Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Saratoga
Friday - August 02, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
SAR-1   WIN (4/3/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/3/5)-(4/3/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/3/5)-(4/3/5)-(4/3/5) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (4/3/5)-(7/5/8/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (4/3/5)-(7/5/8/1)-(6/2/3) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
SAR-2   WIN (7/5/8/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (7/5/8/1)-(7/5/8/3/1) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (7/5/8/1)-(7/5/8/3/1)-(7/5/8/3/1) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (7/5/8/1)-(6/2/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (7/5/8/1)-(6/2/3)-(3/1/6) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
SAR-3   WIN (6/2/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/2/3)-(6/2/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (6/2/3)-(6/2/3)-(6/2/3) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (6/2/3)-(3/1/6) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (6/2/3)-(3/1/6)-(7/1/10/3) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
SAR-4   WIN (3/1/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/1/6)-(3/1/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/1/6)-(3/1/6)-(3/1/6) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (3/1/6)-(7/1/10/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (3/1/6)-(7/1/10/3)-(5/4/6/3) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
SAR-5   WIN (7/1/10/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (7/1/10/3)-(7/1/10/5/3) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (7/1/10/3)-(7/1/10/5/3)-(7/1/10/5/3) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (7/1/10/3)-(5/4/6/3) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (7/1/10/3)-(5/4/6/3)-(1/6/4) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
SAR-6   WIN (5/4/6/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/4/6/3)-(5/4/6/3/1) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (5/4/6/3)-(5/4/6/3/1)-(5/4/6/3/1) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (5/4/6/3)-(1/6/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (5/4/6/3)-(1/6/4)-(1/2/3) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
SAR-7   WIN (1/6/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/6/4)-(1/6/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/6/4)-(1/6/4)-(1/6/4) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (1/6/4)-(1/2/3) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (1/6/4)-(1/2/3)-(4/8/1/6) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
SAR-8   WIN (1/2/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/2/3)-(1/2/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/2/3)-(1/2/3)-(1/2/3) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (1/2/3)-(4/8/1/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (1/2/3)-(4/8/1/6)-(9/3/1/4/6) 60 $1.00 $60.00 
SAR-9   WIN (4/8/1/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (4/8/1/6)-(4/8/1/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (4/8/1/6)-(4/8/1/6)-(4/8/1/6) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (4/8/1/6)-(9/3/1/4/6) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
SAR-10   WIN (9/3/1/4/6) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (9/3/1/4/6)-(9/3/1/4/6) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (9/3/1/4/6)-(9/3/1/4/6)-(9/3/1/4/6) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
SAR-1   08/02/2024 4290ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($100K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:10
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SHE'S WICKED SMART Jun06 Aug26       (falcone robe)TORRES A 119 12.00    
  (by RUNHAPPY out of TEAK TOTEM by NORTHERN AFLEET)
2  LADY PINK         (brown c)PRAT FLAVIEN 119 3.00    
  (by INTO MISCHIEF out of ASTRAY by BERNARDINI)
3  PATTY BROWN EYES Jul04 May17       (morley thoma)CASTELLANO J 119 8.00 15% 5.60    
  (by ENTICED out of BROWN EYES by HALO'S IMAGE)
4  TWO SHARP Jun29         (bauer phili)ALVARADO JUNIOR 119 1.40 57% 0.80    
  (by TWIRLING CANDY out of DOUBLE SHARP by DISTORTED HUMOR)
5  QUIET CONFIDENCE Jul06         (walsh bren)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119 6.00 5% 19.00    
  (by NYQUIST out of HI HOLIDAY by HARLAN'S HOLIDAY)
SCR  STELLIFY         (cox h)GEROUX FLORENT 119 2.50    
  (by JUSTIFY out of SAVVY STAR by MEDAGLIA D'ORO)
 
SAR-2   08/02/2024 5610ft TURF RC4 FIRM Maiden Claimer ($75K) Purse ($60K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:44
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  TRIUMPHANT ROAD Jun21 Jun02 May19 Apr21 Jan06 (barker r)VAZQUEZ A 124 10.00 5% 19.00    
1A  PAXSATIONAL Jun30 Jul30 Jul15 Jul01 May28 (barker edward )LUZZI J 124 10.00    
2  FORCED ERRORS Jun21         (zito nic)GOMEZ ANTONIO 118 15.00    
3  SHAM'S PRIDE Sep03 Aug05       (beckman whit)ROSARIO JOEL 118 5.00 ★    
4  MARGINAL COST         (brown c)FRANCO MANUEL 118 6.00    
5  HURRICANE EXPRESS (FR) Feb17         (brown c)ORTIZ JR 118 4.00 13% 6.70    
6  SIX KINGS Jun15 May04 Mar30     (sharp joe)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 4.50    
7  FLY RIGHT May19 Apr13 Mar16 Feb15 Jan11 (abreu fernan)CASTELLANO J 124 3.50 60% 0.70    
8  TIZ WICKED STRONG Jul12 Mar23 Feb24 Dec16 Nov16 (antonacci phil)ORTIZ L 124 10.00 6% 16.70    
9  SANDBORN Jun30         (devaux cherie)PRAT FLAVIEN 118 8.00    
SCR  BEARINGS Mar02 Jan26 Nov16 Nov05 Sep23 (atras rob)RIDER TBA 124 4.00    
SCR  FATTOUSH Jun09 May23 Apr27     (moubarak )DETTORI LANFRANCO 118 6.00    
 
