Handicappers' Racing Form

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Saratoga
Saturday - July 27, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss

SAR-1   Win (7/3/8) 3 $2.00 $6.00
SAR-2   Win (3/5/7/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00
SAR-3   Win (1/4/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00
SAR-4   Win (5/4/7/2/3) 5 $2.00 $10.00
SAR-5   Win (4/2/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00
SAR-6   Win (6/1/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00
SAR-7   Win (1/4/9/7/5) 5 $2.00 $10.00
SAR-8   Win (1/4/7/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00
SAR-9   Win (12/8/4/5/11) 5 $2.00 $10.00
SAR-10   Win (1/6/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00
SAR-11   Win (2/10/9/1/3) 5 $2.00 $10.00
SAR-12   Win (4/1/13/9) 4 $2.00 $8.00

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

 
SAR-1   07/27/2024 5610ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($100K) 2 ALL PT-12:35
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
FLYING MOHAWK         (beckman w)DETTORI LANFRANCO 119 10.00    
SCR  INSUBORDINATION (IRE)         (weaver george)CANCEL ERIC 119 10.00    
SIMULATE Jun23         (mott i)LEZCANO JOSE 119 6.00    
ATOMIC AGE         (brown c)PRAT FLAVIEN 119 3.50 28% 2.60    
SCR  AUTHENTIC LEGEND         (pletcher a)FRANCO MANUEL 119 15.00    
STATES' RIGHTS Jun20         (devaux cherie)SAEZ LUIS 119 6.00    
SEATTLE ROAD (ARG)         (amoss m)ORTIZ L 119 15.00    
WEST BEACH Jun23         (walsh brenda)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119 2.50 47% 1.10    
WARLANDER         (asmussen m)CARMOUCHE K 119 12.00 5% 19.00    
BESTFRIEND ROCKET         (mott william )ALVARADO JUNIOR 119 8.00    
10  BARRICADE         (pletcher a)ORTIZ JR 119 8.00    
11  SPURGEON         (mcpeek kenne)HERNANDEZ J 119 15.00    
SCR  PACIFIC HIGHWAY Jul12         (reynolds pat)RIVERA R 119 30.00    
 
SAR-2   07/27/2024 4620ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($90K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:07
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LEO'S REWARD         (donk david)VELAZQUEZ R 119 8.00    
EXECUTIVE MOVE Dec29         (baker charlton)TORRES A 119 10.00 5% 19.00    
IRON MAN IRA Jun15 May11 Apr13 Feb24   (dutrow richard )ORTIZ JR 119 1.80 65% 0.50    
TWIRLING VINE Apr26 Mar21 Feb23 Jan28 Jan05 (lugovich)MARAGH RAMSAY 124 15.00    
TINEBAR Jun15         (mott william )ALVARADO JUNIOR 119 3.00 7% 13.80    
NOONZIO         (giangiulio michel)CARMOUCHE K 119 8.00    
SORORITY PRANK Jun30 Jun15 May11 Apr13 Mar21 (englehart chris)DAVIS DYLAN 119 6.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  CRESCENDO'S REIN         (baker charlton)ROSARIO JOEL 119 6.00    
 
SAR-3   07/27/2024 4620ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($25K) Purse ($60K) 4UP ALL PT- 1:40
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MARKET ALERT Jun30 Jun09 May04 Apr11 Mar08 (kantarmaci mertka)CANCEL ERIC 123 3.00    
1A  AMUNDSON Jul06 May05 Apr11 Mar21 Mar08 (kantarmaci mertk)PRAT FLAVIEN 123 3.00 54% 0.90    
SCR  DANGEROUS RIDE Jun09 Apr26 Mar02 Feb11 Jan14 (atras rob)FRANCO MANUEL 123 8.00    
NOLO CONTESTO Jun28 Jun09 May19 Mar03 Dec09 (abreu fernando)CASTELLANO J 123 15.00    
NATURAL HARBOR May18 Mar27 Mar01 Feb04 Jan13 (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 123 6.00 16% 5.20    
SCR  THE BULLION BOMBER (IRE) Mar17 Mar10 Feb23 Jan28 Jan20 (jacobson david)ORTIZ JR 120 6.00    
PERFECT FLIGHT Jun19 May31 Apr12 Mar17 Feb09 (maker j)VAZQUEZ A 123 8.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  MASTER OF ARMS Jun28 Jun06 Apr07 Mar10 Feb23 (ortiz john)SANTANA JR 120 4.50    
SCR  SAFFA'S DAY Jul12 May30 Apr21 Apr05 Mar03 (noda orlando)DAVIS DYLAN 123 10.00    
CHARLIE FIVE O Jun30 Jun02 Apr28 Mar17 Feb25 (rodriguez ru)GAFFALIONE TYLER 123 8.00    
10  FLINT RIDGE Jun23 Apr13 Dec29 Oct28 Oct04 (rodrigue)MARAGH RAMSAY 123 12.00    
 
