Handicappers' Racing Form
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Saratoga
Thursday - August 08, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets
Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss
SAR-1   Win (1/5/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00
SAR-2   Win (6/3/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00
SAR-3   Win (5/3/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00
SAR-4   Win (1/4/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00
SAR-5   Win (1/3/5/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00
SAR-6   Win (1/3/7/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00
SAR-7   Win (6/2/5/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00
SAR-8   Win (1/5/8/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00
SAR-9   Win (7/5/8/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00
SAR-10   Win (9/4/8) 3 $2.00 $6.00
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
 
SAR-1   08/08/2024 4290ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($90K) 2 F PT- 1:10
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BLAKELY'S WISH         (david a)ORTIZ L 119 2.00 40% 1.50    
SCR  ROUTE SENSATION Jun23         (giddings melanie)ROSARIO JOEL 119 2.50    
3  LADY WISDOM         (morey e)LUZZI J 119 12.00    
4  ENDLESS VOW         (de hor)SANTANA JR 119 4.50    
5  BUBBE DEAREST Jul17         (maker michael )CASTILLO ISAAC 119 6.00 21% 3.70    
6  PRACTICALLY SUMMER Jul17         (mott william )ALVARADO JUNIOR 119 10.00 5% 19.00    
7  TRAIL OF GOLD Jul17         (donk david)VELAZQUEZ R 119 5.00    
 
SAR-2   08/08/2024 5940ft TURF RC5 GOOD Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($100K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:44
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  STOP THE PRESS Jun22 May26 Apr06 Feb03 Jan01 (mcgaughey claude)LEZCANO JOSE 118 6.00 5% 19.00    
2  PROSPERO (IRE) Jul06 Sep22       (devaux cherie)VELAZQUEZ R 118 4.00    
3  LEGITIMIZE Feb14         (hamm timothy)SAEZ LUIS 124 3.00 31% 2.20    
4  TRULLI WARRIOR Jul14 Jun07       (pletcher tod)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 12.00    
5  BADGE OF WAR Jun30 Apr26 Mar01 Nov14 Oct03 (dutrow rich)DETTORI LANFRANCO 118 8.00    
6  PASSIVE MANAGEMENT (GB) Jul12         (brown c)ORTIZ JR 118 1.40 36% 1.80    
SCR  AK SAR BEN DERBY Jul22 Jun08 May18 Mar30 Dec08 (ortiz alexa)PRAT FLAVIEN 118 12.00    
SCR  PROTECTIVE Jul14 Jun08 May11 Apr06 Mar10 (pletcher a)ORTIZ JR 118 0.50    
SCR  ELKO COUNTY Jul14 Jun15 Apr27 Apr13 Mar30 (mcpeek kenn)LEPAROUX R 118 4.00    
 
SAR-3   08/08/2024 3960ft DIRT RC11 FAST John Morrissey Purse ($125K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:18
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  OCEAN'S RESERVE Jan28 Jan14 Dec16 Dec02 Oct29 (weaver george)FRANCO MANUEL 118 6.00 5% 19.00    
2  SHERIFF BIANCO Jun29 Jun09 May02 Nov26 Oct29 (rice linda)ORTIZ L 120 4.00    
3  LIGHT MAN Jul05 May17 Feb29 Jan27 Jul17 (levine bruce)CARMOUCHE K 118 4.50 29% 2.40    
4  FACTUALLY CORRECT Jul26 Jun29 May10 Apr05 Mar02 (rodriguez r)PRAT FLAVIEN 120 8.00    
5  ROTKNEE Jun08 May02 Mar02 Jan28 Dec30 (maker j)ORTIZ JR 126 1.60 37% 1.70    
6  LOOMS BOLDLY Jun08 May10 Apr05 Aug13 Jun26 (cox h)GEROUX FLORENT 118 3.00    
 
SAR-4   08/08/2024 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($80K) 2 ALL PT- 2:52
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  EIGHTY WEST Jun23         (stewart dall)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119 2.50 44% 1.30    
2  PLAY THE GRAY Jun24         (velazquez daniel)CARMOUCHE K 119 12.00    
SCR  PROBALE TEN Jul25 Apr17       (chapman )MARAGH RAMSAY 119 15.00    
4  FRIDAY SURPRISE Jul23         (st u)MARTINEZ FRANCISCO 112 1.40 34% 1.90    
5  KY ANANSI Jul19         (chichak)HERNANDEZ OMAR 119 30.00    
6  STORM THE STREETS Jul12         (sharp joe)SAEZ LUIS 119 8.00    
7  TAPWRITS TEMPER Jul12 May24       (potts wayne)ORTIZ JR 119 8.00 5% 19.00    
8  STRENGTHNGUIDANCE Jul12 Jun30 May31     (sano antonio)ALVARADO JUNIOR 119 4.50 ★    
 