SAR-3   08/02/2024 5940ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($62.5K) Purse ($115K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:18
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  PERFORM Jul05 Jun07 May19 Jul21 May20 (mcgaughey claud)DAVIS DYLAN 122 2.50    
2  HARLOCAP Jun22 May17 Apr21 Mar16 Feb16 (asmussen )TORRES A 124 2.00 24% 3.20    
3  COSTA TERRA Jul20 Jun07 Dec10 Nov12 Oct13 (rice linda)ORTIZ JR 122 4.00 10% 8.60    
SCR  LAUGHING BOY Apr20 Mar30 Mar02 Jan26 Jan07 (jacobson )CAMACHO JR 124 6.00    
5  DUKE OF GLOUCESTER Jul05 Jun07 May12 Apr26 Mar22 (potts wayn)GAFFALIONE TYLER 124 15.00    
6  POWER SEEKER Jul05 May19 Apr20 Mar30 Feb23 (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 122 3.00 34% 2.00    
 
SAR-4   08/02/2024 3960ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($45K) Purse ($100K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:52
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ATHENA BEACH Jun15 Apr18 Sep02 Jul26 Jun21 (synnefia)GOMEZ ANTONIO 124 3.50 15% 5.60    
2  GONE AND FORGOTTEN Jun15 May25 Apr19 Mar15 Feb17 (dutrow ri)DETTORI LANFRANCO 122 2.50    
3  TRICKY TEMPER Jul19 Jun09 Jan14 Nov18 Oct27 (englehart jer)ORTIZ JR 118 1.60 48% 1.10    
4  BANK ON ANNA Jul11 Jun22 May27 Apr19 Mar17 (kantarmaci me)FRANCO MANUEL 122 15.00    
5  MISSING FORTUNE Jul02 Jan19 Jan04 Dec08 Nov08 (saul dana)BAEZ JOSE 122 4.00    
6  JACKSON'S DIXIE Jul20 Jun15 May27 May05 Mar30 (noda orlando)DAVIS DYLAN 126 8.00 5% 19.00    
 
SAR-5   08/02/2024 5610ft TURF RC4 FIRM Maiden Claimer ($40K) Purse ($55K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:27
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  Z TRAIN (IRE) Mar21 Feb16 Nov04 Sep02   (dutrow an)DETTORI LANFRANCO 118 4.00 ★    
1A  PURRFECT GIRL Jun23 Mar31       (dutrow a)GOMEZ ANTONIO 118 4.00 22% 3.60    
2  BLIND SPEED Jul17 Jun12       (zito nicholas )LUZZI J 118 30.00    
3  LUNA LOVE Jul17 May19 May05 Apr07 Feb14 (sano antoni)ALVARADO JUNIOR 118 10.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  CLASSIC CARA Jun23 May02 Apr20 Mar08 Nov18 (friedman mit)CASTELLANO J 118 6.00    
5  AMERICAN KESTREL Jun16 May27 Apr14     (tagg barclay)DAVIS KATIE 118 5.00 ★    
6  EXOTIC CAT Nov10 Oct26 Sep03 Jul01 May14 (pregman jr)VAZQUEZ A 124 30.00    
7  PAY THE BILLS (FR) Jun16         (brown c)PRAT FLAVIEN 118 2.50 54% 0.90    
8  FANTASY PERFORMER Oct20         (brown c)ORTIZ JR 118 6.00    
9  ALTHENA Jul17 Mar27 Mar09 Feb17 Jan28 (paragallo)LEPAROUX R 118 30.00    
10  QUEEN ROCKET Jun30 Jun04 Nov19 Oct11 Sep30 (aro c)ORTIZ L 124 10.00 5% 19.00    
11  LION'S MIRACLE MO Jun23         (handal raymond)DAVIS DYLAN 118 15.00    
 
