The Thoroughbred Racing
Simulator
Handicappers' Race Results

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Mahoning Valley Race Course
Wednesday - April 10, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss

MVR-1   Win (5/3) 2 $2.00 $4.00 3 1 1 $3.00 $3.00 -1.00
MVR-2   Win (3/6/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 3 1 1 $3.20 $3.20 -2.80
MVR-3   Win (6/5/4/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 3 1 1 $23.20 $23.20 15.20
MVR-4   Win (1/2/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 1 1 1 $2.80 $2.80 -3.20
MVR-5   Win (4/3/2/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 3 1 1 $15.00 $15.00 7.00
MVR-6   Win (2/6/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00 1 1 0 $8.20 -6.00
MVR-7   Win (2/1) 2 $2.00 $4.00 2 1 1 $3.80 $3.80 -0.20
MVR-8   Win (6/5/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 1 1 1 $14.60 $14.60 8.60

Simulator Race results

 
MVR-1   04/10/2024 3960ft DIRT MUDDY Maiden Claimer ($5K) Purse ($10.5K) 3UP M/F PT-12:55
See original race card.
:233 :474 1:011     1:151   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
WORKING HOLIDAY 2 2 2nk 1nk   11 1 (trevino steph)PETERSON FERRIN 119 3.00 26% 2.80 0.50 W
OH ATLANTA 3 4 4 43   33 2 (fadlovich megan)DIAZ I 119 3.50 40% 1.50 3.10 P
SISTER CODE 4 1 3.2 2nk   21 3 (vazquez ivan)HALDAR J 126 6.00 5.90  
LUNA PRIMAVERA 1 3 1nk 3   4 4 (atala jose)WEATHERLY BAILEY 114 6.00 4.50  
SCR  BULLS N BERRY               (loudin-smith lori)DIAZ R 126 4.00    
SCR  ZIPSY ROSE LEE               (fiesman robert)GONZALEZ KEVIN 126 2.50    
 
MVR-2   04/10/2024 3960ft DIRT MUDDY Starter Allowance ($7.5K) Purse ($18.4K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:22
See original race card.
:232 :47 :593     1:13   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MISS FUSSY PANTS 3 1 1½ 11   1 1 (farrior anthony)RIVERA R 124 2.00 39% 1.50 0.60 W
MAMBO KITTEN 1 5 52 31   2 2 (suarez javier)CEDILLO MAURO 126 6.00 5.30  
SKY 4 3 31 5   44 34 (casa)SALAZAR FERNANDO 124 12.00 35.30  
CAGUA 2 4 2½ 21   34 4 (bernardini jay )BARBARAN ERIK 124 5.00 16% 5.10 5.90  
CHARGINA 5 2 41 4   5 5 (rivera nestor)BRACHO A 126 2.50 8.70  
DIVINE MARTHA 6 6 6 6   610½ 624 (bernardini ja)OLIVEROS CHARLE 124 3.00 20% 4.10 4.00  
 
MVR-3   04/10/2024 3630ft DIRT MUDDY Claiming ($5K) Purse ($13K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:50
See original race card.
:222 :463       1:062   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SURF AND TURF 3 5 4 4   3 1 (londono j)SIMPSON JASON 124 8.00 5% 19.00 10.60 W
AMIGO'S AFFAIR 6 1 1nk 1   12 2 (johnson l)CEDILLO MAURO 124 2.00 47% 1.10 2.10 P
SUDDENLY SEDUCTIVE 7 3 5 58   5 3 (spiess shane )OLIVEROS CHARLE 124 10.00 13.80  
UNCLE EARL 5 2 2nk 3   22 42 (bernardini jay )BARBARAN ERIK 124 2.50 12% 7.00 2.00  
LOCK ON 2 6 610 6   4 5 (haehn r)PAUCAR E 124 15.00 32.10  
PARKER 1 7 711 7   7 66 (salcedo ramon)BRACHO AUGUSTIN 124 4.00 4.60  
UHAVETOBEKITTENME 4 4 3 2   6 710½ (casa)SALAZAR FERNANDO 124 5.00 6% 15.40 3.60  
 
MVR-4   04/10/2024 5280ft DIRT MUDDY Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($31.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:18
See original race card.
:261 :501 1:161 1:29   1:421   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BLUE NOMORE 1 1 2½ 11 13 14 1 (tooley jennifer)AVILES YAN 119 1.60 35% 1.80 0.40 W
EL SORDO 4 3 5 5 23 24 2 (romero a)CEDILLO MAURO 126 10.00 11.10  
TEMPERED DREAM 2 5 3 33 44 38 313¼ (shannon jennife)TUNON JORDANO 119 6.00 31% 2.30 11.70 S
LIAM'S ROCKET MAN 5 2 1½ 21 33 4 421¾ (reed r)HALDAR J 126 8.00 5.80  
ATLAS FALLS 3 4 43 4 5 511½ 525¼ (reed r)OLIVEROS CHARLE 119 4.50 8% 11.90 3.70  
SCR  C V SHACKLES               (gonzalez ag)BERMUDEZ E 126 1.80    
 
