Handicappers' Race Results
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Saratoga
Friday - August 16, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bet Results
Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss
SAR-1   Win (7/3/2/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 3 1 1 $6.50 $6.50  
SAR-2   Win (2/4) 2 $2.00 $4.00 2 1 1 $5.10 $5.10 1.10
SAR-3   Win (1/4/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 6 1 0 $9.20  
SAR-4   Win (5/6/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 5 1 1 $5.40 $5.40  
SAR-5   Win (2/6/5/9/7) 5 $2.00 $10.00 3 1 0 $24.00  
SAR-6   Win (1/8/2/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 3 1 0 $11.20  
SAR-7   Win (7/3/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 7 1 1 $3.10 $3.10  
SAR-8   Win (1/2/8/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 2 1 1 $12.80 $12.80 4.80
SAR-9   Win (7/4/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 4 1 1 $6.90 $6.90 0.90
SAR-10   Win (2/10/1/6/3) 5 $2.00 $10.00 10 1 1 $10.20 $10.20 0.20
SAR-11   Win (15/16/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 7 1 0 $9.00  
Simulator Race results
 
SAR-1   08/16/2024 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($25K) Purse ($60K) 4UP M/F PT- 1:10
See original race card.
:25 :491 1:134 1:26   1:391   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
3  OBRIGADA 3 1 1½ 11½ 11 12½ 1nk (rodriguez r)PRAT FLAVIEN 118 5.00 18% 4.70 2.25 W
2  APRIL ANTICS 2 6 41½ 32 32 32½ 2nk (barrera s)FRANCO MANUEL 118 10.00 17% 4.90 11.50 P
6  TRADE SECRET 6 3 2½ 21½ 21 22½ 3½ (rodriguez r)ORTIZ L 118 6.00 5% 19.00 6.50 S
1  HALO CITY 1 4 63 63¾ 44 44½ 41¾ (nevin michelle)CARMOUCHE K 123 3.50 5.00  
5  WHISTLER'S STYLE 5 7 74½ 73¾ 65 54¾ 52 (noda orlando)GAFFALIONE TYLER 123 3.50 8.00  
4  TARA'S TALENT 4 2 52½ 53½ 54 67¼ 69 (moore michael )HERNANDEZ ANDY 118 10.00 13.10  
7  PRETTI XTREME 7 5 31 42 77½ 719¼ 733¼ (rice linda)DAVIS DYLAN 123 2.00 20% 4.00 2.00  
 
SAR-2   08/16/2024 3630ft TURF RC11 GOOD Skidmore Purse ($150K) 2 ALL PT- 1:41
See original race card.
:233 :47 :584     1:05   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
2  OUT ON BAIL 2 1 2½ 2nk   2nk 1nk (maker j)ORTIZ L 122 6.00 49% 1.00 1.55 W
1  JET SWEEP JOE 1 2 1½ 1nk   1nk 2nk (mcentee pau)BEALMEAR C 122 5.00 2.15  
5  SPIRALIZER 4 4 43 43¼   38 39½ (asmussen steven )PRAT FLAVIEN 122 8.00 2.35  
4  CLASSIC TIME 3 3 32½ 33   49 413¼ (casse mark)DAVIS DYLAN 122 12.00 5% 19.00 4.20  
SCR  GOVERNOR SAM               (weaver georg)GAFFALIONE TYLER 122 1.40    
SCR  RAISE THE BAR               (ward a)VELAZQUEZ R 122 1.80    
SCR  SOONTOBEKING               (weaver george)CANCEL ERIC 122 3.50    
 
SAR-3   08/16/2024 4290ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($95K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:13
See original race card.
:223 :462 1:11     1:173   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
6  BOSS TWEED 5 2 11 11   11 1nk (contessa gary)ALVARADO JUNIOR 118 6.00 3.60  
2  FAST BUCK FREDDY 2 1 21 31½   21 2nk (abreu r)PRAT FLAVIEN 122 4.00 5% 18.80 3.70 P
3  LIBERTY CENTRAL 3 4 52½ 42½   33½ 32¼ (quick patr)GOMEZ ANTONIO 120 6.00 2.45  
1A  WINE RESPONSIBLY 1 3 42 52½   54 45½ (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 118 2.00 37% 1.70 8.50  
4  TOSCANO 4 5 32 21   43½ 58¼ (rivelli larry)ORTIZ L 120 3.00 25% 3.00 1.65  
SCR  BROWN EYED CAT               (levine bruce)CASTELLANO J 120 4.00    
SCR  LAND D'ORO               (clement christop)ROSARIO JOEL 120 2.00    
 
