Handicappers' Race Results
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The Longshot Hunter!
Saratoga
Wednesday - July 31, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bet Results
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
SAR-2   EXA (6/5/3)-(6/5/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00  6-3 $19.70 $13.70 228%
SAR-5   WIN (1/3) 2 $2.00 $4.00  1 $6.60 $2.60 65%
SAR-9   TRI (6/5/4/8/7)-(6/5/4/8/7)-(6/5/4/8/7) 60 $0.50 $30.00  5-6-8 $35.62 $5.62 19%
    SFT (6/5/4/8/7)-(6/5/4/8/7)-(6/5/4/8/7)-(6/5/4/8/7) 120 $0.10 $12.00  5-6-8-4 $27.00 $15.00 125%
Simulator Race results
 
SAR-2   07/31/2024 4620ft DIRT RC7 SLOPPY Claiming ($50K) Purse ($65K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:44
See original race card.
:223 :451 1:101     1:241   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
6  SQUIRE CREEK 5 2 11½ 11½   13 13½ (sharp joe)GAFFALIONE TYLER 122 2.00 39% 1.50 2.20 W
3  NIGHT EFFECT 2 4 21½ 21½   23 23½ (samsundar ro)GEROUX FLORENT 124 6.00 6% 14.40 9.00 P
2  CERTIFIED LOVERBOY 1 5 31½ 32½   49 38½ (rice linda)CARMOUCHE K 124 1.60 1.20  
4  SUPER CHIEF 3 3 53½ 44½   38½ 410¼ (maker j)VAZQUEZ A 122 4.50 4.20  
5  LUCENCY 4 6 63¾ 66½   511½ 510½ (sells rachel)FRANCO MANUEL 124 6.00 16% 5.20 14.10  
7  SIN NOMBRE 6 1 42½ 55½   612½ 615¼ (romero jesus)LUZZI J 124 20.00 11.50  
SCR  STEADY PROGRESS               (chatte)MARAGH RAMSAY 124 30.00    
 
SAR-3   07/31/2024 3630ft DIRT RC4 SLOPPY Maiden Claimer ($40K) Purse ($50K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:18
See original race card.
:222 :454 :58     1:043   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
8  IRISH TENOR 6 2 11 1½   12½ 14¼ (kimmel c)LEZCANO JOSE 119 2.00 38% 1.60 0.75 W
4  DUNEDIN CAUSEWAY 3 1 65½ 68   45½ 24¼ (paragallo )RIVERA R 119 30.00 35.25  
6  BUSTINO SANTINO 4 5 32 31   22½ 34¼ (levine bruce)CASTELLANO J 124 4.00 21% 3.70 4.40 S
9  THE COMMISH 7 7 21 2½   33 46¼ (brion keri)SAEZ LUIS 119 10.00 5% 19.00 5.50  
3  BRACA 2 6 53½ 55½   67 57¼ (barrera s)DAVIS DYLAN 119 15.00 14% 6.20 8.60  
7  EGYPTIAN QUEST 5 4 78 710½   710 611½ (crook-dema)GAFFALIONE TYLER 124 3.00 7.80  
1  SPOOFY 1 3 42 44   56 711¾ (baker ch)SANTANA JR 124 12.00 19.50  
SCR  AWESOME FORCE               (diprima gregor)LUZZI J 124 15.00    
SCR  SPOKEN BLUNTLY               (levine bruc)MCCARTHY TREVOR 119 5.00    
 
