Handicappers' Racing Form

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Turf Paradise
Monday - February 12, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss

TUP-2   Win (1/4) 2 $2.00 $4.00
TUP-3   Win (4/3/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00
TUP-4   Win (3/4/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00
TUP-5   Win (3/5) 2 $2.00 $4.00
TUP-6   Win (5/4/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00
TUP-7   Win (4/2/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00
TUP-8   Win (4/3) 2 $2.00 $4.00

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

 
TUP-2   02/12/2024 3300ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($16K) 4UP ALL PT- 3:08
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
QUARKY Dec02 Nov01 Oct14 Feb05 Jan22 (evans justin)NEGRON LUIS 124 4.00 42% 1.40    
RED HOT CAT Jan29 Aug20 Apr02 Mar11 Feb26 (ybarra rudy)MORALES ALLYSSA 124 8.00    
SCR  SPEEDING STYLE Jan20 Dec10 Oct30 Oct08 Jul08 (rosales jorge)PENA BRYAN 124 2.00    
BOOMER JUSTICE Dec17 Nov25 Oct22 Sep17 Jul09 (barraza rafa)FIGUEROA CERAPIO 124 2.50 28% 2.60    
MR. CLUTCH Jan06 Dec01 Nov03 Oct07 Sep04 (rosales jorge)OROZCO IRVING 124 3.00    
 
TUP-3   02/12/2024 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($8.5K) Purse ($15K) 3 ALL PT- 3:36
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
GRUMPY BAY Jan30         (silva a)LOPEZ KARLO 121 3.00    
UNCLE JUJU Jan12 Dec16 Nov10 Oct28 Sep08 (aguirre paul)CRUZ M 121 1.20    
LT. NORM Feb02 Jan05 Dec12 Nov20 Nov06 (cappellucci dick)NEGRON LUIS 121 3.50 24% 3.20    
HUSTO Apr15         (hernandez mig)MORALES ROBERTO 121 6.00 40% 1.50    
KIKIS LOVE OF LIFE Jan14 Dec29 Oct09 Sep23   (brown jared)MONTANEZ ROSARIO 121 5.00 5% 19.00    
 
TUP-4   02/12/2024 4290ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($20K) Purse ($32.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:04
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BEACH HOLIDAY Jan03 Dec21 Dec12 Dec04 Nov21 (gomez alejandro)CRUZ M 122 6.00    
BRADY BOY Jan01 Aug18 Jul28 Jul09 May29 (essex charles)RADKE K 122 1.80    
LESSONS OF AUTISM Jan15 Dec30 Nov23 Oct15 Oct09 (tamayo isidro)OROZCO IRVING 124 2.50 39% 1.60    
MR. WHO Feb01 Nov13 Oct21 Oct11 Jul03 (silva jr)AYUSO ARMANDO 122 2.00 27% 2.70    
BEDROCK (GB) Nov14 Oct21 Oct08 Aug12 Jun19 (christian billy)LULL E 122 5.00 5% 19.00    
 
TUP-5   02/12/2024 5280ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($32K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:32
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DESHAMBEAU Dec09 Nov18 Oct29 Aug13 Jul15 (lucarelli frank)RADKE K 122 5.00    
ORTH Feb01 Dec04 Nov06 Oct01 Sep16 (barraza rafa)FIGUEROA CERAPIO 122 6.00    
TEXTHELEGEND Jan30 Dec19 Nov28 Nov07 Sep25 (mcfarlane l)PENA BRYAN 124 2.50 28% 2.50    
SCR  OVIATT CLASS Dec31 Nov11 Aug12 Jun18 Apr25 (cerin vladimir)AYUSO ARMANDO 122 1.20    
THIRSTY JOHN Feb01 Dec02 Nov03 Mar11 Feb18 (silva jua)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 122 3.00 28% 2.60    
 
TUP-6   02/12/2024 5280ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($20K) Purse ($32.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:00
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
AIRTIME Nov25 Oct14 Apr01 Feb18 Jan29 (diodoro rober)ESPINOZA ASSAEL 122 1.60    
NOLONGERAHOBBY Dec26 Dec09 Dec02 Sep23 Sep15 (silva jr)NEGRON LUIS 122 4.00    
IMPOSSIBLE TASK Jan05 Dec17 Nov26 Mar31 Feb03 (ortiz sr)REYES R 122 4.50 5% 19.00    
RONAMO Dec12 Nov07 Oct04 Aug20 Jul15 (barraza s)LOPEZ KARLO 122 3.50 23% 3.30    
GRAY MAGICIAN Oct21 Sep09 Jul29 Jul12 Jun21 (silva jr)ARBOLEDA ALDO 122 2.50 38% 1.60    
 
TUP-7   02/12/2024 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($17K) 4UP M/F PT- 5:28
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  AYY LADIES Jan30 Dec04 Nov22 Nov07 Sep25 (silva pablo)REYES R 124 6.00    
MERINO WOOL Jan30 Oct09 Sep19 Sep05 Aug21 (rojas murra)VALENZUELA A 124 5.00 19% 4.40    
SHES GOT THE POWER Jan30 Sep02 Aug20 Aug03 Jul13 (silva jr)ARBOLEDA ALDO 124 6.00 5% 19.00    
METAROSE Jan30 Dec11 Nov14 May06 Apr19 (hernandez migue)VALDES ALEXIS 124 2.50 49% 1.10    
CIDSTAYINURLAINE Jan30 Dec18 Sep27 Jun02 May05 (ferguson curt)LOPEZ KARLO 124 1.00    
MIDNIGHT FROST Jan30 Oct25 Oct16 Oct09 Sep26 (rojas l)CORBETT W 124 10.00    
 
TUP-8   02/12/2024 3300ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($14K) 4UP ALL PT- 5:56
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
EMPEROR'S CHOICE Jan30 Jan19 Oct29 Oct13 Sep16 (leon alexis)LOPEZ KARLO 124 12.00    
SCR  R M C HOOK'EM Jan28 Jan06 Dec10 Nov18 Oct09 (tamayo isidro)PENA BRYAN 124 3.00    
MINDSHARE Jul22 Jun11 May27 May13 Apr15 (barraza rafa)FIGUEROA CERAPIO 124 2.00 8% 11.00    
LITTLE CASINO Jan21 Jan13 Nov03 Sep25 Sep04 (tamayo isidro)ESPINOZA ASSAEL 124 1.80 51% 1.00    
SMOOTH PAPA Jan31 Dec04 Nov07 Oct31 Oct22 (fearon johnat)MCGREGOR KIAMAN 124 8.00    
FIGHT ME Jan30 Oct27 Sep09 Aug04 Jun16 (figueroa ju)KELLENBERGER KODY 124 10.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.