Handicappers' Race Results

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The Longshot Hunter!

Colonial Downs
Tuesday - August 13, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

CNL-1   EXA (9/3/6/4)-(9/3/6/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00  9-6 $35.70 $23.70 198%
    TRI (9/3/6/4)-(9/3/6/4)-(9/3/6/4) 24 $0.50 $12.00  9-6-4 $85.65 $73.65 614%
CNL-3   EXA (7/4)-(7/3/4/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00  7-6 $8.90 $2.90 48%
    TRI (7/4)-(7/3/4/6)-(7/3/4/6) 12 $0.50 $6.00  7-6-3 $16.15 $10.15 169%
    SFT (7/4)-(7/3/4/6)-(7/3/4/6)-(7/3/4/6) 12 $0.10 $1.20  7-6-3-4 $10.95 $9.75 813%
CNL-4   WIN (7/4/5/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00  4 $9.20 $1.20 15%
    EXA (7/4/5/3)-(7/4/5/2/3) 16 $1.00 $16.00  4-3 $22.90 $6.90 43%
    DD (7/4)-(7/4/5/3) 8 $1.00 $8.00  7-4 $9.00 $1.00 13%
CNL-6   WIN (8/10/6/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00  10 $9.00 $1.00 13%
    EXA (8/10/6/4)-(8/10/6/4/7) 16 $1.00 $16.00  10-6 $24.60 $8.60 54%
    TRI (8/10/6/4)-(8/10/6/4/7)-(8/10/6/4/7) 48 $0.50 $24.00  10-6-4 $73.90 $49.90 208%
    SFT (8/10/6/4)-(8/10/6/4/7)-(8/10/6/4/7)-(8/10/6/4/7) 96 $0.10 $9.60  10-6-4-8 $38.22 $28.62 298%
CNL-7   WIN (6/7/10/9) 4 $2.00 $8.00  10 $9.80 $1.80 23%
    DD (8/10/6/4)-(6/7/10/9) 16 $1.00 $16.00  10-10 $21.80 $5.80 36%

Simulator Race results

 
CNL-1   08/13/2024 4620ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($28K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:15
See original race card.
:233 :463 1:114     1:241   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SHUT IT CALI 8 8 7 74   2nk 18 (bowersock m)MCCARTHY TREVOR 123 4.50 45% 1.20 2.30 W
AIN'T NONCENTS 6 2 42 2nk   1nk 28 (gardea abraha)JIMENEZ MANNY 123 15.00 5% 17.60 23.70 P
PRACTICAL MISS 4 7 6 52   3 310½ (payne beale)ASHTON GAVIN 123 12.00 5% 19.00 6.40 S
WILD GIRL 2 6 5 6   7 414¼ (caiazzo corby)ROCCO S 123 10.00 17.90  
FIFTH CIRCUIT 5 1 32 31   5 515½ (mccutchen )ALBERT S 118 30.00 25.20  
HUMOR SENSE 1 3 11 1nk   4 615¾ (ochoa gera)SANCHEZ J 123 2.50 1.80  
MANITOULIN ISLAND 7 5 8 89   810¾ 718¼ (garrido )VILLALOBOS ISMERIO 123 30.00 81.10  
CORINTH 3 4 21 4   6 821 (munoz carlos)CONNER TYLER 118 4.00 23% 3.30 2.30  
SCR  COLLECTED DREAMS               (munoz carlos)GALVAN JHAIR 120 2.00    
 
CNL-2   08/13/2024 5610ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($28K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:45
See original race card.
:234 :484 1:124 1:373   1:434   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MAINSTREAM SELLOUT 2 2 54 5 4 21 11 (saville niall)CURTIS BEN 118 10.00 7.60  
PLEASE MARRY ME 6 3 12 11 11 11 21 (sanchez-salom)SILVERA RUBEN 122 4.00 11% 8.00 4.40 P
CAT ONE 1 1 43 3 3 31 3 (mott riley)CONNER TYLER 118 2.50 45% 1.20 0.80 S
SAVE THE FLAG 3 4 7 75 6 66 4 (zook w)ROCCO S 122 6.00 24.40  
HAZELMOOR BEACH 7 7 6 64 5 5 5 (shankle joanne)BOYCE FOREST 122 6.00 5% 19.00 9.80  
HOUSE OF MELODY 5 5 33 21 21 4 6 (joseph saffie)KARAMANOS A 118 2.00 21% 3.90 3.80  
TITOSCHANGEDMYLUCK 4 6 22 4 7 714 719¼ (lawrence j)SANCHEZ J 122 30.00 21.70  
SCR  INSIDE THE BOX               (fout douglas)ASHTON GAVIN 122 30.00    
 
