Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Finger Lakes
Monday - July 15, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
FL-1   WIN (4/5) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (4/5)-(4/5/1) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
    TRI (4/5)-(4/5/1)-(4/5/1) 4 $0.50 $2.00 
    DD (4/5)-(1/3/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
FL-2   WIN (1/3/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/3/5)-(1/3/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/3/5)-(1/3/5)-(1/3/5) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (1/3/5)-(2/5/4) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (1/3/5)-(2/5/4)-(2/1/8/3) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
FL-3   WIN (2/5/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/5/4)-(2/5/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/5/4)-(2/5/4)-(2/5/4) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (2/5/4)-(2/1/8/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (2/5/4)-(2/1/8/3)-(6/2/1) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
FL-4   WIN (2/1/8/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/1/8/3)-(2/1/8/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/1/8/3)-(2/1/8/3)-(2/1/8/3) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (2/1/8/3)-(6/2/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (2/1/8/3)-(6/2/1)-(8/1/11/9) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
FL-5   WIN (6/2/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/2/1)-(6/2/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (6/2/1)-(6/2/1)-(6/2/1) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (6/2/1)-(8/1/11/9) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
FL-6   WIN (8/1/11/9) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (8/1/11/9)-(8/1/11/9) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (8/1/11/9)-(8/1/11/9)-(8/1/11/9) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (8/1/11/9)-(1/4/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
FL-7   WIN (1/4/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/4/6)-(1/4/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/4/6)-(1/4/6)-(1/4/6) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (1/4/6)-(3/7/4/9) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (1/4/6)-(3/7/4/9)-(8/5/7/9) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
FL-8   WIN (3/7/4/9) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/7/4/9)-(3/7/4/9) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/7/4/9)-(3/7/4/9)-(3/7/4/9) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (3/7/4/9)-(8/5/7/9) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
FL-9   WIN (8/5/7/9) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (8/5/7/9)-(8/5/7/9) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (8/5/7/9)-(8/5/7/9)-(8/5/7/9) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
FL-1   07/15/2024 5490ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($5K) Purse ($13.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  FLUTE SONG Jun25 May28 Sep27 Sep11   (monserrate marisa)CRUZ JOEL 120 5.00 ★    
2  INDYAN PENNY Jul01 Jun19 May14 Apr30 Nov22 (clarke matthew)FRET STEVEN 124 15.00    
3  TOAST TO SUCCESS Jun25 Jun05 May22 Jan18   (eng)WORRIE SHIVNARINE 120 3.00    
4  VROOM VROOM Jul01 Jun17 May29 May13 Jul17 (acquilano james)PEREZ E 124 2.50 65% 0.50    
5  ARCHIVIST Jun05 May20 Apr30 Mar30 Feb28 (dixon k)ALVARADO R 120 6.00 7% 13.30    
SCR  AIN'T NO LADY Jun19 May29 May13     (englehart je)HARKIE K 120 8.00    
7  FRANKIE C Jul01 Jun19 May29 Nov22 Nov07 (bireta donn)FLORES JEREMIAS 124 4.00    
 
FL-2   07/15/2024 5490ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($13.8K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:29
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LEADERSHIP ABILITY Jul01 May24 Apr25 Jan18 Dec08 (ferraro michae)COA J 124 2.00 38% 1.70    
2  SWEET DESANTIS Jul01 Jun17 Nov22 Nov01 Oct18 (ferraro anthony)PEREZ E 122 2.50    
3  TRUE MARTINI Jun19 May17 Apr25 Apr07 Mar09 (dixon k)ALVARADO R 122 5.00 28% 2.60    
4  BRIEF Jul04 Jun04 Mar15 Feb16 Feb08 (murphy timoth)DAVILA A 122 4.00    
5  SHEA ON A MISSION Jun17 Jun04 May21 Jan17 Dec29 (lopez robert)MULERO M 115 6.00 5% 19.00    
6  QUIET HORIZON Jul04 Jun17 Jun04 May13 Nov15 (cabrera j)RODRIGUEZ ANTHONY 122 12.00    
 
FL-3   07/15/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($11K) Purse ($18.1K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:58
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MISS PAB Jul02 Jun10 May21 May07 Nov20 (gutierrez a)CRUZ JOEL 124 8.00    
2  FEDALIA Jun18 Jun04 May22 Feb17 Jan20 (murphy t)DAVIS A 124 6.00 38% 1.60    
SCR  LADY QUINN Jun18 Nov22 Nov13 Oct31 Oct04 (ferraro anth)COA J 120 2.50    
4  INVESTMENT GRADE Jun25 Jun18 Jun10 May21 May07 (morales samuel)PENA LUIS 124 8.00 5% 19.00    
5  FORTY SMOOTH Jun16 Apr27 Mar26 Nov15 Nov07 (saul dana)BAEZ JOSE 124 4.00 37% 1.70    
6  WARTAPPED May14 Apr30 Jan28 Jan11 Dec08 (ferraro michael)PEREZ E 124 3.00    
 
