Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Mahoning Valley
Wednesday - April 10, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
MVR-1   WIN (5/3) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (5/3)-(5/3) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $0.50 $0.00 
    DD (5/3)-(3/6/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (5/3)-(3/6/2)-(6/5/4/3) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
MVR-2   WIN (3/6/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/6/2)-(3/6/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/6/2)-(3/6/2)-(3/6/2) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (3/6/2)-(6/5/4/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (3/6/2)-(6/5/4/3)-(1/2/3) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
MVR-3   WIN (6/5/4/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (6/5/4/3)-(6/5/4/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (6/5/4/3)-(6/5/4/3)-(6/5/4/3) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (6/5/4/3)-(1/2/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (6/5/4/3)-(1/2/3)-(4/3/2/1) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
MVR-4   WIN (1/2/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/2/3)-(1/2/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/2/3)-(1/2/3)-(1/2/3) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (1/2/3)-(4/3/2/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (1/2/3)-(4/3/2/1)-(2/6/7) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
MVR-5   WIN (4/3/2/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (4/3/2/1)-(4/3/2/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (4/3/2/1)-(4/3/2/1)-(4/3/2/1) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (4/3/2/1)-(2/6/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (4/3/2/1)-(2/6/7)-(2/1) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
MVR-6   WIN (2/6/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/6/7)-(2/6/7) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/6/7)-(2/6/7)-(2/6/7) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (2/6/7)-(2/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (2/6/7)-(2/1)-(6/5/1) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
MVR-7   WIN (2/1) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (2/1)-(2/5/1) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
    TRI (2/1)-(2/5/1)-(2/5/1) 4 $0.50 $2.00 
    DD (2/1)-(6/5/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
MVR-8   WIN (6/5/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/5/1)-(6/5/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (6/5/1)-(6/5/1)-(6/5/1) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
MVR-1   04/10/2024 3960ft DIRT RC4 MUDDY Maiden Claimer ($5K) Purse ($10.5K) 3UP M/F PT-12:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  ZIPSY ROSE LEE Feb22 Feb06 Jan09 Dec26 Dec13 (fiesman robe)GONZALEZ KEVIN 126 2.50    
2  LUNA PRIMAVERA Jan24 Jan04 Dec11 Nov27   (atala jose)WEATHERLY BAILEY 114 6.00    
3  WORKING HOLIDAY Mar12 Feb24 Feb12 Nov30 Nov10 (trevino ste)PETERSON FERRIN 119 3.00 26% 2.80    
SCR  BULLS N BERRY Mar19 Mar05 Apr13     (loudin-smith lori)DIAZ R 126 4.00    
5  OH ATLANTA Mar07         (fadlovich mega)DIAZ I 119 3.50 40% 1.50    
6  SISTER CODE Apr02 Jan24 Jan01 Dec19 Oct31 (vazquez ivan)HALDAR J 126 6.00    
 
MVR-2   04/10/2024 3960ft DIRT RC9 MUDDY Starter Allowance ($7.5K) Purse ($18.4K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:22
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MAMBO KITTEN Mar25 Mar12 Feb26 Feb08 Jan09 (suarez javier)CEDILLO MAURO 126 6.00    
2  CAGUA Mar17 Feb26 Feb13 Feb05 Dec27 (bernardini ja)BARBARAN ERIK 124 5.00 16% 5.10    
3  MISS FUSSY PANTS Mar27 Mar05 Feb22 Feb07 Dec30 (farrior anthony)RIVERA R 124 2.00 39% 1.50    
4  SKY Dec12 Nov13 Nov06 Oct23 Sep20 (ca)SALAZAR FERNANDO 124 12.00    
5  CHARGINA Mar27 Mar18 Feb13 Jan30 Jan08 (rivera nestor)BRACHO A 126 2.50    
6  DIVINE MARTHA Mar12 Feb28 Jan31 Jan23 Dec30 (bernardini )OLIVEROS CHARLE 124 3.00 20% 4.10    
 
MVR-3   04/10/2024 3630ft DIRT RC7 MUDDY Claiming ($5K) Purse ($13K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  PARKER Mar13 Feb28 Jan30 Dec11 Nov19 (salcedo ram)BRACHO AUGUSTIN 124 4.00    
2  LOCK ON Jan30 Jan15 Dec18 Nov29 Nov15 (haehn r)PAUCAR E 124 15.00    
3  SURF AND TURF Nov06 Oct25 Oct03 Sep12 Aug31 (londono odin )SIMPSON JASON 124 8.00 5% 19.00    
4  UHAVETOBEKITTENME Apr01 Jan30 Jan11 Jan03 Dec18 (ca)SALAZAR FERNANDO 124 5.00 6% 15.40    
5  UNCLE EARL Mar18 Mar04 Jan30 Jan11 Jan01 (bernardini ja)BARBARAN ERIK 124 2.50 12% 7.00    
6  AMIGO'S AFFAIR Apr01 Mar06 Jan31 Dec30 Nov30 (johnson gary )CEDILLO MAURO 124 2.00 47% 1.10    
7  SUDDENLY SEDUCTIVE Mar17 Mar04 Feb14 Jan11 Dec18 (spiess shan)OLIVEROS CHARLE 124 10.00    
 
