Handicappers' Racing Form
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Saratoga
Friday - August 16, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets
Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss
SAR-1   Win (7/3/2/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00
SAR-2   Win (2/4) 2 $2.00 $4.00
SAR-3   Win (1/4/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00
SAR-4   Win (5/6/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00
SAR-5   Win (2/6/5/9/7) 5 $2.00 $10.00
SAR-6   Win (1/2/8/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00
SAR-7   Win (7/3/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00
SAR-8   Win (1/2/8/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00
SAR-9   Win (7/4/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00
SAR-10   Win (2/10/1/6/3) 5 $2.00 $10.00
SAR-11   Win (15/16/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
 
SAR-1   08/16/2024 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($25K) Purse ($60K) 4UP M/F PT- 1:10
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  HALO CITY Aug03 Apr18 Mar01 Feb09 Feb02 (nevin michelle)CARMOUCHE K 123 3.50    
2  APRIL ANTICS Jul05 Apr04 Mar15 Feb19 Jan28 (barrera s)FRANCO MANUEL 118 10.00 17% 4.90    
3  OBRIGADA Jul17 Jun06 May09 Apr18 Feb24 (rodriguez r)PRAT FLAVIEN 118 5.00 18% 4.70    
4  TARA'S TALENT Jun12 May20 Apr22 Apr02 Mar04 (moore michael )HERNANDEZ ANDY 118 10.00    
5  WHISTLER'S STYLE Jul04 Jun15 May11 Apr18 Mar28 (noda orlando)GAFFALIONE TYLER 123 3.50    
6  TRADE SECRET Jul05 Jun21 May25 Apr13 Mar22 (rodriguez r)ORTIZ L 118 6.00 5% 19.00    
7  PRETTI XTREME Jun21 Apr18 Mar15 Feb10 Jan14 (rice linda)DAVIS DYLAN 123 2.00 20% 4.00    
 
SAR-2   08/16/2024 3630ft TURF RC11 GOOD Skidmore Purse ($150K) 2 ALL PT- 1:41
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  JET SWEEP JOE Aug03 Jul06 May02 Apr17   (mcentee pau)BEALMEAR C 122 5.00    
2  OUT ON BAIL Jul24 Jun20 May10     (maker j)ORTIZ L 122 6.00 49% 1.00    
SCR  GOVERNOR SAM Aug03 Jul19 May11     (weaver georg)GAFFALIONE TYLER 122 1.40    
4  CLASSIC TIME Jul12 May24       (casse mark)DAVIS DYLAN 122 12.00 5% 19.00    
5  SPIRALIZER Jun30 Jun13       (asmussen steven )PRAT FLAVIEN 122 8.00    
SCR  RAISE THE BAR Apr10         (ward a)VELAZQUEZ R 122 1.80    
SCR  SOONTOBEKING Jul13 May24 May10     (weaver george)CANCEL ERIC 122 3.50    
 
SAR-3   08/16/2024 4290ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($95K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:13
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1A  WINE RESPONSIBLY Nov18 Oct29 Oct14 Sep04   (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 118 2.00 37% 1.70    
SCR  LAND D'ORO Jun06 Apr21 Mar24 Feb11   (clement christop)ROSARIO JOEL 120 2.00    
2  FAST BUCK FREDDY Nov10 Sep04 Aug02 Jun09   (abreu r)PRAT FLAVIEN 122 4.00 5% 18.80    
3  LIBERTY CENTRAL Mar24 Feb25 Feb03 Jan13 Dec16 (quick patr)GOMEZ ANTONIO 120 6.00    
4  TOSCANO Jul31 Jun06 May04     (rivelli larry)ORTIZ L 120 3.00 25% 3.00    
SCR  BROWN EYED CAT Jul11         (levine bruce)CASTELLANO J 120 4.00    
6  BOSS TWEED Jul20 Jun23 May17 Apr20 Apr04 (contessa gary)ALVARADO JUNIOR 118 6.00    
 
