Handicappers' Race Results

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The Longshot Hunter!

Saratoga
Friday - August 16, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

SAR-1   EXA (7/3/2/6)-(7/3/2/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00  3-2 $24.00 $12.00 100%
    TRI (7/3/2/6)-(7/3/2/6)-(7/3/2/6) 24 $0.50 $12.00  3-2-6 $61.87 $49.87 416%
SAR-2   WIN (2/4) 2 $2.00 $4.00  2 $5.10 $1.10 28%
    DD (7/3/2/6)-(2/4) 8 $1.00 $8.00  3-2 $9.50 $1.50 19%
SAR-4   EXA (5/6/3)-(5/6/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00  5-6 $9.90 $3.90 65%
    TRI (5/6/3)-(5/6/3)-(5/6/3) 6 $0.50 $3.00  5-6-3 $13.00 $10.00 333%
SAR-7   EXA (7/3/1)-(7/3/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00  7-1 $10.70 $4.70 78%
    TRI (7/3/1)-(7/3/1)-(7/3/1) 6 $0.50 $3.00  7-1-3 $13.75 $10.75 358%
SAR-8   WIN (1/2/8/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00  2 $12.80 $4.80 60%
SAR-9   WIN (7/4/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00  4 $6.90 $0.90 15%
    DD (1/2/8/7)-(7/4/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00  2-4 $19.00 $7.00 58%
SAR-10   EXA (2/10/1/6/3)-(2/10/1/6/3) 20 $1.00 $20.00  10-1 $26.25 $6.25 31%
    DD (7/4/6)-(2/10/1/6/3) 15 $1.00 $15.00  4-10 $17.20 $2.20 15%
    PK3 (1/2/8/7)-(7/4/6)-(2/10/1/6/3) 60 $1.00 $60.00  2-4-10 $77.00 $17.00 28%

Simulator Race results

 
SAR-1   08/16/2024 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($25K) Purse ($60K) 4UP M/F PT- 1:10
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.   M/L W/P B/E F/O
OBRIGADA   (rodriguez rudy)PRAT FLAVIEN 118 5.00 18% 4.70 2.25 W
APRIL ANTICS   (barrera oscar)FRANCO MANUEL 118 10.00 17% 4.90 11.50 P
TRADE SECRET   (rodriguez rudy)ORTIZ L 118 6.00 5% 19.00 6.50 S
HALO CITY   (nevin michelle)CARMOUCHE K 123 3.50 5.00  
WHISTLER'S STYLE   (noda orlan)GAFFALIONE TYLER 123 3.50 8.00  
TARA'S TALENT   (moore michae)HERNANDEZ ANDY 118 10.00 13.10  
PRETTI XTREME   (rice linda)DAVIS DYLAN 123 2.00 20% 4.00 2.00  
 
SAR-2   08/16/2024 3630ft TURF RC11 GOOD Skidmore Purse ($150K) 2 ALL PT- 1:41
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.   M/L W/P B/E F/O
OUT ON BAIL   (maker michael )ORTIZ L 122 6.00 49% 1.00 1.55 W
  (by TIZ THE LAW out of JUDGE LEE by STREET CRY)
JET SWEEP JOE   (mcentee p)BEALMEAR C 122 5.00 2.15  
  (by FROSTED out of SISTER BLUES by PIONEEROF THE NILE)
SPIRALIZER   (asmussen steve)PRAT FLAVIEN 122 8.00 2.35  
  (by TWIRLING CANDY out of JOTOWN by SPEIGHTSTOWN)
CLASSIC TIME   (casse mark)DAVIS DYLAN 122 12.00 5% 19.00 4.20  
  (by CLASSIC EMPIRE out of READING ROOM by INDIAN CHARLIE)
SCR  GOVERNOR SAM   (weaver geo)GAFFALIONE TYLER 122 1.40    
  (by IMPROBABLE out of I'M BETTY G by INTO MISCHIEF)
SCR  RAISE THE BAR   (ward a)VELAZQUEZ R 122 1.80    
  (by MACLEAN'S MUSIC out of PASCHALI by BERNARDINI)
SCR  SOONTOBEKING   (weaver george)CANCEL ERIC 122 3.50    
  (by KING FOR A DAY out of SWAYED by FREUD)
 