CNL-3   08/13/2024 3630ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($16K) Purse ($34.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:15
See original race card.
:23 :462 :581     1:043   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
OXYMORE 7 1 11 12   1 1 (ochoa gera)SANCHEZ J 122 0.80 75% 0.30 0.20 W
MIDNIGHT TEQUILA 6 3 77 77   3 2 (dimmett james)ROCCO S 122 20.00 17.30 P
BRUDER 3 5 3 34   2 3 (godsey d)CONNER TYLER 118 2.50 4.10 S
NINTH OF APRIL 4 7 65 55   56 46 (werneth rober)FUENTES MARIO 122 8.00 5% 19.00 11.10  
ROCKLAND EXPRESS 2 4 55 6   6 5 (garrido )VILLALOBOS ISMERIO 122 8.00 46.70  
SPEAKERIT 1 6 44 4   7 6 (kee j)KARAMANOS A 122 10.00 18.90  
MICHEAUX 5 2 21 22   46 710¼ (clement rolan)JIMENEZ MANNY 117 20.00 20.30  
 
CNL-4   08/13/2024 3630ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($60K) 2 F PT- 2:45
See original race card.
:231 :471 :592     1:054   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
WATERING 4 8 9 6   32 1½ (stidham michael)CURTIS BEN 119 4.00 35% 1.90 3.60 W
  (by DIVINING ROD out of SET FOR SIX by EXCHANGE RATE)
READY TO ROCKNROLL 3 2 21 22   2nk 2½ (delacour arna)SILVERA RUBEN 119 10.00 5% 19.00 3.30 P
  (by BOLT D'ORO out of TAP CLASS by TAPITURE)
10  HIT SONG 10 7 6 8   5 3 (munoz carlos)CASIQUE UBARDO 119 12.00 28.00  
  (by MACLEAN'S MUSIC out of GOOD CAUSE by GIANT'S CAUSEWAY)
MUN MUN CAN RUN 2 5 5 3   43 43 (trombetta )SANCHEZ J 119 6.00 7.20  
  (by MUNNINGS out of SWEET BERNARDINI by BERNARDINI)
SLANDEROUS 6 1 11 12   1nk 54 (mccutchen)CARRASCO R 119 8.00 15.90  
  (by CLASSIC EMPIRE out of SEVEN ARROWS by SUPER SAVER)
MINNESOTA MUNNY 5 10 10 9   910¾ 6 (danner kelsey)ROCCO S 119 5.00 6% 15.60 6.80  
  (by MUNNINGS out of BLUE UNION RAGS by UNION RAGS)
GIRL OF FAITH 9 3 7 7   7 7 (brion keri)ASHTON GAVIN 119 10.00 8.90  
  (by CATHOLIC BOY out of IDA CLARK by SPEIGHTSTOWN)
ROCIO 7 9 8 55   8 8 (munoz carlos)JIMENEZ MANNY 119 3.50 38% 1.60 3.60  
  (by GLOBAL CAMPAIGN out of GLACKETY by SMOKE GLACKEN)
JUDITH'S CROSS 8 4 31 4   6 910¾ (saville niall)CONNER TYLER 119 20.00 14.40  
  (by CARAVAGGIO out of DANU by CAPE CROSS)
ORQUIDEA REAL 1 6 4 10100   10100 10100 (rodriguez )HERNANDEZ MAIKOL 119 30.00 17.70  
  (by NEOLITHIC out of SILVER ROCK by ROCK OF GIBRALTAR)
SCR  CAPRICHOSAINFRONT               (mcgoey monic)CASIQUE UBARDO 119 30.00    
  (by TIZ THE LAW out of VANNA BELLE by MUNNINGS)
SCR  KATARZYNA               (godsey d)CONNER TYLER 119 20.00    
  (by PRACTICAL JOKE out of IRINA BARANOVA by BULLSBAY)
 
CNL-5   08/13/2024 5280ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($16K) Purse ($34.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:15
See original race card.
:244 :484 1:123 1:243   1:363   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SILVER FRONT 3 2 21 3 42 2nk 1 (huffman kenne)FUENTES MARIO 118 8.00 5.80  
GUILDENSTERN (IRE) 2 5 4 4 31 1nk 2 (orseno jos)SANCHEZ J 118 1.40 42% 1.40 0.90 P
ROJA REDEMPTION 6 6 5 5 53 43 3 (fisher r)BOYCE FOREST 123 8.00 6.10  
GREEN BEANS 1 1 11 11 11 31 4 (godsey d)ASHTON GAVIN 123 5.00 5% 19.00 8.60  
VALUE ENGINEER 5 3 31 21 21 5 5 (maker michael)KARAMANOS A 118 2.00 33% 2.10 2.50  
WILL'S MUSIC 4 4 6 6 611 624¼ 635¾ (allen ferris)CONNER TYLER 123 15.00 22.80  
SCR  CATALINA EXPRESS               (rodriguez angel )CURTIS BEN 123 30.00    
SCR  TRAVELLER               (depasquale kim)ALLEN D 123 30.00    
 