SAR-6   08/02/2024 5280ft TURF RC6 FIRM Optional Claiming ($35K) Purse ($70K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:02
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  GILDED CRAKEN Jul12 Jun02 May11 Apr12 Mar03 (sharp joe)SAEZ LUIS 123 5.00 ★    
2  JHIRSCH Jun29 May25 Apr06 Mar02 Feb03 (motion grah)FRANCO MANUEL 120 15.00    
3  HARVARD Jun29 May12 Apr28 Apr04 Feb23 (atras ro)SANTANA JR 123 10.00 5% 19.00    
4  PALACE VIEW (IRE) Jul12 Jun23 Mar24 Feb25 Feb03 (casse mark)ORTIZ JR 125 4.00 24% 3.20    
5  UNLEASH THE POWER Jun30 May31 Sep17 Aug16 Jul13 (stall m)ROSARIO JOEL 123 3.00 35% 1.90    
6  TYPHOON FURY Jul07 Apr27 Mar30 Feb24 Jan13 (toscano t)ORTIZ L 118 12.00 16% 5.20    
7  FLASHY ALEX Jun16 May17 May05 Apr04 Mar21 (persaud randi)LUZZI J 125 50.00    
SCR  FAIR HAIRED BOY Jul10 May17 Apr19 May04 Apr15 (hawthorne bobb)LEZCANO JOSE 123 20.00    
9  COLLECT FROM IKE Jun29 Jun23 May27 May09 Apr26 (pregman john)CASTELLANO J 125 15.00    
10  EMIRATES ROAD Jun29 May27 Feb02 Jan05 Nov17 (cox h)GEROUX FLORENT 125 6.00    
11  AZ U CHASE ME Jun29 Jun09 Mar23 Feb24 Feb10 (englehart chris)CANCEL ERIC 120 20.00    
12  GHOSTLYPRINCE Jul06 Jun29 May18 Apr26 Mar09 (rodrigue)GOMEZ ANTONIO 123 8.00    
SCR  OWN THE FIELD Jul18 Jun07 Apr21 Apr07 Mar10 (maker mich)GAFFALIONE TYLER 123 2.00    
SCR  PRINCIPE D'ORO Jul18 Jun22 May18 Apr19 Mar09 (rodriguez gust)PRAT FLAVIEN 125 8.00    
SCR  FIGHTING BACK Jun28 May09 Apr13 Sep24 Jul09 (englehart chr)FRANCO MANUEL 125 6.00    
SCR  SKI COUNTRY Jul14 Jun16 May18 May12 Apr04 (noda orlando)RIDER TBA 123 15.00    
 
SAR-7   08/02/2024 4620ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($95K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:35
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  FIVE TO TWO Jul06 Jun30 May10 Apr21 Apr06 (de h)SANTANA JR 120 3.00 38% 1.60    
2  MYSARIA Jul07 Jun09 Apr27 Apr07 Mar03 (hills a)DAVIS DYLAN 118 10.00    
SCR  SANTAGATA Jul07 Jun16       (de horacio)CARMOUCHE K 120 4.50    
4  BIG HAZEL Jul25 Jul07 May16 Apr25 Jan19 (donk dav)GOMEZ ANTONIO 122 8.00 5% 19.00    
5  FOXY CARA Jul07 Jun20 May24 May16 Apr18 (friedman mitche)CANCEL ERIC 124 3.50    
6  MAGGIE T Jul07 May02 Apr05 Mar16 Feb16 (giangiulio)RIVERA R 122 3.50 25% 3.00    
7  CAROL T Jul07 Jun09 May11 Jan14 Dec31 (jimenez l)VAZQUEZ A 120 4.00    
 
SAR-8   08/02/2024 6270ft TURF RC13 FIRM Fasig-Tipton Saratoga Oaks Invitational Purse ($400K) 3 F PT- 5:10
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CINDERELLA'S DREAM (GB) Jul06         (appleby cha)BUICK T 121 1.20 48% 1.10    
  (by SHAMARDAL out of ESPADRILLE by MEADOWLAKE)
2  DANCING N DIXIE Jun29 May03 Apr06 Mar09 Jan06 (casse mark)ORTIZ L 121 8.00 29% 2.50    
  (by NEOLITHIC out of FOOLHEARTED WOMAN by UNCAPTURED)
3  KATHYNMARISSA Jun29 May11 Apr06 Feb17 Jan19 (dutrow ri)DETTORI LANFRANCO 121 12.00 5% 19.00    
  (by AMERICAN PHAROAH out of LA DALILA by MILT'S OVERTURE)
4  MACANGA Jun22 May05 Mar02 Feb03 Dec10 (dutrow richar)VELAZQUEZ R 121 4.50    
  (by AMERICAN PHAROAH out of HIGHWAY MARY by U S RANGER)
SCR  GREENFINCH         (o'brien aidan )MOORE L 121 4.50    
  (by JUSTIFY out of MISTY FOR ME by GALILEO (ARG))
SCR  SEGESTA Jul06 May27 Apr21 Mar09 Jan21 (brown c)ORTIZ JR 121 3.50    
  (by GHOSTZAPPER out of ANTONOE by FIRST DEFENCE)
7  MOVIN' ON UP Jun13 Mar23 Mar03 Dec28 Sep13 (joseph saf)GAFFALIONE TYLER 121 20.00    
  (by ACCELERATE out of STIFLE YOURSELF by CAIRO PRINCE)
 
