Handicappers' Race Results
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The Longshot Hunter!
Presque Isle Downs
Tuesday - July 16, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bet Results
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
PID-3   WIN (3/1/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00  2 $15.40 $9.40 157%
    EXA (3/1/2)-(3/1/2) 6 $2.00 $12.00  2-3 $75.60 $63.60 530%
PID-5   WIN (5/4/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00  4 $7.00 $1.00 17%
PID-6   WIN (8/5/6/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00  8 $12.00 $4.00 50%
    DD (5/4/1)-(8/5/6/2) 12 $2.00 $24.00  4-8 $37.20 $13.20 55%
PID-7   WIN (6/3/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00  3 $14.20 $8.20 137%
    DD (8/5/6/2)-(6/3/2) 12 $2.00 $24.00  8-3 $62.20 $38.20 159%
    PK3 (5/4/1)-(8/5/6/2)-(6/3/2) 36 $2.00 $72.00  4-8-3 $307.80 $235.80 328%
PID-8   DD (6/3/2)-(8/6/7/5) 12 $2.00 $24.00  3-7 $25.80 $1.80 8%
    PK3 (8/5/6/2)-(6/3/2)-(8/6/7/5) 48 $2.00 $96.00  8-3-7 $186.80 $90.80 95%
    PK4 (5/4/1)-(8/5/6/2)-(6/3/2)-(8/6/7/5) 144 $2.00 $288  4-8-3-7 $519.80 $231.80 80%
Simulator Race results
 
PID-1   07/16/2024 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:00
See original race card.
:222 :453 :581     1:044   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
2  OSBIN 2 3 1nk 2nk   2nk 12¼ (wilson b)FOX CHRIS 122 12.00 8.50  
5  YEAH TAKE THAT 5 4 55¼ 55   54 22¼ (brooks e)BAYS BROOKE 111 10.00 ★ 7.30 P
3  DISCO CENTS 3 1 2nk 1nk   1nk 32¾ (fennessy john)WALKER M 122 3.00 15% 5.90 1.20 S
4  REBEL WARRIOR 4 5 42¾ 42½   43½ 43½ (fennessy john)DELGADO DAVID 118 6.00 8.70  
1  TRUSTME IAMADOCTOR 1 2 32½ 31½   32½ 53¾ (trombetta mi)AYALA J 124 1.60 40% 1.50 1.30  
SCR  BAKERS PRIDE               (davis scoo)MONTANEZ ROSARIO 120 2.00    
 
PID-2   07/16/2024 5490ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($7.5K) Purse ($13K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:27
See original race card.
:243 :484 1:132 1:40   1:44   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BOOKER'S CHARM 1 6 66 65¾ 65 4¼ 13¼ (beattie todd )ROJAS MARTINA 120 15.00 28.90  
5  TIMO 4 4 53 52¾ 31 1nk 23¼ (herrington c)TAPARA BRANDON 124 5.00 28% 2.60 5.10 P
3  BLUE SOLDIER 3 5 2½ 2nk 1nk 3.2 34½ (monserrate )CAMILO D 124 4.00 17% 4.80 3.90 S
7  WHISKEY OR WINE 6 3 43 32 42 51¼ 45¼ (rice kevin)LOPEZ DERECK 113 2.50 28% 2.60 1.60  
8  MAGNUS EFFECT 7 1 1½ 1nk 2nk 2nk 57¼ (gonzalez aldana)SPIETH S 120 3.50 2.30  
2  MR. YASUDA 2 7 77½ 77¼ 77 75½ 616½ (schaber debb)AYALA J 124 15.00 23.60  
6  TALE OF THE DRAGON 5 2 32½ 42½ 54½ 65¼ 717¼ (ruberto louis)WALKER M 120 10.00 5% 19.00 10.30  
SCR  LUCIOS ZORAN               (buhrow d)ALLEN D 124 4.50    
 
PID-3   07/16/2024 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($13.5K) Purse ($19K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:54
See original race card.
:234 :462 1:111 1:243   1:381   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
2  BOURBON BLAST 2 3 49½ 313½ 38½ 34 1nk (stokes l)RODRIGUEZ O 122 4.50 5% 19.00 6.70 W
3  WILD DELIGHT 3 2 15 18½ 14 12 2nk (rogers mich)ROJAS MARTINA 122 2.50 43% 1.30 3.40 P
5  STARSHIP BELMONT 5 1 25 28½ 24 22 32¾ (walsh colleen)MORALES PABLO 122 4.00 2.80  
4  SHE'S A BOSSY GIRL 4 5 511 515 49½ 45½ 44 (vitali marcu)AYALA J 122 3.00 3.10  
1  HARLAN'S LEGACY 1 4 39 414 59½ 55½ 54¾ (sanchez )MARTINEZ A 122 2.00 31% 2.20 1.80  
 
PID-4   07/16/2024 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($13K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:21
See original race card.
:223 :453 1:104     1:173   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
4  UP FOR THE CHANCE 4 6 53½ 42¼   1½ 12½ (fennessy john)MORALES PABLO 122 2.50 3.00  
2  YANKEE HUMOR 2 3 21 1nk   2½ 22½ (vitali m)MARTINEZ A 122 4.50 11% 8.20 2.30 P
3  TRAVELLER 3 5 43½ 53¾   32 32¾ (depasquale kimbe)MARTINEZ W 122 2.00 66% 0.50 2.80 S
7  RISEN SAVIOR 7 2 64½ 64¾   64 47¾ (depasquale ki)ROJAS MARTINA 122 8.00 5% 19.00 18.60  
5  DISASTER RECOVERY 5 4 32½ 32   42½ 59¾ (ruberto )GALLARDO A 122 5.00 ★ 2.90  
1  THREE O ONE 1 7 77 77¼   76½ 610 (rice kevin)AYALA J 122 8.00 14.20  
6  MINELLA 6 1 11 2nk   52½ 711½ (schneider kim)STANLEY O 122 10.00 35.40  
 
