Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Belterra Park
Saturday - July 20, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
BTP-1   WIN (1/9/8/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/9/8/7)-(1/9/8/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/9/8/7)-(1/9/8/7)-(1/9/8/7) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (1/9/8/7)-(2/1/7/4) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
BTP-2   WIN (2/1/7/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/1/7/4)-(2/1/7/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/1/7/4)-(2/1/7/4)-(2/1/7/4) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    PK3 (2/1/7/4)-(5/4)-(1/7/4) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
BTP-3   WIN (5/4) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (5/4)-(5/4) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $0.50 $0.00 
    PK3 (5/4)-(1/7/4)-(8/4/1/6) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
BTP-4   WIN (1/7/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/7/4)-(1/7/2/4) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (1/7/4)-(1/7/2/4)-(1/7/2/4) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    PK3 (1/7/4)-(8/4/1/6)-(3/5/6) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
BTP-5   WIN (8/4/1/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (8/4/1/6)-(8/4/1/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (8/4/1/6)-(8/4/1/6)-(8/4/1/6) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
BTP-6   WIN (3/5/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/5/6)-(3/5/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/5/6)-(3/5/6)-(3/5/6) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    PK3 (3/5/6)-(1/5/3/6)-(1/8/7/2) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
BTP-7   WIN (1/5/3/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/5/3/6)-(1/5/3/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/5/3/6)-(1/5/3/6)-(1/5/3/6) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (1/5/3/6)-(1/8/7/2) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
BTP-8   WIN (1/8/7/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/8/7/2)-(1/8/7/9/2) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (1/8/7/2)-(1/8/7/9/2)-(1/8/7/9/2) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
BTP-1   07/20/2024 5280ft TURF RC4 FIRM Maiden Claimer ($15K) Purse ($13.5K) 3UP ALL PT-12:35
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SOUTHERN BREEZE Jul03 Jun20 Jun05 Oct03 Sep23 (ramos rafae)BLANCHE RISHAWN 120 4.50 57% 0.70    
2  PINEAPPLE LANE Jun26 Jun12 Dec02     (olivo k)MCKEE J 125 12.00    
3  MADDON Jul02 May30 May09 Mar22 Mar01 (upton m)MOJICA JR 125 3.50    
SCR  BACHMAN Jan19 Nov22 Sep25 Sep05 Aug10 (caramori caio)JIMENEZ ALBIN 119 6.00    
5  UTOPIAN TREASURE Jul10 Jun29 Jun15 May25 May11 (morelos mat)LAGUNES GABRIEL 125 12.00    
6  KING DEIVYS Jul07 Jun05 May23     (perez ju)CALZADILLA JACKSON 119 20.00    
7  BACKSTRETCH         (caramori c)VILLARREAL OSCAR 114 8.00 5% 19.00    
8  ROENICK Jul03 Jun20 May23 May03 Sep01 (corrigan jim)LEZCANO ABEL 125 8.00 8% 11.20    
9  VAST HORIZONS Jun20 May29 May02     (johnston rebe)CANUTO THIAGO 119 2.50 14% 6.10    
SCR  AMERICA LIVES Jun20         (harty eoin)ORANTES CESAR 114 10.00    
 
BTP-2   07/20/2024 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($10K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SHOT GIRL Jun15 Jun06 Sep25 Sep13 May23 (corrigan jim)LEZCANO ABEL 118 5.00 19% 4.30    
2  BLUE GUITAR Jun22 Jun13 May30 May22 May11 (engler jeff)LAGUNES GABRIEL 118 4.50 48% 1.10    
3  COMPETITIVE FIRE Jun22 Jun08 May16 Oct18 Sep27 (tomlinson r)BLANCHE RISHAWN 117 8.00    
4  SEAU N'TAP Jun13 May30 May18 May11 Mar27 (caramori caio)MURGIA A 118 6.00 5% 19.00    
5  MOON PARTY Jun15 Jun01 May25 May04 Apr03 (haehn r)BUSH V 122 12.00    
6  LONG BLACK VEIL Jul06 Jun14 May31 Feb21 Jan31 (jarvis kathy)MOJICA JR 122 2.50    
7  PARTAKE Jun28 May29 Mar29 Nov12 Oct10 (waltermire br)LEBRON VICTOR 118 3.50 9% 10.30    
 