SAR-4   07/31/2024 5940ft DIRT RC10 SLOPPY Allowance Purse ($95K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:52
See original race card.
:24 :482 1:124 1:382   1:52   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
6  LEFTEMBEHIND 6 8 64 44 42½ 33 11¾ (tagg barclay)DAVIS KATIE 123 6.00 10.60  
1  JAA MODE 1 1 11½ 12 11½ 13 21¾ (atras rob)CARMOUCHE K 123 4.50 ★ 5.20 P
7  BAD LARRY 7 5 32½ 32½ 31½ 23 34 (potts wayn)GAFFALIONE TYLER 123 10.00 10.70  
2  BOYS CODE 2 2 54 64¼ 53½ 58 48 (dixon )MARAGH RAMSAY 123 6.00 10.40  
8  BOB JOHN RAY 8 4 43½ 54 63¾ 68¼ 58 (brown c)FRANCO MANUEL 120 2.50 46% 1.20 2.75  
4  PROVISION 4 7 75½ 86¼ 74¾ 810¾ 68¾ (potts wayne)CANCEL ERIC 123 15.00 44.25  
3  HAGRID'S FLAME 3 6 85¾ 75¾ 84¾ 78¾ 79 (terranova )RIVERA R 120 8.00 5% 19.00 7.40  
5  TOSCANO 5 3 21½ 22 21½ 47 89¾ (rivelli larry)ORTIZ JR 118 3.00 28% 2.50 1.70  
 
SAR-5   07/31/2024 5610ft DIRT RC5 SLOPPY Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($90K) 2 F PT- 3:26
See original race card.
:233 :463 1:124 1:264   1:42   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SLIGHTLY BUSY 1 1 1½ 11 13 11½ 12½ (pletcher a)DAVIS DYLAN 119 6.00 40% 1.50 2.30 W
  (by MUNNINGS out of MAGIC MISCHIEF by INTO MISCHIEF)
10  PLAYFUL LASS 5 5 48 414 23 21½ 22½ (maker j)SAEZ LUIS 119 12.00 4.00  
  (by MITOLE out of CHOICE PLAY by VINDICATION)
4  JACKPOT JULIE 3 4 515 521 412 412 318¾ (giddings melan)PRAT FLAVIEN 119 12.00 7.00  
  (by KING FOR A DAY out of SCARLET'S COMMAND by MINESHAFT)
7  ADA MAY 4 3 2½ 21 34 311½ 427½ (thomas jonatha)ORTIZ L 119 12.00 ★ 1.45  
  (by CANDY RIDE out of PRINCESS COCO by PIONEEROF THE NILE)
3  SERIOUS LADY 2 2 34 314 514 522 554¼ (sharp joe)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119 8.00 20% 3.90 5.20  
  (by HONEST MISCHIEF out of LODE LADY by POSSE)
SCR  MARVELOUS MADISON               (brown c)FRANCO MANUEL 119 3.50    
  (by CARAVAGGIO out of SHEA DARBY by STREET SENSE)
SCR  MANGETSU               (danner kel)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119 10.00    
  (by LOOKIN AT LUCKY out of ORIENT MOON by MALIBU MOON)
SCR  GRACE AND GRIT               (kimmel c)CARMOUCHE K 119 8.00    
  (by MUNNINGS out of SHERIFFA by POSSE)
SCR  CARAE               (brion ker)LEPAROUX R 119 12.00    
  (by CARAVAGGIO out of HENNYVILLE by HENNY HUGHES)
SCR  NATIONAL ARCHIVE               (clement chris)ORTIZ JR 119 4.00    
  (by CONSTITUTION out of LYN B by QUALITY ROAD)
SCR  CARA'S DREAMWEAVER               (friedman mitche)CANCEL ERIC 119 4.50    
  (by SPEIGHTSTER out of DREAMING OF CARA by NORTH LIGHT)
 
