Handicappers' Race Results
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The Longshot Hunter!
Saratoga
Thursday - August 08, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bet Results
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
SAR-2   WIN (6/3/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00  3 $9.50 $3.50 58%
    EXA (6/3/1)-(6/3/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00  3-6 $14.00 $8.00 133%
    TRI (6/3/1)-(6/3/1)-(6/3/1) 6 $0.50 $3.00  3-6-1 $23.50 $20.50 683%
SAR-7   WIN (6/2/5/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00  5 $8.50 $0.50 6%
    EXA (6/2/5/1)-(6/2/5/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00  5-6 $14.40 $2.40 20%
    TRI (6/2/5/1)-(6/2/5/1)-(6/2/5/1) 24 $0.50 $12.00  5-6-1 $17.37 $5.37 45%
SAR-10   WIN (9/4/8) 3 $2.00 $6.00  9 $7.60 $1.60 27%
    EXA (9/4/8)-(9/4/8) 6 $1.00 $6.00  9-4 $15.40 $9.40 157%
Simulator Race results
 
SAR-1   08/08/2024 4290ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($90K) 2 F PT- 1:10
See original race card.
:223 :462 1:124     1:193   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
7  TRAIL OF GOLD 6 3 43 33½   2½ 11¾ (donk david)VELAZQUEZ R 119 5.00 3.55  
  (by SOLOMINI out of BENE PISTA by BERNARDINI)
4  ENDLESS VOW 3 4 54 55½   3½ 21¾ (de h)SANTANA JR 119 4.50 5.00  
  (by THE FACTOR out of VINDICTIVE WAYS by BROKEN VOW)
6  PRACTICALLY SUMMER 5 1 21 2½   41 36½ (mott willia)ALVARADO JUNIOR 119 10.00 5% 19.00 2.50 S
  (by PRACTICAL JOKE out of CLEAN ELEVEN by OFFICER)
5  BUBBE DEAREST 4 2 11 1½   1½ 48½ (maker michae)CASTILLO ISAAC 119 6.00 21% 3.70 5.50  
  (by VINO ROSSO out of PAMMI DEAREST by VERRAZANO)
3  LADY WISDOM 2 6 64½ 611   68½ 514¾ (morey william )LUZZI J 119 12.00 12.20  
  (by SOLOMINI out of MYSELF by GIANT'S CAUSEWAY)
1  BLAKELY'S WISH 1 5 32½ 44   58 626¼ (david a)ORTIZ L 119 2.00 40% 1.50 2.40  
  (by HONEST MISCHIEF out of MY EVERY WISH by LANGFUHR)
SCR  ROUTE SENSATION               (giddings melan)ROSARIO JOEL 119 2.50    
  (by HONEST MISCHIEF out of EXPOSURE by COLONEL JOHN)
 
SAR-2   08/08/2024 5940ft TURF RC5 GOOD Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($100K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:44
See original race card.
:241 :502 1:161 1:401   1:52   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
3  LEGITIMIZE 3 2 11½ 11½ 11½ 11 11½ (hamm timothy)SAEZ LUIS 124 3.00 31% 2.20 3.75 W
  (by JUSTIFY out of MISS EXCLUSIVE by UNBRIDLED'S SONG)
6  PASSIVE MANAGEMENT (GB) 6 1 42½ 43 42½ 21 21½ (brown c)ORTIZ JR 118 1.40 36% 1.80 0.70 P
  (by UNKNOWN out of UNKNOWN by UNKNOWN)
1  STOP THE PRESS 1 3 31½ 31½ 32 33 34 (mcgaughey clau)LEZCANO JOSE 118 6.00 5% 19.00 10.60 S
  (by UNCLE MO out of UNKNOWN by UNKNOWN)
5  BADGE OF WAR 5 6 64½ 65¼ 65 45 48 (dutrow ri)DETTORI LANFRANCO 118 8.00 8.00  
  (by WAR FRONT out of BROOCH by HALO)
4  TRULLI WARRIOR 4 5 53 53¼ 54 55½ 58¾ (pletcher t)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 12.00 22.60  
  (by CURLIN out of ALBEROBELLO by BERNARDINI)
2  PROSPERO (IRE) 2 4 21½ 21½ 21½ 69½ 613¼ (devaux cherie)VELAZQUEZ R 118 4.00 5.40  
  (by NO NAY NEVER out of POSSET by OASIS DREAM (GB))
SCR  AK SAR BEN DERBY               (ortiz ale)PRAT FLAVIEN 118 12.00    
  (by TAPITURE out of MENSA MEMBER by FLATTER)
SCR  ELKO COUNTY               (mcpeek ke)LEPAROUX R 118 4.00    
  (by GUN RUNNER out of STRONGER THAN EVER by CONGRATS)
SCR  PROTECTIVE               (pletcher todd)ORTIZ JR 118 0.50    
  (by MEDAGLIA D'ORO out of GRACE HALL by EMPIRE MAKER)
 