SAR-4   07/27/2024 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($110K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:13
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
NOTAH Jun07 Apr28 Apr05 Mar09 Feb24 (terranova p)SAEZ LUIS 122 10.00    
KUNSHAN BRIDGE Jul13 Jun07 Mar29 Mar02 Feb09 (kantarmaci mertk)PRAT FLAVIEN 122 12.00 5% 19.00    
GENERAL BANKER Feb17 Jan28 Jan18 Dec29 Dec03 (ferraro w)DAVIS DYLAN 124 8.00 5% 19.00    
MARIACHI Jun07 Nov24 Sep21 Aug27 Jul15 (kimmel c)CARMOUCHE K 122 6.00 29% 2.50    
SPEAK EASY Jan27         (pletcher a)ORTIZ JR 120 1.00 33% 2.00    
LEDDY Dec16 Nov12 Nov04 Oct22 Oct07 (goberdh)HERNANDEZ OMAR 122 50.00    
BE THE BOSS Apr12 Mar10 Feb16 Dec03 Nov10 (maker michae)GAFFALIONE TYLER 124 5.00 13% 6.60    
EDIFIED Jun19 Oct14 Sep16 Aug12 Jul01 (asmussen s)SANTANA JR 118 15.00    
FORREST CITY Nov10 Oct12 Sep10 Aug12 Jun27 (mott i)ROSARIO JOEL 122 8.00    
 
SAR-5   07/27/2024 5940ft DIRT RC9 FAST Starter Allowance ($50K) Purse ($70K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:46
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
HAVE YOU HEARD Jul13 May18 Apr26 Mar03 Jan27 (maker j)ORTIZ JR 120 6.00    
YO DADDY Jun29 Jun07 Apr14 Mar02 Feb09 (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 120 6.00 18% 4.60    
STRAPPED May18 Oct07 Sep28 Sep14 Aug23 (rice linda)DAVIS DYLAN 123 8.00    
WHO'S THE KING Jun30 May31 Apr20 Feb25 Feb03 (joseph saffi)GAFFALIONE TYLER 120 2.50 50% 1.00    
SCR  UNSTABLE PRINCE Jul14 Jun16 Apr21 Mar29 Mar15 (jacobson david)VAZQUEZ A 125 15.00    
COLLECTION DAY Jun08 May17 Apr19 Mar30 Feb29 (gorham e)CARMOUCHE K 125 15.00    
PANDO Jun30 Jun02 May09 Apr13 Feb23 (schultz lindsay)ORTIZ L 125 12.00 5% 19.00    
SPECIAL DISPATCH Jun23 May17 Apr24 Mar20 Mar01 (amoss m)PRAT FLAVIEN 120 12.00    
SCR  BRILLIANT MAN May31 Apr20 Mar28 Feb18 Dec15 (reed r)GEROUX FLORENT 120 10.00    
10  GAME WARDEN Jun27 May12 Apr19 Feb18 Jan19 (casse norm)SANTANA JR 125 3.50    
 
SAR-6   07/27/2024 3960ft DIRT RC14 FAST Alfred Purse ($350K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:20
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
NAKATOMI Feb10 Nov04 Oct06 Jul16 May20 (ward wesley )GAFFALIONE TYLER 120 2.50 35% 1.80    
TWISTED RIDE Jul03 Jun08 May13 Apr22 Apr04 (moore m)CARMOUCHE K 117 20.00 5% 19.00    
MY BUDDY B Jul01 May27 Mar08 Jan27 Dec30 (hetrick nic)AVILES YAN 116 20.00    
BABY YODA Jun08 May03 Mar02 Jan20 Dec15 (mott i)CANCEL ERIC 122 3.50    
SUBROGATE Jun29 Jun08 Apr12 Jul22 Jun17 (duarte jr)ORTIZ JR 119 3.50    
SKELLY Jun01 May04 Apr13 Feb03 Dec30 (asmussen s)SANTANA JR 123 1.20 36% 1.80    
 
SAR-7   07/27/2024 4290ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($100K) 2 ALL PT- 3:54
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
INVICTUS         (cox h)GEROUX FLORENT 119 3.00 46% 1.20    
SCR  UNCAGED         (pletcher a)VELAZQUEZ R 119 3.00    
T KRAFT Jun15         (mott william )ALVARADO JUNIOR 119 10.00    
AMERICAN PROMISE         (lukas wayne)ROSARIO JOEL 119 20.00    
CHANCER MCPATRICK         (brown c)PRAT FLAVIEN 119 4.00 7% 13.80    
FIDDLING FELIX Jun06         (beckman w)DETTORI LANFRANCO 119 15.00 5% 19.00    
NOBLE CONFESSOR         (pletcher a)ORTIZ JR 119 6.00    
RESTORE (FR)         (stewart dallas)FRANCO MANUEL 119 10.00 5% 19.00    
SHERMAN FURY         (d'angelo franc)SAEZ LUIS 119 20.00    
THARHOM         (mott i)ORTIZ L 119 4.00 7% 13.80    
10  TIZTASTIC         (asmussen ste)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119 6.00    
 
