Handicappers' Race Results

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The Longshot Hunter!

Charles Town
Thursday - March 21, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

CT-3   WIN (5/6/8/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00  4 $11.80 $3.80 48%
    DD (2/3)-(5/6/8/4) 8 $2.00 $16.00  3-4 $40.60 $24.60 154%
    PK3 (4/2/1)-(2/3)-(5/6/8/4) 24 $1.00 $24.00  2-3-4 $45.70 $21.70 90%
CT-4   WIN (6/3/4/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00  3 $12.40 $4.40 55%
    DD (5/6/8/4)-(6/3/4/5) 16 $2.00 $32.00  4-3 $74.40 $42.40 133%
    PK3 (2/3)-(5/6/8/4)-(6/3/4/5) 32 $1.00 $32.00  3-4-3 $128.70 $96.70 302%
    PK4 (4/2/1)-(2/3)-(5/6/8/4)-(6/3/4/5) 96 $1.00 $96.00  2-3-4-3 $373.70 $277.70 289%

Simulator Race results

 
CT-1   03/21/2024 2970ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($26.5K) 3 ALL PT- 7:00
See original race card.
:221 :46       :521   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
PORK CHOP PETE 2 5 1     1nk 1 (contrer)NUNEZ MAURICIO 122 2.00 21% 3.70 1.00 W
  (by GOLDEN YEARS out of STONE COLD FLIRT by YES IT'S TRUE)
INDICATOR 4 4 4     2nk 2 (greaves vernon)REAP E 122 1.80 42% 1.40 1.80 P
  (by LIMEHOUSE out of DALYA by WERBLIN)
SEA OF TRANQUILITY 5 1 2     34 312½ (contreras)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 122 10.00 13.10  
  (by ALDRIN out of FRENCH OAK by ARCH)
GREATEST NOTION 3 3 54     4 413 (joy j)MENDEZ MARSHALL 122 3.00 3.70  
  (by GREAT NOTION out of HAPPY HAUNTS by HARD SPUN)
TUP'S TO TAKE 1 6 67     511 518¾ (jones michae)TROTMAN KEIMAR 122 6.00 14% 6.40 29.40  
  (by TUP TAKE' PLEASE out of BRENDAS KISS by SMOKE GLACKEN)
CEDAR RUNS FIBER 6 2 3     613 629¾ (grams timothy )REYNOLDS C 122 12.00 20.80  
  (by FIBER SONDE out of RUN LOUIS RUN by LOUIS QUATORZE)
 
CT-2   03/21/2024 2970ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($11.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:30
See original race card.
:221 :471       :541   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
REMYS GUNSMOKE 2 1 2nk     1½ 1 (grams timothy )REYNOLDS C 122 2.50 22% 3.50 1.10 W
KING OF LUCK 3 4 37     3 2 (ramos m)RIOS-CONDE A 122 10.00 15.40  
DE'S CASTLE 1 2 1nk     2½ 32 (joy j)ACOSTA D 122 2.00 56% 0.80 0.60 S
JOOBY DOOBY DOO 4 3 410     4 4 (reyes rub)BOCACHICA J 115 15.00 13.90  
SCR  BEAR'S ESTATE               (garrido raul)CHAVEZ ANDRES 113 8.00    
SCR  ELEANORS JACK               (jackson angel)RIVERA JAVIER 122 1.60    
 
CT-3   03/21/2024 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($10.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:57
See original race card.
:241 :484 1:154     1:223   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MEETMARYSMAN 4 6 6 4   3½ 12 (jones m)ORTIZ ORLANDO 122 5.00 10% 8.90 4.90 W
CURB THAT TIGER 7 7 710 66   5 22 (farrior a)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 122 6.00 5.70  
ASTRAYAL 8 8 812½ 810½   6 3 (contreras javier)HO WESLEY 122 8.00 11% 8.40 19.10 S
THUNDERHOUSE 6 5 41 2nk   1nk 43 (murdock stephen)CRUZ ANGEL 122 2.50 21% 3.90 1.20  
CALLISTO'S BRIGADE 5 4 1nk 1nk   2nk 53 (adorno jean)MENDEZ MARSHALL 122 3.00 28% 2.60 6.00  
ONE CANDY CASTLE 3 2 5 31   4¾ 65 (johnson r)LARROSA G 122 6.00 4.50  
HE'S CLEVER 1 1 3½ 7   811¼ 720½ (grams timothy )REYNOLDS C 122 10.00 23.60  
J. WICK 2 3 2nk 5   710¾ 824¼ (brown ron)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 122 10.00 28.40  
 
CT-4   03/21/2024 4290ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($10K) Purse ($19.6K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:25
See original race card.
:234 :48 1:151     1:221   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ARROWWOOD 3 4 55 4   1½ 13 (runco c)CHAVEZ ANDRES 113 3.00 18% 4.40 5.20 W
BONNIE BLUETOOTH 2 1 33 3   43 23 (brown )ARAUJO VICENTE 120 3.50 3.00  
SNEAKY LYNK 6 5 21 2   2½ 3 (boggs joa)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 122 1.40 47% 1.10 0.80 S
PRINCESS HALO 1 2 67 66   5 4 (craig e)RIVERA JAVIER 120 15.00 70.10  
JAMESTOWN ROAD 4 3 11 1   31 58 (jones micha)MENDEZ MARSHALL 120 5.00 9% 10.50 10.20  
MISS WAVE 7 6 43 5   6 614½ (hillegass alex)RIOS-CONDE A 120 15.00 9.20  
LOVE OF GRACE 5 7 78 712   710½ 720½ (collins tim)RODRIGUEZ V 120 12.00 5% 19.00 16.40  
 
