The Thoroughbred Racing
Simulator
Handicappers' Race Results

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Turf Paradise
Tuesday - February 20, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss

TUP-1   Win (1/5/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 1 1 1 $2.80 $2.80 -3.20
TUP-2   Win (5/6/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 5 1 1 $2.20 $2.20 -3.80
TUP-3   Win (2/5/3/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 1 1 0 $2.40 -8.00
TUP-4   Win (1/6/3/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00 3 1 1 $5.80 $5.80 -2.20
TUP-5   Win (2/4/3/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 3 1 1 $5.80 $5.80 -2.20
TUP-6   Win (7/8/5/3/9) 5 $2.00 $10.00 3 1 1 $4.40 $4.40 -5.60
TUP-7   Win (3/4/5/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 4 1 1 $5.00 $5.00 -3.00
TUP-8   Win (2/8/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 3 1 0 $7.00 -6.00

Simulator Race results

 
TUP-1   02/20/2024 4290ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($8.5K) Purse ($18K) 4UP ALL PT- 2:55
See original race card.
:222 :444       1:16   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
WESTWARD LOOK 1 4 21 1nk   11(miller peter)ESPINOZA ASSAEL 124 2.00 48% 1.10 0.40 W
FRISCO KID 3 3 44 41   22(villamar cand)MORALES ROBERTO 124 6.00 6.20  
BOSS NINE 5 2 11 2nk   34 3(lucarelli frank)ENRIQUEZ D 124 3.00 2.60  
MISCHIEVOUSHOLIDAY 4 1 32 3½   44 4(alvarez sergio)LOPEZ KARLO 124 4.00 23% 3.30 6.90  
TRACK BOUND 2 5 5 59   512 517¼ (alvarez sergi)MCGREGOR KIAMAN 124 10.00 5% 19.00 27.40  
SCR  BEACH HOLIDAY               (gomez alejandro)CRUZ M 124 5.00    
SCR  LUCKY SMILE               (gomez alejandro)PENA BRYAN 124 15.00    
 
TUP-2   02/20/2024 3300ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($4.5K) Purse ($13.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:23
See original race card.
:221 :452       :571   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
JAIME'S COMMITMENT 5 6 21 1nk   1nk 1½ (bainum ke)BRAVO MISAEL 119 2.00 52% 0.90 0.10 W
SO CAL MEMORY 1 1 11 2nk   2nk 2½ (cruz omar)KELLENBERGER KODY 122 3.50 10% 9.30 8.40 P
PRINCE OTTO 6 5 5 33   34 3(esquibel mark)LULL E 122 6.00 17% 4.90 12.00 S
TALE OF TRUTH 4 4 6 56   444 (torres-casas )MORALES ROBERTO 122 5.00 9.10  
ROUGE SUNSET 3 2 31 6   59 5(diaz luis)IRONEYES R 117 10.00 48.70  
IMPASSIONED CLAIM 2 3 4 4   66(whitehouse wilton)CORBETT W 124 3.00 8.10  
 
TUP-3   02/20/2024 3960ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($8.5K) Purse ($16K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:51
See original race card.
:22 :443 :564     1:092   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ALL THE KING'S MEN 1 5 1nk 2nk   11 1(cappellucci dick)NEGRON LUIS 124 2.50 0.20  
IOWA HAWKEYE 7 6 7 6   43 2(caraman m)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 124 10.00 22.40  
NOTACRY 6 2 3 31   21 3(kenney ryan)PENA BRYAN 124 4.50 9.50  
QUEENS EFFORT 4 4 43 4   53 4(gleason m)LOPEZ KARLO 124 8.00 5% 19.00 10.30  
B R KIDD ROCK 3 3 5 5   65(dennison dan)MONTANEZ ROSARIO 124 5.00 10% 8.70 23.20  
BIG WAY 2 7 6 7   76(bratcher ryan)MORALES ROBERTO 124 4.00 40% 1.50 8.50  
SCOPELLO 5 1 2nk 1nk   3712¾ (mcfarlane l)ARBOLEDA ALDO 124 3.50 27% 2.60 8.60  
 
TUP-4   02/20/2024 3960ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($8.5K) Purse ($16K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:19
See original race card.
:221 :45 :57     1:094   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
COCKTAIL PRINCESS 3 4 1½ 11   113 (evans justin)NEGRON LUIS 124 3.50 7% 13.00 1.90 W
EYES FOR GOLD 6 7 73 5   323 (hone bart)VALENZUELA A 124 6.00 18% 4.50 6.00 P
ILA VEIW TOO 4 2 3½ 43   43 3(belvoir vann)AYUSO ARMANDO 124 4.00 2.00  
COPPER BO TEN 2 5 41 21   24(diodoro rober)ESPINOZA ASSAEL 124 3.00 3.50  
PANCAKES AND BEER 7 8 8 7   69 513½ (grissom w)MAWING A 124 10.00 32.20  
SPRINKLES 1 6 6 6   5615¼ (matt wendell )MORALES ALLYSSA 124 5.00 54% 0.90 5.70  
HEAVENLY VIOLET 5 3 2½ 33   711½ 718¼ (williams dewey)RADKE K 124 12.00 34.50  
SHE'S SO FANCY 8 1 5 827¾   836½ 875¾ (esquibel mark)LULL E 124 8.00 5% 19.00 37.10  
 
