Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Sweetwater Downs
Sunday - September 24, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
SWF-4   WIN (4/6/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/6/7)-(4/6/7) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/6/7)-(4/6/7)-(4/6/7) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (4/6/7)-(5/3/4) 9 $2.00 $18.00 
SWF-5   WIN (5/3/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/3/4)-(5/3/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/3/4)-(5/3/4)-(5/3/4) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
SWF-6   WIN (5/3/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/3/7)-(5/3/4/7) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (5/3/7)-(5/3/4/7)-(5/3/4/7) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
SWF-7   WIN (1/4/2/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/4/2/8)-(1/4/2/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/4/2/8)-(1/4/2/8)-(1/4/2/8) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
SWF-8   WIN (3/7/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/7/6)-(3/7/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/7/6)-(3/7/6)-(3/7/6) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (3/7/6)-(8/5/6/4) 12 $2.00 $24.00 
SWF-9   WIN (8/5/6/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (8/5/6/4)-(8/5/6/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (8/5/6/4)-(8/5/6/4)-(8/5/6/4) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
SWF-4   09/24/2023 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($2.5K) Purse ($7.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BUG ZAPPER Sep10 Sep02 Aug19 Aug05 Jul15 (tsosie te)KELLENBERGER KODY 126 5.00    
2  CHISMOSO Sep10 Sep03 Aug09 Jun24 May30 (fitzpatrick )CARILLO DANIEL 126 8.00    
3  DON'T ASK Sep09 Aug18 Aug06 Jul08 Jun18 (evans ka)HERNANDEZ J 126 3.50    
4  DILLON ROCKS Aug13 Aug02 Jul19 Jul03 Jun03 (bethke troy )BETHKE A 126 2.00 46% 1.20    
5  BRAVE HELIOS Sep02 Jul22 Jun25 Jun11 Sep26 (ness john)GAMEZ M 126 8.00    
6  BRUIN MAGIC Sep09 Aug27 Jul30 Jul23 Jul08 (schindler j)PADILLA ANSELMO 126 4.50 25% 3.10    
7  STALKING SHADOW Sep08 Aug27 Aug06 Jul30 Jul15 (greene skyler)RAMOS MANUEL 126 8.00 5% 19.00    
 
SWF-5   09/24/2023 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($7.6K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:40
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SUE HAPPY Aug27 Aug05 Jul16 Jun18 Jun09 (tsosie te)KELLENBERGER KODY 126 8.00    
2  AIN'T SHE DAHRLIN Sep10 Aug27 Jun25 May02 Apr18 (hall dru)LUSK TYSON 126 4.50    
3  A BUNCH FOR LUNCH Jul29 Jul22 Jul15 Jun24 Sep12 (ness john)GAMEZ M 126 4.00 23% 3.40    
4  SHAWTAY Aug27 Sep16 Aug28 Aug07 Jul16 (taylor jo)RIVAS CARLOS 126 6.00 5% 19.00    
5  SNICKEL TE Sep02 Aug26 Jul22 Jul09 Jun18 (christoff)DE TORRE 126 3.00 51% 0.90    
6  MAGIC IN A HAT Sep10 Jul29 Jul23 Jul15 Jun18 (schindle)HERNANDEZ J 126 3.50    
7  POSEIDON'S MAGIC Sep02 Aug27 Aug11 Aug09 Jul23 (fitzpatrick rya)GARNETT G 126 8.00    
 
SWF-6   09/24/2023 3630ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($10K) Purse ($6.5K) 3 ALL PT- 5:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  C G BEER MONEY Sep02 Jul30 Jul15 Jun11 Jun04 (goodrich colby)RAMOS MANUEL 124 10.00    
2  MIDNIGHT KID Sep09         (openshaw jam)CARILLO DANIEL 124 12.00    
3  LEAP DAY Sep09 Sep03 Jul30     (tsosie te)KELLENBERGER KODY 124 2.50 32% 2.20    
4  FLUORITE Sep09 Aug19 Jul16 Jul08 May28 (dominguez c)DOMINGUEZ URIEL 121 3.00 ★    
5  GLORYS ROMANCE Sep08 Aug27 Aug06 Jul15 Jun18 (garfias d)BOBROFF JACQUELYN 121 4.50 38% 1.60    
6  THE BUSINESS MAN Sep09 Aug19 Aug04 Jun16   (brown ros)RIVAS CARLOS 124 4.50    
7  MCBRUTAL Sep03 Jul16       (christoff)DE TORRE 121 12.00 5% 19.00    
8  PERFECT SELINA Sep10 Sep08 Aug27 Jul30 Jun18 (martin francy)GARNETT G 121 10.00    
SCR  GRONKSKY Sep10 Jul30 Jul08 Jun25   (mitchell r)GAMEZ M 124 8.00    
SCR  NAPO Sep10 Jul31 Jul15 Jun18 May27 (ibanez alberto)GARNETT G 124 8.00    
 