SAR-4   08/16/2024 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($25K) Purse ($45K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:45
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1A  CHALKY CAT Mar29 Feb29 Jan04 Dec07 Nov02 (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 123 3.50    
SCR  DUNE ROAD May09 Feb25 Jan07 Dec08   (rice linda)CARMOUCHE K 118 3.50    
SCR  REFUAH Jul18 Jul06 Jun14 May09 Apr05 (jacobson david)VAZQUEZ A 123 6.00    
3  ANDY CANT Jul06 Jun28 May18 Apr25 Mar28 (kantarmaci mert)FRANCO MANUEL 125 5.00 5% 17.30    
4  INCANTATION Apr02 Mar03 Jan28 Dec17   (bond jame)ROSARIO JOEL 123 12.00    
5  WHISKEY N SODA Jul25 Jun01 Apr20     (noda orlando)DAVIS DYLAN 120 2.00 55% 0.80    
6  FRIZZANTE Jul04 Jun23 May22 Apr21 Mar27 (sacco grego)DETTORI LANFRANCO 120 4.50 10% 8.90    
7  ALLIED ATTACK Jul14 Jun22 May25 Apr21 Mar10 (maker j)ORTIZ L 118 6.00    
 
SAR-5   08/16/2024 5610ft TURF RC7 GOOD Claiming ($50K) Purse ($60K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:17
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ALETTE D'ORO Jul07 Jun08 May04 Apr20 Feb25 (ferraro w)LUZZI J 120 20.00    
2  HIGHWAY HARMONY Jun23 May25 Apr25 Mar02 Jan26 (abreu r)PRAT FLAVIEN 123 4.00 39% 1.60    
3  LADY FIREFOOT Jun29 May19 Apr06 Mar16 Aug20 (giddings melan)BRIDGMOHAN X 123 15.00    
SCR  SIZZLE May19 Mar22 Feb16     (lewis l)GAFFALIONE TYLER 120 6.00    
5  WISH LIST Jun15 May25 Apr20 Dec14 Oct28 (terranova p)SAEZ LUIS 125 10.00 6% 17.10    
SCR  EVIE DOES IT Jul07 Jun10 May28 Apr15 Jan26 (sacco d)LEZCANO JOSE 123 8.00 23% 3.40    
7  FROM HELLO Jul19 Jun23 May25 May16 Oct12 (brown r)DAVIS DYLAN 123 8.00 5% 19.00    
8  MAGIC EIGHT BALL Jul19 Jun23 May27 Nov18 Oct20 (morley tho)GOMEZ ANTONIO 120 12.00    
9  DESTINE TO RACE Jul15 Jun02 May05 Apr13 Feb18 (rice linda)ORTIZ L 123 6.00 5% 19.00    
10  SACRED IMAGE Jul25 Jul07 Apr25 Feb10 Dec09 (brown c)FRANCO MANUEL 118 2.50    
 
SAR-6   08/16/2024 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($30K) Purse ($45K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:49
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MAMA'S MIDDIE Jun09 May18 Oct13 Aug12 Jul16 (maker j)ORTIZ L 119 1.80 23% 3.40    
2  IRISH TIDES         (persaud)HERNANDEZ OMAR 124 20.00 21% 3.80    
3  DUNEDIN CAUSEWAY Jul31 Jun28 Jun09 May17 Mar29 (paragallo je)RIVERA R 119 8.00    
4  FOUR EYES Jul24 Jun28 Jun09 May17 Feb03 (follett norman)LUZZI J 124 15.00 5% 19.00    
5  IRIE MAN Jul24 May25 May10 Apr19 Mar16 (baker charlton)PRAT FLAVIEN 119 3.50    
6  BRACA Jul31 Jul18 Jun27 Jan06 Dec08 (barrera s)ROSARIO JOEL 119 4.00    
7  SAFFREDI Jun30 Jun06       (bond kevin)CARMOUCHE K 119 5.00    
8  DISCO DANCER         (arriaga anto)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119 8.00 21% 3.80    
 
