Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Turf Paradise
Tuesday - February 13, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
TUP-2   WIN (2/5/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/5/4)-(2/5/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/5/4)-(2/5/4)-(2/5/4) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (2/5/4)-(2/3/6) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (2/5/4)-(2/3/6)-(3/6/4) 27 $0.50 $13.50 
TUP-3   WIN (2/3/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/3/6)-(2/3/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/3/6)-(2/3/6)-(2/3/6) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (2/3/6)-(3/6/4) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (2/3/6)-(3/6/4)-(5/4/3) 27 $0.50 $13.50 
TUP-4   WIN (3/6/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/6/4)-(3/6/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/6/4)-(3/6/4)-(3/6/4) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (3/6/4)-(5/4/3) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (3/6/4)-(5/4/3)-(5/1/7) 27 $0.50 $13.50 
TUP-5   WIN (5/4/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/4/3)-(5/4/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/4/3)-(5/4/3)-(5/4/3) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (5/4/3)-(5/1/7) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (5/4/3)-(5/1/7)-(5/7/2/3) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
TUP-6   WIN (5/1/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/1/7)-(5/1/7) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/1/7)-(5/1/7)-(5/1/7) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (5/1/7)-(5/7/2/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (5/1/7)-(5/7/2/3)-(1/3/4) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
TUP-7   WIN (5/7/2/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/7/2/3)-(5/7/2/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/7/2/3)-(5/7/2/3)-(5/7/2/3) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (5/7/2/3)-(1/3/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (5/7/2/3)-(1/3/4)-(2/8/11/9/6) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
TUP-8   WIN (1/3/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/3/4)-(1/3/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/3/4)-(1/3/4)-(1/3/4) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (1/3/4)-(2/8/11/9/6) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
TUP-9   WIN (2/8/11/9/6) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (2/8/11/9/6)-(2/8/11/9/6) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (2/8/11/9/6)-(2/8/11/9/6)-(2/8/11/9/6) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
TUP-2   02/13/2024 3630ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($21K) 4UP ALL PT- 2:38
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CHAOKOON Nov23 Oct13 Sep18 Sep03 Jul29 (chambers mike)CORBETT W 122 6.00    
2  LOVE MY JIMMY Jan29 Dec04 Nov14 Sep16 Aug20 (diodoro roberti)LOPEZ KARLO 124 1.40 66% 0.50    
3  RUN SNAPPY Jul04 Jun10 May13 Jan17   (uranga jes)FIGUEROA CERAPIO 122 4.00    
4  GIANT'S BRITE EYE Oct27 Oct08 Sep02 Jul03 Jun03 (crotts ja)VALENZUELA A 122 5.00 5% 19.00    
5  RECKONING DAY Jan26 Nov13 Oct21 Sep02 Jul29 (woolley ben)ESPINOZA ASSAEL 122 3.00 13% 6.50    
6  HIJO GALANTE Dec26 Aug27 Aug05 Jul09 Mar20 (lucarelli fran)ENRIQUEZ D 122 8.00    
 
TUP-3   02/13/2024 4290ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($8.5K) Purse ($15K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:06
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BLUEGRASS RYDER Jan21 Dec30 Dec08 Nov12 Oct06 (perren )BRAVO MISAEL 119 4.00    
2  SOUTH COAST ROUTE Jan31 Oct27 Sep23 Sep04 Aug26 (evans justin)NEGRON LUIS 124 1.60 53% 0.90    
3  WHISKEY VISION Oct06 Sep17 Aug06 Jul01 May28 (brinkerhoff val)CORBETT W 124 5.00 20% 4.10    
4  SMOKIN' GOOD TIME Dec09 Mar21 Jan31 Jan05 Dec08 (lucarelli fran)ENRIQUEZ D 124 6.00    
5  RANGER JOE Jan26 Nov24 Oct27 Sep15   (drysdale neil)AYUSO ARMANDO 124 2.50    
SCR  GOTHAM'S FINALE Jan29 Nov18 Nov05 Oct09 Oct02 (lawrence )VALENZUELA A 124 10.00 5% 19.00    
 
TUP-4   02/13/2024 4290ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($4.5K) Purse ($12K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:34
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ADORABLE WISH Jan31         (homer jason)LULL E 124 10.00    
2  ZEE PERFECT RUN Jan28 Jan07 Dec01 Nov18 Oct01 (torres-casa)MORALES ROBERTO 124 3.00    
3  KAMIKAZE BLUE Jan31 Dec17 Nov08 Oct19 Oct05 (lund valori)ESPINOZA ASSAEL 124 3.50 44% 1.20    
4  HAUGHTY KITTY Jan31 Dec06 Nov19 Nov13 Oct22 (simpson sh)FIGUEROA CERAPIO 124 5.00 15% 5.90    
5  LUCKY LARA May30 May08 Apr09 Feb27 Feb18 (dominguez)KELLENBERGER KODY 124 4.00    
6  THRILL TOWN Apr22 Apr10 Mar25     (mccartney jac)VALDES ALEXIS 124 2.50 20% 4.00    
 
TUP-5   02/13/2024 4290ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($20K) Purse ($31K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:02
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SINGLE LADY Feb01 Sep25 Aug14 Jul17 Jun19 (vitali marc)MORALES ALLYSSA 122 5.00    
SCR  CHAMPAGNE CAMIE Aug04 May07       (cerin vladimi)AYUSO ARMANDO 122 3.50    
3  UNRIVALED QUEEN Feb01 Dec31 Oct28 Sep13 Aug20 (lund valorie)LOPEZ KARLO 124 4.50 5% 19.00    
4  DADS ESTRELLA Dec04 Nov13 Aug13 Jul16 Jul02 (alvarez sergio)ENRIQUEZ D 122 4.00 17% 5.00    
5  SAILING ALONG Jan30 Nov21 Oct22 Oct07 Sep27 (silva jr)ARBOLEDA ALDO 122 2.50 53% 0.90    
6  PRESENT TIME Dec19 Nov13 Sep17 Aug20 Jul31 (eikleberry kevi)CORBETT W 122 3.00    
 