SAR-8   07/27/2024 3630ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($100K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:29
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCARLET POPPY (IRE) Jun28 Apr13       (ward a)PRAT FLAVIEN 119 2.00 39% 1.60    
TIPPLE         (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 119 12.00    
MAC TO MOORE Jul04 Mar08 Feb09     (ortiz alexan)VAZQUEZ A 119 12.00 5% 19.00    
ARRASOU Aug25 Jul30       (brown c)ORTIZ JR 124 3.50 32% 2.20    
AUNT NONA Jun28         (kimmel j)MARAGH RAMSAY 119 10.00    
SATIN BLUE Jun26 Jun02 Apr26 Oct19 Sep13 (sharp joe)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119 10.00    
LAMORNA Jun28 Oct13 Aug20 Jul20   (mott i)ORTIZ L 119 4.50 7% 14.00    
DAY DAWNING Jun18 Apr25       (thomas jonathan)VELAZQUEZ R 119 10.00    
ECHO BAYBE (IRE) Jun28 Nov05 Sep02     (englehart jeremia)CARMOUCHE K 119 10.00    
10  CORONA PRINCESS Jul12 Apr28       (seyler )HERNANDEZ OMAR 119 50.00    
SCR  UNHIDDEN GEM (IRE)         (stall alber)LEPAROUX R 119 8.00    
SCR  SO READY         (pletcher a)VELAZQUEZ R 119 10.00    
 
SAR-9   07/27/2024 5610ft TURF RC3 FIRM Alw Opt Clm ($80K) Purse ($110K) 3 ALL PT- 5:04
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SEA SINGER (IRE) Jun16 May05 Sep10     (mccarthy michae)VELAZQUEZ R 118 12.00    
MAIN BEACH Jun21 May19 Apr20     (brown c)ORTIZ JR 122 5.00    
NAVY SEAL (IRE) Jun22 Jun08 May04 Apr14 Mar22 (ward wesley)DETTORI LANFRANCO 118 5.00    
TIME SONG Jun07 May04 Apr13 Oct28 Sep22 (weaver george)CASTELLANO J 122 10.00 7% 13.80    
MOONLIGHT Jun29 Apr13 Feb17 Dec02 Oct29 (pletcher todd )GEROUX FLORENT 118 15.00 5% 19.00    
MARCEAU Jun07 Mar09 Dec31 Dec03 Oct26 (tagg barclay)DAVIS KATIE 118 50.00    
SCR  DANCING GROOM Jun08 May04 Mar23 Mar02 Feb03 (sano antonio)SAEZ LUIS 118 20.00    
WEST HOLLYWOOD Jun20 May10       (cox h)PRAT FLAVIEN 122 4.00 22% 3.50    
SCR  MO GO May18 Feb17 Dec30     (d'angelo jose)ALVARADO JUNIOR 122 15.00    
10  DRUNK ON SAKE Jun29 Jun06 May16     (kantarmaci mertk)ORTIZ L 118 15.00    
11  TIFAREEH Jun07 May11 Feb10 Nov25 Oct04 (walsh brenda)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 12.00 5% 19.00    
12  RISK TOLERANCE (IRE) Apr21         (brown c)FRANCO MANUEL 122 3.00 39% 1.60    
SCR  PIRATE Jul05 Jun07 May05 Apr06 Sep04 (pletcher a)RIDER TBA 118 6.00    
 
SAR-10   07/27/2024 5940ft DIRT RC13 FAST Jim Dandy Purse ($500K) 3 ALL PT- 5:43
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SIERRA LEONE Jun08 May04 Apr06 Feb17 Dec02 (brown c)PRAT FLAVIEN 124 1.00 42% 1.40    
SEIZE THE GREY Jun08 May18 May04 Apr06 Mar23 (lukas wayne)TORRES A 124 6.00    
BATTEN DOWN Jun22 Apr30 Apr06 Feb24 Jan27 (mott william )ALVARADO JUNIOR 120 5.00 5% 18.80    
PONY EXPRESS Jun15 May18 Mar09     (sadler w)ROSARIO JOEL 118 20.00    
GOULD'S GOLD Jun22 May18 Apr20 Mar30 Oct12 (mcpeek kenne)HERNANDEZ J 118 15.00    
FIERCENESS May04 Mar30 Feb03 Nov03 Oct07 (pletcher a)VELAZQUEZ R 124 1.80 22% 3.50    
 
