Handicappers' Race Results
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The Longshot Hunter!
Turf Paradise
Thursday - February 15, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bet Results
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
TUP-4   EXA (1/2)-(1/2) 2 $1.00 $2.00  2-1 $5.00 $3.00 150%
TUP-5   WIN (1/5/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00  2 $9.60 $3.60 60%
    DD (1/2)-(1/5/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00  2-2 $14.20 $8.20 137%
TUP-6   DD (1/5/2)-(3/6/5) 9 $1.00 $9.00  2-6 $16.80 $7.80 87%
    PK3 (1/2)-(1/5/2)-(3/6/5) 18 $0.50 $9.00  2-2-1/6 $13.50 $4.50 50%
TUP-9   WIN (3/2/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00  3 $8.00 $2.00 33%
    TRI (3/2/1)-(3/2/6/1)-(3/2/6/1) 18 $0.50 $9.00  3-2-6 $16.15 $7.15 79%
    SFT (3/2/1)-(3/2/6/1)-(3/2/6/1)-(3/2/6/1) 18 $0.10 $1.80  3-2-6-1 $9.71 $7.91 439%
TUP-10   DD (3/2/1)-(8/6/7/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00  3-7 $24.00 $12.00 100%
Simulator Race results
 
TUP-4   02/15/2024 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($8.5K) Purse ($16.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:23
See original race card.
:241 :472 1:111 1:233   1:371   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
2  TOP OF MY GAME 2 2 1nk 2nk 22½ 21½ 1nk (silva jr)ARBOLEDA ALDO 122 2.00 25% 3.00 1.20 W
1  CONRADO 1 1 2nk 1nk 12½ 11½ 2nk (vitali j)LOPEZ KARLO 122 2.50 31% 2.30 1.00 P
3  BRANNIGAN 3 3 31½ 31½ 35 35½ 38 (perez s)PENA BRYAN 122 5.00 11.30  
4  MOON TIME 4 4 41¾ 43½ 412 419½ 426 (person kenneth )CRUZ M 122 3.00 3.10  
SCR  AIR JOCK               (mcfarlane)VALENZUELA A 122 4.50    
 
TUP-5   02/15/2024 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4.5K) Purse ($13.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:50
See original race card.
:231 :46 1:104     1:173   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
2  PAISLEY'S VISION 2 3 1nk 1nk   2nk 1hd (eikleberry kevi)CORBETT W 122 5.00 5% 19.00 3.80 W
6  GET MY POINT 6 2 2nk 2nk   1nk 2hd (belvoir van)ESPINOZA ASSAEL 122 3.50 2.20  
5  BEA MISCHIEF 5 1 51¼ 3½   31½ 32½ (silva jr)ARBOLEDA ALDO 122 2.50 10% 9.10 2.10 S
1  SEE YOU AT THE TOP 1 5 41 42   43 44½ (si)DA FAUSTO 122 4.00 59% 0.70 8.40  
4  ASSUREDLY 4 4 3½ 52½   59 59¼ (diodoro roberti)LOPEZ KARLO 122 3.00 2.50  
3  VALDINI 3 6 69¼ 67   69½ 69½ (villamar c)MONTANEZ ROSARIO 117 6.00 23.50  
 
TUP-6   02/15/2024 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($15K) Purse ($20K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:17
See original race card.
:232 :47 1:122 1:262   1:39   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
6  LEMON DROP LADY 5 2 43¾ 35½ 21½ 1nk 13½ (hone bart)CORBETT W 124 4.00 23% 3.40 1.30 W
3  WILLOWMYGIRL 2 4 33½ 46 34½ 33½ 23½ (woolley bennie )LOPEZ KARLO 124 3.50 33% 2.00 2.30 P
2  MINEDANDREFINED 1 1 13½ 15 11½ 2nk 33¾ (evans justin)NEGRON LUIS 124 2.50 1.60  
4  M G BIG MARIA 3 5 55¾ 57½ 46½ 46 47 (hone bart)VALENZUELA A 124 6.00 8.40  
5  LUNAR UNIT 4 3 23½ 25 58 520 523½ (vitali )RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 124 8.00 5% 19.00 17.40  
SCR  RUBY RAY               (evans justin)CONTRERAS LUIS 124 3.00    
 
