Handicappers' Race Results

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Saratoga
Saturday - July 27, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss

SAR-1   Win (7/3/8) 3 $2.00 $6.00 2 1 0 $19.60  
SAR-2   Win (3/5/7/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 6 1 0 $17.80  
SAR-3   Win (1/4/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 1 1 1 $3.50 $3.50  
SAR-4   Win (5/4/7/2/3) 5 $2.00 $10.00 5 1 1 $3.50 $3.50  
SAR-5   Win (4/2/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00 10 1 0 $10.00  
SAR-6   Win (6/1/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 1 1 1 $9.30 $9.30 3.30
SAR-7   Win (1/4/9/7/5) 5 $2.00 $10.00 4 1 1 $6.70 $6.70  
SAR-8   Win (1/4/7/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 7 1 1 $9.50 $9.50 1.50
SAR-9   Win (12/8/4/5/11) 5 $2.00 $10.00 8 1 1 $8.30 $8.30  
SAR-10   Win (1/6/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 6 1 1 $5.60 $5.60  
SAR-11   Win (2/10/9/1/3) 5 $2.00 $10.00 4 1 0 $15.40  
SAR-12   Win (4/1/13/9) 4 $2.00 $8.00 4 1 1 $6.20 $6.20  

Simulator Race results

 
SAR-1   07/27/2024 5610ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($100K) 2 ALL PT-12:35
See original race card.
:242 :513 1:172 1:394   1:452   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SIMULATE 1 1 11 1½ 1nk 11 1nk (mott i)LEZCANO JOSE 119 6.00 8.80  
STATES' RIGHTS 3 3 5 7 8 3 2nk (devaux cherie)SAEZ LUIS 119 6.00 4.50 P
WARLANDER 7 4 21 2½ 2nk 21 3½ (asmussen m)CARMOUCHE K 119 12.00 5% 19.00 25.25 S
WEST BEACH 6 2 3 3 4 43 4¾ (walsh brenda)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119 2.50 47% 1.10 2.75  
10  BARRICADE 9 10 9 10 9 54 52 (pletcher a)ORTIZ JR 119 8.00 9.30  
FLYING MOHAWK 5 5 74 5 5 75 6 (beckman w)DETTORI LANFRANCO 119 10.00 13.90  
ATOMIC AGE 2 7 8 8 7 96 7 (brown c)PRAT FLAVIEN 119 3.50 28% 2.60 1.90  
11  SPURGEON 10 9 6 6 6 86 8 (mcpeek kenne)HERNANDEZ J 119 15.00 43.75  
BESTFRIEND ROCKET 8 8 4 4 31 6 9 (mott william )ALVARADO JUNIOR 119 8.00 24.25  
SEATTLE ROAD (ARG) 4 6 10 9 10 108 10 (amoss m)ORTIZ L 119 15.00 25.50  
SCR  AUTHENTIC LEGEND               (pletcher a)FRANCO MANUEL 119 15.00    
SCR  INSUBORDINATION (IRE)               (weaver george)CANCEL ERIC 119 10.00    
SCR  PACIFIC HIGHWAY               (reynolds pat)RIVERA R 119 30.00    
 
SAR-2   07/27/2024 4620ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($90K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:07
See original race card.
:223 :46 1:121     1:261   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
NOONZIO 6 4 45 3   2 1 (giangiulio michel)CARMOUCHE K 119 8.00 7.90  
SORORITY PRANK 7 1 12 1½   1 2 (englehart chris)DAVIS DYLAN 119 6.00 5% 19.00 4.90 P
EXECUTIVE MOVE 2 5 6 64   33 33 (baker charlton)TORRES A 119 10.00 5% 19.00 16.70 S
TWIRLING VINE 4 7 712½ 710   5 412½ (lugovich)MARAGH RAMSAY 124 15.00 28.25  
TINEBAR 5 3 3 2½   4 514¼ (mott william )ALVARADO JUNIOR 119 3.00 7% 13.80 1.50  
LEO'S REWARD 1 6 5 5   6 617¼ (donk david)VELAZQUEZ R 119 8.00 8.50  
IRON MAN IRA 3 2 22 4   716½ 7100 (dutrow richard )ORTIZ JR 119 1.80 65% 0.50 2.10  
SCR  CRESCENDO'S REIN               (baker charlton)ROSARIO JOEL 119 6.00    
 