CNL-6   08/13/2024 3630ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($75K) 2 ALL PT- 3:45
See original race card.
:221 :461 :584     1:053   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
10  BUCARO 9 6 6 6   32 1½ (trombetta )SANCHEZ J 119 5.00 27% 2.70 3.50 W
  (by BUCCHERO out of BELLS OF WAR by DECLARATION OF WAR)
NOLA BOSS 5 1 2nk 1nk   12 2½ (russell bri)RUSSELL SHELDON 119 8.00 11% 8.10 2.90 P
  (by HOLY BOSS out of TULANIAN by TWIRLING CANDY)
WAR HUMOR 3 2 4 4   22 3 (figgins ollie)SILVERA RUBEN 119 8.00 5% 19.00 11.80 S
  (by MOSLER out of HOLYWOOD HUMOR by DISTORTED HUMOR)
BUY TOM A BEER 7 8 8 7   6 4 (werneth rober)FUENTES MARIO 119 3.50 40% 1.50 2.80  
  (by PRESERVATIONIST out of SARAMAR by LANGFUHR)
WHENEVERUREMEMBER 1 3 31 5   53 53 (trombetta mic)KARAMANOS A 119 10.00 3.90  
  (by GUN RUNNER out of A GREAT TIME by STREET MAGICIAN)
MOON FACTOR 2 5 1nk 2nk   4 6 (ochoa ge)VILLALOBOS ISMERIO 119 20.00 27.70  
  (by THE FACTOR out of MOONLIGHT LADY by MALIBU MOON)
GOTTA HAVE A GUY 6 9 9 9   98 7 (meyers madison)ASHTON GAVIN 119 10.00 25.70  
  (by SUMMER FRONT out of TAKE IT ALL BACK by FLASHBACK)
DEMENTOR 8 7 7 8   7 8 (moysey chelsey)CEDENO CAROL 119 15.00 9.60  
  (by ASTERN out of DEMETER by BERNARDINI)
GO TO BINGO 4 4 5 31   8 9 (cooney sus)ALBERT S 119 15.00 22.00  
  (by HOLY BOSS out of TANGERINE MIMOSA by HANSEL)
SCR  CHIPOTLE (GB)               (gorham michael)CONNER TYLER 119 15.00    
  (by MITOLE out of CLEARWATER by PAYNTER)
SCR  FORCED ATTITUDE               (meyers m)GALLARDO A 119 8.00    
  (by AIR FORCE BLUE out of POSITIVE ATTITUDE by CURE THE BLUES)
SCR  STORMY FLIGHT               (smith ham)CARRASCO R 119 6.00    
  (by GET STORMY out of SUBURB by CITY ZIP)
 
CNL-7   08/13/2024 3630ft TURF RC10 FIRM Allowance Purse ($70K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:15
See original race card.
:23 :461 :58     1:04   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
10  SHARE THE BLESSING 8 6 6 7   7 11 (stidham michael)CURTIS BEN 118 6.00 5% 19.00 3.90 W
11  HEART 9 7 9 9   94 21 (russell bri)RUSSELL SHELDON 118 20.00 10.30  
TRULY GRATEFUL 6 5 8 8   8 3 (stidham michae)ASHTON GAVIN 122 10.00 18.70  
BEANPOT 4 1 1 11   1 4 (clement chris)SILVERA RUBEN 118 4.50 67% 0.50 3.20  
12  ST. SUSAN 10 4 53 5   4 5 (clement c)CHEMINAUD VINCENT 120 20.00 10.10  
RUN AROUND SLEW 5 2 2 31   3 6 (cooney susan )KARAMANOS A 122 5.00 7% 12.50 6.90  
SWEETCATHERINEROSE 7 8 3 21   2 7 (lucas bonnie)ROCCO S 118 15.00 5% 19.00 34.10  
CHARLOTTES ROAD 1 10 7 63   5 85 (casse mark)MCCARTHY TREVOR 118 8.00 5.70  
ATMIDNIGHT 2 11 10 10   10 9 (saville niall)CONNER TYLER 120 12.00 12.10  
JE SUIS RAPIDE 3 9 1110¾ 11   11 10 (king l)RIQUELME J 122 15.00 43.30  
13  WRIGHT UP FRONT 11 3 4 42   62 11 (toner jam)CARRASCO R 122 8.00 5.60  
SCR  GEORGE'S HONEY               (casse mark)SANCHEZ J 118 10.00    
SCR  LOST MY SOCK               (ryan s)BOYCE FOREST 124 3.50    
SCR  UP FOR IT               (matz michael )TOLEDO JEVIAN 122 20.00    
 
