Handicappers' Race Results

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The Longshot Hunter!

Turf Paradise
Tuesday - February 20, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

TUP-2   TRI (5/6/1)-(5/6/1)-(5/6/1) 6 $0.50 $3.00  5-1-6 $10.65 $7.65 255%
TUP-4   EXA (1/6/3/8)-(1/6/3/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00  3-6 $17.70 $5.70 48%
TUP-5   EXA (2/4/3/5)-(2/4/3/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00  3-5 $72.90 $60.90 508%
TUP-7   EXA (3/4/5/7)-(3/4/5/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00  4-5 $19.20 $7.20 60%

Simulator Race results

 
TUP-1   02/20/2024 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($8.5K) Purse ($18K) 4UP ALL PT- 2:55
See original race card.
:222 :444       1:16   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
WESTWARD LOOK 1 4 21 1nk   1 1 (miller pete)ESPINOZA ASSAEL 124 2.00 48% 1.10 0.40 W
FRISCO KID 3 3 44 41   2 2 (villamar ca)MORALES ROBERTO 124 6.00 6.20  
BOSS NINE 5 2 11 2nk   34 3 (lucarelli fran)ENRIQUEZ D 124 3.00 2.60  
MISCHIEVOUSHOLIDAY 4 1 32 3½   44 4 (alvarez sergio)LOPEZ KARLO 124 4.00 23% 3.30 6.90  
TRACK BOUND 2 5 5 59   512 517¼ (alvarez ser)MCGREGOR KIAMAN 124 10.00 5% 19.00 27.40  
SCR  BEACH HOLIDAY               (gomez alejandro)CRUZ M 124 5.00    
SCR  LUCKY SMILE               (gomez alejandro)PENA BRYAN 124 15.00    
 
TUP-2   02/20/2024 3300ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4.5K) Purse ($13.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:23
See original race card.
:221 :452       :571   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
JAIME'S COMMITMENT 5 6 21 1nk   1nk 1½ (bainum )BRAVO MISAEL 119 2.00 52% 0.90 0.10 W
SO CAL MEMORY 1 1 11 2nk   2nk 2½ (cruz omar)KELLENBERGER KODY 122 3.50 10% 9.30 8.40 P
PRINCE OTTO 6 5 5 33   34 3 (esquibel mark)LULL E 122 6.00 17% 4.90 12.00 S
TALE OF TRUTH 4 4 6 56   4 44 (torres-casa)MORALES ROBERTO 122 5.00 9.10  
ROUGE SUNSET 3 2 31 6   59 5 (diaz luis)IRONEYES R 117 10.00 48.70  
IMPASSIONED CLAIM 2 3 4 4   6 6 (whitehouse wilt)CORBETT W 124 3.00 8.10  
 
TUP-3   02/20/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($8.5K) Purse ($16K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:51
See original race card.
:22 :443 :564     1:092   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ALL THE KING'S MEN 1 5 1nk 2nk   11 1 (cappellucci dic)NEGRON LUIS 124 2.50 0.20  
IOWA HAWKEYE 7 6 7 6   43 2 (caraman)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 124 10.00 22.40  
NOTACRY 6 2 3 31   21 3 (kenney ryan)PENA BRYAN 124 4.50 9.50  
QUEENS EFFORT 4 4 43 4   53 4 (gleason m)LOPEZ KARLO 124 8.00 5% 19.00 10.30  
B R KIDD ROCK 3 3 5 5   6 5 (dennison d)MONTANEZ ROSARIO 124 5.00 10% 8.70 23.20  
BIG WAY 2 7 6 7   7 6 (bratcher ry)MORALES ROBERTO 124 4.00 40% 1.50 8.50  
SCOPELLO 5 1 2nk 1nk   3 712¾ (mcfarlane dan)ARBOLEDA ALDO 124 3.50 27% 2.60 8.60  
 
TUP-4   02/20/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($8.5K) Purse ($16K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:19
See original race card.
:221 :45 :57     1:094   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
COCKTAIL PRINCESS 3 4 1½ 11   1 13 (evans justin)NEGRON LUIS 124 3.50 7% 13.00 1.90 W
EYES FOR GOLD 6 7 73 5   3 23 (hone bart)VALENZUELA A 124 6.00 18% 4.50 6.00 P
ILA VEIW TOO 4 2 3½ 43   43 3 (belvoir vann)AYUSO ARMANDO 124 4.00 2.00  
COPPER BO TEN 2 5 41 21   2 4 (diodoro rob)ESPINOZA ASSAEL 124 3.00 3.50  
PANCAKES AND BEER 7 8 8 7   69 513½ (grissom roberta )MAWING A 124 10.00 32.20  
SPRINKLES 1 6 6 6   5 615¼ (matt wendel)MORALES ALLYSSA 124 5.00 54% 0.90 5.70  
HEAVENLY VIOLET 5 3 2½ 33   711½ 718¼ (williams dewey)RADKE K 124 12.00 34.50  
SHE'S SO FANCY 8 1 5 827¾   836½ 875¾ (esquibel mark)LULL E 124 8.00 5% 19.00 37.10  
 
