Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Colonial Downs
Tuesday - August 13, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
CNL-1   WIN (9/3/6/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (9/3/6/4)-(9/3/6/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (9/3/6/4)-(9/3/6/4)-(9/3/6/4) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (9/3/6/4)-(1/6/7/8) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (9/3/6/4)-(1/6/7/8)-(7/4) 32 $1.00 $32.00 
CNL-2   WIN (1/6/7/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/6/7/8)-(1/6/7/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/6/7/8)-(1/6/7/8)-(1/6/7/8) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (1/6/7/8)-(7/4) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
    PK3 (1/6/7/8)-(7/4)-(7/4/5/3) 32 $1.00 $32.00 
CNL-3   WIN (7/4) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (7/4)-(7/3/4/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (7/4)-(7/3/4/6)-(7/3/4/6) 12 $0.50 $6.00 
    DD (7/4)-(7/4/5/3) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
    PK3 (7/4)-(7/4/5/3)-(3/6/2) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
CNL-4   WIN (7/4/5/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (7/4/5/3)-(7/4/5/2/3) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (7/4/5/3)-(7/4/5/2/3)-(7/4/5/2/3) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (7/4/5/3)-(3/6/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (7/4/5/3)-(3/6/2)-(8/10/6/4) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
CNL-5   WIN (3/6/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/6/2)-(3/6/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/6/2)-(3/6/2)-(3/6/2) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (3/6/2)-(8/10/6/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (3/6/2)-(8/10/6/4)-(6/7/10/9) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
CNL-6   WIN (8/10/6/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (8/10/6/4)-(8/10/6/4/7) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (8/10/6/4)-(8/10/6/4/7)-(8/10/6/4/7) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (8/10/6/4)-(6/7/10/9) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (8/10/6/4)-(6/7/10/9)-(7/4/2) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
CNL-7   WIN (6/7/10/9) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (6/7/10/9)-(6/7/10/13/3/9) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (6/7/10/9)-(6/7/10/13/3/9)-(6/7/10/13/3/9) 80 $0.50 $40.00 
    DD (6/7/10/9)-(7/4/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (6/7/10/9)-(7/4/2)-(12/7/1/9) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
CNL-8   WIN (7/4/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (7/4/2)-(7/4/8/2) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (7/4/2)-(7/4/8/2)-(7/4/8/2) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (7/4/2)-(12/7/1/9) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
CNL-9   WIN (12/7/1/9) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (12/7/1/9)-(12/7/1/5/9) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (12/7/1/9)-(12/7/1/5/9)-(12/7/1/5/9) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
CNL-1   08/13/2024 4620ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($28K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  HUMOR SENSE Jul19 Jun08 May23 Mar02 Dec29 (ochoa gera)SANCHEZ J 123 2.50    
2  WILD GIRL Jul10 May21 Jan03 Dec19 Oct18 (caiazzo corby)ROCCO S 123 10.00    
3  CORINTH Jul27 Jul11 May12 Mar27 Feb28 (munoz carlos)CONNER TYLER 118 4.00 23% 3.30    
4  PRACTICAL MISS Jul25 May24 Apr27 Feb02 Jan07 (payne beale)ASHTON GAVIN 123 12.00 5% 19.00    
5  FIFTH CIRCUIT Jul11 Sep06 Aug24 Aug17 Aug04 (mccutchen )ALBERT S 118 30.00    
6  AIN'T NONCENTS Jul25 May31 Apr14 Mar30 Mar16 (gardea abraha)JIMENEZ MANNY 123 15.00 5% 17.60    
7  MANITOULIN ISLAND Jul26 Jul13 Jun01 May08 Apr25 (garrido raul)LEON A 123 30.00    
SCR  COLLECTED DREAMS Jul20 Jun15 May30 May04 Apr13 (munoz carlos)GALVAN JHAIR 120 2.00    
9  SHUT IT CALI Jul19 Jun29 Jun07 Mar16 Mar02 (bowersock m)MCCARTHY TREVOR 123 4.50 45% 1.20    
 
