Handicappers' Race Results

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The Longshot Hunter!

Finger Lakes
Monday - July 15, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

FL-4   WIN (2/1/8/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00  8 $8.70 $0.70 9%
    SFT (2/1/8/3)-(2/1/8/3)-(2/1/8/3)-(2/1/8/3) 24 $0.10 $2.40  8-2-1-3 $3.80 $1.40 58%
FL-8   WIN (3/7/4/9) 4 $2.00 $8.00  4 $15.20 $7.20 90%
    EXA (3/7/4/9)-(3/7/4/9) 12 $2.00 $24.00  4-7 $144.00 $120.00 500%
    DD (1/4/6)-(3/7/4/9) 12 $2.00 $24.00  4-4 $59.00 $35.00 146%

Simulator Race results

 
FL-1   07/15/2024 5490ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($5K) Purse ($13.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:00
See original race card.
:243 :491 1:151 1:451   1:502   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
FLUTE SONG 1 1 1½ 1 16 15 1 (monserrate marisa)CRUZ JOEL 120 5.00 1.75  
TOAST TO SUCCESS 3 3 3 3 26 25 2 (eng)WORRIE SHIVNARINE 120 3.00 5.80  
VROOM VROOM 4 5 55 4 38 38 3 (acquilano james)PEREZ E 124 2.50 65% 0.50 1.30 S
FRANKIE C 6 4 4 5 518 530½ 429 (bireta donn)FLORES JEREMIAS 124 4.00 7.20  
INDYAN PENNY 2 2 2½ 2 414 430 535¾ (clarke matthew)FRET STEVEN 124 15.00 38.50  
ARCHIVIST 5 6 630 6100 6100 6100 6100 (dixon k)ALVARADO R 120 6.00 7% 13.30 6.10  
SCR  AIN'T NO LADY               (englehart je)HARKIE K 120 8.00    
 
FL-2   07/15/2024 5490ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($13.8K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:29
See original race card.
:252 :51 1:154 1:43   1:473   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LEADERSHIP ABILITY 1 1 11 11 1 1 1 (ferraro michae)COA J 124 2.00 38% 1.70 0.25 W
SWEET DESANTIS 2 3 32 3 3 2 2 (ferraro anthony)PEREZ E 122 2.50 4.40  
TRUE MARTINI 3 2 21 21 2 3 3 (dixon k)ALVARADO R 122 5.00 28% 2.60 8.90 S
QUIET HORIZON 6 4 4 4 4 4 46 (cabrera j)RODRIGUEZ ANTHONY 122 12.00 31.75  
BRIEF 4 5 5 55 5 512½ 513 (murphy timoth)DAVILA A 122 4.00 10.10  
SHEA ON A MISSION 5 6 6 6 611½ 614½ 613¾ (lopez robert)MULERO M 115 6.00 5% 19.00 40.50  
 
FL-3   07/15/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($11K) Purse ($18.1K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:58
See original race card.
:23 :464 :594     1:131   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
WARTAPPED 5 1 31 1½   1½ 13 (ferraro michael)PEREZ E 124 3.00 0.70  
FORTY SMOOTH 4 4 1nk 2½   2½ 23 (saul dana)BAEZ JOSE 124 4.00 37% 1.70 3.15 P
MISS PAB 1 5 58 5   5 3 (gutierrez a)CRUZ JOEL 124 8.00 4.20  
INVESTMENT GRADE 3 2 2nk 3   3 4 (morales samuel)PENA LUIS 124 8.00 5% 19.00 21.50  
FEDALIA 2 3 43 4   4 510 (murphy t)DAVIS A 124 6.00 38% 1.60 5.20  
SCR  LADY QUINN               (ferraro anth)COA J 120 2.50    
 
