Handicappers' Race Results
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The Longshot Hunter!
Saratoga
Friday - August 02, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bet Results
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
SAR-2   WIN (7/5/8/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00  7 $10.20 $2.20 28%
SAR-3   WIN (6/2/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00  6 $9.60 $3.60 60%
    EXA (6/2/3)-(6/2/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00  6-3 $15.00 $9.00 150%
    DD (7/5/8/1)-(6/2/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00  7-6 $19.00 $7.00 58%
SAR-4   DD (6/2/3)-(3/1/6) 9 $1.00 $9.00  6-3 $14.80 $5.80 64%
    PK3 (7/5/8/1)-(6/2/3)-(3/1/6) 36 $1.00 $36.00  7-6-3 $49.25 $13.25 37%
SAR-7   WIN (1/6/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00  6 $7.40 $1.40 23%
    EXA (1/6/4)-(1/6/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00  6-1 $10.50 $4.50 75%
    DD (5/4/6/3)-(1/6/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00  5-6 $13.00 $1.00 8%
SAR-8   TRI (1/2/3)-(1/2/3)-(1/2/3) 6 $0.50 $3.00  1-3-2 $5.75 $2.75 92%
SAR-9   WIN (4/8/1/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00  4 $9.00 $1.00 13%
SAR-10   DD (4/8/1/6)-(9/3/1/4/6) 20 $1.00 $20.00  4-1 $24.00 $4.00 20%
Simulator Race results
 
SAR-1   08/02/2024 4290ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($100K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:10
See original race card.
:22 :452 1:092     1:154   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
4  TWO SHARP 4 3 11½ 11½   110 111¼ (bauer phili)ALVARADO JUNIOR 119 1.40 57% 0.80 0.50 W
  (by TWIRLING CANDY out of DOUBLE SHARP by DISTORTED HUMOR)
2  LADY PINK 2 5 512½ 55   210 211¼ (brown c)PRAT FLAVIEN 119 3.00 2.85  
  (by INTO MISCHIEF out of ASTRAY by BERNARDINI)
3  PATTY BROWN EYES 3 2 47 44   412½ 319½ (morley thoma)CASTELLANO J 119 8.00 15% 5.60 6.60 S
  (by ENTICED out of BROWN EYES by HALO'S IMAGE)
5  QUIET CONFIDENCE 5 1 21½ 21½   312 422½ (walsh bren)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119 6.00 5% 19.00 14.10  
  (by NYQUIST out of HI HOLIDAY by HARLAN'S HOLIDAY)
1  SHE'S WICKED SMART 1 4 32 33½   520½ 535¾ (falcone robe)TORRES A 119 12.00 10.20  
  (by RUNHAPPY out of TEAK TOTEM by NORTHERN AFLEET)
SCR  STELLIFY               (cox h)GEROUX FLORENT 119 2.50    
  (by JUSTIFY out of SAVVY STAR by MEDAGLIA D'ORO)
 
SAR-2   08/02/2024 5610ft TURF RC4 FIRM Maiden Claimer ($75K) Purse ($60K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:44
See original race card.
:232 :482 1:124 1:361   1:421   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
7  FLY RIGHT 7 1 22½ 22 21 14 13¼ (abreu fernan)CASTELLANO J 124 3.50 60% 0.70 4.10 W
9  SANDBORN 10 6 45½ 36½ 34 35½ 23¼ (devaux cherie)PRAT FLAVIEN 118 8.00 5.10  
5  HURRICANE EXPRESS (FR) 5 4 56 59½ 46 46½ 34¼ (brown c)ORTIZ JR 118 4.00 13% 6.70 3.80 S
8  TIZ WICKED STRONG 9 8 911 912½ 810 78½ 46¼ (antonacci phil)ORTIZ L 124 10.00 6% 16.70 7.30  
4  MARGINAL COST 4 9 810 812 710 68 57¼ (brown c)FRANCO MANUEL 118 6.00 7.40  
3  SHAM'S PRIDE 3 5 68½ 611 57½ 58 67¾ (beckman whit)ROSARIO JOEL 118 5.00 ★ 6.50  
1  TRIUMPHANT ROAD 2 10 1011 1014½ 910½ 910¼ 710¼ (barker r)VAZQUEZ A 124 10.00 5% 19.00 8.80  
6  SIX KINGS 6 7 79½ 711 68 810 811 (sharp joe)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 4.50 7.30  
1A  PAXSATIONAL 8 2 12½ 12 11 24 912½ (barker edward )LUZZI J 124 10.00 8.80  
2  FORCED ERRORS 1 3 34½ 47½ 1014 1027¼ 1031 (zito nic)GOMEZ ANTONIO 118 15.00 28.75  
SCR  BEARINGS               (atras rob)RIDER TBA 124 4.00    
SCR  FATTOUSH               (moubarak )DETTORI LANFRANCO 118 6.00    
 