SWF-7   09/24/2023 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($8.1K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  NICE WORK Sep03 Aug06 Jul02 Jun17 Jun04 (hall dru)LUSK TYSON 126 5.00 43% 1.30    
2  THIRTYMINUTEMASS Sep08 Aug18 Aug05 Jul09 Jun24 (simpson gary)AGUILAR DANIEL 126 4.00 10% 9.50    
3  MEAN CANNON Sep10 Aug19 Aug05 May16 Apr12 (vicchrilli r)BETHKE A 126 10.00    
4  EXTRA SAUCE Sep04 Aug05 Jul22 Jul01 May05 (story shaun)PADILLA ANSELMO 123 3.50 16% 5.40    
5  SCOTTY WHO Sep09 Sep04 Aug26 Aug06 Jul29 (warren k)HERNANDEZ J 126 4.50    
6  AUSTIN'S ACE Sep08 Aug26 Aug05 Jul15 Jul02 (tsosie te)KELLENBERGER KODY 126 6.00    
7  VISONARY STAR Sep10 Sep02 Aug19 Aug05 Jul22 (greene pa)BOBROFF JACQUELYN 126 10.00    
8  ALTERNATE TIME Sep10 Sep02 Aug19 Aug05 Jul29 (greene skyler)RAMOS MANUEL 126 4.50 6% 14.60    
 
SWF-8   09/24/2023 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($8.2K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ALPINE HYPNOSIS Sep04 Aug26 Aug06 Jul30 Jul14 (williams dew)AGUILAR DANIEL 126 6.00    
2  KESSLER KID Sep03 Aug19 Aug05 Jul15 Jun25 (higgins )HERNANDEZ J 126 4.00    
3  BALI STAR Sep10 Sep02 Aug05 Jul22 Jul15 (story shaun)PADILLA ANSELMO 126 4.50 36% 1.80    
SCR  KEENEYE GEORGE Sep09 Sep04 Aug13 Jul23 Jun24 (gibbs tyl)KELLENBERGER KODY 126 8.00    
SCR  TAPPED TO THE MAX Aug05 Jul20 Jun03 Feb18 Oct04 (bethke a)WOOD DAKOTA 126 8.00    
6  BAYTOWN MACCA Sep09 Sep03 Aug05 Apr23 Jan31 (hall dru)LUSK TYSON 126 3.50 15% 5.50    
7  STAR OF STARS Sep10 Sep02 Aug19 Aug10 Jul15 (bethke troy )BETHKE A 126 3.00 28% 2.60    
 
SWF-9   09/24/2023 3960ft DIRT RC11 FAST Exacta Purse ($11.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LOST THE MINISTER Sep09 Jul29 Jul22 Jul15 Jun18 (warren k)HERNANDEZ J 128 8.00    
  (by MINISTERS WILD CAT out of LOST BRIDE by PIONEERING)
2  CREATIVE LETTERS Sep08 Sep03 Aug19 Aug06 Jul23 (ibanez alberto)GARNETT G 128 12.00    
  (by CREATIVE CAUSE out of TRAIL OF LETTERS by BOLD EXECUTIVE)
SCR  SUPERMAN SHAQ Sep15 Sep09 Aug19 Aug05 Sep18 (dominguez c)DOMINGUEZ URIEL 128 8.00    
  (by SHACKLEFORD out of DRUMETTE by HENNY HUGHES)
4  BLUE SKYE JADE Sep04 Aug19 Aug06 Jul15 Jun17 (williams dew)AGUILAR DANIEL 128 4.00 8% 11.60    
  (by CLUBHOUSE RIDE out of KIAMA by GHOSTZAPPER)
5  TULSA TIME Sep02 Aug20 Jul22 Jul09 Jun19 (vicchrilli r)BETHKE A 128 3.00 22% 3.50    
  (by TULSA TE out of MISS CASTELLI by INDIAN CHARLIE)
6  KONA SKYE Jul15 Jul01 Jun17 Jun03 Aug07 (hadley to)KELLENBERGER KODY 128 5.00 10% 8.60    
  (by U S RANGER out of SQUEEZE ME TIGHT by GOLDEN MISSILE)
7  MUSKET POWDER Sep02 Aug26 Aug06 Jul29 Jul15 (scudder mike)CARILLO DANIEL 128 10.00    
  (by MUSKETIER out of WALK ON by FRIENDS LAKE)
8  STREET BEHAVIOR Sep09 Aug19 Aug06 Jul30 Jul02 (giles rae)RIVAS CARLOS 128 3.50 35% 1.90    
  (by STREET SENSE out of EXOTIC BEHAVIOR by GIANT'S CAUSEWAY)
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.