SAR-5   08/08/2024 7260ft TURF RC3 GOOD Alw Opt Clm ($62.5K) Purse ($115K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:27
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ASPEN GROVE (IRE) Jun07 May03 Mar09 Oct08 Aug05 (sisterson ja)GAFFALIONE TYLER 122 1.00 31% 2.30    
2  SABALENKA Nov24 Oct15 Sep03 Jul15 Jun03 (beckman w)DETTORI LANFRANCO 122 10.00    
3  AVENUE NIEL (IRE) Oct19 Sep22 Jul26     (clement christop)ROSARIO JOEL 122 6.00 22% 3.50    
4  LADY EMILY KATHRYN Jun20 Apr14 Feb24 Jan20 Dec17 (joseph saffie)ALVARADO JUNIOR 126 15.00    
5  DREAMING OF MO Jun28 May30 Apr27 Mar23 Feb22 (romans dale)PRAT FLAVIEN 126 8.00 16% 5.10    
6  BE YOUR BEST (IRE) Jun07 Mar03 Dec26 Nov04 Oct14 (de horacio)ORTIZ JR 122 2.50    
7  ELLE EST FORTE Jul25 May09 Mar21 Feb22 Jan15 (maker j)DAVIS DYLAN 122 12.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  LUNA MOTH Jun30 Apr30 Apr05 Mar22 Mar09 (rice linda)ORTIZ JR 122 1.40    
 
SAR-6   08/08/2024 3630ft DIRT RC5 MUDDY Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($100K) 2 F PT- 4:02
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  REMATCH         (mcgaughey claud)ORTIZ JR 119 3.00 32% 2.20    
SCR  I'MWISHINGONASTAR         (dini mike)LEZCANO JOSE 119 12.00    
3  POP IDOL Jun22         (weaver george)PRAT FLAVIEN 119 2.50 20% 4.10    
4  SOUL SECRET         (terranova p)ROSARIO JOEL 119 10.00 5% 19.00    
5  RADIO GOO GOO (GB)         (begg jam)MARAGH RAMSAY 119 20.00    
6  FLIRTING WITH TIME Jul18         (sharp joe)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119 10.00    
7  MOONLIGHT PROMISES May16         (casse mark)DAVIS DYLAN 119 8.00 15% 5.60    
8  AND ONE MORE TIME Jun26         (casse mark)ORTIZ L 119 6.00    
9  MEAN EILEEN         (sharp joe)SAEZ LUIS 119 4.50    
 
SAR-7   08/08/2024 5280ft DIRT RC4 MUDDY Maiden Claimer ($75K) Purse ($60K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:35
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  STREET VIEW Jul17 Jun16 May05 Apr14 Mar10 (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 118 8.00 5% 19.00    
2  I'M THINKING Jun30 Apr07 Mar09     (dutrow richa)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 2.50 21% 3.80    
3  CLASSY MISCHIEF Jul19 Jun21 Jun06 Sep28 Aug20 (contessa c)VAZQUEZ A 118 20.00    
SCR  ASCENSION (GB) Jul12 Jun16       (martin f)ROSARIO JOEL 118 5.00    
5  CARARRA Jun22 Jun01 Nov11 Oct13 Sep21 (mcpeek kenn)LEPAROUX R 118 6.00 5% 17.60    
6  BOURBON SERENGETI Jun30 Dec17       (cox h)FRANCO MANUEL 118 3.00 51% 1.00    
SCR  AUTUMN'S TURN Jul21 Jul12 Jun21 Jun02 May18 (contessa c)DAVIS KATIE 118 8.00    
8  THE TACO LADY Jul17 May18 May04 Mar10 Feb11 (rice linda)CARMOUCHE K 118 6.00    
9  CELESTIAL EXPRESS Jun27 Jun01 Apr04 Feb04 Dec30 (seyler d)GRISALES DANILO 118 50.00    
 