SAR-3   08/02/2024 5940ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($62.5K) Purse ($115K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:18
See original race card.
:244 :491 1:133 1:382   1:504   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
6  POWER SEEKER 5 2 1½ 1½ 1nk 14 16½ (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 122 3.00 34% 2.00 3.80 W
3  COSTA TERRA 3 1 42 52 52 35 26½ (rice linda)ORTIZ JR 122 4.00 10% 8.60 2.20 P
5  DUKE OF GLOUCESTER 4 3 2½ 2½ 2nk 24 37¼ (potts wayn)GAFFALIONE TYLER 124 15.00 18.90  
1  PERFORM 1 4 31 41½ 41½ 45½ 49¼ (mcgaughey claud)DAVIS DYLAN 122 2.50 1.75  
2  HARLOCAP 2 5 52 31½ 3½ 513½ 523 (asmussen )TORRES A 124 2.00 24% 3.20 2.75  
SCR  LAUGHING BOY               (jacobson )CAMACHO JR 124 6.00    
 
SAR-4   08/02/2024 3960ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($45K) Purse ($100K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:52
See original race card.
:224 :462 :582     1:103   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
3  TRICKY TEMPER 3 4 21 2nk   11 11¾ (englehart jer)ORTIZ JR 118 1.60 48% 1.10 0.85 W
1  ATHENA BEACH 1 2 11 1nk   21 21¾ (synnefia)GOMEZ ANTONIO 124 3.50 15% 5.60 2.90 P
2  GONE AND FORGOTTEN 2 1 53 51¾   31 31¾ (dutrow ri)DETTORI LANFRANCO 122 2.50 5.20  
5  MISSING FORTUNE 5 3 32½ 41¼   43 46½ (saul dana)BAEZ JOSE 122 4.00 7.50  
4  BANK ON ANNA 4 5 64 66¼   67½ 515¼ (kantarmaci me)FRANCO MANUEL 122 15.00 17.90  
6  JACKSON'S DIXIE 6 6 43 31   54½ 617¾ (noda orlando)DAVIS DYLAN 126 8.00 5% 19.00 12.20  
 
SAR-5   08/02/2024 5610ft TURF RC4 FIRM Maiden Claimer ($40K) Purse ($55K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:27
See original race card.
:232 :47 1:113 1:363   1:424   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
8  FANTASY PERFORMER 8 9 85¾ 63¼ 62¼ 53½ 1hd (brown c)ORTIZ JR 118 6.00 6.90  
1A  PURRFECT GIRL 4 11 1010¾ 96¼ 85¾ 43½ 2hd (dutrow a)GOMEZ ANTONIO 118 4.00 22% 3.60 4.10  
1  Z TRAIN (IRE) 1 2 42½ 51¾ 41 1½ 3nk (dutrow an)DETTORI LANFRANCO 118 4.00 ★ 4.10 S
7  PAY THE BILLS (FR) 7 5 21 2½ 2½ 2½ 41¾ (brown c)PRAT FLAVIEN 118 2.50 54% 0.90 1.75  
2  BLIND SPEED 2 1 75½ 73¼ 73¼ 64 53½ (zito nicholas )LUZZI J 118 30.00 48.50  
5  AMERICAN KESTREL 5 3 11 1½ 1½ 31½ 68¼ (tagg barclay)DAVIS KATIE 118 5.00 ★ 4.60  
9  ALTHENA 9 8 99¾ 108¾ 910¾ 79½ 79¾ (paragallo)LEPAROUX R 118 30.00 43.50  
3  LUNA LOVE 3 4 52½ 41½ 52 811½ 815¾ (sano antoni)ALVARADO JUNIOR 118 10.00 5% 19.00 8.00  
10  QUEEN ROCKET 10 7 31½ 3½ 31 913½ 919¾ (aro c)ORTIZ L 124 10.00 5% 19.00 8.50  
6  EXOTIC CAT 6 6 1111¼ 119¼ 1117¼ 1019½ 1021¾ (pregman jr)VAZQUEZ A 124 30.00 37.50  
11  LION'S MIRACLE MO 11 10 63½ 84¼ 1016¼ 1127½ 1137¼ (handal raymond)DAVIS DYLAN 118 15.00 20.90  
SCR  CLASSIC CARA               (friedman mit)CASTELLANO J 118 6.00    
 