SAR-6   07/31/2024 3630ft DIRT RC5 SLOPPY Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($80K) 2 F PT- 4:00
See original race card.
:223 :461 :591     1:06   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
10  MASCARA 7 3 31½ 21   1½ 12¾ (ward wesley)ALVARADO JUNIOR 119 4.00 4.50  
  (by CARAVAGGIO out of CALIDEZ by SPRING AT LAST)
4  EPISODE 2 2 11 11   2½ 22¾ (d'angelo)SANTANA JR 119 6.00 21% 3.80 11.40 P
  (by MAXIMUS MISCHIEF out of TIZA SMARTY by TIZNOW)
7  LINDA'S JEWEL 4 4 21 32   34½ 35 (abreu fernand)ORTIZ JR 119 3.00 23% 3.40 5.40 S
  (by FLATTER out of AMIENS by OXBOW)
13  MELLE MEL 8 8 41½ 43   45½ 45¼ (giddings mel)BRIDGMOHAN X 119 2.50 21% 3.70 0.85  
  (by LIAM'S MAP out of ANDELE by LUCKY SO N' SO)
9  BISA 6 5 76½ 66½   56½ 56 (caramo)MARAGH RAMSAY 119 20.00 5% 19.00 28.50  
  (by RUNHAPPY out of BALA PERDIDA by BADGE OF SILVER)
5  KATERINA RISTOVA 3 1 65½ 77   69 610¼ (chichakly amira)DAVIS KATIE 119 30.00 32.75  
  (by CATALINA CRUISER out of KENDALIN by DISTORTED HUMOR)
8  MY VANILLA 5 7 52½ 53   713 721½ (ryerson james )LUZZI J 119 12.00 9.80  
  (by MITOLE out of WEEKEND ROMANCE by KEY RECOGNITION)
1  DIVORCED OF COURSE 1 6 810½ 813   823 838 (martin carlos )PRAT FLAVIEN 119 5.00 10.50  
  (by SPUN TO RUN out of MADAME BOURBON by GOLDENCENTS)
SCR  ANNIE GOODBODY               (reynol)MARAGH RAMSAY 119 8.00    
  (by WAR FRONT out of TIZ ELLA by TIZNOW)
SCR  GRACEFUL WARRIOR               (antonucci je)CASTELLANO J 119 4.50    
  (by FOG OF WAR out of HAGGITH by THUNDER GULCH)
SCR  MEAN EILEEN               (sharp joe)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119 3.50    
  (by TWIRLING CANDY out of EILEEN'S SONG by KITTEN'S JOY)
SCR  MISS INTERPATATION               (sacco gregory )LEZCANO JOSE 119 15.00    
  (by VINO ROSSO out of WOODSBORO by CONGRATS)
SCR  THE SUGARS               (terran)MARAGH RAMSAY 119 10.00    
  (by COLLECTED out of UNKNOWN by UNKNOWN)
 
SAR-7   07/31/2024 4620ft DIRT RC7 SLOPPY Claiming ($10K) Purse ($28K) 4UP ALL PT- 4:34
See original race card.
:224 :454 1:111     1:243   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  PRINCE JAMES 1 5 1½ 1½   1nk 1hd (handal raymond)DAVIS DYLAN 120 12.00 11.50  
5  RAM 5 8 76½ 45½   2nk 2hd (casse no)SANTANA JR 120 6.00 ★ 4.40 P
10  PROVEN HOPE 9 6 54½ 56½   53¾ 34¾ (barker r)VAZQUEZ A 120 4.50 7% 14.40 6.60 S
9  HATCH (GB) 8 2 31 31½   41¾ 45½ (atras rob)CARMOUCHE K 120 2.50 40% 1.50 1.75  
7  LORD CAPTAIN 7 3 98 915½   75¾ 55¾ (walder pet)GAFFALIONE TYLER 120 15.00 14.30  
3  GOLDINI 3 9 88 89   64¼ 67¼ (noda orlando)LUZZI J 115 20.00 5% 19.00 23.10  
2  AMERICAN GENTLEMAN 2 4 2½ 2½   3.2 77¼ (rodriguez gust)PRAT FLAVIEN 118 10.00 19.90  
6  DADDY KNOWS 6 1 43½ 67   97¾ 813¼ (barrera s)DAVIS KATIE 120 8.00 31% 2.30 4.20  
4  KHOZY MY BOY 4 7 66 78½   86¼ 917 (moquett ronald)ROSARIO JOEL 120 4.00 10.30  
SCR  NOTTOWAY               (reed a)FRANCO MANUEL 123 15.00    
 