TUP-6   02/13/2024 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($8.5K) Purse ($15K) 3 F PT- 4:31
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DIVINE GIFT Jan26 Dec26       (lucarelli frank)RADKE K 121 4.50 19% 4.40    
2  ALWAYS GALLANT Aug27 Aug11 Jul29 Jul15   (lawrence heath)CORBETT W 121 12.00    
3  AGUILA DEL RIO Jan20 Dec08 Nov12     (silva j)BRAVO MISAEL 116 10.00    
4  LUPITA Feb06 Jan29 Jan12 Dec11   (si)DA FAUSTO 121 8.00    
5  SHILSHOLE BAY Jan31 Oct08 Sep18 Sep10 Aug26 (lawrence )VALENZUELA A 121 4.00 35% 1.80    
SCR  PRINCESS K Jan05 Dec09 Oct21 Sep10   (belvoir vann)AYUSO ARMANDO 121 3.50    
7  LIGHTING AND REIGN Jan01 Sep22 Aug25 Aug12 Jul21 (silva l)REYES R 121 2.50 11% 7.90    
 
TUP-7   02/13/2024 2970ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4.5K) Purse ($13K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  EL CAPRICHO Jan27 Nov26 Nov10 Oct30 Oct14 (dennis cl)KELLENBERGER KODY 124 4.00    
2  SIMPLY ELEMENTARY Feb05 Jan11 Dec12 Nov21 Nov06 (homer jason)LULL E 124 12.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  IMISSBAYMEADOWS Nov05 Oct15 Sep13 Sep06 Aug09 (fearon john)MCGREGOR KIAMAN 124 10.00 5% 19.00    
4  W. WHITEHOUSE Oct15 Sep02 Aug18 Apr04 Mar19 (dominguez angel)CRUZ M 124 15.00    
5  THIRSTY Jan31 Dec06 Nov22 Oct30 Oct18 (silva juan)MONTANEZ ROSARIO 124 1.20 63% 0.60    
6  FAST AS FAST CAN B Jan31 Sep28 Sep18 Jul27 Jul06 (silva pab)REYES R 124 5.00    
7  WESTERN CHARM Jan31 Dec05 Nov21 Oct14 Sep10 (woolley bennie )LOPEZ KARLO 124 6.00 8% 11.40    
 
TUP-8   02/13/2024 3960ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($50K) Purse ($31K) 3 F PT- 5:29
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  OGALLALA Jan19 Dec19 Dec14 Nov14 Oct28 (green greg)ARBOLEDA ALDO 121 3.50 27% 2.70    
SCR  TWIRLING GINNY Jan29         (diodoro)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 121 3.00    
3  PERFECT MISCHIEF Aug27 Jul23 Jul09 Jun17 May06 (belvoir van)ESPINOZA ASSAEL 121 6.00 22% 3.60    
4  CALEBS LADY Oct20 Aug25 Jul29 Jul07 May06 (eikleberry kevi)CORBETT W 121 4.00 17% 4.90    
5  WOK DON'T RUN Jan14 Dec16 Nov25 Nov05 Sep22 (hanson ryan)AYUSO ARMANDO 121 5.00    
6  AMERICAN TSUNAMI Feb01 Dec28 Dec14 Nov03 Sep10 (evans justin)NEGRON LUIS 121 4.50    
7  BOURBON TIGER Jan06 Dec01 Nov05 Aug06 Jul09 (lucarelli fran)ENRIQUEZ D 121 8.00    
 
TUP-9   02/13/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4.5K) Purse ($13K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:58
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  PIRATE MISCHIEF Jan31 Dec12 Dec05 Oct28 Oct13 (leon alexis)MORALES ALLYSSA 124 20.00    
2  PHILBIN ROAD Jan30 Dec13 Nov29 Nov22   (si)DA FAUSTO 124 3.00 25% 3.00    
SCR  DIXON TUFF Jan30 Sep17 Jul30 Jun04 May05 (matt wend)VALENZUELA A 124 15.00    
4  EMPEROROFTHENORTH Jan07 Sep16 Aug28 Jul28 Jul09 (brown jared)MAWING A 124 12.00    
5  HARBOR THUNDER Aug12 Jun10 May05 Apr04 Mar06 (belvoir vann)VALDES ALEXIS 124 6.00    
SCR  WEALTH N HEALTH Jan30 Dec20 Nov21 Oct22 Oct06 (valerio raym)CONTRERAS LUIS 124 12.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  JOHN'S KID Feb05 Jan25 Dec11 Dec03 Nov21 (silva j)BRAVO MISAEL 119 8.00    
8  FULL BORE Jan31 Jan11 Dec12 Oct28 Oct01 (woolley ben)ESPINOZA ASSAEL 124 6.00 22% 3.60    
9  BAILS HIM OUT Dec30 Dec09 Nov18 Aug27 Aug05 (lucarelli fran)ENRIQUEZ D 124 5.00 12% 7.70    
10  PAINTED SMOKE Dec12 Nov07 Oct22 Oct06 Sep17 (diaz luis)RAMEY CASH 119 20.00    
11  YOU'RE MY BOY KAT Jan31 Jan11 Dec05 Nov21 Oct13 (nelson am)KELLENBERGER KODY 124 4.00 20% 3.90    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.