Handicappers' Racing Form

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Turf Paradise
Tuesday - February 20, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss

TUP-1   Win (1/5/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00
TUP-2   Win (5/6/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00
TUP-3   Win (2/5/3/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00
TUP-4   Win (1/6/3/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00
TUP-5   Win (2/4/3/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00
TUP-6   Win (7/8/5/3/9) 5 $2.00 $10.00
TUP-7   Win (3/4/5/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00
TUP-8   Win (2/8/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

 
TUP-1   02/20/2024 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($8.5K) Purse ($18K) 4UP ALL PT- 2:55
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
WESTWARD LOOK Feb06 Oct27 Sep29 Sep10 Aug27 (miller peter)ESPINOZA ASSAEL 124 2.00 48% 1.10    
TRACK BOUND Feb06 Jan18 Nov21 Apr02 Mar11 (alvarez sergi)MCGREGOR KIAMAN 124 10.00 5% 19.00    
FRISCO KID Jan29 Dec05 Sep03 Aug13 Jul30 (villamar cand)MORALES ROBERTO 124 6.00    
SCR  BEACH HOLIDAY Feb12 Jan03 Dec21 Dec12 Dec04 (gomez alejandro)CRUZ M 124 5.00    
MISCHIEVOUSHOLIDAY Jan18 Nov21 Oct21 Sep23 Jul28 (alvarez sergio)LOPEZ KARLO 124 4.00 23% 3.30    
BOSS NINE Feb03 Jan12 Dec01 Jul09 May29 (lucarelli frank)ENRIQUEZ D 124 3.00    
SCR  LUCKY SMILE Jan30 Dec06 Nov21 Nov16 Nov08 (gomez alejandro)PENA BRYAN 124 15.00    
 
TUP-2   02/20/2024 3300ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4.5K) Purse ($13.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:23
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SO CAL MEMORY Jan30 Jul08 Apr26 Jan22 Nov08 (cruz omar)KELLENBERGER KODY 122 3.50 10% 9.30    
IMPASSIONED CLAIM Jan31 Oct13 Aug26 Jul31 Jul02 (whitehouse wilton)CORBETT W 124 3.00    
ROUGE SUNSET Jan30 Oct15 Sep04 Jul30 Jul10 (diaz luis)IRONEYES R 117 10.00    
TALE OF TRUTH Jan30 Nov14 Oct13 Sep30 Sep14 (torres-casas )MORALES ROBERTO 122 5.00    
JAIME'S COMMITMENT Feb05 Jan21 Dec26 Dec09 Nov04 (bainum ke)BRAVO MISAEL 119 2.00 52% 0.90    
PRINCE OTTO Oct22 Oct07 Sep30 Sep03 Aug13 (esquibel mark)LULL E 122 6.00 17% 4.90    
 
TUP-3   02/20/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($8.5K) Purse ($16K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:51
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ALL THE KING'S MEN Jan30 Dec17 Nov25 Oct28 Oct09 (cappellucci dick)NEGRON LUIS 124 2.50    
BIG WAY Jan26 Dec20 Dec04 Nov07 Oct25 (bratcher ryan)MORALES ROBERTO 124 4.00 40% 1.50    
B R KIDD ROCK Feb05 Jan19 Dec20 Nov07 Sep20 (dennison dan)MONTANEZ ROSARIO 124 5.00 10% 8.70    
QUEENS EFFORT Feb05 Dec18 Oct14 Sep09   (gleason m)LOPEZ KARLO 124 8.00 5% 19.00    
SCOPELLO Feb05 Dec18 Dec04 Nov13 Sep09 (mcfarlane l)ARBOLEDA ALDO 124 3.50 27% 2.60    
NOTACRY Feb05 Jul09 Jun10 Mar27 Jan30 (kenney ryan)PENA BRYAN 124 4.50    
IOWA HAWKEYE Jan30 Aug19 Aug05 Jun17 Jan02 (caraman m)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 124 10.00    
 
TUP-4   02/20/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($8.5K) Purse ($16K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:19
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SPRINKLES Oct28 Oct08 Jul30 Jul16 Jul01 (matt wendell )MORALES ALLYSSA 124 5.00 54% 0.90    
COPPER BO TEN Dec31 Nov25 Nov05 Sep10 Aug05 (diodoro rober)ESPINOZA ASSAEL 124 3.00    
COCKTAIL PRINCESS Jan05 Nov24 Dec11 Nov05 Oct10 (evans justin)NEGRON LUIS 124 3.50 7% 13.00    
ILA VEIW TOO Jan29 Dec01 Nov02 Oct08 Sep22 (belvoir vann)AYUSO ARMANDO 124 4.00    
HEAVENLY VIOLET Feb06 Jan14 Dec29 Dec08 Nov18 (williams dewey)RADKE K 124 12.00    
EYES FOR GOLD Dec20 Nov25 Nov14 Oct28 May28 (hone bart)VALENZUELA A 124 6.00 18% 4.50    
PANCAKES AND BEER May01 Apr19 Apr08 Feb15 Apr28 (grissom w)MAWING A 124 10.00    
SHE'S SO FANCY Sep16 Aug12 Jul07 May19 Mar17 (esquibel mark)LULL E 124 8.00 5% 19.00    
 