CT-5   03/21/2024 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($15.7K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:53
See original race card.
:232 :474 1:143     1:211   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
YO VINNIE 8 7 57 44   1½ 14 (runco c)CHAVEZ ANDRES 115 2.00 25% 3.00 0.70 W
JUDY'S ARMY 6 6 45 22   2½ 24 (vera miguel)ACOSTA D 122 4.00 2.00  
REBEL WARRIOR 4 3 1 12   31 3 (lucas anthony)CHILO MAXIMO 120 15.00 10.60  
TREJO 1 1 6 77   53 4 (pickett crystal)BOCACHICA O 122 10.00 16% 5.20 15.80  
NET WORTH 3 2 920 916   86 511¾ (swan kirsten)LOPEZ ANTONIO 122 20.00 5% 19.00 42.60  
SHAMELESS APPEAL 5 5 3 3   42 612 (soldo e)NUNEZ MAURICIO 122 20.00 ######  
RAINBOW DAY 7 8 710½ 6   6 712¼ (runco c)CULLUM W 118 10.00 20% 4.10 30.50  
10  AGAIN WE MEET 9 9 819½ 816   98 817½ (sewell lenwor)CHILO JACINTO 122 20.00 88.20  
ADIOS COOL ARROWS 2 4 2 5   7 918¼ (delong ben)HO WESLEY 118 8.00 13% 6.50 8.80  
SCR  GREAT CALL               (meyers )ORTIZ ORLANDO 122 3.00    
 
CT-6   03/21/2024 2970ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($27.4K) 3UP M/F PT- 9:21
See original race card.
:222 :464       :532   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CHEROKEE CASTLE 4 4 32     1nk 1½ (rideout an)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 122 2.00 39% 1.50 1.60 W
KRISTINACHRYSALIS 2 6 5     4 2½ (farrior anthony)CRUZ ANGEL 116 1.80 19% 4.20 1.70 P
MAD SWANN 5 2 4     32 3 (farrior a)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 116 4.00 2.80  
COWGIRL ATTITUDE 7 1 2nk     2nk 4 (adorno jean)MENDEZ MARSHALL 120 6.00 13% 6.40 7.00  
PLAYING FOR TWO 3 5 6     6 5 (shanley timothy)RODRIGUEZ V 120 15.00 5% 19.00 51.70  
WINDSOR'S MEMORY 1 7 1nk     5 610½ (grams )ARAUJO VICENTE 120 8.00 28.30  
LET'S DO THIS 6 3 7     7 710¾ (aylor natasha)LOPEZ ANTONIO 120 15.00 27.70  
 
CT-7   03/21/2024 2970ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($25K) Purse ($29.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:49
See original race card.
:22 :462       :524   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BAYTOWN FROSTY 6 2 4     3½ 1 (mcentee pau)MENDEZ MARSHALL 124 2.50 43% 1.30 1.30 W
HEY BOOTS 2 4 1nk     1nk 2 (brown )ARAUJO VICENTE 120 3.00 3.90  
HE'S ORIENTATE 4 6 6     6 3 (heil nancy )LYAPUSTINA TAIS 120 20.00 37.60  
AMIDSHIPS 1 5 2nk     2nk 4 (runco c)CHAVEZ ANDRES 113 4.50 19% 4.40 3.50  
JEFFERSON NATIVE 5 1 3.2     41 55 (dollinger-sthr l)CRUZ ANGEL 124 3.00 10% 9.40 2.80  
GOLDEN ARM 3 3 5     53 6 (smith l)ORTIZ ORLANDO 122 3.50 12.40  
 
CT-8   03/21/2024 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.7K) 3UP ALL PT-10:17
See original race card.
:241 :48 1:144     1:213   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CAYENNE CREEK 2 1 33 2   2 1¼ (davis e)HO WESLEY 122 6.00 11.60  
ROYAL THUNDER 3 3 1 1   1 2¼ (keller christ)CHAVEZ ANDRES 115 3.50 37% 1.70 1.90 P
10  NEVER CHANGE 8 8 6 57   3 3 (figgins o)BOCACHICA J 117 6.00 16% 5.40 2.80 S
BERNIE'S ON FIRE 5 6 5 36   4 4 (farrior a)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 122 5.00 17% 4.80 4.30  
DR. RUSTY RAYMOND 4 5 7 7   5 5 (pickett crystal)BOCACHICA O 122 8.00 7.80  
MYSTIC POINT 7 7 8 810¾   7 610½ (stites w)ACOSTA D 122 8.00 5% 19.00 14.20  
MISTER WINSTON 6 4 2 46   8 716 (carlisle jo)MENDEZ MARSHALL 122 4.00 5.60  
LUCKYTOBEINAMERICA 1 2 43 6   67 817½ (borges israel)CHILO MAXIMO 120 20.00 52.00  
SCR  JAMMIN STILL               (caison l)MAWING A 122 15.00    
SCR  SHANGHAI SUPERFLY               (dunham g)CULLUM W 120 12.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.