SAR-4   08/16/2024 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($25K) Purse ($45K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:45
See original race card.
:243 :48 1:124 1:253   1:383   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
5  WHISKEY N SODA 4 2 32 33 4¾ 11½ 1hd (noda orlando)DAVIS DYLAN 120 2.00 55% 0.80 1.70 W
6  FRIZZANTE 5 5 63¼ 53½ 3.2 31½ 2hd (sacco grego)DETTORI LANFRANCO 120 4.50 10% 8.90 5.60 P
3  ANDY CANT 1 1 21 2½ 2nk 21½ 3¼ (kantarmaci mert)FRANCO MANUEL 125 5.00 5% 17.30 4.50 S
1A  CHALKY CAT 3 4 53 43 51¾ 42 42¼ (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 123 3.50 4.40  
4  INCANTATION 2 3 11 1½ 1nk 53½ 57 (bond jame)ROSARIO JOEL 123 12.00 13.10  
7  ALLIED ATTACK 6 6 42 65 69¾ 623½ 647 (maker j)ORTIZ L 118 6.00 3.20  
SCR  DUNE ROAD               (rice linda)CARMOUCHE K 118 3.50    
SCR  REFUAH               (jacobson david)VAZQUEZ A 123 6.00    
 
SAR-5   08/16/2024 5610ft TURF RC7 GOOD Claiming ($50K) Purse ($60K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:17
See original race card.
:234 :49 1:133 1:382   1:444   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
3  LADY FIREFOOT 3 5 33½ 43 43½ 21½ 1½ (giddings melan)BRIDGMOHAN X 123 15.00 11.00  
2  HIGHWAY HARMONY 2 2 21 21½ 21 11½ 2½ (abreu r)PRAT FLAVIEN 123 4.00 39% 1.60 2.65 P
5  WISH LIST 4 8 810¾ 88½ 87 44½ 31 (terranova p)SAEZ LUIS 125 10.00 6% 17.10 4.50 S
7  FROM HELLO 5 7 55 54 54 33 41¼ (brown r)DAVIS DYLAN 123 8.00 5% 19.00 4.20  
10  SACRED IMAGE 8 6 76¾ 76 76 65 54½ (brown c)FRANCO MANUEL 118 2.50 2.80  
1  ALETTE D'ORO 1 4 66½ 65½ 66 75½ 68 (ferraro w)LUZZI J 120 20.00 29.25  
8  MAGIC EIGHT BALL 6 1 11 11½ 11 54½ 79 (morley tho)GOMEZ ANTONIO 120 12.00 13.00  
9  DESTINE TO RACE 7 3 43½ 32½ 32½ 86 812½ (rice linda)ORTIZ L 123 6.00 5% 19.00 9.10  
SCR  EVIE DOES IT               (sacco d)LEZCANO JOSE 123 8.00 23% 3.40    
SCR  SIZZLE               (lewis l)GAFFALIONE TYLER 120 6.00    
 
SAR-6   08/16/2024 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($30K) Purse ($45K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:49
See original race card.
:231 :464 :584     1:112   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
3  DUNEDIN CAUSEWAY 3 1 31½ 31   2nk 1¾ (paragallo je)RIVERA R 119 8.00 4.60  
1  MAMA'S MIDDIE 1 3 11 11   1nk 2¾ (maker j)ORTIZ L 119 1.80 23% 3.40 3.10 P
5  IRIE MAN 5 4 52½ 52½   44 32½ (baker charlton)PRAT FLAVIEN 119 3.50 5.40  
6  BRACA 6 2 21 21   33½ 44¾ (barrera s)ROSARIO JOEL 119 4.00 1.90  
4  FOUR EYES 4 6 85½ 67   69½ 59½ (follett norman)LUZZI J 124 15.00 5% 19.00 31.50  
7  SAFFREDI 7 5 42 42   59 611¾ (bond kevin)CARMOUCHE K 119 5.00 14.60  
2  IRISH TIDES 2 8 63½ 712   721½ 733¼ (persaud)HERNANDEZ OMAR 124 20.00 21% 3.80 24.75  
8  DISCO DANCER 8 7 74½ 817   825½ 837 (arriaga anto)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119 8.00 21% 3.80 5.90  
 