SAR-3   08/16/2024 4290ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($95K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:13
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BOSS TWEED   (contessa ga)ALVARADO JUNIOR 118 6.00 3.60  
FAST BUCK FREDDY   (abreu r)PRAT FLAVIEN 122 4.00 5% 18.80 3.70 P
LIBERTY CENTRAL   (quick pa)GOMEZ ANTONIO 120 6.00 2.45  
1A  WINE RESPONSIBLY   (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 118 2.00 37% 1.70 8.50  
TOSCANO   (rivelli larry)ORTIZ L 120 3.00 25% 3.00 1.65  
SCR  BROWN EYED CAT   (levine bruce)CASTELLANO J 120 4.00    
SCR  LAND D'ORO   (clement christ)ROSARIO JOEL 120 2.00    
 
SAR-4   08/16/2024 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($25K) Purse ($45K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:45
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.   M/L W/P B/E F/O
WHISKEY N SODA   (noda orlando)DAVIS DYLAN 120 2.00 55% 0.80 1.70 W
FRIZZANTE   (sacco gre)DETTORI LANFRANCO 120 4.50 10% 8.90 5.60 P
ANDY CANT   (kantarmaci me)FRANCO MANUEL 125 5.00 5% 17.30 4.50 S
1A  CHALKY CAT   (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 123 3.50 4.40  
INCANTATION   (bond ja)ROSARIO JOEL 123 12.00 13.10  
ALLIED ATTACK   (maker michael )ORTIZ L 118 6.00 3.20  
SCR  DUNE ROAD   (rice linda)CARMOUCHE K 118 3.50    
SCR  REFUAH   (jacobson david)VAZQUEZ A 123 6.00    
 
SAR-5   08/16/2024 5610ft TURF RC7 GOOD Claiming ($50K) Purse ($60K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:17
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LADY FIREFOOT   (giddings mel)BRIDGMOHAN X 123 15.00 11.00  
HIGHWAY HARMONY   (abreu r)PRAT FLAVIEN 123 4.00 39% 1.60 2.65 P
WISH LIST   (terranova p)SAEZ LUIS 125 10.00 6% 17.10 4.50 S
FROM HELLO   (brown r)DAVIS DYLAN 123 8.00 5% 19.00 4.20  
10  SACRED IMAGE   (brown c)FRANCO MANUEL 118 2.50 2.80  
ALETTE D'ORO   (ferraro james )LUZZI J 120 20.00 29.25  
MAGIC EIGHT BALL   (morley t)GOMEZ ANTONIO 120 12.00 13.00  
DESTINE TO RACE   (rice linda)ORTIZ L 123 6.00 5% 19.00 9.10  
SCR  EVIE DOES IT   (sacco gregory )LEZCANO JOSE 123 8.00 23% 3.40    
SCR  SIZZLE   (lewis lisa)GAFFALIONE TYLER 120 6.00    
 
SAR-6   08/16/2024 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($30K) Purse ($45K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:49
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DUNEDIN CAUSEWAY   (paragallo )RIVERA R 119 8.00 4.60  
MAMA'S MIDDIE   (maker michael )ORTIZ L 119 1.80 23% 3.40 3.10 P
IRIE MAN   (baker charlton)PRAT FLAVIEN 119 3.50 5.40  
BRACA   (barrera oscar )ROSARIO JOEL 119 4.00 1.90  
FOUR EYES   (follett norman)LUZZI J 124 15.00 5% 19.00 31.50  
SAFFREDI   (bond kevin)CARMOUCHE K 119 5.00 14.60  
IRISH TIDES   (persa)HERNANDEZ OMAR 124 20.00 21% 3.80 24.75  
DISCO DANCER   (arriaga an)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119 8.00 21% 3.80 5.90  
 
