Handicappers' Race Results

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Turf Paradise
Monday - February 12, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss

TUP-2   Win (1/4) 2 $2.00 $4.00 5 1 0 $3.60  
TUP-3   Win (4/3/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 2 1 0 $6.40  
TUP-4   Win (3/4/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 4 1 1 $3.40 $3.40  
TUP-5   Win (3/5) 2 $2.00 $4.00 1 1 0 $5.60  
TUP-6   Win (5/4/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 5 1 1 $13.20 $13.20 7.20
TUP-7   Win (4/2/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 5 1 0 $2.80  
TUP-8   Win (4/3) 2 $2.00 $4.00 4 1 1 $2.60 $2.60  

Simulator Race results

 
TUP-2   02/12/2024 3300ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($16K) 4UP ALL PT- 3:08
See original race card.
:221 :453       :574   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MR. CLUTCH 4 1 35 35   32 1 (rosales jorge)OROZCO IRVING 124 3.00 0.80  
QUARKY 1 4 1½ 2½   2nk 2 (evans justin)NEGRON LUIS 124 4.00 42% 1.40 2.10 P
BOOMER JUSTICE 3 2 2½ 1½   1nk 3 (barraza rafa)FIGUEROA CERAPIO 124 2.50 28% 2.60 2.40 S
RED HOT CAT 2 3 4 47   46 4 (ybarra rudy)MORALES ALLYSSA 124 8.00 8.00  
SCR  SPEEDING STYLE               (rosales jorge)PENA BRYAN 124 2.00    
 
TUP-3   02/12/2024 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($8.5K) Purse ($15K) 3 ALL PT- 3:36
See original race card.
:23 :462 :584     1:114   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
UNCLE JUJU 2 2 1nk 1   1 11 (aguirre paul)CRUZ M 121 1.20 2.20  
LT. NORM 3 1 3½ 2   2 21 (cappellucci dick)NEGRON LUIS 121 3.50 24% 3.20 0.90 P
KIKIS LOVE OF LIFE 5 3 5 34   35 3 (brown jared)MONTANEZ ROSARIO 121 5.00 5% 19.00 6.20 S
GRUMPY BAY 1 4 4 44   45 4 (silva a)LOPEZ KARLO 121 3.00 4.20  
HUSTO 4 5 2nk 56   511 528¾ (hernandez mig)MORALES ROBERTO 121 6.00 40% 1.50 7.80  
 
TUP-4   02/12/2024 4290ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($20K) Purse ($32.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:04
See original race card.
:23 :46 1:093     1:153   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MR. WHO 4 1 2½ 2½   1½ 1 (silva jr)AYUSO ARMANDO 122 2.00 27% 2.70 0.70 W
LESSONS OF AUTISM 3 3 3 32   3 2 (tamayo isidro)OROZCO IRVING 124 2.50 39% 1.60 4.10 P
BRADY BOY 2 4 1½ 1½   2½ 3 (essex charles)RADKE K 122 1.80 2.20  
BEDROCK (GB) 5 2 44 43   45 4 (christian billy)LULL E 122 5.00 5% 19.00 6.00  
BEACH HOLIDAY 1 5 5 5   5 511 (gomez alejandro)CRUZ M 122 6.00 18.20  
 
TUP-5   02/12/2024 5280ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($32K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:32
See original race card.
:241 :481 1:121 1:244   1:372   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DESHAMBEAU 1 2 32 3 32 1nk 1 (lucarelli frank)RADKE K 122 5.00 1.80  
TEXTHELEGEND 3 4 4 43 4 4 2 (mcfarlane l)PENA BRYAN 124 2.50 28% 2.50 1.70 P
ORTH 2 3 11 2nk 1½ 2nk 3 (barraza rafa)FIGUEROA CERAPIO 122 6.00 9.80  
THIRSTY JOHN 4 1 21 1nk 2½ 3.2 4 (silva jua)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 122 3.00 28% 2.60 1.10  
SCR  OVIATT CLASS               (cerin vladimir)AYUSO ARMANDO 122 1.20    
 
TUP-6   02/12/2024 5280ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($20K) Purse ($32.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:00
See original race card.
:24 :473 1:114 1:242   1:372   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
GRAY MAGICIAN 5 1 5 5 4¼ 1 13 (silva jr)ARBOLEDA ALDO 122 2.50 38% 1.60 5.60 W
IMPOSSIBLE TASK 3 4 21 21 3.2 4 23 (ortiz sr)REYES R 122 4.50 5% 19.00 7.70 P
RONAMO 4 5 4 4 1nk 3 3 (barraza s)LOPEZ KARLO 122 3.50 23% 3.30 7.60 S
NOLONGERAHOBBY 2 3 11 11 2nk 2 4 (silva jr)NEGRON LUIS 122 4.00 15.40  
AIRTIME 1 2 3 31 5 5 515¾ (diodoro rober)ESPINOZA ASSAEL 122 1.60 0.20  
 
TUP-7   02/12/2024 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($17K) 4UP M/F PT- 5:28
See original race card.
:242 :484 1:132 1:254   1:384   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CIDSTAYINURLAINE 4 3 21 21 1½ 1 12 (ferguson curt)LOPEZ KARLO 124 1.00 0.40  
MERINO WOOL 1 5 55 5 4 3 22 (rojas murra)VALENZUELA A 124 5.00 19% 4.40 4.40 P
METAROSE 3 1 3 3 3½ 2 3 (hernandez migue)VALDES ALEXIS 124 2.50 49% 1.10 4.00 S
SHES GOT THE POWER 2 4 44 43 5 4 47 (silva jr)ARBOLEDA ALDO 124 6.00 5% 19.00 7.40  
MIDNIGHT FROST 5 2 11 11 2½ 56 512¾ (rojas murray)MONTANEZ ROSARIO 124 10.00 17.90  
SCR  AYY LADIES               (silva pablo)REYES R 124 6.00    
 
TUP-8   02/12/2024 3300ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($14K) 4UP ALL PT- 5:56
See original race card.
:22 :451       :571   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LITTLE CASINO 3 4 25 24   22 1 (tamayo isidro)ESPINOZA ASSAEL 124 1.80 51% 1.00 0.30 W
MINDSHARE 2 2 15 14   12 2 (barraza rafa)FIGUEROA CERAPIO 124 2.00 8% 11.00 2.90 P
SMOOTH PAPA 4 1 3 39   3 3 (fearon johnat)MCGREGOR KIAMAN 124 8.00 11.00 S
FIGHT ME 5 3 4 4   4 4 (figueroa ju)KELLENBERGER KODY 124 10.00 6.40  
EMPEROR'S CHOICE 1 5 5 510   58 5 (leon alexis)LOPEZ KARLO 124 12.00 17.40  
SCR  R M C HOOK'EM               (tamayo isidro)PENA BRYAN 124 3.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.