FL-4   07/15/2024 3630ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($32.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:27
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1A  AELFGAR Jun24 Jun17 May29 May18 Apr13 (sells rachel)COA J 120 3.00 33% 2.10    
  (by LEOFRIC out of STAR ORCHID by SUCCESSFUL APPEAL)
SCR  SUPPORT THE CAT Jun24 Jun03 May20 Feb24 Feb03 (sells ra)DAVIS A 124 3.00    
  (by COURAGEOUS CAT out of SUPPORTER by HOOK AND LADDER)
2  PENTANGELI Jun17 Jun03 Nov22 Oct30 Oct02 (barrow paul)FLORES JEREMIAS 124 3.50 38% 1.60    
  (by CROSS TRAFFIC out of BRINGYOUROWNBOTTLE by STAY THIRSTY)
3  JAKE'S ORCHARD Jul01 Jun17 Jul28 Jul16   (torelli stacy)DAVILA A 120 8.00 5% 19.00    
  (by COAL FRONT out of BLUEBRASS BELLE by BLUEGRASS CAT)
SCR  FIVE ACES Jul01         (buckley jonat)NAVARRO KEVIN 120 15.00    
  (by KANTHAROS out of MAGNOLIA LANE by REGAL REMARK)
SCR  BIG BABY HENRY Jul01         (marino e)ROHENA JR 120 10.00    
  (by WAR DANCER out of BABY AT THE PARK by ECTON PARK)
6  LUCKY BANKER Jul01         (d'alessandro r)BROWN DALTON 124 20.00    
  (by CENTRAL BANKER out of LUCKY SUNSET by BERNARDINI)
7  MORQ Dec29 Dec02 Nov21 Oct19   (breed jr)DAVIS DYLAN 120 15.00    
  (by MOR SPIRIT out of QUALIFYING by QUALITY ROAD)
8  JAXIMUS Jun24 Jun03 Feb03     (eng)WORRIE SHIVNARINE 120 4.00 8% 12.20    
  (by AL KHALI out of SAMMZILLA by PEACE RULES)
9  HAPPY INSTEAD Apr29         (ferraro anthony)PEREZ E 120 6.00    
  (by LEOFRIC out of GOOD HABITS by HABITONY (IRE))
 
FL-5   07/15/2024 5610ft DIRT RC11 FAST New York Oaks Purse ($75K) 3 F PT- 2:56
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  THIRTEEN RED FLAGS Jun14 Jun09 May10 Apr07 Mar17 (chi)WORRIE SHIVNARINE 117 5.00 5% 19.00    
  (by MAXIMUS MISCHIEF out of COVE by PINE BLUFF)
2  SWEET BROWN SUGAR Jun24 Mar17 Mar03 Feb09 Jan14 (barrow paul)FLORES JEREMIAS 117 1.60 14% 6.30    
  (by COLLECTED out of RACHEL'S BLUE MOON by BODEMEISTER)
3  DHARMA Jul09 Jun25 May28     (ferraro anthony)PEREZ E 117 6.00    
  (by GOOD SAMARITAN out of COMFORT LEVEL by MIZZEN MAST)
4  DREAMERY Jun24 May29 Mar14 Jan31 Jan11 (sells rache)CAMILO D 117 12.00    
  (by MASTERY out of DREAMER'S PROSPECT by WARRIOR'S REWARD)
5  PURPOSE Apr21         (bond harold)ALVARADO JUNIOR 117 6.00    
  (by COMMISSIONER out of BRANDINI by E DUBAI)
6  CALDWELL LUVS GOLD Jun09 May24 Mar17 Dec02 Oct29 (cox h)FRANCO MANUEL 117 1.80 65% 0.50    
  (by GOLDENCENTS out of SNOW by QUALITY ROAD)
 
FL-6   07/15/2024 3630ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($26.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LADY ARWEN Aug24 Jul27       (englehart jer)FRANCO MANUEL 120 5.00 16% 5.30    
SCR  J D ADVANTAGE Mar11 Jan22       (barrow paul)FLORES JEREMIAS 124 10.00    
3  QUEENS OVER THREES Jan12 Dec14 Nov25 Aug27 Jul19 (falk jacquelin)ALPANDER B 124 15.00    
SCR  CENTRAL FRONT Jun19 Jun05       (gutterson ka)BERRIOS C 124 10.00    
5  LOVE THYSELF Jun24 May29 May14 Jan19 Nov24 (buckley jonathan )PEREZ E 120 20.00    
6  DORTH'S SOL DANCER Jun24 Jun05 May06 Mar03 Jan18 (ferraro anth)COA J 120 5.00    
7  GHOSTBUSTIN Jun15 Apr18 Mar16 Feb17 Jan26 (bar)WORRIE SHIVNARINE 124 3.00    
SCR  SHE'S A FREUD Jun25         (buckley jonat)NAVARRO KEVIN 124 4.00 48% 1.10    
9  WHO ASKED YOU Jul01 Jun17 Nov21 Nov07 Sep12 (ferraro m)RODRIGUEZ ANTHONY 124 8.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  FIND YOUR JOY Jun14 May06 Feb24 Jan18 Aug02 (morley thomas)DAVIS DYLAN 120 15.00    
11  DOLCE VELOCE Jun24 May20 Apr29 Apr04 Mar22 (o'callahan carl)CRUZ JOEL 120 10.00 6% 15.40    
 