SAR-9   08/02/2024 5280ft TURF RC13 FIRM National Museum Purse ($500K) 3 ALL PT- 5:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  PLEASE ADVISE Jun29 May31 May04 Nov04 Oct26 (weaver george)PRAT FLAVIEN 118 10.00 10% 9.30    
  (by PALACE MALICE out of AMANSARA by WAR CHANT)
2  BUTTERCREAM BABE Jul13 Jun08 Apr05 Jan06 Dec09 (maker michael)ORTIZ JR 113 8.00    
  (by TWIRLING CANDY out of RUNWAY READY by MR. GREELEY)
3  ZVEREV Jun20 May11 Mar23 Jan21 Nov25 (devaux cherie)ORTIZ L 118 4.00    
  (by OSCAR PERFORMANCE out of BALANCE by THUNDER GULCH)
4  NEAT Jun29 May04 Apr05 Jan27 Dec23 (atras rob)ALVARADO JUNIOR 124 2.50 33% 2.00    
  (by CONSTITUTION out of ORABELLA by MORE THAN READY)
5  LAGYNOS Jun29 Jun01 May04 Apr05 Feb24 (asmussen )TORRES A 118 4.50    
  (by KANTHAROS out of STEAMY by SPEIGHTSTOWN)
6  CRYSTAL QUEST Jul13 Jun23 May18 Mar24 Mar09 (trombetta mi)CASTELLANO J 122 8.00 5% 19.00    
  (by UNCLE MO out of GIANT CRYSTAL by GIANT'S CAUSEWAY)
7  BARKSDALE Jul04 Jun08 Apr26 Apr07 Mar08 (walden william)VAZQUEZ A 118 15.00    
  (by STREET SENSE out of CHARLOTTE LUCAS by BERNARDINI)
8  ARMY OFFICER Jun07 May11 Mar30 Mar08 Feb09 (cox brad )DETTORI LANFRANCO 118 3.50 12% 7.20    
  (by NOT THIS TIME out of WORTH A CHANCE MO by UNCLE MO)
 
SAR-10   08/02/2024 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($90K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:19
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  EVALUATION         (brown c)ORTIZ JR 119 4.00 18% 4.60    
  (by FLATTER out of HARD TO STAY NOTGO by MORE THAN READY)
2  BLUE SUEDE SUE         (gargan danny)SAEZ LUIS 124 6.00    
  (by NYQUIST out of BLUEGRASS FLAG by BLUEGRASS CAT)
3  GRANADILLA Jun16 May11 Apr06 Sep28   (dutrow richard)ORTIZ L 119 5.00 19% 4.30    
  (by PRACTICAL JOKE out of GRACILIA by MR. GREELEY)
4  MY MAGIC WAND         (sacco gregory )LEZCANO JOSE 119 8.00 5% 19.00    
  (by GUN RUNNER out of GUN CLUB by TRAPPE SHOT)
SCR  POSSE ROCKS         (levine b)SANTANA JR 124 12.00    
  (by BUSTIN STONES out of PERFECT POSSE by POSSE)
6  GREGORIAN SOLO Jul07 Jun16       (lugovi)MARAGH RAMSAY 119 20.00 5% 19.00    
  (by SOLOMINI out of GREGORIAN GOLD by TOUCH GOLD)
7  SPIRIT OF ESTHER Jun28 Jun06 May11 Apr06 Mar02 (martin carlo)CASTELLANO J 119 20.00    
  (by CENTRAL BANKER out of SPIRIT OF ROSE by CITY ZIP)
8  GALLANT GRETA         (maker mich)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119 12.00    
  (by TWIRLING CANDY out of TULIPMANIA by EMPIRE MAKER)
9  GEOPOLITICS Jul19 Jun14 May24 Feb10   (mott i)ROSARIO JOEL 119 1.40 40% 1.50    
  (by CENTRAL BANKER out of LIZA LU by MENIFEE)
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.