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Handicappers' Race Results

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Sweetwater Downs
Sunday - September 24, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

			Wgr	Pick														Tot	Bet	Bet	Winning		Pay
			Type	Numbers														Tkts	Unit	Amt	Numbers		Amt			Profit				ROI

SWF-5			WIN	(5/3/4)														3	$2.00	$6.00	5		$8.00			$2.00				33%
			EXA	(5/3/4)-(5/3/4)														6	$1.00	$6.00	5-4		$9.20			$3.20				53%
			TRI	(5/3/4)-(5/3/4)-(5/3/4)														6	$0.50	$3.00	5-4-ALL		$40.50			$37.50				1250%
SWF-7			WIN	(1/4/2/8)														4	$2.00	$8.00	2		$12.80			$4.80				60%
			EXA	(1/4/2/8)-(1/4/2/8)														12	$1.00	$12.00	2-ALL		$16.00			$4.00				33%
SWF-8			WIN	(3/7/6)														3	$2.00	$6.00	7		$6.80			$0.80				13%
			EXA	(3/7/6)-(3/7/6)														6	$1.00	$6.00	7-3		$11.80			$5.80				97%
			TRI	(3/7/6)-(3/7/6)-(3/7/6)														6	$0.50	$3.00	7-3-6		$10.35			$7.35				245%
SWF-9			WIN	(8/5/6/4)														4	$2.00	$8.00	6		$12.20			$4.20				53%
			EXA	(8/5/6/4)-(8/5/6/4)														12	$1.00	$12.00	6-8		$19.60			$7.60				63%
			SFT	(8/5/6/4)-(8/5/6/4)-(8/5/6/4)-(8/5/6/4)														24	$0.10	$2.40	6-8-4-5		$3.43			$1.03				43%
			DD	(3/7/6)-(8/5/6/4)														12	$2.00	$24.00	7-ALL		$24.80			$0.80				3%

Simulator Race results


SWF-4			09/24/2023		3630ft		DIRT			RC7			FAST			Claiming ($2.5K)						Purse ($7.5K)			3UP		ALL		PT- 4:15
See original race card.
	1:07³					1:07³				PP		ST	C1	C2	C3		STR	FIN								M/L		W/P		B/E	F/O
1	BUG ZAPPER							1	2		4^¼		5^1¼		1^½		1^¼	(tsosie te)KELLENBERGER KODY 126						5.00						8.70
2	CHISMOSO							2	6		6^2¾		6^1¼		2^½		2^¼	(fitzpatrick )CARILLO DANIEL 126						8.00						5.60
5	BRAVE HELIOS							5	3		5^¾		3^½		3^1½		3^4½	(ness john)GAMEZ M 126						8.00						30.70
3	DON'T ASK							3	1		1^nk		4^¾		4²		4⁵	(evans kash)AGUILAR DANIEL 126						3.50						2.80
4	DILLON ROCKS							4	4		2^nk		1^nk		5²		5^5½	(bethke troy )BETHKE A 126						2.00		46%		1.20		2.00
7	STALKING SHADOW							7	7		7^3¼		7^3¼		6⁴		6^6½	(greene skyler)RAMOS MANUEL 126						8.00		5%		19.00		46.60
6	BRUIN MAGIC							6	5		3^.2		2^nk		7⁵		7¹¹	(schindler j)PADILLA ANSELMO 126						4.50		25%		3.10		1.80