BTP-3   07/20/2024 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($24.2K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:35
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SAMURAI WAY Jul06 Jun27 Jun07 Apr25 Jan10 (barton aman)LAGUNES GABRIEL 125 4.00    
  (by FIRST SAMURAI out of TEXAS AGGIE by NALEES MAN)
SCR  WILDCAT DANCER         (drury jr)MCKEE J 125 3.00    
  (by WILDCAT RED out of POLITE COMPANY by QUIET AMERICAN)
3  PARTY POOPER May30 May16 Apr25 Apr01 Mar09 (hamm timothy)BOWEN ROCCO 120 3.50    
  (by EXAGGERATOR out of INTERCOASTAL by GEMOLOGIST)
4  COUSIN JOE Jun07 May22 May04 Mar06 Aug26 (adams l)HESS SARA 115 4.50 5% 19.00    
  (by HEART TO HEART out of MANY FACES by FORESTRY)
5  LIAM'S ROCKET MAN Jun14 Apr10 Jan10 Dec11 Jul22 (reed r)OLIVEROS CHARLE 125 2.00 45% 1.20    
  (by LIAM'S MAP out of GREAT DAY by ACTION THIS DAY)
 
BTP-4   07/20/2024 5280ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($16.7K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  TAAMUQ Nov07 Oct10 Sep06     (cox h)PETERSON FERRIN 119 3.00 63% 0.60    
  (by INTO MISCHIEF out of TAKREES by DAAHER)
2  CANDY CAUSE Jun04         (kenneally eddi)ELLIOTT JANE 119 3.50 ★    
  (by CANDY RIDE out of ULTIMATE CAUSE by GIANT'S CAUSEWAY)
3  SHAMANS IMAGE Jul03 Jun05 Dec30 Dec14 Nov14 (barker scot)JIMENEZ J 119 20.00    
  (by SHAMAN GHOST out of LADY MONAVI by MONDAVI)
4  SECRET KNOCK         (caramori c)VILLARREAL OSCAR 114 6.00 5% 19.00    
  (by MOHAYMEN out of GEM ON TOP by CONGRATS)
5  CHAR Jun28 Mar24       (jarvis kathy)MOJICA JR 119 10.00    
  (by NOT THIS TIME out of FAIRWAY LUCK by UNION RAGS)
6  JOIA RARA Jun25 May30 May12 Mar20 Feb29 (caramori edua)JIMENEZ ALBIN 119 5.00    
  (by LOST TREASURE out of STEVE'S MANDOLIN by MAJESTIC WARRIOR)
7  LEAFLET Jun01 Nov30 Nov03 Sep22 Aug08 (drury jr)MCKEE J 125 2.50 11% 8.00    
  (by BLAME out of LONG LEAF by PROUD CITIZEN)
 
BTP-5   07/20/2024 3300ft TURF RC3 FIRM Alw Opt Clm ($16K) Purse ($18.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:35
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BREAKTHROUGH Jun26 Feb10 Sep07 Jul30 May20 (ramos rafae)BLANCHE RISHAWN 120 12.00 14% 6.00    
2  MY GRASS IS BLUE Jun20 May16 May03 Feb28 Feb10 (toye lin)CANUTO THIAGO 123 8.00    
3  CONSTITUTION COAL Jul05 Jun19 Jan25 Dec28 Dec14 (chain pear)BATISTA X 123 20.00    
SCR  FAMILY FACTOR Jun26 Jun08 May17 Apr24 Mar08 (esqu)PADRON-BARCENAS JAVIER 119 5.00 24% 3.20    
5  EL GAVILAN Jun26 Jun08 Oct24 Sep30 Sep14 (fernandez k)MIRANDA ROGELIO 123 15.00    
6  BERN N ASH Jun11 Feb09 Jan10 Dec16 Sep20 (dunn d)MOJICA JR 123 10.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  STARTDFROMDABOTTOM Jun21 Jun07 Feb28 Feb03 Dec30 (ennis john)MURGIA A 123 2.50    
8  ALL JOKES ASIDE Jul13 Jun26 Jun11 May10 Mar28 (meah m)MONCADA IRVING 120 3.50 36% 1.80    
9  SPEITFUL SAM Jun05 Mar21 Mar09 Feb16 Jan06 (londono genevi)MILLER CHASE 123 4.50    
 
