The Thoroughbred Racing
Simulator
Handicappers' Race Results

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Turf Paradise
Wednesday - February 21, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss

TUP-3   Win (4/6/3/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 4 1 1 $4.80 $4.80 -3.20
TUP-4   Win (6/3/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 1 1 0 $23.40 -6.00
TUP-5   Win (6/2/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 2 1 1 $4.40 $4.40 -1.60
TUP-6   Win (7/4/3/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 5 1 0 $35.20 -8.00
TUP-7   Win (3/5/1/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 5 1 1 $10.00 $10.00 2.00
TUP-8   Win (6/5/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 5 1 1 $18.80 $18.80 12.80

Simulator Race results

 
TUP-3   02/21/2024 2970ft DIRT FAST Maiden Claimer ($4.5K) Purse ($12K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:51
See original race card.
:22 :461       :53   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MY ANCHOR IS HOT 4 2 25     21½ (belvoir van)VALENZUELA A 118 3.00 47% 1.20 1.40 W
ROCKSIE HARTBRAKER 3 1 15     12½ (mccartney jack)LULL E 124 5.00 9% 10.50 2.50 P
CANDIED JOULE 6 4 59     55 31 (homer jason)PENA BRYAN 124 8.00 9% 10.20 16.40 S
STORM CENT 5 3 47     45 42 (valerio raymond )BRAVO MAIKEL 118 10.00 26.70  
HARBOR'S BEAUTY 1 6 610     65(tamayo isidr)FIGUEROA CERAPIO 124 2.00 1.80  
SNOOZY SUZY 2 5 35     34 66 (torres-casas )MORALES ROBERTO 124 4.00 6.30  
SCR  ZEE PERFECT RUN               (torres-casas )MORALES ALLYSSA 124 12.00 5% 19.00    
 
TUP-4   02/21/2024 5280ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($4.5K) Purse ($13K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:19
See original race card.
:24 :472 1:12 1:243   1:38   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
EL CAPRICHO 1 1 1 11 1 13 12 (dennis clif)KELLENBERGER KODY 124 6.00 10.70  
TIGER HUNTER 2 4 42 42 4 23 22 (woolley benni)ESPINOZA ASSAEL 124 4.00 2.10  
WESTERBERG 6 3 5 32 2 33(alvarez sergio)PENA BRYAN 124 1.80 41% 1.40 2.80 S
PHILBIN ROAD 3 5 3 21 3 44(silv)DA FAUSTO 124 2.00 33% 2.00 0.80  
SHADYFIED 4 2 2 5 5 57 5(barrio sergio)CRUZ M 124 8.00 30.20  
PAINTED SMOKE 5 6 610½ 616¼ 624½ 625 625¼ (diaz luis)IRONEYES R 119 12.00 5% 19.00 24.00  
 
TUP-5   02/21/2024 5280ft DIRT FAST Alw Opt Clm ($12.5K) Purse ($31.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:49
See original race card.
:24 :47 1:104 1:231   1:362   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LETTHERAINSETTLEIT 2 5 6 5 1½ 1½ 1(story chad)CORBETT W 124 2.00 28% 2.50 1.20 W
LITTLE CASINO 4 2 11 11 2½ 2½ 2(martinez este)ESPINOZA ASSAEL 122 6.00 5.40  
DUAL THREAT 3 3 53 6 35 36 3(chambers mike)RADKE K 122 4.00 2.30  
VANTAGE POINT 1 1 21 42 6 44(tamayo isidr)FIGUEROA CERAPIO 122 5.00 16% 5.20 12.50  
FAR WEST 5 4 31 31 5 58 5(silva pablo)CRUZ M 122 4.50 27.40  
IL CAPITANO (GB) 6 6 4 21 4 614 618½ (diodoro robertino)LOPEZ KARLO 122 2.50 34% 1.90 2.90  
 
TUP-6   02/21/2024 3960ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($14K) 4UP ALL PT- 5:19
See original race card.
:213 :44 :562     1:092   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MORE HONOR 5 5 5 5   33 1¾ (tate mary)PENA BRYAN 124 3.00 16.60  
SOUTH SEA 7 1 2nk 1   1nk 2¾ (rojas l)VALDES ALEXIS 124 2.00 47% 1.10 0.90 P
BIG SCOTT DADDY 3 2 3.2 2   2nk 3(barraza rafae)MORALES ROBERTO 124 10.00 5% 19.00 5.90 S
RHODIUM RUNNER 2 3 1nk 43   44(christian billy)LULL E 124 6.00 9.50  
FRANKS FIX IT 4 4 4¾ 33   55(cruz pearm)CRUZ M 124 4.00 17% 4.90 3.30  
ARIMONY 6 7 711¾ 6   668 (torres-casas)FIGUEROA CERAPIO 124 8.00 5% 19.00 6.40  
MARKSMAN ON TARGET 1 6 610¼ 7   779 (bean a)RADKE K 124 5.00 10.90  
 
TUP-7   02/21/2024 3630ft DIRT FAST Mdn Opt Clm ($30K) Purse ($30K) 3 F PT- 5:50
See original race card.
:221 :453 :581     1:043   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CAN'T WANT THAT 5 3 33 3   3.2 1½ (eikleberry kevin)CORBETT W 121 4.00 20% 4.00 4.00 W
MUSICAL DIVA 3 1 1½ 1nk   2nk 2½ (mcfarlane l)LOPEZ KARLO 121 3.50 48% 1.10 1.50 DQ↓4
ROCKY BAY RAE 2 6 711½ 58   53(lucarelli frank)RADKE K 121 5.00 15.70  
MY QUIET PLACE 7 2 2½ 2nk   1nk 42 (lucarelli frank)ENRIQUEZ D 121 4.50 1.80  
ETHAN'S GIRL 1 7 44 42   45(essex charles)CRUZ M 121 2.50 12% 7.70 3.40  
ZACANGO PRIDE 4 4 610 7   612¾ 611½ (esquibel mark)LULL E 121 10.00 65.10  
PRAIRIE MOON 6 5 5 6   717¼ 715¼ (guerra jacq)VALENZUELA A 121 6.00 5% 19.00 41.40  
 
TUP-8   02/21/2024 3300ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($4.5K) Purse ($13.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:20
See original race card.
:222 :453       :581   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DAHLIA'S DANCER 4 2 22 22   211 (barraza rafa)FIGUEROA CERAPIO 122 4.50 20% 3.90 8.40 W
CHOCOLATE FRECKLES 3 1 12 12   121 (woolley b)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 122 4.00 1.80  
BIG BELL 2 5 45 4   33(tubbs scott)CRUZ M 122 2.50 13% 6.80 2.60 S
A THOUSAND DREAMS 6 4 55 57   54(williams dewey)LULL E 122 6.00 7.00  
MISS JOANNIE 5 3 3 3   45 5(silv)DA FAUSTO 124 3.50 31% 2.20 1.70  
ROSES FOR SUZZETT 1 6 68 612½   612½ 613¼ (torres-casas )MORALES ROBERTO 122 12.00 21.50  
SCR  MARY MARGARET               (tamayo isidro)PENA BRYAN 122 5.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.