SAR-7   08/16/2024 3630ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($90K) 2 ALL PT- 4:23
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ONE VISION         (terranova p)SAEZ LUIS 119 6.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  CALVIN'S RIDE         (terranova p)DAVIS DYLAN 119 6.00    
SCR  MORE THERAPY         (dutrow w)ORTIZ L 119 10.00    
3  ARMY PROUD Jul24         (sharp joe)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119 5.00 29% 2.50    
4  SWIFT MAGIC         (weaver george)FRANCO MANUEL 119 4.00    
5  SON OF HONOR         (avila car)CASTELLANO J 119 8.00    
SCR  JOEVIA'S FIRST         (sacco gregor)RIVERA R 119 20.00    
7  PAY THE JUICE Jul24         (mcgaughey claude)PRAT FLAVIEN 119 1.80 40% 1.50    
8  STORMY BIRTHDAY         (ribaudo )MARAGH RAMSAY 119 20.00    
SCR  EPITAPH         (contessa c)DAVIS KATIE 119 20.00    
SCR  DOOMED         (abreu jorg)SANTANA JR 119 10.00    
SCR  BOLD FORTUNE         (weaver george)DAVIS DYLAN 119 3.00    
 
SAR-8   08/16/2024 5280ft TURF RC3 GOOD Alw Opt Clm ($62.5K) Purse ($115K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:59
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  TAX IMPLICATIONS (GB) Jun15 May26 Apr25 Sep15 Aug19 (brown c)PRAT FLAVIEN 124 1.20 45% 1.20    
SCR  SIGNAL FROM NOISE Jul14 Jun21 Aug30 Jul30 Jun10 (brown c)PRAT FLAVIEN 122 1.20    
2  BREATH AWAY (GB) Jun20 May17 Dec23 Nov05 Jun24 (clement christop)ORTIZ L 122 4.50 27% 2.70    
SCR  ALLAMERICANBEAUTY Oct27 Sep03 Aug04 Jun11 Apr14 (mcgaughey c)DETTORI LANFRANCO 122 15.00    
4  SWOOP TO FINISH Jun20 May17 Jan27 Dec30 Nov12 (mott william )ALVARADO JUNIOR 124 12.00    
5  MALLEYMOO Jun20 May17 Oct15 Sep02 Jun02 (clement christoph)DAVIS DYLAN 122 15.00    
6  ELOUNDA QUEEN (IRE) Jul06 May26 Dec26 Dec03 Oct14 (cox h)ROSARIO JOEL 122 5.00    
7  TITLED LADY Jun26 May03 Apr06 Mar10 Dec01 (amoss m)SAEZ LUIS 122 20.00 5% 19.00    
8  CAROLINE STREET Jun13 May03 Aug04     (walsh brenda)GAFFALIONE TYLER 122 8.00 5% 19.00    
9  QUARREL May11 Oct14 Sep16 Sep01 Jul14 (ribaudo robert)CASTELLANO J 122 8.00    
SCR  INTO HAPPINESS Jul14 Jun21 Apr14 Feb10 Dec28 (hennig mark)VELAZQUEZ R 122 8.00    
SCR  STREET JAM Oct14 Sep29 Sep02 Jul22 May13 (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 122 4.50    
 
SAR-9   08/16/2024 3960ft DIRT RC11 FAST Union Avenue Purse ($125K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:35
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  CARA'S TIME Jul19 Jun15 Feb18 Jan14 Nov18 (friedman mitchell)CANCEL ERIC 115 3.50    
2  SECURITY CODE Jun23 Mar24 Feb17 Jan05 Dec10 (serpe m)LEZCANO JOSE 121 8.00    
3  CAPTAINSDAUGHTER Jun23 Oct29 Oct12 Sep02 Aug06 (cash j)CASTELLANO J 118 20.00    
4  TRICKY TEMPER Aug02 Jul19 Jun09 Jan14 Nov18 (englehart jeremi)PRAT FLAVIEN 114 4.00 27% 2.70    
5  COUSIN KRISTI Jun29 May16 Apr04 Mar14 Feb09 (serpe m)SAEZ LUIS 118 6.00    
6  MAJESTIC RETURN Jun23 May26 Apr18 Feb17 Jan04 (giangiulio michel)CARMOUCHE K 118 10.00 5% 19.00    
7  LEELOO Jun23 May27 Mar30 Feb04 Dec16 (correas ignacio )ORTIZ L 120 1.20 40% 1.50    
 
