Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Turf Paradise
Wednesday - February 21, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
TUP-3   WIN (4/6/3/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (4/6/3/7)-(4/6/3/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (4/6/3/7)-(4/6/3/7)-(4/6/3/7) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (4/6/3/7)-(6/3/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (4/6/3/7)-(6/3/5)-(6/2/1) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
TUP-4   WIN (6/3/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/3/5)-(6/3/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (6/3/5)-(6/3/5)-(6/3/5) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (6/3/5)-(6/2/1) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (6/3/5)-(6/2/1)-(7/4/3/6) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
TUP-5   WIN (6/2/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/2/1)-(6/2/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (6/2/1)-(6/2/1)-(6/2/1) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (6/2/1)-(7/4/3/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (6/2/1)-(7/4/3/6)-(3/5/1/6) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
TUP-6   WIN (7/4/3/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (7/4/3/6)-(7/4/3/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (7/4/3/6)-(7/4/3/6)-(7/4/3/6) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (7/4/3/6)-(3/5/1/6) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (7/4/3/6)-(3/5/1/6)-(6/5/3) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
TUP-7   WIN (3/5/1/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/5/1/6)-(3/5/1/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/5/1/6)-(3/5/1/6)-(3/5/1/6) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (3/5/1/6)-(6/5/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
TUP-8   WIN (6/5/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/5/3)-(6/5/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (6/5/3)-(6/5/3)-(6/5/3) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
TUP-3   02/21/2024 2970ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($4.5K) Purse ($12K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:51
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  HARBOR'S BEAUTY Feb03 Jan14 Dec29 Dec01 Nov18 (tamayo isi)FIGUEROA CERAPIO 124 2.00    
2  SNOOZY SUZY Jan31 Jan05 Nov14 Oct20 Sep30 (torres-casa)MORALES ROBERTO 124 4.00    
3  ROCKSIE HARTBRAKER Apr22 Apr12 Mar28 Feb24 Feb15 (mccartney jack)LULL E 124 5.00 9% 10.50    
4  MY ANCHOR IS HOT Aug27 Jul23 Jul09 Jun17   (belvoir v)VALENZUELA A 118 3.00 47% 1.20    
5  STORM CENT Feb06 Dec20 Nov13 Oct08 Sep08 (valerio raymo)VALDES ALEXIS 118 10.00    
6  CANDIED JOULE Aug12 Jul17 May21 May07 Apr22 (homer jason)PENA BRYAN 124 8.00 9% 10.20    
SCR  ZEE PERFECT RUN Feb13 Jan28 Jan07 Dec01 Nov18 (torres-casa)MORALES ALLYSSA 124 12.00 5% 19.00    
 
TUP-4   02/21/2024 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4.5K) Purse ($13K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:19
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  EL CAPRICHO Feb13 Jan27 Nov26 Nov10 Oct30 (dennis cl)KELLENBERGER KODY 124 6.00    
2  TIGER HUNTER Nov14 Oct06 Aug26 Aug06 Jul26 (woolley ben)ESPINOZA ASSAEL 124 4.00    
3  PHILBIN ROAD Feb13 Jan30 Dec13 Nov29 Nov22 (si)DA FAUSTO 124 2.00 33% 2.00    
4  SHADYFIED Aug26 Jul16 Jul02 Apr24 Apr03 (barrio sergio)CRUZ M 124 8.00    
5  PAINTED SMOKE Feb13 Dec12 Nov07 Oct22 Oct06 (diaz luis)IRONEYES R 119 12.00 5% 19.00    
6  WESTERBERG Feb05 Nov14 Oct13 Aug12 Aug04 (alvarez sergio)PENA BRYAN 124 1.80 41% 1.40    
 