SAR-7   08/16/2024 3630ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($90K) 2 ALL PT- 4:23
See original race card.
:222 :461 :584     1:053   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
7  PAY THE JUICE 4 3 2nk 1nk   11 12¼ (mcgaughey claude)PRAT FLAVIEN 119 1.80 40% 1.50 0.55 W
1  ONE VISION 6 2 41¼ 31   21 22¼ (terranova p)SAEZ LUIS 119 6.00 5% 19.00 9.20 P
3  ARMY PROUD 1 4 31 51¼   31 34¾ (sharp joe)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119 5.00 29% 2.50 3.85 S
4  SWIFT MAGIC 2 1 1nk 2nk   41½ 45½ (weaver george)FRANCO MANUEL 119 4.00 6.80  
5  SON OF HONOR 3 5 51¾ 41¼   51¾ 58 (avila ca)ALVARADO JUNIOR 119 8.00 10.10  
8  STORMY BIRTHDAY 5 6 65¼ 65¾   69¾ 617½ (ribaudo )MARAGH RAMSAY 119 20.00 24.50  
SCR  BOLD FORTUNE               (weaver george)DAVIS DYLAN 119 3.00    
SCR  CALVIN'S RIDE               (terranova p)DAVIS DYLAN 119 6.00    
SCR  DOOMED               (abreu jorg)SANTANA JR 119 10.00    
SCR  EPITAPH               (contessa c)DAVIS KATIE 119 20.00    
SCR  JOEVIA'S FIRST               (sacco gregor)RIVERA R 119 20.00    
SCR  MORE THERAPY               (dutrow w)ORTIZ L 119 10.00    
 
SAR-8   08/16/2024 5280ft TURF RC3 GOOD Alw Opt Clm ($62.5K) Purse ($115K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:59
See original race card.
:24 :482 1:124 1:244   1:364   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
2  BREATH AWAY (GB) 1 1 45 47 56½ 32 1¼ (clement christop)ORTIZ L 122 4.50 27% 2.70 5.40 W
1  TAX IMPLICATIONS (GB) 7 5 55½ 57½ 45½ 42¼ 2¼ (brown c)PRAT FLAVIEN 124 1.20 45% 1.20 1.05 P
5  MALLEYMOO 3 2 22½ 23½ 21½ 1nk 3½ (clement christoph)DAVIS DYLAN 122 15.00 13.60  
4  SWOOP TO FINISH 2 3 66 68½ 67 53¼ 41½ (mott william )ALVARADO JUNIOR 124 12.00 21.80  
6  ELOUNDA QUEEN (IRE) 4 8 89 79½ 78½ 63¼ 51½ (cox h)ROSARIO JOEL 122 5.00 3.60  
9  QUARREL 8 6 12½ 13½ 11½ 2nk 63 (ribaudo )MARAGH RAMSAY 122 8.00 16.20  
8  CAROLINE STREET 6 7 77½ 89½ 89 75¾ 74¼ (walsh brenda)GAFFALIONE TYLER 122 8.00 5% 19.00 7.40  
7  TITLED LADY 5 4 34 36 34½ 87¾ 813¼ (amoss m)SAEZ LUIS 122 20.00 5% 19.00 19.90  
SCR  ALLAMERICANBEAUTY               (mcgaughey c)DETTORI LANFRANCO 122 15.00    
SCR  INTO HAPPINESS               (hennig mark)VELAZQUEZ R 122 8.00    
SCR  SIGNAL FROM NOISE               (brown c)PRAT FLAVIEN 122 1.20    
SCR  STREET JAM               (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 122 4.50    
 
SAR-9   08/16/2024 3960ft DIRT RC11 FAST Union Avenue Purse ($125K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:35
See original race card.
:221 :452 :573     1:101   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
4  TRICKY TEMPER 3 3 4¾ 31½   1½ 13 (englehart jeremi)PRAT FLAVIEN 114 4.00 27% 2.70 2.45 W
7  LEELOO 6 4 2½ 2nk   2½ 23 (correas ignacio )ORTIZ L 120 1.20 40% 1.50 0.90 P
2  SECURITY CODE 1 1 3½ 41¾   42 36¼ (serpe m)LEZCANO JOSE 121 8.00 7.20  
6  MAJESTIC RETURN 5 2 1½ 1nk   31½ 48¼ (giangiulio michel)CARMOUCHE K 118 10.00 5% 19.00 11.90  
5  COUSIN KRISTI 4 6 51¾ 52¼   54½ 510 (serpe m)SAEZ LUIS 118 6.00 6.20  
3  CAPTAINSDAUGHTER 2 5 62¾ 65¾   65 610 (cash russell)RIVERA R 118 20.00 22.70  
SCR  CARA'S TIME               (friedman mitchell)CANCEL ERIC 115 3.50    
 