SAR-8   07/31/2024 5280ft DIRT RC11 SLOPPY De La Rose Purse ($135K) 4UP M/F PT- 5:10
See original race card.
:234 :462 1:112 1:241   1:372   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
4  POCA MUCHA 2 3 49½ 46½ 33 16½ 114¼ (mott i)ROSARIO JOEL 118 15.00 10.30  
  (by TOURIST out of LOST BADGE by BADGE OF SILVER)
8  BE MY SUNSHINE 4 4 37 36 43½ 26½ 214¼ (joseph saffie )ORTIZ L 120 10.00 41% 1.40 3.55 P
  (by FROSTED out of SISTERHOOD by KITTEN'S JOY)
2  HOT FUDGE 1 1 1nk 1nk 1½ 36½ 320 (rice linda)CARMOUCHE K 122 20.00 ★ 0.45 S
  (by LIAM'S MAP out of NOELLE'S MISCHIEF by INTO MISCHIEF)
5  SISTER LOU ANN 3 2 2nk 2nk 2½ 411½ 429¼ (joseph saf)GAFFALIONE TYLER 120 8.00 3.85  
  (by FROSTED out of GRANNY MC'S KITTEN by KITTEN'S JOY)
SCR  MOUFFY               (thomas jo)DETTORI LANFRANCO 122 4.50    
  (by UNCLE MO out of TRULY TOGETHER by SMART STRIKE)
SCR  MIDNIGHT MILE (IRE)               (brown c)ORTIZ JR 120 5.00    
  (by NO NAY NEVER out of UNKNOWN by UNKNOWN)
SCR  IMMENSITUDE (FR)               (mott willia)ALVARADO JUNIOR 124 12.00    
  (by LAWMAN out of MA PETITE POULE by ELUSIVE CITY)
SCR  FIVE TOWNS (GB)               (motion grah)FRANCO MANUEL 122 30.00    
  (by LORD KANALOA out of GUILTY TWELVE by GIANT'S CAUSEWAY)
SCR  SPIRIT AND GLORY (IRE)               (falcone robert)LEZCANO JOSE 122 2.50    
  (by UNKNOWN out of SUPREME SPIRIT by INVINCIBLE SPIRIT (IRE))
SCR  EVVIE JETS               (kantarmaci mer)PRAT FLAVIEN 124 3.50    
  (by TWIRLING CANDY out of UNKNOWN by UNKNOWN)
 
SAR-9   07/31/2024 5280ft DIRT RC4 SLOPPY Maiden Claimer ($75K) Purse ($60K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:42
See original race card.
:244 :481 1:121 1:244   1:381   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
5  BOLD AMBITION 5 1 1½ 1½ 11½ 12 11¾ (joseph saf)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 3.50 13% 6.40 2.50 W
6  DARK DEVIL 6 3 2½ 2½ 32 22 21¾ (cox h)GEROUX FLORENT 118 4.50 43% 1.30 4.00 P
8  ALWAYS BE SMART 8 7 64 73¾ 88½ 48½ 36¼ (rice linda)ORTIZ L 118 8.00 7% 12.70 6.20 S
4  HOULTON 4 2 42½ 41½ 21½ 32½ 46¼ (mott i)LEZCANO JOSE 118 4.00 8% 11.00 4.10  
2  GLINT 2 9 97 85¾ 77½ 79¼ 59¼ (ribaud)MARAGH RAMSAY 118 12.00 16.30  
3  CONFABULATION 3 6 74½ 62¾ 66 69 614¼ (brown c)FRANCO MANUEL 124 6.00 10.10  
7  STATELY ORDER 7 8 86½ 95¾ 98½ 911¾ 716 (sacco gregory)ORTIZ JR 118 12.00 5% 19.00 10.90  
1  MAGICAL ROAD 1 4 53 31½ 44½ 58½ 819 (jacobson david)VAZQUEZ A 118 10.00 17.70  
9  SALACIOUS 9 5 32 51¾ 55½ 89¼ 920¾ (d'angelo fra)SAEZ LUIS 118 5.00 9.90  
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.