Handicappers' Race Results
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Saratoga
Wednesday - July 31, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bet Results
Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss
SAR-2   Win (6/5/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 6 1 1 $6.40 $6.40 0.40
SAR-3   Win (8/6/3/9) 4 $2.00 $8.00 8 1 1 $3.50 $3.50  
SAR-4   Win (8/5/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 6 1 0 $23.20  
SAR-5   Win (1/3) 2 $2.00 $4.00 1 1 1 $6.60 $6.60 2.60
SAR-6   Win (7/13/4/9) 4 $2.00 $8.00 10 1 0 $11.00  
SAR-7   Win (9/6/10/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 1 1 0 $25.00  
SAR-8   Win (8) 1 $2.00 $2.00 4 1 0 $22.60  
SAR-9   Win (6/5/4/8/7) 5 $2.00 $10.00 5 1 1 $7.00 $7.00  
Simulator Race results
 
SAR-2   07/31/2024 4620ft DIRT RC7 SLOPPY Claiming ($50K) Purse ($65K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:44
See original race card.
:223 :451 1:101     1:241   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
6  SQUIRE CREEK 5 2 11½ 11½   13 13½ (sharp joe)GAFFALIONE TYLER 122 2.00 39% 1.50 2.20 W
3  NIGHT EFFECT 2 4 21½ 21½   23 23½ (samsundar rosh)GEROUX FLORENT 124 6.00 6% 14.40 9.00 P
2  CERTIFIED LOVERBOY 1 5 31½ 32½   49 38½ (rice linda)CARMOUCHE K 124 1.60 1.20  
4  SUPER CHIEF 3 3 53½ 44½   38½ 410¼ (maker j)VAZQUEZ A 122 4.50 4.20  
5  LUCENCY 4 6 63¾ 66½   511½ 510½ (sells rachel)FRANCO MANUEL 124 6.00 16% 5.20 14.10  
7  SIN NOMBRE 6 1 42½ 55½   612½ 615¼ (romero jesus)LUZZI J 124 20.00 11.50  
SCR  STEADY PROGRESS               (chatterp)MARAGH RAMSAY 124 30.00    
 
SAR-3   07/31/2024 3630ft DIRT RC4 SLOPPY Maiden Claimer ($40K) Purse ($50K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:18
See original race card.
:222 :454 :58     1:043   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
8  IRISH TENOR 6 2 11 1½   12½ 14¼ (kimmel c)LEZCANO JOSE 119 2.00 38% 1.60 0.75 W
4  DUNEDIN CAUSEWAY 3 1 65½ 68   45½ 24¼ (paragallo je)RIVERA R 119 30.00 35.25  
6  BUSTINO SANTINO 4 5 32 31   22½ 34¼ (levine bruce)CASTELLANO J 124 4.00 21% 3.70 4.40 S
9  THE COMMISH 7 7 21 2½   33 46¼ (brion keri)SAEZ LUIS 119 10.00 5% 19.00 5.50  
3  BRACA 2 6 53½ 55½   67 57¼ (barrera s)DAVIS DYLAN 119 15.00 14% 6.20 8.60  
7  EGYPTIAN QUEST 5 4 78 710½   710 611½ (crook-demasi)GAFFALIONE TYLER 124 3.00 7.80  
1  SPOOFY 1 3 42 44   56 711¾ (baker char)SANTANA JR 124 12.00 19.50  
SCR  AWESOME FORCE               (diprima gregory)LUZZI J 124 15.00    
SCR  SPOKEN BLUNTLY               (levine bruce)MCCARTHY TREVOR 119 5.00    
 
SAR-4   07/31/2024 5940ft DIRT RC10 SLOPPY Allowance Purse ($95K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:52
See original race card.
:24 :482 1:124 1:382   1:52   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
6  LEFTEMBEHIND 6 8 64 44 42½ 33 11¾ (tagg barclay)DAVIS KATIE 123 6.00 10.60  
1  JAA MODE 1 1 11½ 12 11½ 13 21¾ (atras rob)CARMOUCHE K 123 4.50 ★ 5.20 P
7  BAD LARRY 7 5 32½ 32½ 31½ 23 34 (potts wayne)GAFFALIONE TYLER 123 10.00 10.70  
2  BOYS CODE 2 2 54 64¼ 53½ 58 48 (dixon li)MARAGH RAMSAY 123 6.00 10.40  
8  BOB JOHN RAY 8 4 43½ 54 63¾ 68¼ 58 (brown c)FRANCO MANUEL 120 2.50 46% 1.20 2.75  
4  PROVISION 4 7 75½ 86¼ 74¾ 810¾ 68¾ (potts wayne)CANCEL ERIC 123 15.00 44.25  
3  HAGRID'S FLAME 3 6 85¾ 75¾ 84¾ 78¾ 79 (terranova jo)RIVERA R 120 8.00 5% 19.00 7.40  
5  TOSCANO 5 3 21½ 22 21½ 47 89¾ (rivelli larry)ORTIZ JR 118 3.00 28% 2.50 1.70  
 