MVR-4   04/10/2024 5280ft DIRT RC5 MUDDY Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($31.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:18
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BLUE NOMORE Mar08 Feb07 Jan10 Nov16 Oct31 (tooley jennifer)AVILES YAN 119 1.60 35% 1.80    
  (by AIR FORCE BLUE out of MISSAP by A. P. WARRIOR)
2  TEMPERED DREAM         (shannon jenni)TUNON JORDANO 119 6.00 31% 2.30    
  (by DREAMLINER out of TOTAL TEMPER by EXCHANGE RATE)
3  ATLAS FALLS Dec19 Nov16       (reed r)OLIVEROS CHARLE 119 4.50 8% 11.90    
  (by BERNARDINI out of OLDFASHIONED STYLE by OLD FASHIONED)
4  EL SORDO Mar25 Mar14 Feb22 Dec12 Nov27 (romero a)CEDILLO MAURO 126 10.00    
  (by RACE DAY out of DESIGNING BELLAMY by BELLAMY ROAD)
5  LIAM'S ROCKET MAN Jan10 Dec11 Jul22 Aug13 Jul12 (reed r)HALDAR J 126 8.00    
  (by LIAM'S MAP out of GREAT DAY by ACTION THIS DAY)
SCR  C V SHACKLES Mar16 Feb07       (gonzalez )BERMUDEZ E 126 1.80    
  (by SHACKLEFORD out of VICTORY POOL by VICTORY GALLOP)
 
MVR-5   04/10/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 MUDDY Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($14.9K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:46
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ENCHANTED MELODY Apr02 Mar06 Feb19 Jan25 Jan11 (gilmartin brenda)VIGIL NOEL 124 6.00 6% 16.10    
2  RUN RAEGAN RUN Feb24 Jan13 Dec01 Nov09 Oct15 (farrior anthony)RIVERA R 124 8.00 9% 10.50    
3  SWEEPINJUSTICE Mar17 Feb19 Jan30 Nov27 Oct23 (gorham robert)BARBARAN ERIK 124 3.50 20% 4.00    
4  OOPSIE DOOPSIE Mar17 Feb24 Feb01 Aug29 Aug06 (smith larry)DIAZ I 126 2.50 41% 1.50    
5  CURIOSITY KILLS Mar17 Feb24 Feb13 Jan30 Jan08 (bernar)BATISTA ALBERTO 124 4.00    
6  BIG BANG BLUE Mar07 Feb21 Jan25 Dec28 Dec13 (bernardini jay )LEON A 124 6.00    
7  LORDHEARMYPRAYER Apr02 Mar20 Mar05 Feb27 Feb12 (rivera nestor)BRACHO A 126 5.00    
 
MVR-6   04/10/2024 3960ft DIRT RC3 MUDDY Alw Opt Clm ($40K) Purse ($30.3K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:14
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LUCKY COUGAR Mar18 Feb15 Jan31 Dec28 Dec02 (dacosta jason)BRACHO A 119 2.50    
2  POETIC VERSE Nov14 Sep07 Aug06 Jul25 Jul05 (gorham m)PEREZ E 124 1.80 67% 0.50    
3  SHEISTHEHERO Mar27 Mar18 Feb24 Aug06 Jul12 (loudin-smith lori)DIAZ R 124 12.00    
4  TRITONE GAL Apr02 Mar09 Dec30 Dec10 Nov24 (farrior anthony)RIVERA R 126 3.50    
SCR  LEMON MOUSSE Mar25 Aug01 Jul22 Jun30 Jun02 (gorham robert )DIAZ I 124 20.00    
6  HONEY BELLA Apr03 Mar18 Feb24 Jan24 Jan12 (bernardini ja)BARBARAN ERIK 126 4.00 9% 10.40    
7  BOX STEP Jan04 Aug02 Jul17 Jun01 May20 (yoder )BATISTA ALBERTO 124 10.00 5% 19.00    
 
MVR-7   04/10/2024 5280ft DIRT RC10 MUDDY Allowance Purse ($26.4K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:43
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LUCKY PENNY ROSE Jan11 Dec21 Dec07 Nov16 Oct23 (vazquez ivan)KEISER CHELSEY 124 12.00 5% 19.00    
2  PLANET FROLIC Mar15 Feb29 Jan02 Dec15 Nov29 (farrior )MARTINEZ A 124 0.80 60% 0.70    
3  LINE DANCER Mar25 Mar13 Feb22 Jan18 Jan02 (bernar)BATISTA ALBERTO 126 3.00    
SCR  SUZY Q THE QUEEN Apr03 Mar13 Feb28 Feb12 Dec16 (brown glenr)PETERSON FERRIN 126 10.00    
5  MOBIL CHIC Mar07 Feb22 Jan18 Dec21 Dec07 (zielinski richar)RIVERA R 124 3.50 ★    
6  WILDCAT DREAM Mar28 Mar13 Jan04 Nov21 Nov01 (salcedo ra)SMITH DIOGDINABI 124 15.00    
 
MVR-8   04/10/2024 3960ft DIRT RC10 MUDDY Allowance Purse ($33.7K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:12
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  HOT PRINCESS (GB) Mar19 Feb27 Feb19 Dec28 Dec13 (lopez jacinto)CEDILLO MAURO 119 2.50 15% 5.80    
2  VAMONOS PIACENTE Jan22 Dec20 Aug29 Aug09 Jul19 (casalinova)WEATHERLY BAILEY 119 8.00    
3  WILD MARIAH Apr01 Mar19 Feb27 Feb14 Aug14 (johnson l)DIAZ I 117 6.00    
4  MOST ADORABLE Mar25 Mar11 Dec21 Nov22 Nov07 (yoder )BATISTA ALBERTO 124 8.00    
5  PRIDE AND ATTITUDE Mar25 Mar11 Feb27 Oct10 Sep22 (poole m)BRACHO A 117 3.00 16% 5.20    
6  SPUNKY ONE Mar11 Mar04 Feb21 Feb07 Feb01 (da)SALAZAR FERNANDO 117 1.80 32% 2.10    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.