SAR-3   08/08/2024 3960ft DIRT RC11 FAST John Morrissey Purse ($125K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:18
See original race card.
:224 :46 :574     1:102   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
6  LOOMS BOLDLY 6 1 1½ 11   13 13¼ (cox h)GEROUX FLORENT 118 3.00 2.60  
  (by GOLDENCENTS out of SEE THE FOREST by FORESTRY)
4  FACTUALLY CORRECT 4 2 2½ 21   23 23¼ (rodriguez rudy)PRAT FLAVIEN 120 8.00 13.70  
  (by TOURIST out of KACY LAUREN by UTOPIA)
3  LIGHT MAN 3 3 43½ 32½   34 33½ (levine bruce)CARMOUCHE K 118 4.50 29% 2.40 6.30 S
  (by CENTRAL BANKER out of SO N SO by FREUD)
2  SHERIFF BIANCO 2 4 55 63¼   45 46 (rice linda)ORTIZ L 120 4.00 4.10  
  (by SPEIGHTSTER out of SUMMER RULES by PERFECT SOUL (IRE))
1  OCEAN'S RESERVE 1 5 65 53   57½ 512¾ (weaver george)FRANCO MANUEL 118 6.00 5% 19.00 8.60  
  (by SPEIGHTSTER out of A CUT AHEAD by TIZ WONDERFUL)
5  ROTKNEE 5 6 31 42½   613 621¾ (maker michael)ORTIZ JR 126 1.60 37% 1.70 1.40  
  (by RUNHAPPY out of IN SPITE OF MAMA by SPEIGHTSTOWN)
 
SAR-4   08/08/2024 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($80K) 2 ALL PT- 2:52
See original race card.
:221 :46 :583     1:12   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  EIGHTY WEST 1 1 1½ 1½   11½ 14¼ (stewart da)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119 2.50 44% 1.30 0.95 W
  (by SPEIGHTSTOWN out of GOLD STANDARD by MEDAGLIA D'ORO)
4  FRIDAY SURPRISE 3 3 2½ 2½   21½ 24¼ (st lewis)MARTINEZ FRANCISCO 112 1.40 34% 1.90 1.60 P
  (by KING FOR A DAY out of ROSE AGAIN by CURLIN)
7  TAPWRITS TEMPER 6 4 45 46   36½ 36½ (potts wayne)ORTIZ JR 119 8.00 5% 19.00 15.80 S
  (by TAPWRIT out of TROPIC HOLIDAY by SUMMER FRONT)
2  PLAY THE GRAY 2 7 58½ 57½   47½ 49½ (velazquez danie)CARMOUCHE K 119 12.00 16.10  
  (by VOLATILE out of KATS GIRL CALA by LEMON DROP KID)
6  STORM THE STREETS 5 2 32 33   59½ 518¾ (sharp joe)SAEZ LUIS 119 8.00 11.00  
  (by STREET BOSS out of STORM THE CHURCH by PULPIT)
8  STRENGTHNGUIDANCE 7 6 612 619½   621½ 637¾ (sano antoni)ALVARADO JUNIOR 119 4.50 ★ 11.00  
  (by CATALINA CRUISER out of MAMBO FEVER by STORMIN FEVER)
5  KY ANANSI 4 5 712½ 722½   726½ 737¾ (chicha)GRISALES DANILO 119 30.00 43.50  
  (by CARAVAGGIO out of PLATONIC LOVE by SAROS (GB))
SCR  PROBALE TEN               (chapma)MARAGH RAMSAY 119 15.00    
  (by IMPROBABLE out of LIFE AT TEN by MALIBU MOON)
 
SAR-5   08/08/2024 7260ft TURF RC3 GOOD Alw Opt Clm ($62.5K) Purse ($115K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:27
See original race card.
:254 :513 1:181 1:433 2:08 2:201   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ASPEN GROVE (IRE) 1 43½ 31 31 21 12½ 1¼ (sisterson )GAFFALIONE TYLER 122 1.00 31% 2.30 0.85 W
3  AVENUE NIEL (IRE) 3 33 41½ 41½ 42 33 2¼ (clement christ)ROSARIO JOEL 122 6.00 22% 3.50 6.10 P
6  BE YOUR BEST (IRE) 6 22 2nk 2nk 32 22½ 32¼ (de horaci)ORTIZ JR 122 2.50 4.00  
2  SABALENKA 2 65 73¼ 74 53½ 44½ 46 (beckman d)DETTORI LANFRANCO 122 10.00 28.75  
5  DREAMING OF MO 5 54 51¾ 52½ 63¾ 58½ 58¼ (romans dale)PRAT FLAVIEN 126 8.00 16% 5.10 5.10  
7  ELLE EST FORTE 7 75 63¼ 63½ 73¾ 69½ 611 (maker j)DAVIS DYLAN 122 12.00 5% 19.00 15.30  
4  LADY EMILY KATHRYN 4 12 1nk 1nk 11 79½ 718¾ (joseph saff)ALVARADO JUNIOR 126 15.00 15.30  
SCR  LUNA MOTH               (rice linda)ORTIZ JR 122 1.40    
 