SAR-5   07/31/2024 5610ft DIRT RC5 SLOPPY Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($90K) 2 F PT- 3:26
See original race card.
:233 :463 1:124 1:264   1:42   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SLIGHTLY BUSY 1 1 1½ 11 13 11½ 12½ (pletcher a)DAVIS DYLAN 119 6.00 40% 1.50 2.30 W
10  PLAYFUL LASS 5 5 48 414 23 21½ 22½ (maker j)SAEZ LUIS 119 12.00 4.00  
4  JACKPOT JULIE 3 4 515 521 412 412 318¾ (giddings melanie)PRAT FLAVIEN 119 12.00 7.00  
7  ADA MAY 4 3 2½ 21 34 311½ 427½ (thomas jonathan)ORTIZ L 119 12.00 ★ 1.45  
3  SERIOUS LADY 2 2 34 314 514 522 554¼ (sharp joe)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119 8.00 20% 3.90 5.20  
SCR  MARVELOUS MADISON               (brown c)FRANCO MANUEL 119 3.50    
SCR  MANGETSU               (danner kelse)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119 10.00    
SCR  GRACE AND GRIT               (kimmel c)CARMOUCHE K 119 8.00    
SCR  CARAE               (brion keri)LEPAROUX R 119 12.00    
SCR  NATIONAL ARCHIVE               (clement christo)ORTIZ JR 119 4.00    
SCR  CARA'S DREAMWEAVER               (friedman mitchell)CANCEL ERIC 119 4.50    
 
SAR-6   07/31/2024 3630ft DIRT RC5 SLOPPY Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($80K) 2 F PT- 4:00
See original race card.
:223 :461 :591     1:06   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
10  MASCARA 7 3 31½ 21   1½ 12¾ (ward a)ALVARADO JUNIOR 119 4.00 4.50  
4  EPISODE 2 2 11 11   2½ 22¾ (d'angelo j)SANTANA JR 119 6.00 21% 3.80 11.40 P
7  LINDA'S JEWEL 4 4 21 32   34½ 35 (abreu fernando)ORTIZ JR 119 3.00 23% 3.40 5.40 S
13  MELLE MEL 8 8 41½ 43   45½ 45¼ (giddings melan)BRIDGMOHAN X 119 2.50 21% 3.70 0.85  
9  BISA 6 5 76½ 66½   56½ 56 (caramori)MARAGH RAMSAY 119 20.00 5% 19.00 28.50  
5  KATERINA RISTOVA 3 1 65½ 77   69 610¼ (chichakly amira)DAVIS KATIE 119 30.00 32.75  
8  MY VANILLA 5 7 52½ 53   713 721½ (ryerson t)LUZZI J 119 12.00 9.80  
1  DIVORCED OF COURSE 1 6 810½ 813   823 838 (martin f)PRAT FLAVIEN 119 5.00 10.50  
SCR  ANNIE GOODBODY               (reynolds)MARAGH RAMSAY 119 8.00    
SCR  GRACEFUL WARRIOR               (antonucci jena)CASTELLANO J 119 4.50    
SCR  MEAN EILEEN               (sharp joe)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119 3.50    
SCR  MISS INTERPATATION               (sacco d)LEZCANO JOSE 119 15.00    
SCR  THE SUGARS               (terranov)MARAGH RAMSAY 119 10.00    
 