SAR-7   08/16/2024 3630ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($90K) 2 ALL PT- 4:23
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.   M/L W/P B/E F/O
PAY THE JUICE   (mcgaughey clau)PRAT FLAVIEN 119 1.80 40% 1.50 0.55 W
  (by OMAHA BEACH out of OUT OF ORBIT by MALIBU MOON)
ONE VISION   (terranova p)SAEZ LUIS 119 6.00 5% 19.00 9.20 P
  (by CENTRAL BANKER out of SCIENCE FICTION by TALE OF THE CAT)
ARMY PROUD   (sharp joe)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119 5.00 29% 2.50 3.85 S
  (by ARMY MULE out of JC'S SHOOTING STAR by MIRACLE MAN)
SWIFT MAGIC   (weaver george)FRANCO MANUEL 119 4.00 6.80  
  (by GOOD SAMARITAN out of HELEN SUNG by CANDY RIDE (ARG))
SON OF HONOR   (avila juan )ALVARADO JUNIOR 119 8.00 10.10  
  (by MORE THAN READY out of BITACORA by DOMINUS)
STORMY BIRTHDAY   (ribaud)MARAGH RAMSAY 119 20.00 24.50  
  (by GET STORMY out of BIRTHDAY GIFT by HAT TRICK)
SCR  BOLD FORTUNE   (weaver george)DAVIS DYLAN 119 3.00    
  (by CENTRAL BANKER out of MIGHT BE by POSSE)
SCR  CALVIN'S RIDE   (terranova john )DAVIS DYLAN 119 6.00    
  (by TEMPLE CITY out of PRIDE OF PARIS by SHARP HUMOR)
SCR  DOOMED   (abreu jo)SANTANA JR 119 10.00    
  (by VOLATILE out of FEY by FLOWER ALLEY)
SCR  EPITAPH   (contessa c)DAVIS KATIE 119 20.00    
  (by COUNTRY HOUSE out of BARB'S ON EDGE by INTO MISCHIEF)
SCR  JOEVIA'S FIRST   (sacco greg)RIVERA R 119 20.00    
  (by JOEVIA out of ISLAND KITTEN by KITTEN'S JOY)
SCR  MORE THERAPY   (dutrow anthony)ORTIZ L 119 10.00    
  (by MORE THAN READY out of CHAMPAGNE THERAPY by FREUD)
 
SAR-8   08/16/2024 5280ft TURF RC3 GOOD Alw Opt Clm ($62.5K) Purse ($115K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:59
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BREATH AWAY (GB)   (clement christ)ORTIZ L 122 4.50 27% 2.70 5.40 W
TAX IMPLICATIONS (GB)   (brown c)PRAT FLAVIEN 124 1.20 45% 1.20 1.05 P
MALLEYMOO   (clement christo)DAVIS DYLAN 122 15.00 13.60  
SWOOP TO FINISH   (mott willia)ALVARADO JUNIOR 124 12.00 21.80  
ELOUNDA QUEEN (IRE)   (cox h)ROSARIO JOEL 122 5.00 3.60  
QUARREL   (ribaud)MARAGH RAMSAY 122 8.00 16.20  
CAROLINE STREET   (walsh bren)GAFFALIONE TYLER 122 8.00 5% 19.00 7.40  
TITLED LADY   (amoss m)SAEZ LUIS 122 20.00 5% 19.00 19.90  
SCR  ALLAMERICANBEAUTY   (mcgaughey)DETTORI LANFRANCO 122 15.00    
SCR  INTO HAPPINESS   (hennig mark)VELAZQUEZ R 122 8.00    
SCR  SIGNAL FROM NOISE   (brown c)PRAT FLAVIEN 122 1.20    
SCR  STREET JAM   (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 122 4.50    
 