SAR-3   07/27/2024 4620ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($25K) Purse ($60K) 4UP ALL PT- 1:40
See original race card.
:233 :464 1:113     1:244   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1A  AMUNDSON 5 1 2nk 2nk   1 1 (kantarmaci mertk)PRAT FLAVIEN 123 3.00 54% 0.90 0.75 W
NOLO CONTESTO 1 7 4 42   3 2 (abreu fernando)CASTELLANO J 123 15.00 13.80  
NATURAL HARBOR 2 4 1nk 1nk   2 3 (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 123 6.00 16% 5.20 3.65 S
MARKET ALERT 3 3 3½ 6   511½ 412¼ (kantarmaci mertka)CANCEL ERIC 123 3.00 0.75  
10  FLINT RIDGE 7 6 7 3½   4 515 (rodrigue)MARAGH RAMSAY 123 12.00 10.80  
CHARLIE FIVE O 6 5 6 7   613½ 616¾ (rodriguez ru)GAFFALIONE TYLER 123 8.00 6.90  
PERFECT FLIGHT 4 2 5 5   715 719 (maker j)VAZQUEZ A 123 8.00 5% 19.00 6.10  
SCR  DANGEROUS RIDE               (atras rob)FRANCO MANUEL 123 8.00    
SCR  MASTER OF ARMS               (ortiz john)SANTANA JR 120 4.50    
SCR  SAFFA'S DAY               (noda orlando)DAVIS DYLAN 123 10.00    
SCR  THE BULLION BOMBER (IRE)               (jacobson david)ORTIZ JR 120 6.00    
 
SAR-4   07/27/2024 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($110K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:13
See original race card.
:23 :462 :583     1:111   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SPEAK EASY 5 5 5 54   2½ 1 (pletcher a)ORTIZ JR 120 1.00 33% 2.00 0.75 W
MARIACHI 4 1 11 1   1½ 2 (kimmel c)CARMOUCHE K 122 6.00 29% 2.50 4.30 P
EDIFIED 8 9 67 66   5 3 (asmussen s)SANTANA JR 118 15.00 14.50  
FORREST CITY 9 4 21 2   3½ 43 (mott i)ROSARIO JOEL 122 8.00 16.80  
NOTAH 1 6 31 3   4¾ 53 (terranova p)SAEZ LUIS 122 10.00 13.20  
GENERAL BANKER 3 8 89 810   7 6 (ferraro w)DAVIS DYLAN 124 8.00 5% 19.00 18.20  
BE THE BOSS 7 3 42 42   6 711 (maker michae)GAFFALIONE TYLER 124 5.00 13% 6.60 6.10  
KUNSHAN BRIDGE 2 7 78 7   8 811¼ (kantarmaci mertk)PRAT FLAVIEN 122 12.00 5% 19.00 25.75  
LEDDY 6 2 9 911½   9 918¾ (goberdh)HERNANDEZ OMAR 122 50.00 54.00  
 
SAR-5   07/27/2024 5940ft DIRT RC9 FAST Starter Allowance ($50K) Purse ($70K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:46
See original race card.
:234 :474 1:12 1:372   1:502   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
10  GAME WARDEN 8 6 4 42 42 11 1 (casse norm)SANTANA JR 125 3.50 4.00  
YO DADDY 2 2 66 54 54 21 2 (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 120 6.00 18% 4.60 4.10 P
STRAPPED 3 8 88 76 66 4 33 (rice linda)DAVIS DYLAN 123 8.00 11.50  
WHO'S THE KING 4 3 32 3 32 6 411 (joseph saffi)GAFFALIONE TYLER 120 2.50 50% 1.00 1.80  
SPECIAL DISPATCH 7 4 21 21 21 3 511 (amoss m)PRAT FLAVIEN 120 12.00 13.10  
HAVE YOU HEARD 1 1 11 11 11 5 614½ (maker j)ORTIZ JR 120 6.00 3.35  
PANDO 6 7 5 6 7 713½ 728¼ (schultz lindsay)ORTIZ L 125 12.00 5% 19.00 33.00  
COLLECTION DAY 5 5 7 8 818¼ 820 830 (gorham e)CARMOUCHE K 125 15.00 25.50  
SCR  BRILLIANT MAN               (reed r)GEROUX FLORENT 120 10.00    
SCR  UNSTABLE PRINCE               (jacobson david)VAZQUEZ A 125 15.00    
 
