Handicappers' Race Results

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The Longshot Hunter!

Belterra Park
Saturday - July 20, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

BTP-1   WIN (1/9/8/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00  9 $8.60 $0.60 8%
    TRI (1/9/8/7)-(1/9/8/7)-(1/9/8/7) 24 $0.50 $12.00  9-1-8 $20.20 $8.20 68%
    SFT (1/9/8/7)-(1/9/8/7)-(1/9/8/7)-(1/9/8/7) 24 $0.10 $2.40  9-1-8-7 $16.67 $14.27 595%

Simulator Race results

 
BTP-1   07/20/2024 5280ft TURF RC4 FIRM Maiden Claimer ($15K) Purse ($13.5K) 3UP ALL PT-12:35
See original race card.
:231 :463 1:112 1:241   1:37   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
VAST HORIZONS 8 8 32 33 2 1 15 (johnston rebe)CANUTO THIAGO 119 2.50 14% 6.10 3.30 W
SOUTHERN BREEZE 1 1 1nk 2nk 3 3 25 (ramos rafae)BLANCHE RISHAWN 120 4.50 57% 0.70 0.80 P
ROENICK 7 7 6 6 610½ 4 35 (corrigan jim)LEZCANO ABEL 125 8.00 8% 11.20 7.80 S
BACKSTRETCH 6 4 2nk 1nk 1 2 4 (caramori c)VILLARREAL OSCAR 114 8.00 5% 19.00 8.90  
PINEAPPLE LANE 2 2 4 45 4 5 56 (olivo k)MCKEE J 125 12.00 9.40  
MADDON 3 3 79 710½ 711½ 710½ 6 (upton m)MOJICA JR 125 3.50 9.50  
UTOPIAN TREASURE 4 5 57 57 5 68 77 (morelos mat)LAGUNES GABRIEL 125 12.00 34.70  
KING DEIVYS 5 6 812 812½ 814½ 812 810 (perez ju)CALZADILLA JACKSON 119 20.00 66.60  
SCR  AMERICA LIVES               (harty eoin)ORANTES CESAR 114 10.00    
SCR  BACHMAN               (caramori caio)JIMENEZ ALBIN 119 6.00    
 
BTP-2   07/20/2024 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($10K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:05
See original race card.
:232 :47 1:124     1:194   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LONG BLACK VEIL 6 2 2nk 12   1 1 (jarvis kathy)MOJICA JR 122 2.50 0.90  
PARTAKE 7 1 78 5   48 2 (waltermire bruce)MCKEE J 118 3.50 9% 10.30 3.10 P
SEAU N'TAP 4 3 4 4   37 3 (caramori caio)MURGIA A 118 6.00 5% 19.00 13.30 S
SHOT GIRL 1 7 31 33   2 48 (corrigan jim)LEZCANO ABEL 118 5.00 19% 4.30 16.60  
BLUE GUITAR 2 6 1nk 22   510½ 512½ (engler jeff)LAGUNES GABRIEL 118 4.50 48% 1.10 2.60  
COMPETITIVE FIRE 3 5 6 716   719 617¾ (tomlinson ronal)BOWEN ROCCO 117 8.00 28.20  
MOON PARTY 5 4 5 611½   616 720¼ (haehn r)BUSH V 122 12.00 35.10  
 
BTP-3   07/20/2024 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($24.2K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:35
See original race card.
:224 :474 1:012     1:161   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SAMURAI WAY 1 1 32 2nk   12 1hd (barton aman)LAGUNES GABRIEL 125 4.00 5.20  
  (by FIRST SAMURAI out of TEXAS AGGIE by NALEES MAN)
LIAM'S ROCKET MAN 4 4 4 44   43 2hd (reed r)OLIVEROS CHARLE 125 2.00 45% 1.20 3.70 P
  (by LIAM'S MAP out of GREAT DAY by ACTION THIS DAY)
COUSIN JOE 3 2 2 3   22 33 (adams l)HESS SARA 115 4.50 5% 19.00 10.00 S
  (by HEART TO HEART out of MANY FACES by FORESTRY)
PARTY POOPER 2 3 1 1nk   3 4 (hamm timothy)BOWEN ROCCO 120 3.50 0.30  
  (by EXAGGERATOR out of INTERCOASTAL by GEMOLOGIST)
SCR  WILDCAT DANCER               (drury jr)MCKEE J 125 3.00    
  (by WILDCAT RED out of POLITE COMPANY by QUIET AMERICAN)
 
