Jun28 May25 May11 Apr27 (serey mario )GONZALEZ CESAR 109 15.00    
8  FIRST MONEY Jun24 May28 May07 Mar06 Feb07 (hawthorne bob)OCASIO M 121 6.00    
 
MTH-8   07/27/2024 5610ft DIRT RC12 FAST Monmouth Oaks Purse ($250K) 3 F PT- 4:14
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SCALABLE Jun29 May03 Mar30 Feb03 Jan04 (pletcher tod)LOPEZ PASCACIO 118 4.00 14% 6.10    
  (by SPEIGHTSTOWN out of PASSION FLOWER by TAPIT)
2  CHILLED Jun22 Jun01 May03 Apr07 Oct29 (oliver victoria)BRAVO J 118 4.50    
  (by FROSTED out of SNUCK OUT by INTO MISCHIEF)
3  REGALED Jul08 Jun09 May11 Apr28 Apr06 (davis g)BOYCE FOREST 116 5.00    
  (by MOHAYMEN out of ASCOT WALK by DAAHER)
4  YES TO CHAMPAGNE Jun29 May12 Jan28 Dec24 Nov16 (wilkes r)RENDON JAIRO 118 6.00    
  (by MITOLE out of GLENCOE CHURCH by CAPOTE)
5  GUN SONG Jun07 May17 Mar30 Feb09 Jan11 (hennig ma)LEPAROUX R 122 2.00 41% 1.40    
  (by GUN RUNNER out of NICOLE H by MR. GREELEY)
6  MY TWO SOPHIA'S Jun30 May11 Jul21     (sacco gregory )CAMACHO SAMY 118 30.00    
  (by HOPPERTUNITY out of MUTUAL FUND by NOTEBOOK)
7  LADY LALA Jun21 Apr27       (o'connell kathleen)NO RIDER 118 12.00 5% 19.00    
  (by GIRVIN out of ALLYOUNEEDISLOVIN by HIGH COTTON)
8  LITTLE JAMIE Jul06 Jun01 May03 Apr07 Mar09 (medina ro)VARGAS A 116 3.50 18% 4.60    
  (by COLLECTED out of SUDDEN HEAT by CONGRATS)
 
MTH-9   07/27/2024 3630ft TURF RC10 FIRM Allowance Purse ($50K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:44
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SADIE BABY Jun30 Jun02 May18 Apr26 Oct06 (mcburney patri)MARIN SAMUEL 121 4.00    
2  HAPPY N SMILING Apr04 Jan26 Dec31 Dec09   (schultz lind)LOPEZ PASCACIO 117 6.00 ★    
3  OUR DOTSIE Jul13 Jun28 May30 Mar03 Jan31 (oliver victoria)BRAVO J 121 3.00 27% 2.70    
4  SEA MAIDEN Jul06 Jun02 May18 Oct24 Oct06 (huston k)IORIO MELISSA 116 6.00    
5  ROAD TO DREAMS Jul09 Jun17 May27 May14 May06 (chacon gustav)OCASIO M 121 15.00    
6  HOPESNDREAMS Jul13 Jun28 Jun01 May04 Apr10 (dini mike)CAMACHO SAMY 117 4.50 31% 2.30    
7  AWESOMENEWYEAR Jul04 Jun12 May13 Nov07 Sep21 (collazo )MARTINEZ FRANCISCO 114 10.00 5% 19.00    
8  CANDY ARCADE Jun29 Jun16 May26 Apr19 Mar30 (ward dan)LEPAROUX R 121 8.00    
9  BODACIOUS BREN Jun08 May26 May03 Feb09 Jan24 (gallegos jos)CASTILLO ISAAC 121 8.00 18% 4.40    
SCR  PARISIAN VIBE Jul04 Jun22 Apr24 Apr02 Mar19 (ramirez silvin)RENDON JAIRO 121 20.00    
 
MTH-10   07/27/2024 5280ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($10K) Purse ($17.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:13
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LA DE PELUCHE Jun22 Jun08 May25 Apr21 Apr07 (avila jua)BOCACHICA J 118 10.00    
2  BAHAMIAN BABY Apr28 Mar30 Feb24 Feb07 Nov17 (yanez reynal)LOPEZ PASCACIO 119 4.00    
3  BABY CAKES Jul06 Jun22 Jun08 May18 Mar03 (ortega )GONZALEZ LUIS 123 12.00    
4  HIGHLAND HOLIDAY Jul06 Jun30 Jun15 May25 Apr26 (dini mike)IORIO MELISSA 114 3.00 ★    
5  PARIS GARTERS Jul07 May29 Apr27 Mar29 Mar16 (hurley )ELLIOTT CHRISTOPHER 112 3.50 6% 14.50    
6  CHACHITA Jun09 May26 Apr24     (gomez pompey)GONZALEZ CESAR 109 15.00 5% 19.00    
7  FLAG SONG FLYIN Jul06 Jun28 Jun09 May26 May03 (gallegos jose )RENDON JAIRO 119 2.50 66% 0.50    
8  ALI'S HANNAH Jul06 Jun22 Jun09     (pantaleo jo)BURNHAM MATILDA 112 20.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.