SAR-6   07/27/2024 3960ft DIRT RC14 FAST Alfred Purse ($350K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:20
See original race card.
:221 :45 :57     1:10   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
NAKATOMI 1 2 22 22   21 1 (ward wesley )GAFFALIONE TYLER 120 2.50 35% 1.80 3.65 W
SKELLY 6 6 12 12   11 2 (asmussen s)SANTANA JR 123 1.20 36% 1.80 1.15 P
TWISTED RIDE 2 1 3 34   33 3 (moore m)CARMOUCHE K 117 20.00 5% 19.00 34.50 S
BABY YODA 4 5 5 5   45 4 (mott i)CANCEL ERIC 122 3.50 3.40  
MY BUDDY B 3 4 6 6   6 5 (hetrick nic)AVILES YAN 116 20.00 31.00  
SUBROGATE 5 3 43 4   5 612½ (duarte jr)ORTIZ JR 119 3.50 3.20  
 
SAR-7   07/27/2024 4290ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($100K) 2 ALL PT- 3:54
See original race card.
:22 :452 1:111     1:18   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CHANCER MCPATRICK 4 6 10 9   58 11 (brown c)PRAT FLAVIEN 119 4.00 7% 13.80 2.35 W
T KRAFT 1 4 1½ 1½   1 21 (mott william )ALVARADO JUNIOR 119 10.00 16.60  
NOBLE CONFESSOR 6 3 3 31   2 3 (pletcher a)ORTIZ JR 119 6.00 4.60  
FIDDLING FELIX 5 10 9 5   4 45 (beckman w)DETTORI LANFRANCO 119 15.00 5% 19.00 7.50  
10  TIZTASTIC 10 1 4 4   37 5 (asmussen ste)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119 6.00 13.50  
AMERICAN PROMISE 2 9 8 1010½   713½ 613 (lukas wayne)ROSARIO JOEL 119 20.00 17.30  
INVICTUS 3 5 2½ 2½   612½ 715½ (cox h)GEROUX FLORENT 119 3.00 46% 1.20 2.80  
THARHOM 9 8 7 78   915½ 817¼ (mott i)ORTIZ L 119 4.00 7% 13.80 9.80  
SHERMAN FURY 8 2 5 6   814½ 919 (d'angelo franc)SAEZ LUIS 119 20.00 26.75  
RESTORE (FR) 7 7 66 89   1017 1020¼ (stewart dallas)FRANCO MANUEL 119 10.00 5% 19.00 28.25  
SCR  UNCAGED               (pletcher a)VELAZQUEZ R 119 3.00    
 
SAR-8   07/27/2024 3630ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($100K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:29
See original race card.
:22 :45 :562     1:021   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LAMORNA 7 9 9 96   31 1¼ (mott i)ORTIZ L 119 4.50 7% 14.00 3.75 W
SATIN BLUE 6 10 1010¼ 10   7 2¼ (sharp joe)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119 10.00 10.00  
ARRASOU 4 5 3½ 2½   1½ 3 (brown c)ORTIZ JR 124 3.50 32% 2.20 2.60 S
MAC TO MOORE 3 1 1½ 1½   2½ 4 (ortiz alexan)VAZQUEZ A 119 12.00 5% 19.00 14.20  
DAY DAWNING 8 2 6 62   6 5 (thomas jonathan)VELAZQUEZ R 119 10.00 15.20  
SCARLET POPPY (IRE) 1 4 5 52   5 6 (ward a)PRAT FLAVIEN 119 2.00 39% 1.60 2.20  
ECHO BAYBE (IRE) 9 7 42 4   41 7 (englehart jeremia)CARMOUCHE K 119 10.00 32.25  
TIPPLE 2 3 7 74   8 86 (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 119 12.00 13.30  
10  CORONA PRINCESS 10 8 8 8   9 9 (seyler )HERNANDEZ OMAR 119 50.00 58.50  
AUNT NONA 5 6 2½ 31   10 1014¾ (kimmel j)MARAGH RAMSAY 119 10.00 14.70  
SCR  SO READY               (pletcher a)VELAZQUEZ R 119 10.00    
SCR  UNHIDDEN GEM (IRE)               (stall alber)LEPAROUX R 119 8.00    
 