FL-4   07/15/2024 3630ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($32.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:27
See original race card.
:221 :453 :591     1:063   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
JAXIMUS 6 1 12 1   15 1 (eng)WORRIE SHIVNARINE 120 4.00 8% 12.20 3.35 W
  (by AL KHALI out of SAMMZILLA by PEACE RULES)
PENTANGELI 1 4 33 4   25 2 (barrow paul)FLORES JEREMIAS 124 3.50 38% 1.60 1.10 P
  (by CROSS TRAFFIC out of BRINGYOUROWNBOTTLE by STAY THIRSTY)
1A  AELFGAR 3 7 710½ 610½   48 3 (sells rachel)COA J 120 3.00 33% 2.10 2.75 S
  (by LEOFRIC out of STAR ORCHID by SUCCESSFUL APPEAL)
JAKE'S ORCHARD 2 6 5 510½   5 4 (torelli stacy)DAVILA A 120 8.00 5% 19.00 6.20  
  (by COAL FRONT out of BLUEBRASS BELLE by BLUEGRASS CAT)
HAPPY INSTEAD 7 2 4 34   35 5 (ferraro anthony)PEREZ E 120 6.00 21.10  
  (by LEOFRIC out of GOOD HABITS by HABITONY (IRE))
MORQ 5 5 6 713½   714½ 611¾ (breed jr)DAVIS DYLAN 120 15.00 17.90  
  (by MOR SPIRIT out of QUALIFYING by QUALITY ROAD)
LUCKY BANKER 4 3 22 2   611½ 721½ (d'alessandro r)BROWN DALTON 124 20.00 65.00  
  (by CENTRAL BANKER out of LUCKY SUNSET by BERNARDINI)
SCR  BIG BABY HENRY               (marino e)ROHENA JR 120 10.00    
  (by WAR DANCER out of BABY AT THE PARK by ECTON PARK)
SCR  FIVE ACES               (buckley jonat)NAVARRO KEVIN 120 15.00    
  (by KANTHAROS out of MAGNOLIA LANE by REGAL REMARK)
SCR  SUPPORT THE CAT               (sells ra)DAVIS A 124 3.00    
  (by COURAGEOUS CAT out of SUPPORTER by HOOK AND LADDER)
 
FL-5   07/15/2024 5610ft DIRT RC11 FAST New York Oaks Purse ($75K) 3 F PT- 2:56
See original race card.
:244 :504 1:151 1:394   1:461   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CALDWELL LUVS GOLD 6 4 22 2½ 2½ 1½ 1 (cox h)FRANCO MANUEL 117 1.80 65% 0.50 0.45 W
  (by GOLDENCENTS out of SNOW by QUALITY ROAD)
SWEET BROWN SUGAR 2 2 12 1½ 1½ 2½ 2 (barrow paul)FLORES JEREMIAS 117 1.60 14% 6.30 1.55 P
  (by COLLECTED out of RACHEL'S BLUE MOON by BODEMEISTER)
PURPOSE 5 6 43 4 34 310½ 312½ (bond harold)ALVARADO JUNIOR 117 6.00 16.90  
  (by COMMISSIONER out of BRANDINI by E DUBAI)
DHARMA 3 3 5 5 510½ 627½ 431 (ferraro anthony)PEREZ E 117 6.00 35.25  
  (by GOOD SAMARITAN out of COMFORT LEVEL by MIZZEN MAST)
DREAMERY 4 5 65 63 611½ 526½ 531 (sells rache)CAMILO D 117 12.00 97.00  
  (by MASTERY out of DREAMER'S PROSPECT by WARRIOR'S REWARD)
THIRTEEN RED FLAGS 1 1 33 3 4 426½ 646 (chi)WORRIE SHIVNARINE 117 5.00 5% 19.00 18.30  
  (by MAXIMUS MISCHIEF out of COVE by PINE BLUFF)
 