SAR-6   08/02/2024 5280ft TURF RC6 FIRM Optional Claiming ($35K) Purse ($70K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:02
See original race card.
:241 :49 1:13 1:242   1:36   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
5  UNLEASH THE POWER 5 8 96½ 95 95¾ 43½ 1½ (stall m)ROSARIO JOEL 123 3.00 35% 1.90 1.25 W
1  GILDED CRAKEN 1 1 11 1½ 1½ 11 2½ (sharp joe)SAEZ LUIS 123 5.00 ★ 4.30 P
2  JHIRSCH 2 4 32½ 41½ 32 31½ 31¾ (motion grah)FRANCO MANUEL 120 15.00 18.70  
4  PALACE VIEW (IRE) 4 2 21 2½ 2½ 21 41¾ (casse mark)ORTIZ JR 125 4.00 24% 3.20 6.70  
3  HARVARD 3 7 64¼ 63¼ 64¼ 74¼ 53½ (atras ro)SANTANA JR 123 10.00 5% 19.00 10.60  
10  EMIRATES ROAD 9 6 74¼ 83½ 54 63¾ 63¾ (cox h)GEROUX FLORENT 125 6.00 8.10  
11  AZ U CHASE ME 10 11 1112½ 118½ 108¾ 96¾ 77 (englehart chris)CANCEL ERIC 120 20.00 64.25  
6  TYPHOON FURY 6 3 42½ 51¾ 42 53½ 88 (toscano t)ORTIZ L 118 12.00 16% 5.20 13.20  
9  COLLECT FROM IKE 8 9 86¼ 73¼ 85¾ 86¾ 98½ (pregman john)CASTELLANO J 125 15.00 31.50  
12  GHOSTLYPRINCE 11 5 52¾ 31½ 74¾ 107¾ 1014½ (rodrigue)GOMEZ ANTONIO 123 8.00 17.90  
7  FLASHY ALEX 7 10 1010½ 107½ 1115¾ 1118¾ 1128½ (persaud randi)LUZZI J 125 50.00 65.50  
SCR  FAIR HAIRED BOY               (hawthorne bobb)LEZCANO JOSE 123 20.00    
SCR  FIGHTING BACK               (englehart chr)FRANCO MANUEL 125 6.00    
SCR  OWN THE FIELD               (maker mich)GAFFALIONE TYLER 123 2.00    
SCR  PRINCIPE D'ORO               (rodriguez gust)PRAT FLAVIEN 125 8.00    
SCR  SKI COUNTRY               (noda orlando)RIDER TBA 123 15.00    
 
SAR-7   08/02/2024 4620ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($95K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:35
See original race card.
:231 :462 1:11     1:241   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
6  MAGGIE T 5 1 11 12   15 16 (giangiulio)RIVERA R 122 3.50 25% 3.00 2.70 W
1  FIVE TO TWO 1 6 52½ 52¾   35½ 26 (de h)SANTANA JR 120 3.00 38% 1.60 2.20 P
5  FOXY CARA 4 5 64 63¾   25 36 (friedman mitche)CANCEL ERIC 124 3.50 3.20  
4  BIG HAZEL 3 3 31½ 42½   411½ 416¾ (donk dav)GOMEZ ANTONIO 122 8.00 5% 19.00 12.30  
7  CAROL T 6 2 42 32½   613½ 519½ (jimenez l)VAZQUEZ A 120 4.00 4.00  
2  MYSARIA 2 4 21 22   511½ 619¾ (hills a)DAVIS DYLAN 118 10.00 9.00  
SCR  SANTAGATA               (de horacio)CARMOUCHE K 120 4.50    
 
SAR-8   08/02/2024 6270ft TURF RC13 FIRM Fasig-Tipton Saratoga Oaks Invitational Purse ($400K) 3 F PT- 5:10
See original race card.
:244 :494 1:142 1:374   1:55   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CINDERELLA'S DREAM (GB) 1 3 54 44½ 52 2½ 11½ (appleby cha)BUICK T 121 1.20 48% 1.10 0.30 W
  (by SHAMARDAL out of ESPADRILLE by MEADOWLAKE)
3  KATHYNMARISSA 3 4 32 33½ 2nk 1½ 21½ (dutrow ri)DETTORI LANFRANCO 121 12.00 5% 19.00 12.30 P
  (by AMERICAN PHAROAH out of LA DALILA by MILT'S OVERTURE)
2  DANCING N DIXIE 2 2 43½ 55 41½ 42 34½ (casse mark)ORTIZ L 121 8.00 29% 2.50 6.30 S
  (by NEOLITHIC out of FOOLHEARTED WOMAN by UNCAPTURED)
7  MOVIN' ON UP 5 5 21½ 22 31 32 46½ (joseph saf)GAFFALIONE TYLER 121 20.00 10.60  
  (by ACCELERATE out of STIFLE YOURSELF by CAIRO PRINCE)
4  MACANGA 4 1 11½ 12 1nk 56 513 (dutrow richar)VELAZQUEZ R 121 4.50 5.90  
  (by AMERICAN PHAROAH out of HIGHWAY MARY by U S RANGER)
SCR  GREENFINCH               (o'brien aidan )MOORE L 121 4.50    
  (by JUSTIFY out of MISTY FOR ME by GALILEO (ARG))
SCR  SEGESTA               (brown c)ORTIZ JR 121 3.50    
  (by GHOSTZAPPER out of ANTONOE by FIRST DEFENCE)
 