MVR-5   04/10/2024 3960ft DIRT MUDDY Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($14.9K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:46
See original race card.
:224 :464 :594     1:131   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SWEEPINJUSTICE 3 6 78 6   2nk 1 (gorham m)BARBARAN ERIK 124 3.50 20% 4.00 6.50 W
OOPSIE DOOPSIE 4 3 2nk 1nk   1nk 2 (smith larry)DIAZ I 126 2.50 41% 1.50 1.60 P
ENCHANTED MELODY 1 5 6 7   5 3 (gilmartin brendan)VIGIL NOEL 124 6.00 6% 16.10 5.30 S
LORDHEARMYPRAYER 7 2 53 5   6 48 (rivera nestor)BRACHO A 126 5.00 13.00  
RUN RAEGAN RUN 2 4 4 3   4 5 (farrior anthony)RIVERA R 124 8.00 9% 10.50 3.10  
BIG BANG BLUE 6 1 1nk 2nk   3 610½ (bernardini p)LEON A 124 6.00 11.20  
CURIOSITY KILLS 5 7 3 42   7 714¾ (bernardi)BATISTA ALBERTO 124 4.00 5.30  
 
MVR-6   04/10/2024 3960ft DIRT MUDDY Alw Opt Clm ($40K) Purse ($30.3K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:14
See original race card.
:221 :461 :591     1:123   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
HONEY BELLA 5 2 42 3½   1 12 (bernardini jay )BARBARAN ERIK 126 4.00 9% 10.40 3.70 DQ↓2
LUCKY COUGAR 1 6 57 5   2 22 (dacosta jason)BRACHO A 119 2.50 3.10  
SHEISTHEHERO 3 5 6 6   55 36 (loudin-smith lori)DIAZ R 124 12.00 38.00  
BOX STEP 6 1 31 2½   45 412¾ (yoder su)BATISTA ALBERTO 124 10.00 5% 19.00 30.70  
TRITONE GAL 4 3 2nk 1½   33 513½ (farrior anthony)RIVERA R 126 3.50 3.10  
POETIC VERSE 2 4 1nk 43   69 622½ (gorham m)PEREZ E 124 1.80 67% 0.50 1.10  
SCR  LEMON MOUSSE               (gorham m)DIAZ I 124 20.00    
 
MVR-7   04/10/2024 5280ft DIRT MUDDY Allowance Purse ($26.4K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:43
See original race card.
:252 :492 1:144 1:274   1:411   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
PLANET FROLIC 2 3 1 11 1nk 12 1 (farrior an)MARTINEZ A 124 0.80 60% 0.70 0.90 W
MOBIL CHIC 4 1 33 3 3.2 22 2 (zielinski richard)RIVERA R 124 3.50 2.00 P
LUCKY PENNY ROSE 1 5 5 55 5 44 3 (vazquez ivan)KEISER CHELSEY 124 12.00 5% 19.00 13.90 S
LINE DANCER 3 2 2 21 2nk 3 4 (bernardi)BATISTA ALBERTO 126 3.00 3.00  
WILDCAT DREAM 5 4 44 43 4 5 512 (salcedo ramo)SMITH DIOGDINABI 124 15.00 14.90  
SCR  SUZY Q THE QUEEN               (brown glenroy)PETERSON FERRIN 126 10.00    
 
MVR-8   04/10/2024 3960ft DIRT MUDDY Allowance Purse ($33.7K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:12
See original race card.
:234 :48 1:003     1:134   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
HOT PRINCESS (GB) 1 3 1½ 12   1 1 (lopez jacinto)CEDILLO MAURO 119 2.50 15% 5.80 6.30 W
PRIDE AND ATTITUDE 5 4 64 3   2 2 (poole m)BRACHO A 117 3.00 16% 5.20 3.80 P
SPUNKY ONE 6 1 32 4   3 3 (daco)SALAZAR FERNANDO 117 1.80 32% 2.10 1.10 S
WILD MARIAH 3 2 2½ 22   4 4 (johnson l)DIAZ I 117 6.00 4.90  
MOST ADORABLE 4 6 5 54   5 511½ (yoder su)BATISTA ALBERTO 124 8.00 9.80  
VAMONOS PIACENTE 2 5 42 66   611½ 622½ (casalinova t)WEATHERLY BAILEY 119 8.00 5.90  
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.