SWF-5			09/24/2023		3630ft		DIRT			RC7			FAST			Claiming ($4K)						Purse ($7.6K)			3UP		M/F		PT- 4:40
See original race card.
	1:07²					1:07²				PP		ST	C1	C2	C3		STR	FIN								M/L		W/P		B/E	F/O
5	SNICKEL TE							5	6		7⁶		6^2¾		1³		1⁴	(christoffers)AGUILAR DANIEL 126						3.00		51%		0.90		3.00	W
4	SHAWTAY							4	2		2¹		2^½		2³		2⁴	(taylor jo)BOBROFF JACQUELYN 126						6.00		5%		19.00		3.30	P
2	AIN'T SHE DAHRLIN							2	1		1¹		1^½		3⁴		3^4¾	(hall dru)LUSK TYSON 126						4.50						2.50
6	MAGIC IN A HAT							6	3		4^2½		4^2½		4⁵		4^8¼	(schindler je)BETHKE A 126						3.50						5.80
3	A BUNCH FOR LUNCH							3	5		3²		3²		5⁷		5^13¾	(ness john)GAMEZ M 126						4.00		23%		3.40		4.30
1	SUE HAPPY							1	4		6⁵		7^2¾		6¹⁰		6^19½	(tsosie te)KELLENBERGER KODY 126						8.00						5.70
7	POSEIDON'S MAGIC							7	7		5⁴		5^2½		7¹⁹		7⁴⁰	(fitzpatrick rya)GARNETT G 126						8.00

SWF-6			09/24/2023		3630ft		DIRT			RC4			FAST			Maiden Claimer ($10K)						Purse ($6.5K)			3		ALL		PT- 5:05
See original race card.
	1:08					1:08				PP		ST	C1	C2	C3		STR	FIN								M/L		W/P		B/E	F/O
3	LEAP DAY							3	3		5^1¼		3³		1¹		1¹	(tsosie te)KELLENBERGER KODY 124						2.50		32%		2.20		2.10	W
6	THE BUSINESS MAN							6	4		2¹		2²		3^1½		2¹	(brown ross)GAMEZ M 124						4.50						9.90
5	GLORYS ROMANCE							5	1		1¹		1²		2¹		3^5¾	(garfias d)BOBROFF JACQUELYN 121						4.50		38%		1.60		6.00	S
7	MCBRUTAL							7	8		3¹		4^3½		4^2½		4⁸	(christoffers)AGUILAR DANIEL 121						12.00		5%		19.00		4.70
4	FLUORITE							4	7		4^1¼		5⁴		7^2¾		5^10½	(dominguez c)DOMINGUEZ URIEL 121						3.00		★				3.60
2	MIDNIGHT KID							2	5		6^1¾		7⁸		6^2¾		6^11½	(openshaw jam)CARILLO DANIEL 124						12.00						9.30
1	C G BEER MONEY							1	2		7²		6⁶		5^2½		7^11½	(goodrich colby)RAMOS MANUEL 124						10.00						6.70
8	PERFECT SELINA							8	6		8²		8¹⁰		8^14¾		8^36½	(martin francy)GARNETT G 121						10.00						13.60
SCR	GRONKSKY																	(mitchell r)GAMEZ M 124						8.00
SCR	NAPO																	(ibanez alberto)GARNETT G 124						8.00

SWF-7			09/24/2023		4290ft		DIRT			RC7			FAST			Claiming ($5K)						Purse ($8.1K)			3UP		ALL		PT- 5:30
See original race card.
	1:19⁴					1:19⁴				PP		ST	C1	C2	C3		STR	FIN								M/L		W/P		B/E	F/O
2	THIRTYMINUTEMASS							2	1		6⁵		6⁶		1^nk		1³	(simpson gary)AGUILAR DANIEL 126						4.00		10%		9.50		5.40	W
8	ALTERNATE TIME							8	4		4³		4^4½		4^1¼		2³	(greene skyler)RAMOS MANUEL 126						4.50		6%		14.60		9.50	P
5	SCOTTY WHO							5	6		2^nk		2¹		3¹		3³	(warren kayla)GAMEZ M 126						4.50						2.60
4	EXTRA SAUCE							4	5		1^nk		1¹		2^nk		4⁶	(story shaun)PADILLA ANSELMO 123						3.50		16%		5.40		4.40
1	NICE WORK							1	8		8^6¼		5^5½		5^1¼		5^10¼	(hall dru)LUSK TYSON 126						5.00		43%		1.30		3.90
6	AUSTIN'S ACE							6	7		5⁴		7^6½		6^1¾		6^11½	(tsosie te)KELLENBERGER KODY 126						6.00						5.60
7	VISONARY STAR							7	2		3^1½		3^1½		7^2¼		7¹³	(greene pa)BOBROFF JACQUELYN 126						10.00						14.60
3	MEAN CANNON							3	3		7^5¼		8^9½		8^3¼		8¹³	(vicchrilli r)BETHKE A 126						10.00						7.10