SAR-7   07/31/2024 4620ft DIRT RC7 SLOPPY Claiming ($10K) Purse ($28K) 4UP ALL PT- 4:34
See original race card.
:224 :454 1:111     1:243   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  PRINCE JAMES 1 5 1½ 1½   1nk 1hd (handal raymond)DAVIS DYLAN 120 12.00 11.50  
5  RAM 5 8 76½ 45½   2nk 2hd (casse norm)SANTANA JR 120 6.00 ★ 4.40 P
10  PROVEN HOPE 9 6 54½ 56½   53¾ 34¾ (barker r)VAZQUEZ A 120 4.50 7% 14.40 6.60 S
9  HATCH (GB) 8 2 31 31½   41¾ 45½ (atras rob)CARMOUCHE K 120 2.50 40% 1.50 1.75  
7  LORD CAPTAIN 7 3 98 915½   75¾ 55¾ (walder peter)GAFFALIONE TYLER 120 15.00 14.30  
3  GOLDINI 3 9 88 89   64¼ 67¼ (noda orlando)LUZZI J 115 20.00 5% 19.00 23.10  
2  AMERICAN GENTLEMAN 2 4 2½ 2½   3.2 77¼ (rodriguez gustav)PRAT FLAVIEN 118 10.00 19.90  
6  DADDY KNOWS 6 1 43½ 67   97¾ 813¼ (barrera s)DAVIS KATIE 120 8.00 31% 2.30 4.20  
4  KHOZY MY BOY 4 7 66 78½   86¼ 917 (moquett e)ROSARIO JOEL 120 4.00 10.30  
SCR  NOTTOWAY               (reed a)FRANCO MANUEL 123 15.00    
 
SAR-8   07/31/2024 5280ft DIRT RC11 SLOPPY De La Rose Purse ($135K) 4UP M/F PT- 5:10
See original race card.
:234 :462 1:112 1:241   1:372   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
4  POCA MUCHA 2 3 49½ 46½ 33 16½ 114¼ (mott i)ROSARIO JOEL 118 15.00 10.30  
8  BE MY SUNSHINE 4 4 37 36 43½ 26½ 214¼ (joseph a)ORTIZ L 120 10.00 41% 1.40 3.55 P
2  HOT FUDGE 1 1 1nk 1nk 1½ 36½ 320 (rice linda)CARMOUCHE K 122 20.00 ★ 0.45 S
5  SISTER LOU ANN 3 2 2nk 2nk 2½ 411½ 429¼ (joseph saffi)GAFFALIONE TYLER 120 8.00 3.85  
SCR  MOUFFY               (thomas jona)DETTORI LANFRANCO 122 4.50    
SCR  MIDNIGHT MILE (IRE)               (brown c)ORTIZ JR 120 5.00    
SCR  IMMENSITUDE (FR)               (mott william )ALVARADO JUNIOR 124 12.00    
SCR  FIVE TOWNS (GB)               (motion graham)FRANCO MANUEL 122 30.00    
SCR  SPIRIT AND GLORY (IRE)               (falcone n)LEZCANO JOSE 122 2.50    
SCR  EVVIE JETS               (kantarmaci mertk)PRAT FLAVIEN 124 3.50    
 
SAR-9   07/31/2024 5280ft DIRT RC4 SLOPPY Maiden Claimer ($75K) Purse ($60K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:42
See original race card.
:244 :481 1:121 1:244   1:381   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
5  BOLD AMBITION 5 1 1½ 1½ 11½ 12 11¾ (joseph saffi)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 3.50 13% 6.40 2.50 W
6  DARK DEVIL 6 3 2½ 2½ 32 22 21¾ (cox h)GEROUX FLORENT 118 4.50 43% 1.30 4.00 P
8  ALWAYS BE SMART 8 7 64 73¾ 88½ 48½ 36¼ (rice linda)ORTIZ L 118 8.00 7% 12.70 6.20 S
4  HOULTON 4 2 42½ 41½ 21½ 32½ 46¼ (mott i)LEZCANO JOSE 118 4.00 8% 11.00 4.10  
2  GLINT 2 9 97 85¾ 77½ 79¼ 59¼ (ribaudo )MARAGH RAMSAY 118 12.00 16.30  
3  CONFABULATION 3 6 74½ 62¾ 66 69 614¼ (brown c)FRANCO MANUEL 124 6.00 10.10  
7  STATELY ORDER 7 8 86½ 95¾ 98½ 911¾ 716 (sacco d)ORTIZ JR 118 12.00 5% 19.00 10.90  
1  MAGICAL ROAD 1 4 53 31½ 44½ 58½ 819 (jacobson david)VAZQUEZ A 118 10.00 17.70  
9  SALACIOUS 9 5 32 51¾ 55½ 89¼ 920¾ (d'angelo franc)SAEZ LUIS 118 5.00 9.90  
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.