BTP-4   07/20/2024 5280ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($16.7K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:05
See original race card.
:25 :484 1:144 1:29   1:433   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CANDY CAUSE 2 3 3.2 1nk 2nk 31 1½ (kenneally eddi)ELLIOTT JANE 119 3.50 8.20  
  (by CANDY RIDE out of ULTIMATE CAUSE by GIANT'S CAUSEWAY)
TAAMUQ 1 7 1nk 3½ 3½ 11 2½ (cox h)PETERSON FERRIN 119 3.00 63% 0.60 2.20 P
  (by INTO MISCHIEF out of TAKREES by DAAHER)
LEAFLET 7 2 7 56 5 4 3 (drury jr)MCKEE J 125 2.50 11% 8.00 0.80 S
  (by BLAME out of LONG LEAF by PROUD CITIZEN)
JOIA RARA 6 1 4 42 41 21 4 (caramori edua)JIMENEZ ALBIN 119 5.00 12.30  
  (by LOST TREASURE out of STEVE'S MANDOLIN by MAJESTIC WARRIOR)
SECRET KNOCK 4 4 2nk 2nk 1nk 55 5 (caramori c)VILLARREAL OSCAR 114 6.00 5% 19.00 6.80  
  (by MOHAYMEN out of GEM ON TOP by CONGRATS)
CHAR 5 6 5 6 67 6 612 (jarvis kathy)MOJICA JR 119 10.00 27.40  
  (by NOT THIS TIME out of FAIRWAY LUCK by UNION RAGS)
SHAMANS IMAGE 3 5 6 7 711 715½ 727 (barker scot)JIMENEZ J 119 20.00 39.60  
  (by SHAMAN GHOST out of LADY MONAVI by MONDAVI)
 
BTP-5   07/20/2024 3300ft TURF RC3 FIRM Alw Opt Clm ($16K) Purse ($18.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:35
See original race card.
:22 :453       :572   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ALL JOKES ASIDE 6 2 32 3½   2nk 1¼ (meah m)MONCADA IRVING 120 3.50 36% 1.80 0.60 W
SPEITFUL SAM 7 1 4 4   4 2¼ (londono genevi)MILLER CHASE 123 4.50 4.80  
EL GAVILAN 4 3 21 2½   1nk 32 (fernandez k)MIRANDA ROGELIO 123 15.00 26.10  
MY GRASS IS BLUE 2 5 5 5   5 4 (toye lin)CANUTO THIAGO 123 8.00 9.60  
BREAKTHROUGH 1 4 11 1½   3.2 5 (ramos rafael)BOWEN ROCCO 120 12.00 14% 6.00 4.00  
BERN N ASH 5 6 6 69   6 6 (dunn d)MOJICA JR 123 10.00 5% 19.00 10.00  
CONSTITUTION COAL 3 7 7 710½   7 711 (chain pear)BATISTA X 123 20.00 42.80  
SCR  FAMILY FACTOR               (esqu)PADRON-BARCENAS JAVIER 119 5.00 24% 3.20    
SCR  STARTDFROMDABOTTOM               (ennis john)MURGIA A 123 2.50    
 
BTP-6   07/20/2024 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($10K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:05
See original race card.
:24 :473 1:13 1:261   1:402   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
EL CERRITO 6 4 34 32 1 17 112 (baez sergio)OUZTS W 123 1.80 0.70  
HOMERUNHAPPY 2 2 2½ 1nk 2 27 212 (mcgovern shann)SANJUR SANTO 123 3.50 45% 1.20 1.90 P
CONNECT ME 5 6 614½ 616½ 620 415½ 320½ (estvanko )CORREA L 123 8.00 5% 19.00 9.30 S
MOON MISCHIEF 3 1 47 46 39 312 421¾ (caramori c)VILLARREAL OSCAR 118 10.00 26.80  
CENTRIFUGAL FORCE 1 5 1½ 2nk 415½ 521½ 535¼ (moger jr)MCKEE J 118 6.00 7.80  
AMICABLE (IRE) 4 3 510½ 511½ 519 623 639¾ (vaughn terry)CANUTO THIAGO 123 4.50 22% 3.60 15.10  
SCR  OVERHAUL               (alessi james)JIMENEZ ALBIN 123 5.00    
 