SAR-10   08/16/2024 5610ft TURF RC3 GOOD Alw Opt Clm ($80K) Purse ($110K) 3 F PT- 6:09
See original race card.
:251 :494 1:154 1:392   1:452   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
9  VINO ROUGE 9 4 53 42½ 4¾ 11 1½ (dutrow anthony )VELAZQUEZ R 118 4.50 4.90 DQ↓4
10  MIXOLOGIST 10 6 75 75 72¼ 41½ 2½ (cox h)ROSARIO JOEL 122 5.00 26% 2.80 4.10 W
1  DANCING DEAN 1 10 1010 1011 105 63¾ 33 (mott william )ALVARADO JUNIOR 122 4.00 20% 4.10 3.95 P
4  WRIGLEYVILLE 4 2 31½ 31½ 3½ 31 43½ (sisterson ja)GAFFALIONE TYLER 122 8.00 6.60  
5  PRETTY ANA 5 9 99 99½ 83¾ 53½ 53¾ (brown c)PRAT FLAVIEN 122 6.00 11.50  
6  TOY COLLECTOR 6 7 87 87½ 94 73¾ 64½ (clement christop)ORTIZ L 122 10.00 5% 19.00 17.20  
8  GREAVETTE 8 3 21 2½ 2nk 21 76¼ (begg bentley)SAEZ LUIS 120 20.00 21.30  
3  HOPESNDREAMS 3 1 11 1½ 1nk 84¼ 87¾ (dini mike)LEZCANO JOSE 120 20.00 5% 19.00 30.75  
2  GOA (IRE) 2 8 63½ 53 62¼ 95¼ 97¾ (brown c)FRANCO MANUEL 122 3.50 28% 2.60 2.85  
7  PROGENY 7 5 42½ 63½ 51¼ 106¾ 1010¼ (weaver george)CANCEL ERIC 118 15.00 34.50  
SCR  CAMERA               (pletcher to)DETTORI LANFRANCO 122 6.00    
SCR  RELIABLE LADY               (abreu fernando)CASTELLANO J 120 10.00    
SCR  STANDOUTSENSATION               (amoss m)RIDER TBA 118 2.00    
SCR  WONDER RIDE               (mcpeek kenn)LEPAROUX R 118 4.50    
 
SAR-11   08/16/2024 5610ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($40K) Purse ($55K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:42
See original race card.
:243 :48 1:121 1:25   1:38   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
7  BOBBY JEAN 3 1 21½ 2nk 1nk 12½ 19 (hennig mark)VELAZQUEZ R 118 20.00 3.50  
16  LOOKING FOR GINNY 6 6 610 610½ 512¼ 49½ 29 (mcpeek kenn)LEPAROUX R 118 3.50 13% 6.70 2.65 P
15  NOT GUILTY 5 2 11½ 1nk 2nk 22½ 39½ (devaux cherie)ORTIZ L 118 2.00 49% 1.10 1.10 S
4  TRUE MYTH 2 4 32 32½ 38 39 415 (terranova p)SAEZ LUIS 118 6.00 6% 14.90 6.20  
11  ALTHENA 4 5 54 54½ 412 515½ 529¼ (paragallo je)RIVERA R 118 50.00 22.20  
2  DASH OF LEMON 1 3 43½ 44 615¾ 620½ 634 (antonucc)MARAGH RAMSAY 118 30.00 21.20  
SCR  OUR FINEST HOUR (FR)               (maker j)FRANCO MANUEL 118 4.00    
SCR  PHILLY'S FINEST               (clement chri)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 2.50    
SCR  SHAKREVENGE               (d'angelo fr)ORTIZ L 118 6.00    
SCR  JENAS MERCY               (brown r)CARMOUCHE K 118 20.00    
SCR  CLASSIC CARA               (friedman mitch)CASTELLANO J 118 10.00    
SCR  CELESTIAL EXPRESS               (seyler )HERNANDEZ OMAR 118 50.00    
SCR  CAPO DONNA               (handal raymond)DAVIS DYLAN 118 8.00    
SCR  Z TRAIN (IRE)               (dutrow anth)DETTORI LANFRANCO 118 5.00    
SCR  ADDRESSABLE MARKET (IRE)               ( )TBA null      
SCR  AMERICAN KESTREL               (tagg barclay)DAVIS KATIE 118 12.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.