TUP-7   02/15/2024 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($15K) Purse ($20K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:44
See original race card.
:242 :482 1:122 1:244   1:373   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
7  DISCRETIONARY DAY 7 1 2nk 1nk 1nk 1nk 1¼ (diodoro)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 124 3.00 ★ 1.30  
4  LEGALLY REDDY 4 4 1nk 2nk 43½ 31½ 2¼ (hone bart)CORBETT W 124 3.50 65% 0.60 6.00 P
8  PLEASEUSETHEPORTAL 8 3 41¾ 31 2nk 2nk 3½ (evans justin)NEGRON LUIS 118 4.00 7.10  
1  THE RONALD 1 8 51¾ 51¾ 32 42½ 42 (barraza s)PENA BRYAN 124 10.00 5% 19.00 11.60  
5  CARPE BELLUM 5 2 31½ 41½ 54½ 54 52¾ (martinez esteba)LOPEZ KARLO 124 6.00 2.40  
2  CAPIAT 2 7 73½ 74¼ 75¾ 64¼ 63 (matt l)RADKE K 124 15.00 36.90  
3  PANZER PRIDE 3 5 83½ 84¼ 65½ 76¾ 75¾ (eikleberry ke)ARBOLEDA ALDO 124 5.00 10% 9.20 14.10  
6  STAR PROSPECT 6 6 63¼ 63¼ 87¼ 88¼ 87¾ (ferguson )VALENZUELA A 124 8.00 7.90  
 
TUP-8   02/15/2024 5280ft DIRT RC11 FAST Walter Purse ($60K) 4UP ALL PT- 5:11
See original race card.
:234 :47 1:103 1:23   1:361   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  REDLINE 1 4 43½ 53¼ 42 32 1¼ (dollase cra)ESPINOZA ASSAEL 120 3.00 4.00  
  (by TEXAS RED out of GUADALUPE HIGH by CUVEE)
5  TRUTH SEEKER 5 8 87¾ 88 74¾ 44 2¼ (barraza s)MAWING A 124 4.00 18% 4.50 6.60 P
  (by INTO MISCHIEF out of FOR ROYALTY by NOT FOR LOVE)
2  TULANE TRYST 2 3 11½ 11½ 11½ 11½ 3¾ (hernandez m)MORALES ROBERTO 120 12.00 20.90  
  (by INTO MISCHIEF out of DESIRE STREET by CONGRATS)
6  HOLDEN THE LUTE 6 1 64 43 31½ 21½ 41¼ (diodoro)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 122 5.00 ★ 5.70  
  (by MIDNIGHT LUTE out of CASINO GOLD by PROUD CITIZEN)
4  DIAMOND RIM 4 2 53½ 63¼ 62¾ 64½ 53¾ (mcfarlane l)LOPEZ KARLO 120 4.50 5% 19.00 1.70  
  (by NOT THIS TIME out of NURSE DONNA by VINDICATION)
7  TONY'S TAPIT 7 5 21½ 21½ 21½ 54 66½ (silva jr)ARBOLEDA ALDO 120 3.50 52% 0.90 2.60  
  (by TONALIST out of AUTUMN WEDDING by RUNAWAY GROOM)
8  PRINCE LANCELOT (GB) 8 6 32½ 31½ 52¼ 78 78 (evans justin)NEGRON LUIS 120 5.00 13.10  
  (by SIR PRANCEALOT out of RAINBOW VALE by MOSS VALE)
3  MY MAN BIGGIE 3 7 74¼ 77¾ 811¾ 823 829¾ (simpson shannon)CRUZ M 120 15.00 33.40  
  (by MR. BIG out of TWIN SPIRIT by YANKEE GENTLEMAN)
 
TUP-9   02/15/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4.5K) Purse ($13K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:38
See original race card.
:222 :444 :57     1:094   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
3  WORK N FLIRT 3 3 22 23½   21½ 12½ (si)DA FAUSTO 124 3.50 46% 1.20 3.00 W
2  FEEL FREE 2 4 12 13½   11½ 22½ (silva j)BRAVO MISAEL 119 2.00 31% 2.20 0.40 P
6  JESSICA BLAH BLAH 6 1 33½ 35   34½ 34¾ (vitali j)LULL E 124 4.00 ★ 13.60 S
1  PARCO 1 7 511 411   410½ 49¼ (cappellucci dic)NEGRON LUIS 124 6.00 5% 19.00 7.20  
7  HELLO BABY 7 6 49 511½   513 511¼ (ackerman)STEPHENSON NEVILLE 124 10.00 42.90  
4  KATALEYA 4 5 612 620½   624 621¼ (hurtado cl)FIGUEROA CERAPIO 118 3.00 8.80  
5  UPTOWN RHAPSODY 5 2 723 732½   733 726½ (perkins fra)MORALES ALLYSSA 124 15.00 33.10  
 
