Handicappers' Racing Form

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Turf Paradise
Monday - March 04, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss

TUP-2   Win (5/2) 2 $2.00 $4.00
TUP-3   Win (3/5) 2 $2.00 $4.00
TUP-4   Win (3/4/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00
TUP-5   Win (3/1) 2 $2.00 $4.00
TUP-6   Win (2/1/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00
TUP-7   Win (2/6/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00
TUP-8   Win (1/6/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

 
TUP-2   03/04/2024 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($8.5K) Purse ($16.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:25
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
I'M NOBLE Jan29 Oct29 Oct13 Sep23 Sep04 (person a)CRUZ M 122 3.50    
GREENBRIER Jan29 Jan11 Dec20 Dec04 Nov14 (hone bart)CORBETT W 122 3.00 17% 5.00    
CURLY ESA Feb22 Feb06 Jan26 Dec30 Oct07 (silva l)PENA BRYAN 122 2.50    
CONRADO Feb15 Jan29 Dec14 Sep26 Aug28 (vitali j)LOPEZ KARLO 122 1.80    
ESPE'S GUY Jan29 Dec05 Nov14 Sep24 Sep09 (eikleberry kevi)ARBOLEDA ALDO 122 4.50 41% 1.50    
 
TUP-3   03/04/2024 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($8.5K) Purse ($16.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:54
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
PANCAKES AND BEER Feb20 May01 Apr19 Apr08 Feb15 (grissom w)MAWING A 122 8.00    
SCR  DUST MAKER Feb16 Jan07 Dec03 Nov12 Sep30 (tamayo isidro)PENA BRYAN 122 0.80    
BIG JOLT Nov25 Oct29 Sep09 Aug05 Jun30 (chambers mike)RADKE K 122 3.00 46% 1.20    
BEA MISCHIEF Feb15 Nov25 Nov05 Oct22 Aug26 (silva jr)ARBOLEDA ALDO 122 3.50    
SHE'S A BOSSY GIRL Feb06 Jan04 Oct02 Aug18 Jul26 (vitali j)LOPEZ KARLO 122 6.00 6% 14.80    
 
TUP-4   03/04/2024 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4.5K) Purse ($13.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:22
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
PRINCE OTTO Feb20 Oct22 Oct07 Sep30 Sep03 (esquibel mark)LULL E 122 4.50    
BAYOU CHROME Dec30 Dec16 Nov29 Nov02 Oct10 (evans justin)NEGRON LUIS 122 2.50    
LOUDMOUTHSOUP Nov14 Mar11 Feb18 Jan29 Dec21 (diodoro r)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 122 2.00 47% 1.10    
BEAU MISCHIEF Oct08 Sep03 Aug18 Jul15 Jun25 (bean a)RADKE K 122 5.00 23% 3.30    
TEAGANS ATM Jan13 Nov10 Oct29 Oct06 Sep18 (tamayo isidro)CRUZ M 122 6.00    
IMPASSIONED CLAIM Feb20 Jan31 Oct13 Aug26 Jul31 (whitehouse w)MONTANEZ ROSARIO 122 10.00 5% 19.00    
HUNTER JUMPER Nov05 Oct10 Sep06 Aug21 Jun19 (wolf ashlee)PENA BRYAN 122 12.00    
 
TUP-5   03/04/2024 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($8.5K) Purse ($15K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:50
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
POBRECITO         (barraza rafae)MORALES ROBERTO 124 6.00 12% 7.30    
BLUEGRASS RYDER Feb13 Jan21 Dec30 Dec08 Nov12 (perren a)AYUSO ARMANDO 124 1.80    
DELTA DELTA Feb19 Dec07 Nov18 Mar30 Jul02 (toye joe)RADKE K 124 4.50 38% 1.60    
STREETLIGHT PEOPLE Feb19 Jan21 Dec17     (silva pablo)PENA BRYAN 124 2.50    
RANGER JOE Feb13 Jan26 Nov24 Oct27 Sep15 (belvoir vann)ESPINOZA ASSAEL 124 3.50    
STREET MINISTER         (bean a)MCGREGOR KIAMAN 124 8.00    
 
TUP-6   03/04/2024 5280ft DIRT RC2 FAST Mdn Opt Clm ($30K) Purse ($30K) 3 F PT- 5:18
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LADY MARY LOU         (campo stacy)PENA BRYAN 121 6.00 29% 2.40    
SAILING AWAY Feb06 Dec01 Nov10     (diodoro r)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 121 2.50 42% 1.40    
SCR  PRETTYWITTYANDWISE Jan29 Dec19 Nov28 Nov06 Aug28 (eikleberry kevin)CORBETT W 121 4.00    
LUPITA Feb13 Feb06 Jan29 Jan12 Dec11 (silv)DA FAUSTO 121 5.00    
GETAWAY DAY Feb06 Dec20 Nov13     (eikleberry k)MONTANEZ ROSARIO 121 5.00    
ETHAN'S GIRL Feb21 Jan13 Dec09     (essex charles)CRUZ M 121 6.00 5% 19.00    
CLUBHOUSE DRAMA Feb04 Jan13       (lucarelli frank)ENRIQUEZ D 121 3.50    
 
TUP-7   03/04/2024 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($17K) 4UP ALL PT- 5:46
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MY DAD IS THIRSTY Feb20 Feb09 Jan12 Dec29 Dec02 (villamar candelari)PENA BRYAN 124 6.00 5% 19.00    
SUBSIDIZE Feb20 Dec09 Nov12 Oct27 Sep29 (evans justin)ESPINOZA ASSAEL 124 1.00 55% 0.80    
SCR  SMOOTH PAPA Feb12 Jan31 Dec04 Nov07 Oct31 (fearon johnat)MCGREGOR KIAMAN 124 10.00    
MY CALL Feb20 Mar25 Feb22 Feb01 Sep08 (dominguez a)KELLENBERGER KODY 124 12.00    
BEL RAGAZZO Feb14 Jan13 Jan05 Nov12 Nov04 (kereluk edw)VALENZUELA A 124 4.50    
MONGOLIAN MOON Feb14 Jan30 Jan13 Jan06 Sep17 (tubbs scott)RADKE K 124 3.50 11% 8.00    
 
TUP-8   03/04/2024 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($8.5K) Purse ($16.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:14
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
KO OLINA Dec15 Oct27 Oct15 Sep01 Jul28 (mendez luis)VALENZUELA A 122 2.00 67% 0.50    
HERSABIGGIRL Jan28 Jan07 Nov10 Sep09 Aug05 (chambers mike)CORBETT W 122 3.00    
FOREST ACCLAMATION Dec10 Nov20 Nov08 Oct29 Oct17 (fearon johnat)MCGREGOR KIAMAN 122 15.00    
TRULY A MESS Feb06 Aug06 Jul23 Jul03 Jun18 (whitehouse r)LULL E 122 5.00 5% 19.00    
COCKTAIL PRINCESS Feb20 Jan05 Nov24 Dec11 Nov05 (evans justin)NEGRON LUIS 124 2.50    
HIGH GUNNER Feb06 Dec05 Nov20 Oct08 Aug27 (belvoir vann)LOPEZ KARLO 122 4.00 7% 13.50    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.