CNL-2   08/13/2024 5610ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($28K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CAT ONE Jul19 Jun17 May22 Nov10 Oct13 (mott riley)CONNER TYLER 118 2.50 45% 1.20    
SCR  INSIDE THE BOX Jul18 Jun08 Sep20 Aug17 Aug04 (fout douglas)ASHTON GAVIN 122 30.00    
3  MAINSTREAM SELLOUT Jul18 Jun20 Jan05 Dec27 Dec08 (saville niall)CURTIS BEN 118 10.00    
4  SAVE THE FLAG Jul14 Jun16 Mar09 Feb17 Dec28 (zook jef)GALLARDO A 122 6.00    
5  TITOSCHANGEDMYLUCK Jun15 Sep21 Sep07 Aug10 Jun17 (lawrence j)SANCHEZ J 122 30.00    
6  HOUSE OF MELODY Jul14 May31 Apr26 Mar15 Feb16 (joseph saff)MCCARTHY TREVOR 118 2.00 21% 3.90    
7  PLEASE MARRY ME Jul26 Jun29 Feb18 Jan07 Dec16 (sanchez-salom)SILVERA RUBEN 122 4.00 11% 8.00    
8  HAZELMOOR BEACH Jul26 Jun29 Jun15 Jun08 Mar15 (shankle joanne)BOYCE FOREST 122 6.00 5% 19.00    
 
CNL-3   08/13/2024 3630ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($16K) Purse ($34.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SPEAKERIT Jul19 Jun14 May24 Jan11 Dec07 (kee j)KARAMANOS A 122 10.00    
2  ROCKLAND EXPRESS Jul26 Jul18 Jun07 May12 Apr21 (garrido raul)LEON A 122 8.00    
3  BRUDER May11 Apr21 Mar01 Feb04 Jan13 (godsey d)CONNER TYLER 118 2.50 ★    
4  NINTH OF APRIL Jun22 Jun01 May22 Apr07 Mar08 (werneth rober)FUENTES MARIO 122 8.00 5% 19.00    
5  MICHEAUX Jul18 Jun14 Oct21 Oct07 Aug31 (clement rolan)JIMENEZ MANNY 117 20.00    
6  MIDNIGHT TEQUILA Jul18 Sep28 Aug23 Aug01 Jul01 (dimmett james)ROCCO S 122 20.00 ★    
7  OXYMORE Jul18 Jun29 Jun01 Apr27 Feb22 (ochoa gera)SANCHEZ J 122 0.80 75% 0.30    
 
CNL-4   08/13/2024 3630ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($60K) 2 F PT- 2:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ORQUIDEA REAL Jul14         (rodriguez )HERNANDEZ MAIKOL 119 30.00    
  (by NEOLITHIC out of SILVER ROCK by ROCK OF GIBRALTAR)
2  MUN MUN CAN RUN         (trombetta )SANCHEZ J 119 6.00 ★    
  (by MUNNINGS out of SWEET BERNARDINI by BERNARDINI)
3  READY TO ROCKNROLL         (delacour arna)SILVERA RUBEN 119 10.00 5% 19.00    
  (by BOLT D'ORO out of TAP CLASS by TAPITURE)
4  WATERING Jul13         (stidham michael)CURTIS BEN 119 4.00 35% 1.90    
  (by DIVINING ROD out of SET FOR SIX by EXCHANGE RATE)
5  MINNESOTA MUNNY         (danner k)GALLARDO A 119 5.00 6% 15.60    
  (by MUNNINGS out of BLUE UNION RAGS by UNION RAGS)
6  SLANDEROUS Jul13 May19 May02     (mccutchen)CARRASCO R 119 8.00    
  (by CLASSIC EMPIRE out of SEVEN ARROWS by SUPER SAVER)
7  ROCIO Jul19         (munoz carlos)JIMENEZ MANNY 119 3.50 38% 1.60    
  (by GLOBAL CAMPAIGN out of GLACKETY by SMOKE GLACKEN)
8  JUDITH'S CROSS         (saville niall)CONNER TYLER 119 20.00    
  (by CARAVAGGIO out of DANU by CAPE CROSS)
9  GIRL OF FAITH         (brion keri)ASHTON GAVIN 119 10.00    
  (by CATHOLIC BOY out of IDA CLARK by SPEIGHTSTOWN)
10  HIT SONG         (munoz carlos)CASIQUE UBARDO 119 12.00    
  (by MACLEAN'S MUSIC out of GOOD CAUSE by GIANT'S CAUSEWAY)
SCR  CAPRICHOSAINFRONT         (mcgoey monic)CASIQUE UBARDO 119 30.00    
  (by TIZ THE LAW out of VANNA BELLE by MUNNINGS)
SCR  KATARZYNA         (godsey d)CONNER TYLER 119 20.00    
  (by PRACTICAL JOKE out of IRINA BARANOVA by BULLSBAY)
 