TUP-10   02/15/2024 3960ft DIRT RC11 FAST Arizona Breeders Purse ($35K) 3 F PT- 6:05
See original race card.
:223 :47 :594     1:123   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
7  X RAY VISION 6 2 31½ 2½   2nk 12½ (eikleberry)MONTANEZ ROSARIO 122 3.00 10% 8.70 2.20 W
  (by MAJESTIC HARBOR out of WINNING VISION by POLLARD'S VISION)
3  LOTSA STEEL 3 3 43½ 4¾   3.2 22½ (alvarez s)VALENZUELA A 122 6.00 6.30  
  (by LOTSA MISCHIEF out of SPINNING STEEL by HARD SPUN)
8  LOTSA GIRL 7 1 11 1½   1nk 37 (kenney ryan)CORBETT W 122 3.50 39% 1.50 1.70 S
  (by LOTSA MISCHIEF out of LET THE GIRL GO by ROCKY BAR)
5  ARIZONA LINDY 4 7 53½ 52¾   55¼ 48 (hone bart)ENRIQUEZ D 122 12.00 5% 19.00 3.90  
  (by LOTSA MISCHIEF out of AWESOME EFFORT by AWESOME AGAIN)
2  WYATT'S IN CHARGE 2 4 21 3½   42¾ 58½ (mcfarlane l)PENA BRYAN 122 5.00 8.90  
  (by LOTSA MISCHIEF out of JERSEY BUNS by JERSEY TOWN)
1  ARIZONA REINA 1 6 64½ 76¾   79¾ 612¼ (simpson shann)VALDES ALEXIS 122 12.00 18.70  
  (by LOTSA MISCHIEF out of HONEY CANDY by DESPERATELY)
6  TIA SUZI 5 5 75 64¾   68¼ 714 (alvarez se)FIGUEROA CERAPIO 122 4.00 11% 8.20 8.70  
  (by LOTSA MISCHIEF out of MY INDY KITTY by TALE OF THE CAT)
SCR  TWISTED MISCHIEF               (alvarez sergio)LULL E 122 8.00    
  (by LOTSA MISCHIEF out of MINT TWIST by CANDY RIDE (ARG))
 
TUP-11   02/15/2024 3960ft DIRT RC11 FAST Arizona Breeders Purse ($35K) 3 C/G PT- 6:32
See original race card.
:221 :454 :574     1:104   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
4  U CAN DO U 4 2 2nk 1nk   1½ 1¾ (eikleberry kevi)CORBETT W 122 3.00 5% 19.00 0.50 W
  (by LOTSA MISCHIEF out of SAINT'S CROWN by TIZNOW)
9  ARIZONA DAVIN 9 4 64½ 86¾   53¼ 2¾ (hernandez mig)VALDES ALEXIS 122 20.00 22.30  
  (by STAY THIRSTY out of SWISSARELLA by SWISS YODELER)
7  SARAH'S BIG BANG 7 7 54 32½   2½ 3¾ (belvoir v)VALENZUELA A 122 4.50 37% 1.70 8.40 S
  (by UH OH BANGO out of SARAH IN CHARGE by HIGH BRITE)
6  CAUTION CARDINAL 6 8 88 65½   63¼ 41 (story chad)MAWING A 122 15.00 21.10  
  (by STANFORD out of MS. CAUTION by MR. GREELEY)
3  DON JUAN BUBBA 3 9 910½ 99¼   75¾ 53 (eikleberry ke)ARBOLEDA ALDO 122 12.00 30.90  
  (by BOCEPHUS out of COMPLIMENTARY by PORTO VARAS)
5  CRYPTO CONSPIRACY 5 1 1nk 2nk   33 64 (eikleberry)MONTANEZ ROSARIO 122 5.00 14% 5.90 4.10  
  (by LOTSA MISCHIEF out of TIZ WILD WIND by MINISTERS WILD CAT)
10  MOON SHINE TIME 10 5 75 75¾   43 74 (kenney ryan)RADKE K 122 6.00 ★ 28.80  
  (by MOONSHINE MULLIN out of POCKETFUL by TOP HIT)
1  SHUDDER 1 6 42½ 54½   86¾ 87½ (barraza s)PENA BRYAN 122 4.00 26% 2.80 8.30  
  (by LOTSA MISCHIEF out of RYLEIGH RULER by ROMAN RULER)
2  BIYOMBO 2 3 32 44   910¼ 912¾ (eikleberry )ESPINOZA ASSAEL 122 8.00 22.20  
  (by LOTSA MISCHIEF out of MS MUMBA by ROCKPORT HARBOR)
8  ARIZONA SUMMER 8 10 1013 1017¼   1024¼ 1028½ (alvarez se)FIGUEROA CERAPIO 122 10.00 51.00  
  (by STANFORD out of SUMMERS PEACE by ORIENTATE)
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.