The Thoroughbred Racing
Simulator
Handicappers' Race Results

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Turf Paradise
Monday - March 04, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss

TUP-2   Win (5/2) 2 $2.00 $4.00 3 1 0 $4.60 -4.00
TUP-3   Win (3/5) 2 $2.00 $4.00 5 1 1 $5.60 $5.60 1.60
TUP-4   Win (3/4/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 3 1 1 $3.60 $3.60 -2.40
TUP-5   Win (3/1) 2 $2.00 $4.00 2 1 0 $4.00 -4.00
TUP-6   Win (2/1/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 1 1 1 $9.00 $9.00 3.00
TUP-7   Win (2/6/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 2 1 1 $2.20 $2.20 -3.80
TUP-8   Win (1/6/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 6 1 1 $6.40 $6.40 0.40

Simulator Race results

 
TUP-2   03/04/2024 4290ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($8.5K) Purse ($16.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:25
See original race card.
:224 :452 1:094     1:161   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CURLY ESA 3 5 42 3   1½ 1(silva l)PENA BRYAN 122 2.50 1.30  
CONRADO 4 1 2½ 2nk   2½ 2(vitali j)LOPEZ KARLO 122 1.80 1.10  
I'M NOBLE 1 4 1½ 1nk   31 3(person a)CRUZ M 122 3.50 9.80  
ESPE'S GUY 5 2 31 42   43 4(eikleberry kevi)ARBOLEDA ALDO 122 4.50 41% 1.50 5.20  
GREENBRIER 2 3 5 5   53 510½ (hone bart)CORBETT W 122 3.00 17% 5.00 8.80  
 
TUP-3   03/04/2024 5280ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($8.5K) Purse ($16.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:54
See original race card.
:234 :471 1:122 1:262   1:393   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SHE'S A BOSSY GIRL 4 2 32 3 1nk 1½ 1(vitali j)LOPEZ KARLO 122 6.00 6% 14.80 1.80 W
BIG JOLT 2 1 2 21 2nk 2½ 2(chambers mike)RADKE K 122 3.00 46% 1.20 1.90 P
PANCAKES AND BEER 1 4 43 42 44 4314 (grissom w)MAWING A 122 8.00 6.00  
BEA MISCHIEF 3 3 1 11 3 3418¼ (silva jr)ARBOLEDA ALDO 122 3.50 1.30  
SCR  DUST MAKER               (tamayo isidro)PENA BRYAN 122 0.80    
 
TUP-4   03/04/2024 4290ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($4.5K) Purse ($13.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:22
See original race card.
:224 :453 1:101     1:162   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LOUDMOUTHSOUP 3 4 4 2   214 (diodoro r)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 122 2.00 47% 1.10 0.80 W
BEAU MISCHIEF 4 5 6 4   424 (bean a)RADKE K 122 5.00 23% 3.30 3.80 P
BAYOU CHROME 2 6 53 32   33 3(evans justin)NEGRON LUIS 122 2.50 2.90  
TEAGANS ATM 5 1 1½ 1   14(tamayo isidro)CRUZ M 122 6.00 13.80  
HUNTER JUMPER 7 2 3 5   56 5(wolf ashlee)PENA BRYAN 122 12.00 17.50  
PRINCE OTTO 1 7 7 7   611 610¼ (esquibel mark)LULL E 122 4.50 8.90  
IMPASSIONED CLAIM 6 3 2½ 6   714 717¼ (whitehouse w)MONTANEZ ROSARIO 122 10.00 5% 19.00 29.10  
 
TUP-5   03/04/2024 3960ft DIRT FAST Maiden Claimer ($8.5K) Purse ($15K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:50
See original race card.
:231 :46 :581     1:11   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BLUEGRASS RYDER 2 5 5 2nk   2½ 1¾ (perren a)CORBETT W 124 1.80 1.00  
RANGER JOE 5 2 1nk 1nk   1½ 2¾ (belvoir vann)ESPINOZA ASSAEL 124 3.50 5.40  
DELTA DELTA 3 4 4 5   32 3(toye joe)RADKE K 124 4.50 38% 1.60 2.60 S
STREETLIGHT PEOPLE 4 3 31 3.2   44 48 (silva pablo)PENA BRYAN 124 2.50 2.80  
STREET MINISTER 6 1 2nk 4¼   56 516 (bean a)MCGREGOR KIAMAN 124 8.00 27.20  
POBRECITO 1 6 6100 6100   6100 6100 (barraza rafae)MORALES ROBERTO 124 6.00 12% 7.30 15.70  
 
TUP-6   03/04/2024 5280ft DIRT FAST Mdn Opt Clm ($30K) Purse ($30K) 3 F PT- 5:18
See original race card.
:232 :474 1:123 1:261   1:402   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LADY MARY LOU 1 6 43 42 4 21(campo stacy)PENA BRYAN 121 6.00 29% 2.40 3.50 W
ETHAN'S GIRL 5 2 2½ 2nk 11 12(essex charles)CRUZ M 121 6.00 5% 19.00 5.20 P
SAILING AWAY 2 3 1½ 1nk 3 44 3(diodoro r)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 121 2.50 42% 1.40 1.30 S
LUPITA 3 5 65 6 66 54(silv)DA FAUSTO 121 5.00 5.20  
CLUBHOUSE DRAMA 6 1 32 3 21 32 5(lucarelli frank)ENRIQUEZ D 121 3.50 3.00  
GETAWAY DAY 4 4 5 54 55 6612½ (eikleberry k)MONTANEZ ROSARIO 121 5.00 21.40  
SCR  PRETTYWITTYANDWISE               (eikleberry kevin)CORBETT W 121 4.00    
 
TUP-7   03/04/2024 5280ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($17K) 4UP ALL PT- 5:46
See original race card.
:241 :473 1:114 1:243   1:371   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SUBSIDIZE 2 1 1½ 1½ 1 16 1(evans justin)ESPINOZA ASSAEL 124 1.00 55% 0.80 0.10 W
BEL RAGAZZO 4 3 5 5 3 26 2(kereluk edw)VALENZUELA A 124 4.50 10.50  
MONGOLIAN MOON 5 4 3 3 45 36 310½ (tubbs scott)RADKE K 124 3.50 11% 8.00 6.00 S
MY CALL 3 2 2½ 2½ 2 48 417¾ (dominguez a)KELLENBERGER KODY 124 12.00 37.20  
MY DAD IS THIRSTY 1 5 4 4 5 511½ 521 (villamar candelari)PENA BRYAN 124 6.00 5% 19.00 8.80  
SCR  SMOOTH PAPA               (fearon johnat)MCGREGOR KIAMAN 124 10.00    
 
TUP-8   03/04/2024 4290ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($8.5K) Purse ($16.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:14
See original race card.
:222 :443 1:091     1:16   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
HIGH GUNNER 6 2 3 33   24 1½ (belvoir vann)LOPEZ KARLO 122 4.00 7% 13.50 2.20 W
COCKTAIL PRINCESS 5 1 21 12   14 2½ (evans justin)NEGRON LUIS 124 2.50 1.10  
KO OLINA 1 3 11 22   3310½ (mendez luis)VALENZUELA A 122 2.00 67% 0.50 3.00 S
HERSABIGGIRL 2 5 44 4   410 411 (chambers mike)CORBETT W 122 3.00 7.70  
TRULY A MESS 4 4 54 5   512 517¾ (whitehouse r)LULL E 122 5.00 5% 19.00 8.40  
FOREST ACCLAMATION 3 6 65 6   619 628¼ (fearon johnat)MCGREGOR KIAMAN 122 15.00 48.40  
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.