SAR-11   07/27/2024 5610ft TURF RC10 FIRM Allowance Purse ($95K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:17
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CLEAR CONSCIENCE Jun30 May27 Dec14 Oct26 Jul02 (lewis l)CASTELLANO J 123 4.00 8% 11.90    
RABAJA Jun14 Apr27 Nov03     (bond james)CARMOUCHE K 120 3.00 36% 1.80    
TETA'S TROTTER Jun30 Jun06       (donk david)VELAZQUEZ R 120 15.00 5% 19.00    
GEM MINT TEN Jun20 Apr28 Oct26 Aug27 Aug03 (handal raymond)SAEZ LUIS 123 6.00    
AMERICAN GRANT Jun30 Jun07 Apr28 Apr05 Aug27 (brown bruc)SANTANA JR 123 20.00    
STARQUIST Jun09 May12 Apr19 May13 Apr13 (kimmel j)MARAGH RAMSAY 123 20.00    
TOPIC CHANGER Jun30 Mar25 Nov13 Oct29 Oct07 (maker michae)GAFFALIONE TYLER 123 10.00    
WHISTLER'S HONOR Jun09 May03 Jan21 Sep17 Aug27 (abreu r)ORTIZ JR 123 4.50    
EZ ROLL Jun20 Apr28 Nov03 Sep17 Aug23 (morley thom)DETTORI LANFRANCO 118 6.00 12% 7.60    
10  WILLINTORISKITALL Jun29 May27 Sep17 Aug17 Jul20 (d'angelo fr)PRAT FLAVIEN 123 8.00 17% 5.00    
SCR  MANNY PENNY Jun29 May25 Apr21 Mar16 Feb18 (coffey marialice)USKE S 118 50.00    
SCR  SONIC SPEED Jun20 May03 Feb08 Jan18 Dec22 (morley thomas)VELAZQUEZ R 123 8.00    
SCR  LAUREL VALLEY Jun20 May03 Apr06 Dec17 Nov18 (maker j)ROSARIO JOEL 123 5.00    
SCR  DOLLY'S BANK Jun30 May27 Apr27 Apr11 Mar14 (coffey mariali)TORRES A 123 30.00    
SCR  SLAPINTHEFACE Jun20 Nov19 Oct27 Aug23 Jun01 (dutrow anthony )FRANCO MANUEL 123 8.00    
SCR  HAGRID'S FLAME Jun15 Apr13 Mar24     (terranova jo)RIVERA R 120 6.00    
 
SAR-12   07/27/2024 5280ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($90K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:50
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MISS CITY GIRL Jun14 Nov02       (clement christop)ROSARIO JOEL 118 4.50 10% 9.40    
SCR  EMPIRE MAGIC Jul07 May24       (gargan danny)SAEZ LUIS 118 4.50    
ASSISI Jun08 Apr26 Nov02     (bond ja)CASTELLANO J 118 20.00    
SCR  PURPOSE Jul15 Apr21       (bond j)ALVARADO JUNIOR 118 20.00    
SCR  SHE'S A NATURAL Jul05 Jun14 Apr21 Apr14 Mar22 (sciacca gary)VAZQUEZ A 124 30.00    
SUMMER WHIRL Jul05 Jun06       (motion graham)VELAZQUEZ R 118 2.50 58% 0.70    
AUTUMN Jul05 Jun08 Apr25 Mar22 Jul29 (martin f)LEZCANO JOSE 124 6.00    
SHE IS ALL BUSINES Oct12 Sep15       (rice linda)ORTIZ JR 118 10.00    
BOBBY M'S GIRL Jul05 Jun08       (duggan p)DAVIS KATIE 118 20.00    
PRINCESS SUMMER Jun27 May25       (maker j)ORTIZ L 118 15.00    
ALITTLEBITNAUGHTY Jul05 Nov02 Sep15     (gargan danny)SAEZ LUIS 118 10.00 5% 19.00    
10  NORTH END LADY Jun08 Sep24 Aug27 Jul29 Jun17 (tagg barclay)PRAT FLAVIEN 124 5.00    
11  ADDAGIRL ADDIE Jul05 Jun14 May04 Apr06 Mar07 (davis g)LUZZI J 118 30.00    
SCR  IN ALL MY DREAMS Jun08 Apr26       (dutrow anthony )FRANCO MANUEL 118 10.00    
13  CAPITAL SPENDING Jun21 May25 Apr25     (abreu r)ORTIZ JR 118 12.00 7% 13.70    
SCR  PAULAS STAR SISTER Jun16         (ferraro anthon)COA J 118 8.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.