SWF-8			09/24/2023		4290ft		DIRT			RC7			FAST			Claiming ($10K)						Purse ($8.2K)			3UP		ALL		PT- 5:55
See original race card.
	1:18					1:18				PP		ST	C1	C2	C3		STR	FIN								M/L		W/P		B/E	F/O
7	STAR OF STARS							5	2		1¹		1²		1³		1^8½	(bethke troy )BETHKE A 126						3.00		28%		2.60		2.40	W
3	BALI STAR							3	3		2¹		2²		2³		2^8½	(story shaun)PADILLA ANSELMO 126						4.50		36%		1.80		4.70	P
6	BAYTOWN MACCA							4	4		4³		4^2¼		4⁵		3^10¼	(hall dru)LUSK TYSON 126						3.50		15%		5.50		1.00	S
2	KESSLER KID							2	1		3²		3²		3⁵		4^13¼	(higgins m)BOBROFF JACQUELYN 126						4.00						4.10
1	ALPINE HYPNOSIS							1	5		5⁸		5^11¼		5¹⁴		5^23¾	(williams dew)AGUILAR DANIEL 126						6.00						8.80
SCR	KEENEYE GEORGE																	(gibbs tyl)KELLENBERGER KODY 126						8.00
SCR	TAPPED TO THE MAX																	(bethke a)WOOD DAKOTA 126						8.00

SWF-9			09/24/2023		3960ft		DIRT			RC11			FAST			Exacta						Purse ($11.6K)			3UP		ALL		PT- 6:20
See original race card.
	1:13²					1:13²				PP		ST	C1	C2	C3		STR	FIN								M/L		W/P		B/E	F/O
6	KONA SKYE							5	3		3¹		4^1¼		1^nk		1¹	(hadley to)KELLENBERGER KODY 128						5.00		10%		8.60		5.10	W
		(by U S RANGER out of SQUEEZE ME TIGHT by GOLDEN MISSILE)
8	STREET BEHAVIOR							7	4		4^1½		2^nk		2^nk		2¹	(giles rae)BOBROFF JACQUELYN 128						3.50		35%		1.90		1.30	P
		(by STREET SENSE out of EXOTIC BEHAVIOR by GIANT'S CAUSEWAY)
4	BLUE SKYE JADE							3	1		2¹		1^nk		3^.2		3³	(williams dew)AGUILAR DANIEL 128						4.00		8%		11.60		2.60	S
		(by CLUBHOUSE RIDE out of KIAMA by GHOSTZAPPER)
5	TULSA TIME							4	6		1¹		3^.2		4^3¼		4^6¾	(vicchrilli r)BETHKE A 128						3.00		22%		3.50		4.70
		(by TULSA TE out of MISS CASTELLI by INDIAN CHARLIE)
7	MUSKET POWDER							6	5		5^4½		6^1½		5^3¾		5^7¾	(scudder mike)GAMEZ M 128						10.00						10.60
		(by MUSKETIER out of WALK ON by FRIENDS LAKE)
1	LOST THE MINISTER							1	2		6^5½		5^1¼		6^4¼		6^9¾	(warren kayla)LUSK TYSON 128						8.00						12.10
		(by MINISTERS WILD CAT out of LOST BRIDE by PIONEERING)
2	CREATIVE LETTERS							2	7		7⁶		7^2½		7^4¾		7^10¼	(ibanez alberto)GARNETT G 128						12.00						23.70
		(by CREATIVE CAUSE out of TRAIL OF LETTERS by BOLD EXECUTIVE)
SCR	SUPERMAN SHAQ																	(dominguez c)DOMINGUEZ URIEL 128						8.00
		(by SHACKLEFORD out of DRUMETTE by HENNY HUGHES)



	Labels:
	M/L	Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
	W/P	Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
	B/E	Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
	F/O	Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

	Two Groups of Contenders:
	Win Contenders
		The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
	Place/Show Contenders
		The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

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