Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Presque Isle Downs
Tuesday - July 16, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
PID-1   WIN (1/3) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (1/3)-(1/3/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    TRI (1/3)-(1/3/5)-(1/3/5) 4 $0.50 $2.00 
    DD (1/3)-(7/5/3/6) 8 $2.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (1/3)-(7/5/3/6)-(3/1/2) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
PID-2   WIN (7/5/3/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (7/5/3/6)-(7/5/3/6) 12 $2.00 $24.00 
    TRI (7/5/3/6)-(7/5/3/6)-(7/5/3/6) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (7/5/3/6)-(3/1/2) 12 $2.00 $24.00 
    PK3 (7/5/3/6)-(3/1/2)-(3/2/7) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
PID-3   WIN (3/1/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/1/2)-(3/1/2) 6 $2.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/1/2)-(3/1/2)-(3/1/2) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (3/1/2)-(3/2/7) 9 $2.00 $18.00 
    PK3 (3/1/2)-(3/2/7)-(5/4/1) 27 $1.00 $27.00 
PID-4   WIN (3/2/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/2/7)-(3/2/5/7) 9 $2.00 $18.00 
    TRI (3/2/7)-(3/2/5/7)-(3/2/5/7) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (3/2/7)-(5/4/1) 9 $2.00 $18.00 
    PK3 (3/2/7)-(5/4/1)-(8/5/6/2) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
PID-5   WIN (5/4/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/4/1)-(5/4/1) 6 $2.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/4/1)-(5/4/1)-(5/4/1) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (5/4/1)-(8/5/6/2) 12 $2.00 $24.00 
    PK3 (5/4/1)-(8/5/6/2)-(6/3/2) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
PID-6   WIN (8/5/6/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (8/5/6/2)-(8/5/6/2) 12 $2.00 $24.00 
    TRI (8/5/6/2)-(8/5/6/2)-(8/5/6/2) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (8/5/6/2)-(6/3/2) 12 $2.00 $24.00 
    PK3 (8/5/6/2)-(6/3/2)-(8/6/7/5) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
PID-7   WIN (6/3/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/3/2)-(6/3/2) 6 $2.00 $12.00 
    TRI (6/3/2)-(6/3/2)-(6/3/2) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (6/3/2)-(8/6/7/5) 12 $2.00 $24.00 
PID-8   WIN (8/6/7/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (8/6/7/5)-(8/6/7/5) 12 $2.00 $24.00 
    TRI (8/6/7/5)-(8/6/7/5)-(8/6/7/5) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
PID-1   07/16/2024 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  TRUSTME IAMADOCTOR Jul04 Jun18 May22 Jan11 Dec07 (trombetta mi)AYALA J 124 1.60 40% 1.50    
2  OSBIN Nov06 Oct04 Sep25 Sep05 Aug16 (wilson b)FOX CHRIS 122 12.00    
3  DISCO CENTS Jul09 Jun04 May22 Sep06 Aug21 (fennessy john)WALKER M 122 3.00 15% 5.90    
4  REBEL WARRIOR Apr18 Mar21 Mar08 Feb16 Jan27 (fennessy john)DELGADO DAVID 118 6.00    
5  YEAH TAKE THAT Jun04 Nov16 Oct29 Aug16 Jul19 (brooks e)BAYS BROOKE 111 10.00 ★    
SCR  BAKERS PRIDE Jun18         (davis scoo)MONTANEZ ROSARIO 120 2.00    
 
PID-2   07/16/2024 5490ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($7.5K) Purse ($13K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:27
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BOOKER'S CHARM Jun25 Jun18 May31 May09   (beattie todd )ROJAS MARTINA 120 15.00    
2  MR. YASUDA Jul02 Jun18 May22 Dec06 Nov21 (schaber debb)AYALA J 124 15.00    
3  BLUE SOLDIER Jun18 May29 Feb16 Jan01 Dec10 (monserrate )CAMILO D 124 4.00 17% 4.80    
SCR  LUCIOS ZORAN Jul02 Jun18 Oct02 Jun22 Jun01 (buhrow d)ALLEN D 124 4.50    
5  TIMO Jun16 May29 May12 Apr05 Feb28 (herrington c)TAPARA BRANDON 124 5.00 28% 2.60    
6  TALE OF THE DRAGON Jul01 Oct24 Oct10 Sep05 Aug23 (ruberto louis)WALKER M 120 10.00 5% 19.00    
7  WHISKEY OR WINE Jul02 Jun10 Apr20     (rice kevin)LOPEZ DERECK 113 2.50 28% 2.60    
8  MAGNUS EFFECT Jul02 Jun18 May29 Apr26 Apr12 (gonzalez aldana)SPIETH S 120 3.50    
 
PID-3   07/16/2024 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($13.5K) Purse ($19K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:54
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  HARLAN'S LEGACY Jun06 May12 Apr20 Mar23 Feb24 (sanchez )MARTINEZ A 122 2.00 31% 2.20    
2  BOURBON BLAST Jul02 Jun11 Aug30 Aug15 Aug01 (stokes l)RODRIGUEZ O 122 4.50 5% 19.00    
3  WILD DELIGHT Jul04 May27 Nov02 Sep11 Aug16 (rogers mich)ROJAS MARTINA 122 2.50 43% 1.30    
4  SHE'S A BOSSY GIRL Jun04 Apr11 Mar25 Mar04 Feb06 (vitali marcu)AYALA J 122 3.00    
5  STARSHIP BELMONT Jul08 Jun08 Mar22 Mar02 Feb10 (walsh colleen)MORALES PABLO 122 4.00    
 