FL-7   07/15/2024 5610ft DIRT RC11 FAST New York Derby Purse ($159K) 3 ALL PT- 3:54
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DOC SULLIVAN Jun09 May05 Apr14 Feb25 Jan19 (miceli micha)CASTELLANO J 124 2.50 48% 1.10    
  (by SOLOMINI out of QUEEN FROSTINE by GIANT'S CAUSEWAY)
2  ELYSIAN MEADOWS Jun09 Apr27 Apr06 Feb10 Dec15 (mott willia)ALVARADO JUNIOR 118 4.00    
  (by CITY OF LIGHT out of HEAVENLY THOUGHT by WAR FRONT)
3  MERLIN'S MOMENT May25 Apr13 Feb11     (bond harol)RIVERA R 124 8.00    
  (by HONOR CODE out of JOSEPHINE'S MOMENT by CITY ZIP)
4  PANDAGATE Feb25 Dec09 Oct13     (clement christo)DAVIS DYLAN 124 1.40 29% 2.40    
  (by ARROGATE out of KITTY PANDA by SKY MESA)
5  SKYLER'S STARSHIP Jun24 May28 Oct29 Sep24 Aug23 (ferraro anth)COA J 118 10.00    
  (by MENDELSSOHN out of DOROTHY'S AURORA by SIMON PURE)
6  AGGELOS THE GREAT Jun28 Dec15 Nov18 Oct29 Sep24 (weaver george)FRANCO MANUEL 118 8.00 5% 19.00    
  (by CITY OF LIGHT out of SPRITELY by TOUCH GOLD)
 
FL-8   07/15/2024 5490ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($26.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:23
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  OUR FIRST LADY Jun19 Jun05 May14 Nov21 Oct25 (acq)WORRIE SHIVNARINE 124 15.00    
2  JAYLA Jun17 May29 May13 Apr29 Mar29 (d'alessand)DE EMANUEL 124 5.00    
3  SKY'S WINNING BID Jun25 May29 May13     (ferraro anth)COA J 120 4.00 37% 1.70    
4  LOVE MY CANDY Jul01 Jun05 May22 Apr04 Feb18 (ferraro m)RODRIGUEZ ANTHONY 124 8.00 9% 10.50    
5  SHEZA BERNARDINI Jun05 May14 Sep27 Aug28 Aug01 (englehart jer)FRANCO MANUEL 120 8.00    
6  COZEE MAGIC Jun19 May29 Apr29 Dec22 Dec07 (barrow paul)FLORES JEREMIAS 124 3.50    
7  OH MRS. MAISEL Jul01 Jun04 May10 Feb23 Sep15 (ferraro michael)PEREZ E 124 3.00 22% 3.50    
SCR  HILLBILLY LADY Jul01 Jun11 May29 May06   (lecesse mic)HERNANDEZ HARRY 120 10.00    
9  MAIZE LOVED LAFFY Jul01 Jun17 Nov21 Oct23 Sep20 (marino e)ROHENA JR 124 20.00 5% 19.00    
 
FL-9   07/15/2024 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($13.8K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:52
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SWEET TOOTH SUE Jul01 Jun05 May14 Nov14 Oct31 (marino e)ROHENA JR 124 5.00    
SCR  M. A. S. SCRUVES Nov01 Oct18 Oct03 Sep06 Aug23 (marino e)ROHENA JR 122 5.00    
2  DEVILLY Jun20 May12 Apr28 Apr05 Mar16 (ferrar)GRISALES DANILO 122 2.50    
SCR  SUBTLE GIANT Jul01 Jun04 May21 Nov15 Nov01 (d'alessan)RODRIGUEZ ANTHONY 122 20.00    
SCR  RULER OF THE NIGHT Jun17 May27 Apr30 Nov15 Oct25 (englehart )DE EMANUEL 124 3.50    
5  UNBRIDLED'S REIGN Jun04 May13 Nov15 Oct31 Sep06 (breed ronald )DAVILA A 122 5.00 17% 4.80    
6  WINE TRAIL Jul01 Jun04 Nov15 Nov01 Oct16 (progno micha)HARKIE K 122 20.00    
7  MOOLAH ROUGE Jun17 May28 May14 Nov14 Oct17 (lecesse michae)COA J 122 10.00 16% 5.30    
8  SWEET SENSATION Jun17 Jun03 May21 Apr30 Feb29 (ronen assaf)BROWN DALTON 124 8.00 28% 2.60    
9  MADDIE'S SURPRISE Jul01 Jun04 May13 Apr30 Jan11 (sells rachel)PEREZ E 122 6.00 5% 19.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.