CNL-5   08/13/2024 5280ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($16K) Purse ($34.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  CATALINA EXPRESS May03 Mar29 Aug31 Aug19 Aug04 (rodriguez angel )CURTIS BEN 123 30.00    
2  GREEN BEANS Jul25 Feb25 Jan07 Oct14 Sep16 (godsey d)ASHTON GAVIN 123 5.00 5% 19.00    
3  GUILDENSTERN (IRE) Jul20 Jun29       (orseno jos)SANCHEZ J 118 1.40 42% 1.40    
4  SILVER FRONT Jul27 May24 Sep09 Aug25 Aug17 (huffman kenne)FUENTES MARIO 118 8.00    
5  WILL'S MUSIC Jun13 May26 Aug10 Jul23 Jul08 (allen a )GALLARDO A 123 15.00    
6  VALUE ENGINEER Jul14 Sep30 Sep10 Aug19 Aug03 (maker michael)KARAMANOS A 118 2.00 33% 2.10    
SCR  TRAVELLER Jul16 Jul03 Jun17 May28 Jul25 (depasquale kim)ALLEN D 123 30.00    
8  ROJA REDEMPTION Feb23 Feb02 Nov08 Sep03 Aug18 (fisher r)BOYCE FOREST 123 8.00    
 
CNL-6   08/13/2024 3630ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($75K) 2 ALL PT- 3:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  WHENEVERUREMEMBER Jun23         (trombetta mic)KARAMANOS A 119 10.00    
  (by GUN RUNNER out of A GREAT TIME by STREET MAGICIAN)
2  MOON FACTOR         (ochoa ge)VILLALOBOS ISMERIO 119 20.00    
  (by THE FACTOR out of MOONLIGHT LADY by MALIBU MOON)
SCR  STORMY FLIGHT Jun23         (smith ham)CARRASCO R 119 6.00    
  (by GET STORMY out of SUBURB by CITY ZIP)
4  WAR HUMOR Jul25         (figgins ollie)SILVERA RUBEN 119 8.00 5% 19.00    
  (by MOSLER out of HOLYWOOD HUMOR by DISTORTED HUMOR)
5  GO TO BINGO Jul25         (cooney sus)ALBERT S 119 15.00    
  (by HOLY BOSS out of TANGERINE MIMOSA by HANSEL)
6  NOLA BOSS Jul20 Jun30       (russell bri)RUSSELL SHELDON 119 8.00 11% 8.10    
  (by HOLY BOSS out of TULANIAN by TWIRLING CANDY)
7  GOTTA HAVE A GUY         (meyers madison)ASHTON GAVIN 119 10.00 ★    
  (by SUMMER FRONT out of TAKE IT ALL BACK by FLASHBACK)
8  BUY TOM A BEER Jul25         (werneth rober)FUENTES MARIO 119 3.50 40% 1.50    
  (by PRESERVATIONIST out of SARAMAR by LANGFUHR)
9  DEMENTOR         (moysey e)CURTIS BEN 119 15.00    
  (by ASTERN out of DEMETER by BERNARDINI)
10  BUCARO         (trombetta )SANCHEZ J 119 5.00 27% 2.70    
  (by BUCCHERO out of BELLS OF WAR by DECLARATION OF WAR)
SCR  CHIPOTLE (GB) Aug10         (gorham michael)CONNER TYLER 119 15.00    
  (by MITOLE out of CLEARWATER by PAYNTER)
SCR  FORCED ATTITUDE         (meyers m)GALLARDO A 119 8.00    
  (by AIR FORCE BLUE out of POSITIVE ATTITUDE by CURE THE BLUES)
 
CNL-7   08/13/2024 3630ft TURF RC10 FIRM Allowance Purse ($70K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  GEORGE'S HONEY Jun22 May19       (casse mark)SANCHEZ J 118 10.00    
SCR  LOST MY SOCK Aug04 Jul18 Jun02 May11 Apr27 (ryan s)BOYCE FOREST 124 3.50    
3  CHARLOTTES ROAD Jul13 Jun01 May03 Apr12 Oct28 (casse mark)MCCARTHY TREVOR 118 8.00 ★    
4  ATMIDNIGHT Jul11 Jun14 May17 Apr18 Sep25 (saville niall)CONNER TYLER 120 12.00    
5  JE SUIS RAPIDE Jul07 Jun13 Jun05 May23 May11 (king l)RIQUELME J 122 15.00    
6  BEANPOT Apr13 Feb09 Jan11     (clement chris)SILVERA RUBEN 118 4.50 67% 0.50    
7  RUN AROUND SLEW Jul18 Jun14 May25 Apr26 Nov19 (cooney susan )KARAMANOS A 122 5.00 7% 12.50    
8  TRULY GRATEFUL Mar03 Jan13 Dec14     (stidham michae)ASHTON GAVIN 122 10.00    
9  SWEETCATHERINEROSE Jul18 Jun26 Jun11 Sep13 Aug20 (lucas bon)CARRASCO R 118 15.00 5% 19.00    
10  SHARE THE BLESSING May22 Apr20 Mar20 Mar03 Jan27 (stidham michael)CURTIS BEN 118 6.00 5% 19.00    
11  HEART Mar23 Jan27 Dec29     (russell bri)RUSSELL SHELDON 118 20.00    
12  ST. SUSAN Jul13 Jun04 Mar31 Jan21 Dec16 (clement c)CHEMINAUD VINCENT 120 20.00    
13  WRIGHT UP FRONT Jul07 May18 Apr13 Feb24 Jan18 (toner jam)CARRASCO R 122 8.00 ★    
SCR  UP FOR IT Jul18 Jun12 May18 Jan19 Dec21 (matz michael )TOLEDO JEVIAN 122 20.00    
 