PID-4   07/16/2024 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($13K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:21
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  THREE O ONE Jul09 Jun10 May22 Feb17 Jan20 (rice kevin)AYALA J 122 8.00    
2  YANKEE HUMOR Jul01 Apr22 Apr02 Dec07 Oct18 (vitali m)MARTINEZ A 122 4.50 11% 8.20    
3  TRAVELLER Jul03 Jun17 May28 Jul25 Jun30 (depasquale kimbe)MARTINEZ W 122 2.00 66% 0.50    
4  UP FOR THE CHANCE Jun25 Jun10 May22 Oct25 Oct11 (fennessy john)MORALES PABLO 122 2.50    
5  DISASTER RECOVERY Dec01 Oct24 Oct17 Oct04 Sep19 (ruberto )GALLARDO A 122 5.00 ★    
6  MINELLA Jun11 May26 May06 Jun24 Jun03 (schneider kim)GONZALEZ ALEX 122 10.00    
7  RISEN SAVIOR Jul03 Jun10 May22 Jul25 Jul03 (depasquale ki)ROJAS MARTINA 122 8.00 5% 19.00    
 
PID-5   07/16/2024 5490ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($25K) Purse ($21K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:48
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CAMINO DE SANTIAGO Jun24 Jun12 May28 Apr13 Mar16 (ruberto )RODRIGUEZ O 122 6.00 5% 19.00    
2  FACE DOWN Jun04 May20 Oct17 Aug23 Aug09 (girten t)MARTINEZ A 122 3.50    
3  YOUMUSTBEA WEASLEY Jul01 Jun03 May20 Apr07 Oct26 (rice kevin)LOPEZ DERECK 115 5.00    
4  CLARESTOWN May10 Apr12 Mar08 Feb16 Dec07 (davis scooter)MARTINEZ W 122 2.50 21% 3.80    
5  REINVEST Jun18 May28 Apr10 Feb21 Jan10 (hamm timothy)MORALES PABLO 122 1.80 45% 1.20    
6  PARTNER TOURS Jul09 Jun17 May27 May20 Oct20 (fennessy john)ALLEN M 122 10.00    
 
PID-6   07/16/2024 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($15K) Purse ($15K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CUPID MISSED Jun26 Jun03 May20 Sep21 Sep05 (potts g)VILLA-GOMEZ H 120 5.00    
2  SUNSET VIBES Jul10 Jun25 May27     (valdez moise)AYALA J 120 12.00 5% 19.00    
3  FRANKIE'S ROSE May29 Apr14 Mar15 Feb19   (metivier richa)ALLEN D 120 15.00    
4  SWEET LILIBET Jun19 May20 Apr13 Mar27 Feb28 (walsh co)GALLARDO A 120 5.00    
5  SISTER EVE Jul04 Jun17 May27     (girten t)MARTINEZ A 120 4.00 27% 2.70    
6  R PENELOPE Jun17 May27 Jul26     (rojas eduardo)ROJAS MARTINA 124 3.00 13% 6.60    
7  JANES HOPE Oct25 Oct10 Sep20 Aug22 Apr09 (mckinley r)FOX CHRIS 124 20.00    
8  LAST GLIMMER Jul10 Jun25 Jun10 May20 Nov19 (hayes leland)MORALES PABLO 124 1.80 34% 1.90    
 
PID-7   07/16/2024 5490ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($40K) Purse ($34K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:42
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MIRANDA'S ROCKY Jun25 Mar17 Jan28 Jan07 Dec15 (hoffman mark)GONZALEZ ALEX 122 3.50    
2  GENEVIEVE'S Z VA Jun25 Jun12 Oct24 Oct12 Sep18 (carr-rozantz c)ALLEN D 122 15.00 5% 19.00    
3  TOOLCAT Jul02 Jun10 Dec15 Nov24 Oct24 (potts g)MORALES PABLO 122 6.00 23% 3.30    
4  RIGHT NOW Jun25 Jun03 May27 Apr26 Mar27 (girten t)MARTINEZ A 122 6.00    
5  TIME FOR AN ANGEL Jun25 Jun06 May04 Dec23 Dec07 (bourke john)STANLEY O 122 3.00    
6  INTO DISCO May29 May03 Apr04 Mar08 Feb04 (mott ril)GALLARDO A 122 1.80 34% 1.90    
SCR  RED PIXIE Jul04 Jun25 Jun04 Dec02 Nov10 (brooks geral)AYALA J 122 5.00    
 
PID-8   07/16/2024 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:09
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ELUSIVE MISCHIEF Jun18 Jun03 Jan24 Jan05 Oct27 (dickey k)RODRIGUEZ O 124 4.00    
2  FUEL THE BERN Jun18 Feb17 Dec16 Oct09 Sep28 (davis scooter)MARTINEZ W 124 3.50    
3  JUST WATCH ME NOW Jul02 Jun12 May28 Oct04 Sep20 (miller d)ALLEN D 124 3.50    
4  BLACK CANDY Dec14 Nov25 Nov06 Oct28 Oct11 (antus lawrenc)WALKER M 124 12.00    
5  THE COOKIE MAN Jul01 May28 Dec13 Dec06 Nov12 (fennessy john)VILLA-GOMEZ H 124 15.00 5% 19.00    
6  UNCLE EARL Jun26 May27 Apr10 Mar18 Mar04 (bernard)DOMINGUEZ EDILBERTO 124 8.00 21% 3.80    
7  STANHOPE Jul02 Nov24 Oct16 Sep15 Aug30 (vitali marcu)AYALA J 124 6.00 13% 6.70    
8  SWITHER'S SHORTCUT Jul01 Nov08 Oct31 Oct18 Oct08 (fennessy john)ALLEN M 124 3.00 29% 2.40    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.