PID-5   07/16/2024 5490ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($25K) Purse ($21K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:48
See original race card.
:251 :491 1:131 1:371   1:411   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
4  CLARESTOWN 4 1 11½ 11½ 11 12½ 15 (davis scooter)MARTINEZ W 122 2.50 21% 3.80 2.50 W
3  YOUMUSTBEA WEASLEY 3 6 54 43 31 22½ 25 (rice kevin)LOPEZ DERECK 115 5.00 9.20  
1  CAMINO DE SANTIAGO 1 5 64½ 64 51¾ 44 37 (ruberto )RODRIGUEZ O 122 6.00 5% 19.00 5.10 S
6  PARTNER TOURS 6 3 42½ 53½ 41½ 34 48¾ (fennessy john)ALLEN M 122 10.00 12.20  
2  FACE DOWN 2 2 21½ 21½ 21 54½ 512½ (girten t)MARTINEZ A 122 3.50 1.90  
5  REINVEST 5 4 31½ 32 63¾ 68 620 (hamm timothy)MORALES PABLO 122 1.80 45% 1.20 3.00  
 
PID-6   07/16/2024 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($15K) Purse ($15K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:15
See original race card.
:23 :464 :59     1:113   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
8  LAST GLIMMER 8 1 21 2nk   1½ 1¾ (hayes leland)MORALES PABLO 124 1.80 34% 1.90 5.00 W
1  CUPID MISSED 1 6 52¾ 52½   32 2¾ (potts g)VILLA-GOMEZ H 120 5.00 4.70  
6  R PENELOPE 6 2 11 1nk   2½ 36½ (rojas eduardo)ROJAS MARTINA 124 3.00 13% 6.60 4.40 S
4  SWEET LILIBET 4 3 31 31½   43½ 47¼ (walsh co)GALLARDO A 120 5.00 0.90  
5  SISTER EVE 5 5 42½ 42   54½ 57¾ (girten t)MARTINEZ A 120 4.00 27% 2.70 10.20  
2  SUNSET VIBES 2 8 63¼ 63½   64½ 69½ (valdez moise)AYALA J 120 12.00 5% 19.00 33.90  
3  FRANKIE'S ROSE 3 7 84¾ 86   88 713 (metivier richa)ALLEN D 120 15.00 31.60  
7  JANES HOPE 7 4 73¼ 74½   77 813¼ (mckinley r)FOX CHRIS 124 20.00 72.30  
 
PID-7   07/16/2024 5490ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($40K) Purse ($34K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:42
See original race card.
:254 :502 1:141 1:38   1:414   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
3  TOOLCAT 3 1 21 2½ 2½ 1nk 1¼ (potts g)MORALES PABLO 122 6.00 23% 3.30 6.10 W
5  TIME FOR AN ANGEL 5 4 42 42 31½ 3.2 2¼ (bourke john)STANLEY O 122 3.00 3.50  
6  INTO DISCO 6 6 63½ 63 52 52¼ 32 (mott ril)GALLARDO A 122 1.80 34% 1.90 0.60 S
2  GENEVIEVE'S Z VA 2 3 11 1½ 1½ 2nk 43¾ (carr-rozantz c)ALLEN D 122 15.00 5% 19.00 16.10  
4  RIGHT NOW 4 5 52½ 31½ 41½ 4¾ 54¾ (girten t)MARTINEZ A 122 6.00 16.30  
1  MIRANDA'S ROCKY 1 2 32 52½ 63½ 64¼ 66 (hoffman mark)WALKER M 122 3.50 8.00  
SCR  RED PIXIE               (brooks geral)AYALA J 122 5.00    
 
PID-8   07/16/2024 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:09
See original race card.
:223 :451 :564     1:031   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
7  STANHOPE 7 2 11½ 12   13 17½ (vitali marcu)AYALA J 124 6.00 13% 6.70 0.80 W
3  JUST WATCH ME NOW 3 4 52¼ 53¼   33 27½ (miller d)ALLEN D 124 3.50 15.50  
5  THE COOKIE MAN 5 8 75¼ 74¾   54¾ 38 (fennessy john)VILLA-GOMEZ H 124 15.00 5% 19.00 15.70 S
2  FUEL THE BERN 2 7 31½ 22   23 48¼ (davis scooter)MARTINEZ W 124 3.50 5.00  
1  ELUSIVE MISCHIEF 1 6 63¼ 63¼   64¾ 59¼ (dickey k)RODRIGUEZ O 124 4.00 5.20  
6  UNCLE EARL 6 1 21½ 32   44½ 611 (bernard)DOMINGUEZ EDILBERTO 124 8.00 21% 3.80 14.30  
8  SWITHER'S SHORTCUT 8 3 85¼ 85¾   86¾ 712¼ (fennessy john)ALLEN M 124 3.00 29% 2.40 8.40  
4  BLACK CANDY 4 5 42 43   75¼ 812¼ (antus lawrenc)WALKER M 124 12.00 25.60  
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

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