TUP-5   02/20/2024 3960ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($25K) Purse ($29K) 4UP ALL PT- 4:49
See original race card.
:223 :444 :563     1:082   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
PRAYER OF JABEZ 3 2 1½ 1nk   1nk 1(kereluk edward)LULL E 124 3.00 11% 8.40 1.90 W
CREATIVE BID 5 1 2½ 2nk   2nk 2(hernandez mig)MORALES ROBERTO 124 6.00 5% 19.00 34.30 P
MR. STANG 7 4 42 3   31 3(lucarelli frank)ENRIQUEZ D 124 3.50 0.90  
EL ALTO HOMBRE 6 3 53 56   54(kowalski liz)MAWING A 124 10.00 14.90  
THE SINNER IS YOU 2 5 64 6   45(rojas murray)MONTANEZ ROSARIO 124 5.00 30% 2.30 10.40  
BRADY BOY 1 7 7 7   76(valerio ray)VALENZUELA A 124 4.50 11.80  
MEDIMPACT 4 6 32 44   67(cappellucci dick)NEGRON LUIS 124 4.00 21% 3.70 6.00  
 
TUP-6   02/20/2024 5280ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($14K) 4UP ALL PT- 5:19
See original race card.
:23 :461 1:103 1:232   1:364   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SUBSIDIZE 3 2 4 4 1nk 1nk 12 (belvoir vann)ESPINOZA ASSAEL 124 12.00 6% 16.50 1.20 W
JOKER MATT 4 1 21 21 2nk 2nk 22 (silva jr)NEGRON LUIS 124 3.50 12% 7.40 2.10 P
KIRBY DERBY 5 6 7 7 5 53(woolley l)LOPEZ KARLO 124 4.00 41% 1.40 5.20 S
11  MY DAD IS THIRSTY 9 7 6 55 45 44(perez s)VALDES ALEXIS 124 8.00 21.20  
TIZ TACT TOE 6 9 911½ 9 7 65(rojas l)CORBETT W 124 5.00 14% 6.30 6.10  
MOVE OVER (GB) 1 4 11 11 31 33 6(hernandez mig)MORALES ROBERTO 124 12.00 39.20  
MY CALL 7 8 89 88 8 711¾ 713½ (dominguez a)VALENZUELA A 124 15.00 5% 19.00 ######  
TAINO 2 3 32 6 914¾ 916¾ 820¼ (gomez alejand)MCGREGOR KIAMAN 124 20.00 92.70  
10  STEALTH MISSION 8 5 54 32 6 814¼ 920¼ (silv)DA FAUSTO 124 3.00 7.00  
SCR  NORTHCUT               (silva jr)ARBOLEDA ALDO 124 6.00    
SCR  SMOOTH PAPA               (fearon johnat)MCGREGOR KIAMAN 124 20.00    
 
TUP-7   02/20/2024 5280ft DIRT FAST Alw Opt Clm ($15K) Purse ($31K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:50
See original race card.
:23 :451 1:093 1:23   1:361   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
KEEN HEIR 4 5 6 6 3 3.2 1(mcfarlane l)LOPEZ KARLO 122 3.00 12% 7.30 1.50 W
SALINE RIVER 5 4 4 4 1nk 2nk 2(diodoro r)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 122 5.00 10% 8.60 6.10 P
PAID IN FULL 2 3 1nk 1nk 2nk 1nk 3(person a)CRUZ M 124 8.00 5.70  
RIVERSIDE 3 2 5 5 42 44(silva l)ESPINOZA ASSAEL 122 4.00 42% 1.40 2.40  
ADMIRAL HALSEY 7 1 2nk 2nk 5 55(evans justin)NEGRON LUIS 122 5.00 10% 9.20 10.20  
CLASSICAL 1 6 3 31 78 6612¼ (evans justin)PENA BRYAN 124 4.50 12.20  
LIMITED HEATWAVE 6 7 8 7 6 7713 (barraza rafa)FIGUEROA CERAPIO 122 8.00 25.60  
HEIR (FR) 8 8 7 8 812 8816¾ (belvoir vann)AYUSO ARMANDO 122 6.00 9.70  
 
TUP-8   02/20/2024 3630ft DIRT FAST Optional Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($18K) 4UP ALL PT- 6:20
See original race card.
:214 :45 :57     1:033   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
XTREME MAYHEM 3 7 4 31   1½ 1(martinez esteban)LOPEZ KARLO 122 6.00 2.50  
ROLL DEM BONES 7 3 5 5   32(soto anto)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 122 6.00 12.20 P
MOONLITE GRAHAM 2 5 31 4   43(barraza s)RADKE K 122 3.00 59% 0.70 2.70 S
NEW EVERY MORNING 5 1 1nk 2nk   2½ 42 (gutierrez qu)CRUZ M 124 3.50 7.70  
BLUE SKYE JADE 6 4 7 7   652 (williams dewey)LULL E 122 8.00 5% 19.00 23.70  
KALINE 4 6 6 6   76(mccartney jack)VALDES ALEXIS 122 20.00 49.00  
CANNONBALL COMIN 8 2 2nk 1nk   53 7(silva jr)ARBOLEDA ALDO 122 2.50 12% 7.30 1.20  
FANCY PAYNTER 1 8 8 8   8811¾ (tate mary)PENA BRYAN 122 15.00 62.50  
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.