TUP-5   02/20/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($25K) Purse ($29K) 4UP ALL PT- 4:49
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BRADY BOY Feb12 Jan01 Aug18 Jul28 Jul09 (valerio ray)VALENZUELA A 124 4.50    
THE SINNER IS YOU Feb01 Oct26 Sep21 Sep13 Aug28 (rojas murray)MONTANEZ ROSARIO 124 5.00 30% 2.30    
PRAYER OF JABEZ Jan29 Jan05 Nov28 Oct27 Sep03 (kereluk edward)LULL E 124 3.00 11% 8.40    
MEDIMPACT Jan25 Jan11 Oct29 Oct01 Sep03 (cappellucci dick)NEGRON LUIS 124 4.00 21% 3.70    
CREATIVE BID Nov06 Oct04 Sep03 Oct05 Aug28 (hernandez mig)MORALES ROBERTO 124 6.00 5% 19.00    
EL ALTO HOMBRE Jan15 Dec03 Nov18 Oct09 Sep03 (kowalski liz)MAWING A 124 10.00    
MR. STANG Feb01 Jan01 Dec03 Mar11 Feb18 (lucarelli frank)ENRIQUEZ D 124 3.50    
 
TUP-6   02/20/2024 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($14K) 4UP ALL PT- 5:19
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MOVE OVER (GB) Nov17 Aug09 Jul29 Jul16 Jun24 (hernandez mig)MORALES ROBERTO 124 12.00    
TAINO Jan30 Dec05 Nov26 Nov13 Nov06 (gomez alejandro)CRUZ M 124 20.00    
SUBSIDIZE Dec09 Nov12 Oct27 Sep29 Aug27 (belvoir vann)ESPINOZA ASSAEL 124 12.00 6% 16.50    
SCR  SMOOTH PAPA Feb12 Jan31 Dec04 Nov07 Oct31 (fearon johnat)MCGREGOR KIAMAN 124 20.00    
JOKER MATT Feb06 Nov21 Oct25 Oct15 Sep17 (silva jr)NEGRON LUIS 124 3.50 12% 7.40    
SCR  NORTHCUT Jan29 Nov21 Oct28 Oct07 Sep15 (silva jr)ARBOLEDA ALDO 124 6.00    
KIRBY DERBY Feb05 Jan11 Nov28 Nov07 Oct29 (woolley l)LOPEZ KARLO 124 4.00 41% 1.40    
TIZ TACT TOE Oct24 Oct09 Sep18 Sep06 Aug23 (rojas l)CORBETT W 124 5.00 14% 6.30    
MY CALL Mar25 Feb22 Feb01 Sep08 Jul19 (dominguez a)VALENZUELA A 124 15.00 5% 19.00    
10  STEALTH MISSION Jan30 Oct29 Oct18 Sep29 Sep16 (silv)DA FAUSTO 124 3.00    
11  MY DAD IS THIRSTY Feb09 Jan12 Dec29 Dec02 Nov18 (perez s)VALDES ALEXIS 124 8.00    
 
TUP-7   02/20/2024 5280ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($15K) Purse ($31K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:50
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CLASSICAL Jan31 Dec17 Nov18 Oct27 Oct01 (evans justin)PENA BRYAN 124 4.50    
PAID IN FULL Feb05 Nov18 Oct14 Sep07 Jul31 (person a)CRUZ M 124 8.00    
RIVERSIDE Feb06 Jan25 Dec17 Oct29 Jul22 (silva l)ESPINOZA ASSAEL 122 4.00 42% 1.40    
KEEN HEIR Feb06 Jan06 Dec02 Nov10 Oct08 (mcfarlane l)LOPEZ KARLO 122 3.00 12% 7.30    
SALINE RIVER Jan30 Oct26 Sep27 Aug31 May06 (diodoro r)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 122 5.00 10% 8.60    
LIMITED HEATWAVE Dec02 Nov04 Oct01 Sep16 Aug03 (barraza rafa)FIGUEROA CERAPIO 122 8.00    
ADMIRAL HALSEY Jan31 Aug26 Apr02 Feb20 May08 (evans justin)NEGRON LUIS 122 5.00 10% 9.20    
HEIR (FR) Jan30 Jan01 Nov11 Oct21 Sep22 (belvoir vann)AYUSO ARMANDO 122 6.00    
 
TUP-8   02/20/2024 3630ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($18K) 4UP ALL PT- 6:20
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
FANCY PAYNTER Feb01 Nov11 Oct18 Sep05 Aug24 (tate mary)PENA BRYAN 122 15.00    
MOONLITE GRAHAM Dec11 Nov06 Oct15 Sep30 Aug12 (barraza s)RADKE K 122 3.00 59% 0.70    
XTREME MAYHEM Oct04 May29 May06 Apr11 Mar14 (martinez esteban)LOPEZ KARLO 122 6.00    
KALINE Apr12 Mar29 Jan05 Oct07 Aug28 (mccartney jack)VALDES ALEXIS 122 20.00    
NEW EVERY MORNING Jan30 Jan05 Dec17 Oct13 Sep17 (gutierrez qu)CRUZ M 124 3.50    
BLUE SKYE JADE Jan29 Oct22 Oct08 Sep24 Sep04 (williams dewey)LULL E 122 8.00 5% 19.00    
ROLL DEM BONES Dec12 Dec05 Oct04 Sep13 Aug29 (soto anto)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 122 6.00    
CANNONBALL COMIN Nov14 Oct21 Oct04 Aug05 Jul19 (silva jr)ARBOLEDA ALDO 122 2.50 12% 7.30    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.