BTP-7   07/20/2024 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($7.5K) Purse ($9.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:35
See original race card.
:23 :474 1:011     1:151   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LEAD ACTOR 4 6 812½ 611½   4 1¼ (quezada ino)LAGUNES GABRIEL 125 3.50 4.80  
ENDOW 1 4 35 3   22 2¼ (thornbury jeff)MCKEE J 120 2.50 47% 1.10 1.10 P
NATIVE MOONSHINE 8 8 13 15   12 3 (smith mi)LAFRANCEJR DOUGLAS 125 5.00 9.60  
BALAMOR 3 3 23 25   3 4 (waltz brian)JIMENEZ ALBIN 125 6.00 9% 10.20 2.50  
TEN BITS 5 2 7 715½   7 511¾ (short thomas)SOSA LAUREANO 120 4.00 11% 8.50 9.90  
SHOTGUN PRO 6 7 5 510½   5 614 (royal madel)MIRANDA ROGELIO 120 8.00 5% 19.00 16.60  
DUKE OF VERVE 7 1 46 4   6 715¾ (royal madelyn)BUSH V 120 8.00 28.20  
PEACEAFTERTHUNDER 2 5 67 818½   811½ 815¾ (smith mike )JIMENEZ J 120 20.00 53.60  
 
BTP-8   07/20/2024 5280ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($16.7K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:05
See original race card.
:25 :502 1:15 1:272   1:391   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DE LUNA 5 4 7 7 6 3 1½ (heath g)NAVAS YOEL 119 6.00 4.10  
  (by HARD SPUN out of UNKNOWN by UNKNOWN)
BERNA DITTY 6 8 8 8 7 7 2½ (greenhill jeff)SANJUR SANTO 119 4.00 10.20  
  (by BERNARDINI out of SONG OF SOLOMON by UNBRIDLED'S SONG)
HAMPTON YARD 7 6 21 2½ 21 1nk 3¾ (oliver victor)JIMENEZ ALBIN 119 5.00 6% 14.60 5.30 S
  (by UNCLE MO out of UNKNOWN by UNKNOWN)
MUCHO MACHO CHICK 2 1 11 1½ 11 2nk 4¾ (toye lin)ELLIOTT JANE 125 8.00 5% 19.00 3.30  
  (by MUCHO MACHO MAN out of IVANKA by FARMA WAY)
OGEMA BAY 9 9 53 52 55 42 5 (ennis john)MURGIA A 125 2.50 9.20  
  (by MEDAGLIA D'ORO out of MADAME DU LAC by LEMON DROP KID)
NATIVITY 1 3 64 6 8 64 6 (drury jr)MCKEE J 119 3.50 61% 0.60 2.60  
  (by CATHOLIC BOY out of FASHION WEEK by SPEIGHTSTOWN)
KATE'S CONCERTO 3 2 42 4 3 53 7 (lucas way)OLIVEROS CHARLE 125 10.00 12.20  
  (by MENDELSSOHN out of ALLUDE by ORIENTATE (GB))
BOUGIE NOT BASIC 8 5 31 3½ 4 8 8 (maker mich)ANDERSON MCKENNA 119 8.00 7% 13.40 10.70  
  (by OSCAR PERFORMANCE out of WILD SILK by STREET SENSE)
PALMILLA'S BET 4 7 9 9 919½ 911¼ 9 (cambray andre)ORANTES CESAR 119 20.00 68.90  
  (by GENTLEMEN'S BET out of PALMILLA by CROWD PLEASER)
SCR  MISS TEN K               (caramori c)VILLARREAL OSCAR 120 10.00    
  (by AMIRA'S PRINCE out of IMPERIAL LANE by IMPERIALISM)
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.