SAR-10   08/16/2024 5610ft TURF RC3 GOOD Alw Opt Clm ($80K) Purse ($110K) 3 F PT- 6:09
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DANCING DEAN Jul18 Jun16 Nov18 Sep03   (mott william )ALVARADO JUNIOR 122 4.00 20% 4.10    
2  GOA (IRE)         (brown c)FRANCO MANUEL 122 3.50 28% 2.60    
3  HOPESNDREAMS Jul27 Jul13 Jun28 Jun01 May04 (dini mike)LEZCANO JOSE 120 20.00 5% 19.00    
4  WRIGLEYVILLE Jul18 Jun01 Apr20     (sisterson ja)GAFFALIONE TYLER 122 8.00    
5  PRETTY ANA Jun01 May03 Apr07 Feb13 Jan18 (brown c)PRAT FLAVIEN 122 6.00    
6  TOY COLLECTOR Jul08 Jun05       (clement christop)ORTIZ L 122 10.00 5% 19.00    
7  PROGENY Jul13 Jul06 May09 Apr06 Feb29 (weaver george)CANCEL ERIC 118 15.00    
8  GREAVETTE Jul08 Jun08 Apr12 Nov04 Oct16 (begg bentley)SAEZ LUIS 120 20.00    
9  VINO ROUGE Jul19 Jun22 May19 Dec02 Nov05 (dutrow anthony )VELAZQUEZ R 118 4.50    
10  MIXOLOGIST Jul18 Jun09       (cox h)ROSARIO JOEL 122 5.00 26% 2.80    
SCR  STANDOUTSENSATION Jul28 Jun01 May03 Apr05 Feb17 (amoss m)RIDER TBA 118 2.00    
SCR  CAMERA Jul18 Jun08 May04 Apr07 Mar09 (pletcher to)DETTORI LANFRANCO 122 6.00    
SCR  RELIABLE LADY Jul12 May19 Apr04 Mar03   (abreu fernando)CASTELLANO J 120 10.00    
SCR  WONDER RIDE Jun01 May03 Sep03 Aug13   (mcpeek kenn)LEPAROUX R 118 4.50    
 
SAR-11   08/16/2024 5610ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($40K) Purse ($55K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:42
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  PHILLY'S FINEST Jul10 Oct14       (clement chri)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 2.50    
2  DASH OF LEMON Dec30 Nov11 Sep23     (antonucc)MARAGH RAMSAY 118 30.00    
SCR  CAPO DONNA Jul19 Jun20 May09 Apr05   (handal raymond)DAVIS DYLAN 118 8.00    
4  TRUE MYTH Jun23 Oct20 Oct05     (terranova p)SAEZ LUIS 118 6.00 6% 14.90    
SCR  CELESTIAL EXPRESS Aug08 Jun27 Jun01 Apr04 Feb04 (seyler )HERNANDEZ OMAR 118 50.00    
7  BOBBY JEAN Jul17 Aug10       (hennig mark)VELAZQUEZ R 118 20.00    
SCR  JENAS MERCY Oct13         (brown r)CARMOUCHE K 118 20.00    
SCR  SHAKREVENGE Jul26 Jun30 May19 Apr20 Mar08 (d'angelo fr)ORTIZ L 118 6.00    
SCR  OUR FINEST HOUR (FR) Jul19 May18 Mar15 Jan21 Oct20 (maker j)FRANCO MANUEL 118 4.00    
11  ALTHENA Aug02 Jul17 Mar27 Mar09 Feb17 (paragallo je)RIVERA R 118 50.00    
SCR  Z TRAIN (IRE) Aug02 Mar21 Feb16 Nov04 Sep02 (dutrow anth)DETTORI LANFRANCO 118 5.00    
SCR  AMERICAN KESTREL Aug02 Jun16 May27 Apr14   (tagg barclay)DAVIS KATIE 118 12.00    
SCR  CLASSIC CARA Jun23 May02 Apr20 Mar08 Nov18 (friedman mitch)CASTELLANO J 118 10.00    
15  NOT GUILTY Jul19 Jun22 May25     (devaux cherie)ORTIZ L 118 2.00 49% 1.10    
16  LOOKING FOR GINNY Jul17 Jun28 Jun05 Apr20 Mar14 (mcpeek kenn)LEPAROUX R 118 3.50 13% 6.70    
SCR  ADDRESSABLE MARKET (IRE) Jul21 May16 Apr04 Jan11 Nov25 ( )TBA null      
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.