TUP-5   02/20/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($25K) Purse ($29K) 4UP ALL PT- 4:49
See original race card.
:223 :444 :563     1:082   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
PRAYER OF JABEZ 3 2 1½ 1nk   1nk 1 (kereluk edward)LULL E 124 3.00 11% 8.40 1.90 W
CREATIVE BID 5 1 2½ 2nk   2nk 2 (hernandez m)MORALES ROBERTO 124 6.00 5% 19.00 34.30 P
MR. STANG 7 4 42 3   31 3 (lucarelli fran)ENRIQUEZ D 124 3.50 0.90  
EL ALTO HOMBRE 6 3 53 56   5 4 (kowalski liz)MAWING A 124 10.00 14.90  
THE SINNER IS YOU 2 5 64 6   4 5 (rojas murr)MONTANEZ ROSARIO 124 5.00 30% 2.30 10.40  
BRADY BOY 1 7 7 7   7 6 (valerio r)VALENZUELA A 124 4.50 11.80  
MEDIMPACT 4 6 32 44   6 7 (cappellucci dic)NEGRON LUIS 124 4.00 21% 3.70 6.00  
 
TUP-6   02/20/2024 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($14K) 4UP ALL PT- 5:19
See original race card.
:23 :461 1:103 1:232   1:364   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SUBSIDIZE 3 2 4 4 1nk 1nk 12 (belvoir van)ESPINOZA ASSAEL 124 12.00 6% 16.50 1.20 W
JOKER MATT 4 1 21 21 2nk 2nk 22 (silva jr)NEGRON LUIS 124 3.50 12% 7.40 2.10 P
KIRBY DERBY 5 6 7 7 5 5 3 (woolley bennie )LOPEZ KARLO 124 4.00 41% 1.40 5.20 S
11  MY DAD IS THIRSTY 9 7 6 55 45 4 4 (perez sergio )VALDES ALEXIS 124 8.00 21.20  
TIZ TACT TOE 6 9 911½ 9 7 6 5 (rojas l)CORBETT W 124 5.00 14% 6.30 6.10  
MOVE OVER (GB) 1 4 11 11 31 33 6 (hernandez m)MORALES ROBERTO 124 12.00 39.20  
MY CALL 7 8 89 88 8 711¾ 713½ (dominguez)VALENZUELA A 124 15.00 5% 19.00 ######  
TAINO 2 3 32 6 914¾ 916¾ 820¼ (gomez aleja)MCGREGOR KIAMAN 124 20.00 92.70  
10  STEALTH MISSION 8 5 54 32 6 814¼ 920¼ (si)DA FAUSTO 124 3.00 7.00  
SCR  NORTHCUT               (silva jr)ARBOLEDA ALDO 124 6.00    
SCR  SMOOTH PAPA               (fearon john)MCGREGOR KIAMAN 124 20.00    
 
TUP-7   02/20/2024 5280ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($15K) Purse ($31K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:50
See original race card.
:23 :451 1:093 1:23   1:361   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
KEEN HEIR 4 5 6 6 3 3.2 1 (mcfarlane l)LOPEZ KARLO 122 3.00 12% 7.30 1.50 W
SALINE RIVER 5 4 4 4 1nk 2nk 2 (diodoro)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 122 5.00 10% 8.60 6.10 P
PAID IN FULL 2 3 1nk 1nk 2nk 1nk 3 (person kenneth )CRUZ M 124 8.00 5.70  
RIVERSIDE 3 2 5 5 42 4 4 (silva jose )ESPINOZA ASSAEL 122 4.00 42% 1.40 2.40  
ADMIRAL HALSEY 7 1 2nk 2nk 5 5 5 (evans justin)NEGRON LUIS 122 5.00 10% 9.20 10.20  
CLASSICAL 1 6 3 31 78 6 612¼ (evans justin)PENA BRYAN 124 4.50 12.20  
LIMITED HEATWAVE 6 7 8 7 6 7 713 (barraza ra)FIGUEROA CERAPIO 122 8.00 25.60  
HEIR (FR) 8 8 7 8 812 8 816¾ (belvoir vann)AYUSO ARMANDO 122 6.00 9.70  
 
TUP-8   02/20/2024 3630ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($18K) 4UP ALL PT- 6:20
See original race card.
:214 :45 :57     1:033   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
XTREME MAYHEM 3 7 4 31   1½ 1 (martinez esteba)LOPEZ KARLO 122 6.00 2.50  
ROLL DEM BONES 7 3 5 5   3 2 (soto an)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 122 6.00 12.20 P
MOONLITE GRAHAM 2 5 31 4   4 3 (barraza s)RADKE K 122 3.00 59% 0.70 2.70 S
NEW EVERY MORNING 5 1 1nk 2nk   2½ 42 (gutierrez juan )CRUZ M 124 3.50 7.70  
BLUE SKYE JADE 6 4 7 7   6 52 (williams dewey)LULL E 122 8.00 5% 19.00 23.70  
KALINE 4 6 6 6   7 6 (mccartney jac)VALDES ALEXIS 122 20.00 49.00  
CANNONBALL COMIN 8 2 2nk 1nk   53 7 (silva jr)ARBOLEDA ALDO 122 2.50 12% 7.30 1.20  
FANCY PAYNTER 1 8 8 8   8 811¾ (tate mary)PENA BRYAN 122 15.00 62.50  
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.