SAR-9   08/02/2024 5280ft TURF RC13 FIRM National Museum Purse ($500K) 3 ALL PT- 5:45
See original race card.
:242 :492 1:134 1:25   1:362   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
4  NEAT 4 4 63½ 64½ 52 41 1¼ (atras rob)ALVARADO JUNIOR 124 2.50 33% 2.00 3.50 W
  (by CONSTITUTION out of ORABELLA by MORE THAN READY)
5  LAGYNOS 5 5 42½ 43 31 1½ 2¼ (asmussen )TORRES A 118 4.50 8.40  
  (by KANTHAROS out of STEAMY by SPEIGHTSTOWN)
2  BUTTERCREAM BABE 2 2 31½ 32 42 51¼ 3½ (maker michael)ORTIZ JR 113 8.00 5.30  
  (by TWIRLING CANDY out of RUNWAY READY by MR. GREELEY)
1  PLEASE ADVISE 1 1 53½ 54 62½ 62¼ 42½ (weaver george)PRAT FLAVIEN 118 10.00 10% 9.30 8.50  
  (by PALACE MALICE out of AMANSARA by WAR CHANT)
6  CRYSTAL QUEST 6 6 74½ 86 75 73¾ 53¼ (trombetta mi)CASTELLANO J 122 8.00 5% 19.00 19.50  
  (by UNCLE MO out of GIANT CRYSTAL by GIANT'S CAUSEWAY)
3  ZVEREV 3 8 85 76 86 85¼ 63¼ (devaux cherie)ORTIZ L 118 4.00 4.00  
  (by OSCAR PERFORMANCE out of BALANCE by THUNDER GULCH)
8  ARMY OFFICER 8 7 21 21½ 2½ 31 73½ (cox brad )DETTORI LANFRANCO 118 3.50 12% 7.20 2.05  
  (by NOT THIS TIME out of WORTH A CHANCE MO by UNCLE MO)
7  BARKSDALE 7 3 11 11½ 1½ 2½ 86½ (walden william)VAZQUEZ A 118 15.00 29.25  
  (by STREET SENSE out of CHARLOTTE LUCAS by BERNARDINI)
 
SAR-10   08/02/2024 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($90K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:19
See original race card.
:223 :46 :581     1:104   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  EVALUATION 1 3 31½ 31½   1nk 11 (brown c)ORTIZ JR 119 4.00 18% 4.60 3.80 W
  (by FLATTER out of HARD TO STAY NOTGO by MORE THAN READY)
9  GEOPOLITICS 8 1 11 11   2nk 21 (mott i)ROSARIO JOEL 119 1.40 40% 1.50 0.80 P
  (by CENTRAL BANKER out of LIZA LU by MENIFEE)
3  GRANADILLA 3 4 21 21   32½ 39 (dutrow richard)ORTIZ L 119 5.00 19% 4.30 9.70 S
  (by PRACTICAL JOKE out of GRACILIA by MR. GREELEY)
8  GALLANT GRETA 7 7 75½ 65   56½ 49½ (maker mich)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119 12.00 10.10  
  (by TWIRLING CANDY out of TULIPMANIA by EMPIRE MAKER)
4  MY MAGIC WAND 4 8 53 53   45½ 511 (sacco gregory )LEZCANO JOSE 119 8.00 5% 19.00 7.40  
  (by GUN RUNNER out of GUN CLUB by TRAPPE SHOT)
2  BLUE SUEDE SUE 2 5 42 43   68 620 (gargan danny)SAEZ LUIS 124 6.00 12.40  
  (by NYQUIST out of BLUEGRASS FLAG by BLUEGRASS CAT)
6  GREGORIAN SOLO 5 6 65 77½   711½ 720¾ (lugovi)MARAGH RAMSAY 119 20.00 5% 19.00 38.25  
  (by SOLOMINI out of GREGORIAN GOLD by TOUCH GOLD)
7  SPIRIT OF ESTHER 6 2 85½ 87¾   812 824¾ (martin carlo)CASTELLANO J 119 20.00 33.00  
  (by CENTRAL BANKER out of SPIRIT OF ROSE by CITY ZIP)
SCR  POSSE ROCKS               (levine b)SANTANA JR 124 12.00    
  (by BUSTIN STONES out of PERFECT POSSE by POSSE)
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

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