FL-6   07/15/2024 3630ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($26.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:25
See original race card.
:224 :464 :593     1:061   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DORTH'S SOL DANCER 4 3 42 4   2nk 1 (ferraro anth)COA J 120 5.00 3.55  
QUEENS OVER THREES 2 2 11 11   3.2 2 (falk jacquelin)ALPANDER B 124 15.00 17.60  
WHO ASKED YOU 6 1 3 21   4¼ 3 (ferraro m)RODRIGUEZ ANTHONY 124 8.00 5% 19.00 31.25 S
11  DOLCE VELOCE 7 5 63 5   1nk 4 (o'callahan carl)CRUZ JOEL 120 10.00 6% 15.40 10.90  
LOVE THYSELF 3 6 53 6   5 5 (buckley jonathan )PEREZ E 120 20.00 14.40  
GHOSTBUSTIN 5 4 77 7   6 6 (bar)WORRIE SHIVNARINE 124 3.00 3.30  
LADY ARWEN 1 7 21 3   710¾ 724 (englehart jer)FRANCO MANUEL 120 5.00 16% 5.30 0.85  
SCR  CENTRAL FRONT               (gutterson ka)BERRIOS C 124 10.00    
SCR  FIND YOUR JOY               (morley thomas)DAVIS DYLAN 120 15.00    
SCR  J D ADVANTAGE               (barrow paul)FLORES JEREMIAS 124 10.00    
SCR  SHE'S A FREUD               (buckley jonat)NAVARRO KEVIN 124 4.00 48% 1.10    
 
FL-7   07/15/2024 5610ft DIRT RC11 FAST New York Derby Purse ($159K) 3 ALL PT- 3:54
See original race card.
:243 :492 1:141 1:392   1:453   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
PANDAGATE 4 5 5 5 5 1½ 1¾ (clement christo)DAVIS DYLAN 124 1.40 29% 2.40 1.35 W
  (by ARROGATE out of KITTY PANDA by SKY MESA)
DOC SULLIVAN 1 2 21 21 2½ 3½ 2¾ (miceli micha)CASTELLANO J 124 2.50 48% 1.10 0.95 P
  (by SOLOMINI out of QUEEN FROSTINE by GIANT'S CAUSEWAY)
SKYLER'S STARSHIP 5 3 11 11 1½ 2½ 3 (ferraro anth)COA J 118 10.00 33.50  
  (by MENDELSSOHN out of DOROTHY'S AURORA by SIMON PURE)
ELYSIAN MEADOWS 2 1 4 4 4 4 4 (mott willia)ALVARADO JUNIOR 118 4.00 4.40  
  (by CITY OF LIGHT out of HEAVENLY THOUGHT by WAR FRONT)
AGGELOS THE GREAT 6 4 32 3 31 5 510½ (weaver george)FRANCO MANUEL 118 8.00 5% 19.00 15.80  
  (by CITY OF LIGHT out of SPRITELY by TOUCH GOLD)
MERLIN'S MOMENT 3 6 6 65 6 6 611½ (bond harol)RIVERA R 124 8.00 52.75  
  (by HONOR CODE out of JOSEPHINE'S MOMENT by CITY ZIP)
 
FL-8   07/15/2024 5490ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($26.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:23
See original race card.
:241 :493 1:144 1:42   1:463   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LOVE MY CANDY 4 6 1 11 14 1 1 (ferraro m)RODRIGUEZ ANTHONY 124 8.00 9% 10.50 6.60 W
OH MRS. MAISEL 7 4 54 52 24 2 2 (ferraro michael)PEREZ E 124 3.00 22% 3.50 6.90 P
COZEE MAGIC 6 7 77 7 7 3 33 (barrow paul)FLORES JEREMIAS 124 3.50 4.20  
MAIZE LOVED LAFFY 8 2 65 63 8 59 4 (marino e)ROHENA JR 124 20.00 5% 19.00 38.00  
OUR FIRST LADY 1 8 8 8 6 4 5 (acq)WORRIE SHIVNARINE 124 15.00 45.25  
SHEZA BERNARDINI 5 3 43 4 34 710½ 612 (englehart jer)FRANCO MANUEL 120 8.00 2.55  
JAYLA 2 1 2 21 4 6 712¾ (d'alessand)DE EMANUEL 124 5.00 7.40  
SKY'S WINNING BID 3 5 3 3 5 813½ 822¾ (ferraro anth)COA J 120 4.00 37% 1.70 2.05  
SCR  HILLBILLY LADY               (lecesse mic)HERNANDEZ HARRY 120 10.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.