SAR-9   08/16/2024 3960ft DIRT RC11 FAST Union Avenue Purse ($125K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:35
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TRICKY TEMPER   (englehart jere)PRAT FLAVIEN 114 4.00 27% 2.70 2.45 W
  (by INTO MISCHIEF out of WINTER BOOK by RIVA RIDGE)
LEELOO   (correas ignaci)ORTIZ L 120 1.20 40% 1.50 0.90 P
  (by PRACTICAL JOKE out of RIBBON CUTTER by ELUSIVE QUALITY)
SECURITY CODE   (serpe m)LEZCANO JOSE 121 8.00 7.20  
  (by UNKNOWN out of STOPSPENDINGMARIA by MONTBROOK)
MAJESTIC RETURN   (giangiulio mich)CARMOUCHE K 118 10.00 5% 19.00 11.90  
  (by LONG ON VALUE out of MAJESTIC MIST by MAJESTICPERFECTION)
COUSIN KRISTI   (serpe m)SAEZ LUIS 118 6.00 6.20  
  (by KANTHAROS out of SAYTHREEHAILMARY'S by REPENT)
CAPTAINSDAUGHTER   (cash russe)RIVERA R 118 20.00 22.70  
  (by MIDSHIPMAN out of JOAN'S ROSE by SERVICE STRIPE)
SCR  CARA'S TIME   (friedman mitche)CANCEL ERIC 115 3.50    
  (by NOT THIS TIME out of ZINDRA by MACHO UNO)
 
SAR-10   08/16/2024 5610ft TURF RC3 GOOD Alw Opt Clm ($80K) Purse ($110K) 3 F PT- 6:09
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.   M/L W/P B/E F/O
VINO ROUGE   (dutrow anthon)VELAZQUEZ R 118 4.50 4.90 DQ↓4
10  MIXOLOGIST   (cox h)ROSARIO JOEL 122 5.00 26% 2.80 4.10 W
DANCING DEAN   (mott willia)ALVARADO JUNIOR 122 4.00 20% 4.10 3.95 P
WRIGLEYVILLE   (sisterson )GAFFALIONE TYLER 122 8.00 6.60  
PRETTY ANA   (brown c)PRAT FLAVIEN 122 6.00 11.50  
TOY COLLECTOR   (clement christ)ORTIZ L 122 10.00 5% 19.00 17.20  
GREAVETTE   (begg bentle)SAEZ LUIS 120 20.00 21.30  
HOPESNDREAMS   (dini mike)LEZCANO JOSE 120 20.00 5% 19.00 30.75  
GOA (IRE)   (brown c)FRANCO MANUEL 122 3.50 28% 2.60 2.85  
PROGENY   (weaver george)CANCEL ERIC 118 15.00 34.50  
SCR  CAMERA   (pletcher )DETTORI LANFRANCO 122 6.00    
SCR  RELIABLE LADY   (abreu fernan)CASTELLANO J 120 10.00    
SCR  STANDOUTSENSATION   (amoss m)RIDER TBA 118 2.00    
SCR  WONDER RIDE   (mcpeek ke)LEPAROUX R 118 4.50    
 
SAR-11   08/16/2024 5610ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($40K) Purse ($55K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:42
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BOBBY JEAN   (hennig mark)VELAZQUEZ R 118 20.00 3.50  
16  LOOKING FOR GINNY   (mcpeek ke)LEPAROUX R 118 3.50 13% 6.70 2.65 P
15  NOT GUILTY   (devaux cherie)ORTIZ L 118 2.00 49% 1.10 1.10 S
TRUE MYTH   (terranova p)SAEZ LUIS 118 6.00 6% 14.90 6.20  
11  ALTHENA   (paragallo )RIVERA R 118 50.00 22.20  
DASH OF LEMON   (antonu)MARAGH RAMSAY 118 30.00 21.20  
SCR  OUR FINEST HOUR (FR)   (maker michael)FRANCO MANUEL 118 4.00    
SCR  PHILLY'S FINEST   (clement ch)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 2.50    
SCR  SHAKREVENGE   (d'angelo jose )ORTIZ L 118 6.00    
SCR  JENAS MERCY   (brown r)CARMOUCHE K 118 20.00    
SCR  CLASSIC CARA   (friedman mit)CASTELLANO J 118 10.00    
SCR  CELESTIAL EXPRESS   (seyle)HERNANDEZ OMAR 118 50.00    
SCR  CAPO DONNA   (handal raymond)DAVIS DYLAN 118 8.00    
SCR  Z TRAIN (IRE)   (dutrow an)DETTORI LANFRANCO 118 5.00    
SCR  ADDRESSABLE MARKET (IRE)   ( )TBA null      
SCR  AMERICAN KESTREL   (tagg barclay)DAVIS KATIE 118 12.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.