SAR-8   08/08/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 SLOPPY Claiming ($40K) Purse ($75K) 4UP ALL PT- 5:10
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  NELSON AVENUE Jul13 May01 Mar09 Jan20 Dec10 (moubarak na)DETTORI LANFRANCO 120 4.50 46% 1.20    
SCR  KUNSHAN BRIDGE Jul27 Jul13 Jun07 Mar29 Mar02 (kantarmaci mertk)PRAT FLAVIEN 118 4.50    
2  GOOD JUJU Jul28 Jul05 May16 Feb18 Dec30 (jacobson david)VAZQUEZ A 120 8.00    
SCR  DIDINGER Jul13 Jun12 Apr17 Mar06 Jan30 (reid e)LEZCANO JOSE 118 12.00    
4  DANGEROUS RIDE Jun09 Apr26 Mar02 Feb11 Jan14 (atras rob)FRANCO MANUEL 120 12.00    
5  LARK'S MISCHIEF Jun07 May16 Apr05 Mar10 Nov12 (maker j)ORTIZ JR 118 2.50 15% 5.50    
SCR  RITHM NIC Jul13 Jun22 May24 May04 Apr20 (d'angelo j)SANTANA JR 120 6.00    
7  PIPES AND DRUMS Jun29 May31 Jul02 Jun04 May06 (stall m)SAEZ LUIS 118 15.00 5% 19.00    
8  LOST IN ROME Jul13 Jun23 May19 Mar29 Feb19 (ibrahim emron)DAVIS DYLAN 123 8.00 13% 6.90    
9  RADICAL RIGHT Jun22 May16 Apr21 Mar14 Jan27 (rice linda)GAFFALIONE TYLER 123 3.50    
 
SAR-9   08/08/2024 3630ft DIRT RC3 SLOPPY Alw Opt Clm ($45K) Purse ($100K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:45
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  FANCYPANTS JULIANA Jul28 Jul13 Jun15 May18 Nov03 (donk david)ORTIZ JR 124 6.00    
2  QUEENS DANCER Jul11 Jun10 May07 Oct03 Sep19 (dixon lind)DAVIS A 122 30.00    
SCR  STRICTLY TABOO Jul13 Jun06 Oct26 Jul03 May27 (clement christop)ROSARIO JOEL 126 2.50    
4  LATEST EDITION Jun15 Jun05 Oct26 Oct06 Aug12 (morley thomas)VELAZQUEZ R 126 8.00 5% 19.00    
5  WEEKEND RAGS Jul11 May18 Apr25 Oct26 Sep24 (abreu r)PRAT FLAVIEN 124 5.00 28% 2.60    
6  PATRIA Jul18 Jun09 May25 Feb25 Feb08 (salazar ma)SANTANA JR 122 8.00    
7  MARCO T. Jun15 May12 May02 Mar29 Nov04 (clement christo)FRANCO MANUEL 122 3.50 34% 2.00    
8  MZ BIG BUCKS Jul11 May24 Nov16 Aug31 Jul19 (nevin michelle)CARMOUCHE K 122 4.00 12% 7.40    
9  BANK ON ANNA Aug02 Jul11 Jun22 May27 Apr19 (kantarmaci mertkan)RIDER TBA 122 4.50    
 
SAR-10   08/08/2024 5280ft DIRT RC6 SLOPPY Optional Claiming ($35K) Purse ($70K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:19
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  DIAMOND STATUS Jun14 May09 Oct28 Sep03 Jul07 (martin car)GOMEZ ANTONIO 123 10.00    
2  KANNON FIRE Jul25 Jun14 May09 Aug02 Jul09 (noda orlando)ROSARIO JOEL 123 10.00    
3  TURF ROCKET Jul11 Jun08 May17 Mar31 Feb25 (trombetta mic)ALVARADO JUNIOR 120 4.00    
4  SWEET DUTCHESS Jul18 May19 Apr20 Mar23 Feb07 (walden willi)GAFFALIONE TYLER 125 3.50 8% 11.70    
5  DREAM CENTRAL May24 Nov09 Oct19 Jun25 May26 (sells rachel)LUZZI J 123 15.00    
SCR  BUSY MORNING Jul21 Jun23 Apr18 Feb28 Feb02 (abreu r)ORTIZ L 123 5.00    
SCR  SIZZLE May19 Mar22 Feb16     (lewis l)PRAT FLAVIEN 120 6.00    
8  NINJA ABARRIO Jul05 Jun08 Apr19 Mar22 Mar10 (tessore bruno)DAVIS DYLAN 123 8.00 5% 18.30    
9  GOATS ON A TREE Jul06 May26 May02 Mar31 Mar03 (joseph a)ORTIZ JR 120 6.00 58% 0.70    
SCR  MORE MANGO Jul19 Jun14 Mar22 Feb19 Nov24 (ferraro )GRISALES DANILO 123 20.00    
SCR  PALMETTO FURY May30 Mar29 Feb02 Jan21   (joseph saffi)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 3.00    
SCR  ROMAN GODDESS Jul18 Jun22 May24 May03 Mar07 (kantarmaci mertkan)RIDER TBA 123 5.00    
SCR  OH MY MIA Jun26 Jun04 Apr20 Mar16 Feb13 (amoss m)RIDER TBA 118 4.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.