The Thoroughbred Racing
Simulator
Handicappers' Race Results

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Turf Paradise
Tuesday - February 13, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss

TUP-2   Win (2/5/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 2 1 1 $3.00 $3.00 -3.00
TUP-3   Win (2/3/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 2 1 1 $2.20 $2.20 -3.80
TUP-4   Win (3/6/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 4 1 1 $25.80 $25.80 19.80
TUP-5   Win (5/4/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 6 1 0 $5.80 -6.00
TUP-6   Win (5/1/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00 3 1 0 $14.20 -6.00
TUP-7   Win (5/7/2/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 5 1 1 $2.80 $2.80 -5.20
TUP-8   Win (1/3/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 7 1 0 $11.00 -6.00
TUP-9   Win (2/8/11/9/6) 5 $2.00 $10.00 9 1 1 $2.40 $2.40 -7.60

Simulator Race results

 
TUP-2   02/13/2024 3630ft DIRT FAST Optional Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($21K) 4UP ALL PT- 2:38
See original race card.
:22 :441 :56     1:02   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LOVE MY JIMMY 2 1 12 12   13 1(diodoro robertino)LOPEZ KARLO 124 1.40 66% 0.50 0.50 W
RUN SNAPPY 3 5 22 22   23 2(uranga jesus)FIGUEROA CERAPIO 122 4.00 5.20  
GIANT'S BRITE EYE 4 2 43 4   437 (crotts jame)VALENZUELA A 122 5.00 5% 19.00 19.80 S
RECKONING DAY 5 3 3 3   37 49 (woolley benni)ESPINOZA ASSAEL 122 3.00 13% 6.50 2.70  
HIJO GALANTE 6 4 56 5   511½ 511¾ (lucarelli frank)ENRIQUEZ D 122 8.00 11.30  
CHAOKOON 1 6 610 611½   615½ 616¼ (chambers mike)CORBETT W 122 6.00 16.00  
 
TUP-3   02/13/2024 4290ft DIRT FAST Maiden Claimer ($8.5K) Purse ($15K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:06
See original race card.
:223 :444 1:083     1:153   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SOUTH COAST ROUTE 2 4 1½ 1   13 1(evans justin)NEGRON LUIS 124 1.60 53% 0.90 0.10 W
BLUEGRASS RYDER 1 5 32 2   23 2(perren ly)BRAVO MISAEL 119 4.00 9.10  
RANGER JOE 5 2 2½ 32   37 3(drysdale neil)AYUSO ARMANDO 124 2.50 6.90  
WHISKEY VISION 3 1 54 46   44(brinkerhoff val)CORBETT W 124 5.00 20% 4.10 12.70  
SMOKIN' GOOD TIME 4 3 44 510   521½ 527¾ (lucarelli frank)ENRIQUEZ D 124 6.00 7.70  
SCR  GOTHAM'S FINALE               (lawrence he)VALENZUELA A 124 10.00 5% 19.00    
 
TUP-4   02/13/2024 4290ft DIRT FAST Maiden Claimer ($4.5K) Purse ($12K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:34
See original race card.
:22 :444 1:114     1:181   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
HAUGHTY KITTY 4 3 44 3   22 1(simpson shan)FIGUEROA CERAPIO 124 5.00 15% 5.90 11.90 W
KAMIKAZE BLUE 3 4 21 2½   12 2(lund valorie)ESPINOZA ASSAEL 124 3.50 44% 1.20 0.10 P
LUCKY LARA 5 1 11 1½   33 312¼ (dominguez a)KELLENBERGER KODY 124 4.00 27.60  
THRILL TOWN 6 2 3 45   47 414¼ (mccartney jack)VALDES ALEXIS 124 2.50 20% 4.00 9.00  
ADORABLE WISH 1 6 611½ 512   510½ 517¼ (homer jason)LULL E 124 10.00 36.40  
ZEE PERFECT RUN 2 5 59 612½   614 617¾ (torres-casas )MORALES ROBERTO 124 3.00 4.80  
 
TUP-5   02/13/2024 4290ft DIRT FAST Alw Opt Clm ($20K) Purse ($31K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:02
See original race card.
:222 :441 1:093     1:161   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
PRESENT TIME 5 1 1nk 1nk   1nk 1¼ (eikleberry kevin)CORBETT W 122 3.00 1.90  
SAILING ALONG 4 3 4 4   3½ 2¼ (silva jr)ARBOLEDA ALDO 122 2.50 53% 0.90 0.60 P
DADS ESTRELLA 3 4 3.2 3½   2nk 3(alvarez sergio)ENRIQUEZ D 122 4.00 17% 5.00 9.60 S
SINGLE LADY 1 5 5 5   52 42 (vitali marcus)MORALES ALLYSSA 122 5.00 6.80  
UNRIVALED QUEEN 2 2 2nk 2nk   41 5(lund valorie)LOPEZ KARLO 124 4.50 5% 19.00 11.90  
SCR  CHAMPAGNE CAMIE               (cerin vladimir)AYUSO ARMANDO 122 3.50    
 