SAR-9   07/27/2024 5610ft TURF RC3 FIRM Alw Opt Clm ($80K) Purse ($110K) 3 ALL PT- 5:04
See original race card.
:233 :481 1:12 1:352   1:411   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
WEST HOLLYWOOD 7 8 7 75 7 6 1¾ (cox h)PRAT FLAVIEN 122 4.00 22% 3.50 3.15 W
NAVY SEAL (IRE) 3 2 32 3 32 2½ 2¾ (ward wesley)DETTORI LANFRANCO 118 5.00 4.10  
11  TIFAREEH 9 7 6 64 6 42 3¾ (walsh brenda)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 12.00 5% 19.00 11.50 S
MAIN BEACH 2 3 9 97 9 52 41 (brown c)ORTIZ JR 122 5.00 4.20  
TIME SONG 4 1 2 22 2 3 5 (weaver george)CASTELLANO J 122 10.00 7% 13.80 10.50  
SEA SINGER (IRE) 1 5 108 10 10 8 62 (mccarthy michae)VELAZQUEZ R 118 12.00 11.70  
10  DRUNK ON SAKE 8 4 1 12 1 1½ 7 (kantarmaci mertk)ORTIZ L 118 15.00 21.00  
12  RISK TOLERANCE (IRE) 10 9 5 4 5 7 8 (brown c)FRANCO MANUEL 122 3.00 39% 1.60 4.40  
MARCEAU 6 6 43 5 4 9 9 (tagg barclay)DAVIS KATIE 118 50.00 45.75  
MOONLIGHT 5 10 8 8 85 10 10 (pletcher todd )GEROUX FLORENT 118 15.00 5% 19.00 13.50  
SCR  DANCING GROOM               (sano antonio)SAEZ LUIS 118 20.00    
SCR  MO GO               (d'angelo jose)ALVARADO JUNIOR 122 15.00    
SCR  PIRATE               (pletcher a)RIDER TBA 118 6.00    
 
SAR-10   07/27/2024 5940ft DIRT RC13 FAST Jim Dandy Purse ($500K) 3 ALL PT- 5:43
See original race card.
:234 :472 1:111 1:361   1:491   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
FIERCENESS 6 1 21 21 1nk 1 11 (pletcher a)VELAZQUEZ R 124 1.80 22% 3.50 1.80 W
SIERRA LEONE 1 3 68 610 6 3 21 (brown c)PRAT FLAVIEN 124 1.00 42% 1.40 0.80 P
BATTEN DOWN 3 5 32 33 3 2 3 (mott william )ALVARADO JUNIOR 120 5.00 5% 18.80 10.40 S
SEIZE THE GREY 2 2 5 46 45 4 412 (lukas wayne)TORRES A 124 6.00 6.20  
GOULD'S GOLD 5 6 4 5 58 6 516¾ (mcpeek kenne)HERNANDEZ J 118 15.00 31.00  
PONY EXPRESS 4 4 11 11 2nk 5 623½ (sadler w)ROSARIO JOEL 118 20.00 25.00  
 