CNL-8   08/13/2024 5280ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($16K) Purse ($34.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:45
See original race card.
:232 :46 1:101 1:232   1:362   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LONELY RIDE 8 7 7 717 613 45 1¾ (ryan derek)SANCHEZ J 118 5.00 6.40  
ADMIRAL'S WAVE 6 4 4 511 48 2 2¾ (mcgoey monica)KARAMANOS A 123 1.50 60% 0.70 0.80 P
MY SANCTUARY 7 6 67 613 510 66 3 (stidham michael)CURTIS BEN 125 3.00 4.50 S
EL GUAPO 2 2 1 19 17 1 4 (munoz carlos)JIMENEZ MANNY 123 30.00 5% 19.00 27.70  
DIABLO DADDY 1 3 35 310 37 5 5 (zook w)ASHTON GAVIN 123 6.00 7.00  
WHERE'S CHARLIE 4 8 811½ 819 714 79 6 (desormeaux kei)RIQUELME J 120 8.00 14% 6.30 6.20  
RETURN FIRE 3 1 2 29 27 35 7 (sanchez-salom)SILVERA RUBEN 118 10.00 21.90  
BALI ROLLING TIDE 5 5 56 411 814¼ 819 822¾ (werneth rober)FUENTES MARIO 123 30.00 58.60  
SCR  CECIL THE GREAT               (clement rola)CASIQUE UBARDO 123 20.00    
 
CNL-9   08/13/2024 5610ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($60K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:15
See original race card.
:24 :491 1:134 1:381   1:442   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
10  MANDATORY MEETING 8 4 2nk 1nk 1nk 1nk 1¼ (blair jordan)ASHTON GAVIN 118 10.00 6.70  
  (by LOOKIN AT LUCKY out of BITTY KITTY by KITTEN'S JOY)
SMART UNCLE 5 1 5 4 4 42 2¼ (fisher r)BOYCE FOREST 124 8.00 18% 4.50 7.40 P
  (by UNCLE MO out of SMART TOGETHER by SMART STRIKE)
12  OSKAR MARTINEZ (IRE) 10 6 3 3 32 2nk 3¼ (delacour )CARRASCO R 124 3.50 47% 1.10 3.60 S
  (by HAVANA GOLD out of AFLAME by SMOKESTER)
BEE PLUS 1 8 7 65 6 6 4 (crichton rohan)JARAMILLO E 118 4.50 7% 12.70 3.20  
  (by BEE JERSEY out of MONGOLIAN SONG by PAYNTER)
11  FALL LINE 9 5 4 54 5 5 5 (clement christop)CURTIS BEN 118 6.00 11.20  
  (by DIVISIDERO out of ELUSIVE SUGAR by ELUSIVE QUALITY)
SPIN IT 4 2 6 7 7 7 6 (devaux che)SANCHEZ J 118 6.00 6.40  
  (by HARD SPUN out of TRY YOUR LUCK by TELLA FIB)
VARVATOS 7 3 1nk 2nk 2nk 3½ 7 (devaux cherie)ROCCO S 118 20.00 5% 19.00 8.40  
  (by MEDAGLIA D'ORO out of RIVER MAID by WHERE'S THE RING)
NEON NIGHTS 2 9 9 87 8 8 8 (blair jordan)CONNER TYLER 118 15.00 24.10  
  (by TAKE CHARGE INDY out of MEADOW ROSE by GHOSTZAPPER)
PACE YOURSELF 6 10 10 109 9 9 911 (tomlinson mic)KARAMANOS A 118 12.00 11.90  
  (by MENDELSSOHN out of WAR CLAN by WAR FRONT)
WAXING MOON 3 7 8 9 1014¾ 1021¾ 1029¼ (mcgaughey)CHEMINAUD VINCENT 118 10.00 11.20  
  (by CANDY RIDE out of LUNAR EVENING by MALIBU MOON)
SCR  AFT               (boucher lilith)RIQUELME J 118 30.00    
  (by ASTERN out of MEDICINE BUTTE by OLD FASHIONED)
SCR  HALLELUJAH HARRIS               (kelly blake)SILVERA RUBEN 118 12.00    
  (by TEXAS RED out of SWANKY JAS by FLAT OUT)
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.