SAR-6   08/08/2024 3630ft DIRT RC5 MUDDY Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($100K) 2 F PT- 4:02
See original race card.
:223 :461 :582     1:051   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
8  AND ONE MORE TIME 7 2 21 2½   11 14¾ (casse mark)ORTIZ L 119 6.00 1.60  
  (by OMAHA BEACH out of COMPLICATED by GIANT'S CAUSEWAY)
9  MEAN EILEEN 8 5 31½ 31   33 24¾ (sharp joe)SAEZ LUIS 119 4.50 7.70  
  (by TWIRLING CANDY out of EILEEN'S SONG by KITTEN'S JOY)
7  MOONLIGHT PROMISES 6 1 11 1½   21 35 (casse mark)DAVIS DYLAN 119 8.00 15% 5.60 6.00 S
  (by PROMISES FULFILLED out of DYNAZAPER by GHOSTZAPPER)
3  POP IDOL 2 3 52½ 52½   44½ 411 (weaver george)PRAT FLAVIEN 119 2.50 20% 4.10 2.60  
  (by MACLEAN'S MUSIC out of UNSPURNED by LEMON DROP KID)
4  SOUL SECRET 3 7 811 711½   79½ 512 (terranova john)ROSARIO JOEL 119 10.00 5% 19.00 29.50  
  (by SEEKING THE SOUL out of MY SPECIAL SECRET by MINESHAFT)
6  FLIRTING WITH TIME 5 6 63 63½   67½ 613½ (sharp joe)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119 10.00 16.10  
  (by YORKTON out of ROCKIN ALLI by STONESIDER)
1  REMATCH 1 4 42 42   55½ 713¾ (mcgaughey cla)ORTIZ JR 119 3.00 32% 2.20 5.00  
  (by THE FACTOR out of REHEAR by CORONADO'S QUEST)
5  RADIO GOO GOO (GB) 4 8 711 811½   811 813¾ (begg j)MARAGH RAMSAY 119 20.00 45.50  
  (by TWIRLING CANDY out of LOCUST BRIDE by DIXIE CHATTER)
SCR  I'MWISHINGONASTAR               (dini mike)LEZCANO JOSE 119 12.00    
  (by MAXIMUS MISCHIEF out of MAGICAL FLAIR by DEFRERE)
 
SAR-7   08/08/2024 5280ft DIRT RC4 MUDDY Maiden Claimer ($75K) Purse ($60K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:35
See original race card.
:242 :474 1:13 1:26   1:391   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
5  CARARRA 4 1 53 43 43 2½ 11¼ (mcpeek ke)LEPAROUX R 118 6.00 5% 17.60 3.25 W
6  BOURBON SERENGETI 5 3 11 11 11½ 1½ 21¼ (cox h)FRANCO MANUEL 118 3.00 51% 1.00 2.65 P
1  STREET VIEW 1 4 66½ 55½ 54½ 33 33 (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 118 8.00 5% 19.00 6.10 S
8  THE TACO LADY 6 6 31 31½ 32½ 55½ 48¼ (rice linda)CARMOUCHE K 118 6.00 7.30  
2  I'M THINKING 2 2 21 21 21½ 43½ 58¼ (dutrow ric)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 2.50 21% 3.80 1.85  
3  CLASSY MISCHIEF 3 5 77 710 69½ 69 68½ (contessa c)VAZQUEZ A 118 20.00 19.90  
9  CELESTIAL EXPRESS 7 7 42½ 65½ 717½ 729 741¼ (seyler)GRISALES DANILO 118 50.00 36.75  
SCR  ASCENSION (GB)               (martin carlos )ROSARIO JOEL 118 5.00    
SCR  AUTUMN'S TURN               (contessa c)DAVIS KATIE 118 8.00    
 