SAR-11   07/27/2024 5610ft TURF RC10 FIRM Allowance Purse ($95K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:17
See original race card.
:243 :481 1:12 1:35   1:411   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
GEM MINT TEN 4 3 1½ 11 1 1 1 (handal raymond)SAEZ LUIS 123 6.00 6.70  
CLEAR CONSCIENCE 1 2 4 43 43 34 2 (lewis l)CASTELLANO J 123 4.00 8% 11.90 5.10 P
10  WILLINTORISKITALL 10 4 3 21 2 2 33 (d'angelo fr)PRAT FLAVIEN 123 8.00 17% 5.00 4.50 S
WHISTLER'S HONOR 8 7 87 86 79 7 4 (abreu r)ORTIZ JR 123 4.50 5.30  
RABAJA 2 8 65 54 55 66 5 (bond james)CARMOUCHE K 120 3.00 36% 1.80 6.20  
TOPIC CHANGER 7 6 75 7 6 56 64 (maker michae)GAFFALIONE TYLER 123 10.00 7.80  
AMERICAN GRANT 5 10 1013 10 910½ 8 7 (brown bruc)SANTANA JR 123 20.00 24.50  
TETA'S TROTTER 3 1 2½ 3 32 45 8 (donk david)VELAZQUEZ R 120 15.00 5% 19.00 22.20  
EZ ROLL 9 9 99 9 1010¾ 911¾ 913¼ (morley thom)DETTORI LANFRANCO 118 6.00 12% 7.60 3.85  
STARQUIST 6 5 53 6 89 1019¾ 1025¾ (kimmel j)MARAGH RAMSAY 123 20.00 41.25  
SCR  DOLLY'S BANK               (coffey mariali)TORRES A 123 30.00    
SCR  HAGRID'S FLAME               (terranova jo)RIVERA R 120 6.00    
SCR  LAUREL VALLEY               (maker j)ROSARIO JOEL 123 5.00    
SCR  MANNY PENNY               (coffey marialice)USKE S 118 50.00    
SCR  SLAPINTHEFACE               (dutrow anthony )FRANCO MANUEL 123 8.00    
SCR  SONIC SPEED               (morley thomas)VELAZQUEZ R 123 8.00    
 
SAR-12   07/27/2024 5280ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($90K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:50
See original race card.
:24 :49 1:13 1:242   1:362   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SUMMER WHIRL 1 3 74 7 75 5 1¼ (motion graham)VELAZQUEZ R 118 2.50 58% 0.70 2.10 W
AUTUMN 2 1 1½ 1 11 13 2¼ (martin f)LEZCANO JOSE 124 6.00 7.70 P
BOBBY M'S GIRL 5 2 2½ 2 21 23 31 (duggan p)DAVIS KATIE 118 20.00 29.25  
13  CAPITAL SPENDING 11 5 6 6 6 6 41 (abreu r)ORTIZ JR 118 12.00 7% 13.70 8.90  
10  NORTH END LADY 8 7 5 53 4 3 5 (tagg barclay)PRAT FLAVIEN 124 5.00 2.55  
MISS CITY GIRL 3 8 9 9 9 7 6 (clement christop)ROSARIO JOEL 118 4.50 10% 9.40 6.90  
SHE IS ALL BUSINES 4 6 42 42 3 44 7 (rice linda)FRANCO MANUEL 118 10.00 16.90  
ASSISI 10 9 8 8 8 88 8 (bond ja)CASTELLANO J 118 20.00 49.50  
PRINCESS SUMMER 6 11 1110½ 11 10 1010¼ 9 (maker j)ORTIZ L 118 15.00 11.70  
ALITTLEBITNAUGHTY 7 4 32 3 53 9 10 (gargan danny)SAEZ LUIS 118 10.00 5% 19.00 21.20  
11  ADDAGIRL ADDIE 9 10 10 10 11 1112¾ 1110¾ (davis g)LUZZI J 118 30.00 59.25  
SCR  EMPIRE MAGIC               (gargan danny)SAEZ LUIS 118 4.50    
SCR  IN ALL MY DREAMS               (dutrow anthony )FRANCO MANUEL 118 10.00    
SCR  PAULAS STAR SISTER               (ferraro anthon)COA J 118 8.00    
SCR  PURPOSE               (bond j)ALVARADO JUNIOR 118 20.00    
SCR  SHE'S A NATURAL               (sciacca gary)VAZQUEZ A 124 30.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.