CNL-8   08/13/2024 5280ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($16K) Purse ($34.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DIABLO DADDY Jul25 Jun22 Jun09 Oct26 Sep09 (zook w)ASHTON GAVIN 123 6.00    
2  EL GUAPO Jul25 Feb10 Jan21 Dec27 Dec01 (munoz carlos)JIMENEZ MANNY 123 30.00 5% 19.00    
3  RETURN FIRE Jul07 Jun20 Jun07 May25 May03 (sanchez-salom)SILVERA RUBEN 118 10.00    
4  WHERE'S CHARLIE Jul18 Jul11 Jun05 May13 Aug05 (desormeaux kei)RIQUELME J 120 8.00 14% 6.30    
5  BALI ROLLING TIDE Jul25 Jun26 Jun14 May18 Mar30 (werneth rober)FUENTES MARIO 123 30.00    
SCR  CECIL THE GREAT Jun01 Apr20 Mar08 Feb01 Jan04 (clement rola)CASIQUE UBARDO 123 20.00    
7  ADMIRAL'S WAVE Jul27 Jun08 May23 May03 Apr14 (mcgoey monica)KARAMANOS A 123 1.50 60% 0.70    
8  MY SANCTUARY Jul11 Jun20 May25 Apr28 Feb09 (stidham michael)CURTIS BEN 125 3.00 ★    
9  LONELY RIDE Jul05 Jun22 Jun08 Jan21   (ryan derek)SANCHEZ J 118 5.00    
 
CNL-9   08/13/2024 5610ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($60K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BEE PLUS Dec23 Dec07       (crichton rohan)JARAMILLO E 118 4.50 7% 12.70    
  (by BEE JERSEY out of MONGOLIAN SONG by PAYNTER)
SCR  HALLELUJAH HARRIS Jul18 Jun16 May30 Aug05 Jun30 (kelly blake)SILVERA RUBEN 118 12.00    
  (by TEXAS RED out of SWANKY JAS by FLAT OUT)
3  NEON NIGHTS Jun30         (blair jordan)CONNER TYLER 118 15.00    
  (by TAKE CHARGE INDY out of MEADOW ROSE by GHOSTZAPPER)
4  WAXING MOON         (mcgaughey)CHEMINAUD VINCENT 118 10.00    
  (by CANDY RIDE out of LUNAR EVENING by MALIBU MOON)
5  SPIN IT May18 Apr14       (devaux che)SANCHEZ J 118 6.00 ★    
  (by HARD SPUN out of TRY YOUR LUCK by TELLA FIB)
SCR  AFT Aug10         (boucher lilith)RIQUELME J 118 30.00    
  (by ASTERN out of MEDICINE BUTTE by OLD FASHIONED)
7  SMART UNCLE Oct13 Jul28 Jun11 May25   (fisher r)BOYCE FOREST 124 8.00 18% 4.50    
  (by UNCLE MO out of SMART TOGETHER by SMART STRIKE)
8  PACE YOURSELF Jun16         (tomlinson mic)KARAMANOS A 118 12.00    
  (by MENDELSSOHN out of WAR CLAN by WAR FRONT)
9  VARVATOS Jun30         (devaux cherie)ROCCO S 118 20.00 5% 19.00    
  (by MEDAGLIA D'ORO out of RIVER MAID by WHERE'S THE RING)
10  MANDATORY MEETING Nov25 Oct12 Sep02     (blair jordan)ASHTON GAVIN 118 10.00    
  (by LOOKIN AT LUCKY out of BITTY KITTY by KITTEN'S JOY)
11  FALL LINE         (clement christop)CURTIS BEN 118 6.00    
  (by DIVISIDERO out of ELUSIVE SUGAR by ELUSIVE QUALITY)
12  OSKAR MARTINEZ (IRE) Jun29 Apr07 Feb18     (delacour )CARRASCO R 124 3.50 47% 1.10    
  (by HAVANA GOLD out of AFLAME by SMOKESTER)
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.