BTP-6   07/20/2024 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($10K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CENTRIFUGAL FORCE Jun21 Jun01 May10 Apr05   (moger jr)MCKEE J 118 6.00    
SCR  OVERHAUL Jul13 Jun29 Jun19 May11 May26 (alessi james)JIMENEZ ALBIN 123 5.00    
3  HOMERUNHAPPY May21 Apr16 Dec20 Nov08 Oct02 (mcgovern shan)LEBRON VICTOR 123 3.50 45% 1.20    
4  MOON MISCHIEF Jul06 Jun01 May18 May11 Apr26 (caramori c)VILLARREAL OSCAR 118 10.00    
5  AMICABLE (IRE) Jul10 Dec17 Dec03 Nov15 Oct29 (vaughn terry)CANUTO THIAGO 123 4.50 22% 3.60    
6  CONNECT ME Jul03 Jun13 May11 Apr26 Mar27 (estvanko )CORREA L 123 8.00 5% 19.00    
7  EL CERRITO Jun08 May22 Mar13 Feb10 Jan25 (baez sergio)OUZTS W 123 1.80    
 
BTP-7   07/20/2024 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($7.5K) Purse ($9.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:35
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ENDOW Jul10 Jun22 Jun05 May22 May02 (thornbury jeff)MCKEE J 120 2.50 47% 1.10    
2  PEACEAFTERTHUNDER Jul04 Jun22 Jun07 May15 Apr28 (smith mike )JIMENEZ J 120 20.00    
3  BALAMOR Jan26 Jan11 Dec28 Nov17   (waltz brian)JIMENEZ ALBIN 125 6.00 9% 10.20    
4  LEAD ACTOR Jun29 Jun12 May25 May09 Apr25 (quezada ino)LAGUNES GABRIEL 125 3.50    
5  TEN BITS Jun22 Apr25 Mar07 Feb23 Jan18 (short thomas)SOSA LAUREANO 120 4.00 11% 8.50    
6  SHOTGUN PRO Jul05 Oct24 Aug26 Jun04 May13 (royal madel)MIRANDA ROGELIO 120 8.00 5% 19.00    
7  DUKE OF VERVE Jul05         (royal madelyn)BUSH V 120 8.00    
8  NATIVE MOONSHINE Jul10 Jun29 Jun01 May22 Apr13 (smith mi)LAFRANCEJR DOUGLAS 125 5.00    
 
BTP-8   07/20/2024 5280ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($16.7K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  NATIVITY Jun21 Sep20 Aug10     (drury jr)MCKEE J 119 3.50 61% 0.60    
  (by CATHOLIC BOY out of FASHION WEEK by SPEIGHTSTOWN)
2  MUCHO MACHO CHICK Mar14 Feb22 Jan04 Dec07 Oct26 (toye lin)ELLIOTT JANE 125 8.00 5% 19.00    
  (by MUCHO MACHO MAN out of IVANKA by FARMA WAY)
3  KATE'S CONCERTO Jul06 Jun19 May14 Apr27 Mar07 (lucas way)OLIVEROS CHARLE 125 10.00    
  (by MENDELSSOHN out of ALLUDE by ORIENTATE (GB))
4  PALMILLA'S BET Jun28 Jun19 Apr14 Feb10   (cambray andr)HEBERT LINDSEY 119 20.00    
  (by GENTLEMEN'S BET out of PALMILLA by CROWD PLEASER)
5  DE LUNA Jun04         (heath g)NAVAS YOEL 119 6.00    
  (by HARD SPUN out of UNKNOWN by UNKNOWN)
6  BERNA DITTY Jun21 May14 Apr25 Mar06 Feb07 (greenhill jeff)SANJUR SANTO 119 4.00    
  (by BERNARDINI out of SONG OF SOLOMON by UNBRIDLED'S SONG)
7  HAMPTON YARD Jun21 Jun06 May09 Apr21   (oliver victor)JIMENEZ ALBIN 119 5.00 6% 14.60    
  (by UNCLE MO out of UNKNOWN by UNKNOWN)
8  BOUGIE NOT BASIC Jun25 May25 Apr18     (maker mich)ANDERSON MCKENNA 119 8.00 7% 13.40    
  (by OSCAR PERFORMANCE out of WILD SILK by STREET SENSE)
9  OGEMA BAY Dec30 Nov08 Sep02 Apr01   (ennis john)MURGIA A 125 2.50 ★    
  (by MEDAGLIA D'ORO out of MADAME DU LAC by LEMON DROP KID)
SCR  MISS TEN K Jan26 Dec23       (caramori c)VILLARREAL OSCAR 120 10.00    
  (by AMIRA'S PRINCE out of IMPERIAL LANE by IMPERIALISM)
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.