TUP-5   02/21/2024 5280ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($12.5K) Purse ($31.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:49
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  VANTAGE POINT Dec31 Dec03 Oct15 Sep23 Nov25 (tamayo isi)FIGUEROA CERAPIO 122 5.00 16% 5.20    
2  LETTHERAINSETTLEIT Feb05 Jan11 Nov21 Oct29 Oct13 (story chad)CORBETT W 124 2.00 28% 2.50    
3  DUAL THREAT Jan27 Dec30 Nov17 Oct15 Aug24 (chambers mike)RADKE K 122 4.00    
4  LITTLE CASINO Feb12 Jan21 Jan13 Nov03 Sep25 (martinez es)ESPINOZA ASSAEL 122 6.00    
5  FAR WEST Feb07 Jan19 Jan05 Nov03 Oct14 (silva pabl)CRUZ M 122 4.50    
6  IL CAPITANO (GB) Feb05 Jan13 Dec26 Dec02 Nov12 (diodoro roberti)LOPEZ KARLO 122 2.50 34% 1.90    
 
TUP-6   02/21/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($14K) 4UP ALL PT- 5:19
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MARKSMAN ON TARGET Oct13 Oct06 Sep17 Sep09 Aug19 (bean a)RADKE K 124 5.00    
2  RHODIUM RUNNER Jan25 Jan12 Oct27 Sep04 Aug13 (christian billy)LULL E 124 6.00    
3  BIG SCOTT DADDY Jan24 Jan12 Jan02 Dec13 Nov14 (barraza raf)MORALES ROBERTO 124 10.00 5% 19.00    
4  FRANKS FIX IT Jan30 Jan06 Oct06 Sep10 Aug12 (cruz pea)CRUZ M 124 4.00 17% 4.90    
5  MORE HONOR Oct25 Sep02 May06 Mar26 Mar04 (tate mary)PENA BRYAN 124 3.00    
6  ARIMONY Jan30 Jan19 Jan12 Dec19 Nov21 (torres-cas)FIGUEROA CERAPIO 124 8.00 5% 19.00    
7  SOUTH SEA Feb06 Oct16 Sep26 Sep04 Aug22 (rojas murray )VALDES ALEXIS 124 2.00 47% 1.10    
 
TUP-7   02/21/2024 3630ft DIRT RC2 FAST Mdn Opt Clm ($30K) Purse ($30K) 3 F PT- 5:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ETHAN'S GIRL Jan13 Dec09       (essex charles)CRUZ M 121 2.50 12% 7.70    
2  ROCKY BAY RAE         (lucarelli frank)RADKE K 121 5.00    
3  MUSICAL DIVA Jan29 Nov09 Oct12 Jul31   (mcfarlane l)LOPEZ KARLO 121 3.50 48% 1.10    
4  ZACANGO PRIDE Dec17 Sep02 Jul09     (esquibel mark)LULL E 121 10.00    
5  CAN'T WANT THAT Nov21 Sep23 Aug13 Jul21   (eikleberry kevi)CORBETT W 121 4.00 20% 4.00    
6  PRAIRIE MOON Jan29         (guerra ja)VALENZUELA A 121 6.00 5% 19.00    
7  MY QUIET PLACE Jan29         (lucarelli fran)ENRIQUEZ D 121 4.50    
 
TUP-8   02/21/2024 3300ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4.5K) Purse ($13.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  MARY MARGARET Feb06 Jan21 Jan06 Dec10 Nov24 (tamayo isidro)PENA BRYAN 122 5.00    
2  ROSES FOR SUZZETT Feb05 Jan12 Nov13 Oct18 Sep23 (torres-casa)MORALES ROBERTO 122 12.00    
3  BIG BELL Jun09 May27 May07 Apr09 Mar19 (tubbs scott)CRUZ M 122 2.50 13% 6.80    
4  CHOCOLATE FRECKLES Feb06 Jan12 Dec18 Nov20 Oct25 (woolley)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 122 4.00    
5  DAHLIA'S DANCER Feb05 Sep15 Aug07 Jul16 Jun24 (barraza ra)FIGUEROA CERAPIO 122 4.50 20% 3.90    
6  MISS JOANNIE Feb07 Nov20 Sep13 Aug29 Aug22 (si)DA FAUSTO 124 3.50 31% 2.20    
7  A THOUSAND DREAMS Sep23 Aug12 Jul19 Jul03 May05 (williams dewey)LULL E 122 6.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.