TUP-6   02/13/2024 3960ft DIRT FAST Maiden Claimer ($8.5K) Purse ($15K) 3 F PT- 4:31
See original race card.
:232 :471 :593     1:121   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
AGUILA DEL RIO 3 2 43 3   2½ 1nk (silva jua)BRAVO MISAEL 116 10.00 6.10  
LUPITA 4 4 5 56   52nk (silv)DA FAUSTO 121 8.00 1.40  
SHILSHOLE BAY 5 1 1nk 2½   1½ 3¼ (lawrence he)VALENZUELA A 121 4.00 35% 1.80 6.20 S
LIGHTING AND REIGN 6 3 3 44   41 4¾ (silva l)REYES R 121 2.50 11% 7.90 2.00  
DIVINE GIFT 1 5 2nk 1½   31 5(lucarelli frank)RADKE K 121 4.50 19% 4.40 4.20  
ALWAYS GALLANT 2 6 610½ 610½   612½ 612¾ (lawrence heath)CORBETT W 121 12.00 15.60  
SCR  PRINCESS K               (belvoir vann)AYUSO ARMANDO 121 3.50    
 
TUP-7   02/13/2024 2970ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($4.5K) Purse ($13K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:00
See original race card.
:221 :453       :511   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
THIRSTY 4 2 21     116 (silva p)MONTANEZ ROSARIO 124 1.20 63% 0.60 0.40 W
SIMPLY ELEMENTARY 2 1 33     326 (homer jason)LULL E 124 12.00 5% 19.00 17.10 P
WESTERN CHARM 6 5 4     45 38 (woolley l)LOPEZ KARLO 124 6.00 8% 11.40 4.80 S
FAST AS FAST CAN B 5 3 11     24(silva pablo)REYES R 124 5.00 7.10  
EL CAPRICHO 1 4 5     58 510 (dennis clif)KELLENBERGER KODY 124 4.00 4.00  
W. WHITEHOUSE 3 6 611½     69 610¼ (dominguez a)IRONEYES R 124 15.00 31.40  
SCR  IMISSBAYMEADOWS               (fearon johnat)MCGREGOR KIAMAN 124 10.00 5% 19.00    
 
TUP-8   02/13/2024 3960ft DIRT FAST Alw Opt Clm ($50K) Purse ($31K) 3 F PT- 5:29
See original race card.
:232 :46 :591     1:111   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BOURBON TIGER 5 2 4 5   2nk 1(lucarelli frank)ENRIQUEZ D 121 8.00 4.50  
PERFECT MISCHIEF 1 3 1nk 1½   1nk 2(belvoir vann)ESPINOZA ASSAEL 121 6.00 22% 3.60 10.40 P
WOK DON'T RUN 3 4 3.2 3½   435 (hanson ryan)AYUSO ARMANDO 121 5.00 2.60  
AMERICAN TSUNAMI 4 1 2nk 2½   546 (evans justin)NEGRON LUIS 121 4.50 3.60  
CALEBS LADY 2 5 5 4¾   356 (eikleberry kevin)CORBETT W 121 4.00 17% 4.90 0.90  
SCR  OGALLALA               (green greg)ARBOLEDA ALDO 121 3.50 27% 2.70    
SCR  TWIRLING GINNY               (diodoro r)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 121 3.00    
 
TUP-9   02/13/2024 3960ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($4.5K) Purse ($13K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:58
See original race card.
:234 :464 :581     1:103   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BAILS HIM OUT 6 2 2 21   1nk 1(lucarelli frank)ENRIQUEZ D 124 5.00 12% 7.70 0.20 W
FULL BORE 5 1 1 11   2nk 2(woolley benni)ESPINOZA ASSAEL 124 6.00 22% 3.60 13.50 P
PHILBIN ROAD 2 3 32 31   31 3(silv)DA FAUSTO 124 3.00 25% 3.00 6.90 S
EMPEROROFTHENORTH 3 6 4 4   44 47 (brown jared)MAWING A 124 12.00 7.30  
11  YOU'RE MY BOY KAT 8 5 54 5   6511¾ (nelson amy)KELLENBERGER KODY 124 4.00 20% 3.90 12.10  
HARBOR THUNDER 4 4 6 79   7612 (belvoir vann)VALDES ALEXIS 124 6.00 20.60  
PIRATE MISCHIEF 1 7 7 6   58 712¾ (leon alexis)MORALES ALLYSSA 124 20.00 ######  
10  PAINTED SMOKE 7 8 815½ 816   819¾ 823 (diaz luis)IRONEYES R 119 20.00 ######  
SCR  DIXON TUFF               (matt wendel)VALENZUELA A 124 15.00    
SCR  JOHN'S KID               (silva jua)BRAVO MISAEL 119 8.00    
SCR  WEALTH N HEALTH               (valerio raymon)CONTRERAS LUIS 124 12.00 5% 19.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.