SAR-8   08/08/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 SLOPPY Claiming ($40K) Purse ($75K) 4UP ALL PT- 5:10
See original race card.
:22 :451 :572     1:102   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
5  LARK'S MISCHIEF 3 1 12½ 11½   11½ 1nk (maker michael)ORTIZ JR 118 2.50 15% 5.50 1.40 W
9  RADICAL RIGHT 7 4 54 21½   21½ 2nk (rice linda)GAFFALIONE TYLER 123 3.50 2.70  
8  LOST IN ROME 6 7 66 64¼   45½ 35¾ (ibrahim emron)DAVIS DYLAN 123 8.00 13% 6.90 6.00 S
4  DANGEROUS RIDE 2 2 43½ 31½   34 46½ (atras rob)FRANCO MANUEL 120 12.00 20.60  
1  NELSON AVENUE 4 5 22½ 41¾   55½ 59¼ (moubarak )DETTORI LANFRANCO 120 4.50 46% 1.20 4.90  
2  GOOD JUJU 1 6 714 710¼   79¼ 611¼ (jacobson david)VAZQUEZ A 120 8.00 18.70  
7  PIPES AND DRUMS 5 3 32½ 52¼   65¾ 718¼ (stall m)SAEZ LUIS 118 15.00 5% 19.00 8.30  
SCR  DIDINGER               (reid e)LEZCANO JOSE 118 12.00    
SCR  KUNSHAN BRIDGE               (kantarmaci mer)PRAT FLAVIEN 118 4.50    
SCR  RITHM NIC               (d'angelo)SANTANA JR 120 6.00    
 
SAR-9   08/08/2024 3630ft DIRT RC3 SLOPPY Alw Opt Clm ($45K) Purse ($100K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:45
See original race card.
:222 :46 :584     1:053   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  FANCYPANTS JULIANA 1 6 53 63¾   43½ 1½ (donk david)ORTIZ JR 124 6.00 7.40  
8  MZ BIG BUCKS 7 1 2nk 2nk   1nk 2½ (nevin michelle)CARMOUCHE K 122 4.00 12% 7.40 4.70 P
2  QUEENS DANCER 2 2 1nk 1nk   2nk 31¼ (dixon li)DAVIS A 122 30.00 17.60  
9  BANK ON ANNA 8 8 76¼ 77¾   75¼ 42 (kantarmaci mert)DAVIS DYLAN 122 4.50 11.80  
4  LATEST EDITION 3 5 31 31½   31 52¾ (morley thomas)VELAZQUEZ R 126 8.00 5% 19.00 6.00  
7  MARCO T. 6 3 41½ 53½   64¼ 64¼ (clement chris)FRANCO MANUEL 122 3.50 34% 2.00 3.90  
5  WEEKEND RAGS 4 7 63¼ 43   54 76¼ (abreu r)PRAT FLAVIEN 124 5.00 28% 2.60 1.70  
6  PATRIA 5 4 810¼ 811¼   89¼ 810½ (salazar )SANTANA JR 122 8.00 18.30  
SCR  STRICTLY TABOO               (clement christ)ROSARIO JOEL 126 2.50    
 
SAR-10   08/08/2024 5280ft DIRT RC6 SLOPPY Optional Claiming ($35K) Purse ($70K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:19
See original race card.
:242 :474 1:13 1:26   1:394   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
9  GOATS ON A TREE 6 6 31 3½ 2nk 11 14¾ (joseph saffie)ORTIZ JR 120 6.00 58% 0.70 2.80 W
4  SWEET DUTCHESS 3 2 2½ 1nk 1nk 21 24¾ (walden wil)GAFFALIONE TYLER 125 3.50 8% 11.70 4.30 P
3  TURF ROCKET 2 5 42½ 4¾ 31 32 36 (trombetta m)ALVARADO JUNIOR 120 4.00 5.80  
8  NINJA ABARRIO 5 3 53½ 64¼ 69 515 424¼ (tessore bruno)DAVIS DYLAN 123 8.00 5% 18.30 1.10  
5  DREAM CENTRAL 4 4 64½ 53¼ 58½ 415 524½ (sells rachel)LUZZI J 123 15.00 23.60  
2  KANNON FIRE 1 1 1½ 2nk 47 621 657¼ (noda orlando)ROSARIO JOEL 123 10.00 10.60  
SCR  ROMAN GODDESS               (kantarmaci mertka)RIDER TBA 123 5.00    
SCR  PALMETTO FURY               (joseph saf)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 3.00    
SCR  OH MY MIA               (amoss m)RIDER TBA 118 4.00    
SCR  MORE MANGO               (ferrar)GRISALES DANILO 123 20.00    
SCR  DIAMOND STATUS               (martin c)GOMEZ ANTONIO 123 10.00    
SCR  SIZZLE               (lewis l)PRAT FLAVIEN 120 6.00    
SCR  BUSY MORNING               (abreu r)ORTIZ L 123 5.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

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