Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Charles Town
Thursday - March 21, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

CT-1   WIN (4/2/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/2/1)-(4/2/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/2/1)-(4/2/1)-(4/2/1) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (4/2/1)-(2/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (4/2/1)-(2/3)-(5/6/8/4) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
CT-2   WIN (2/3) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (2/3)-(2/3) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $0.50 $0.00 
    DD (2/3)-(5/6/8/4) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
    PK3 (2/3)-(5/6/8/4)-(6/3/4/5) 32 $1.00 $32.00 
CT-3   WIN (5/6/8/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/6/8/4)-(5/6/8/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/6/8/4)-(5/6/8/4)-(5/6/8/4) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (5/6/8/4)-(6/3/4/5) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (5/6/8/4)-(6/3/4/5)-(8/7/1/2/3) 80 $1.00 $80.00 
CT-4   WIN (6/3/4/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (6/3/4/5)-(6/3/4/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (6/3/4/5)-(6/3/4/5)-(6/3/4/5) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (6/3/4/5)-(8/7/1/2/3) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (6/3/4/5)-(8/7/1/2/3)-(4/2/7/3) 80 $1.00 $80.00 
CT-5   WIN (8/7/1/2/3) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (8/7/1/2/3)-(8/7/1/2/3) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (8/7/1/2/3)-(8/7/1/2/3)-(8/7/1/2/3) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (8/7/1/2/3)-(4/2/7/3) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (8/7/1/2/3)-(4/2/7/3)-(6/1/5) 60 $1.00 $60.00 
CT-6   WIN (4/2/7/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (4/2/7/3)-(4/2/7/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (4/2/7/3)-(4/2/7/3)-(4/2/7/3) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (4/2/7/3)-(6/1/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (4/2/7/3)-(6/1/5)-(3/5/10/9) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
CT-7   WIN (6/1/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/1/5)-(6/1/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (6/1/5)-(6/1/5)-(6/1/5) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (6/1/5)-(3/5/10/9) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
CT-8   WIN (3/5/10/9) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/5/10/9)-(3/5/10/9) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/5/10/9)-(3/5/10/9)-(3/5/10/9) 24 $0.50 $12.00 

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
CT-1   03/21/2024 2970ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($26.5K) 3 ALL PT- 7:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TUP'S TO TAKE         (jones michae)TROTMAN KEIMAR 122 6.00 14% 6.40    
  (by TUP TAKE' PLEASE out of BRENDAS KISS by SMOKE GLACKEN)
PORK CHOP PETE         (contrer)NUNEZ MAURICIO 122 2.00 21% 3.70    
  (by GOLDEN YEARS out of STONE COLD FLIRT by YES IT'S TRUE)
GREATEST NOTION Feb24 Jan24 Dec16 Oct12 Sep22 (joy j)MENDEZ MARSHALL 122 3.00    
  (by GREAT NOTION out of HAPPY HAUNTS by HARD SPUN)
INDICATOR Feb24         (greaves vernon)REAP E 122 1.80 42% 1.40    
  (by LIMEHOUSE out of DALYA by WERBLIN)
SEA OF TRANQUILITY Feb24         (contreras)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 122 10.00    
  (by ALDRIN out of FRENCH OAK by ARCH)
CEDAR RUNS FIBER Feb24         (grams timothy )REYNOLDS C 122 12.00    
  (by FIBER SONDE out of RUN LOUIS RUN by LOUIS QUATORZE)
 
CT-2   03/21/2024 2970ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($11.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  ELEANORS JACK Dec16 Dec01 Nov02 Oct19 Sep08 (jackson angel)RIVERA JAVIER 122 1.60    
DE'S CASTLE Feb29 Feb08 Feb02 Dec01 Nov09 (joy j)ACOSTA D 122 2.00 56% 0.80    
REMYS GUNSMOKE Feb23 Dec16 Jan19 Jan07 Nov23 (grams timothy )REYNOLDS C 122 2.50 22% 3.50    
KING OF LUCK Feb21 Jan31 Jan18 Dec01 Nov16 (ramos m)RIOS-CONDE A 122 10.00    
JOOBY DOOBY DOO Mar13 Feb21 Jan31 Jan18 Jan04 (reyes rub)BOCACHICA J 115 15.00    
SCR  BEAR'S ESTATE Feb29 Feb08 Jan18 Nov02 Oct16 (garrido raul)CHAVEZ ANDRES 113 8.00    
 
CT-3   03/21/2024 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($10.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:57
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
HE'S CLEVER Feb28 Feb17 Mar18 Feb15 Jan06 (grams timothy )REYNOLDS C 122 10.00    
J. WICK Feb29 Nov25 Nov08 Oct19 Sep28 (brown )LOPEZ EDUARDO 122 10.00    
ONE CANDY CASTLE Mar01 Feb09 Feb03 Jan04 Nov24 (johnson r)LARROSA G 122 6.00    
MEETMARYSMAN Mar13 Feb21 Feb02 Nov30 Nov11 (jones m)ORTIZ ORLANDO 122 5.00 10% 8.90    
CALLISTO'S BRIGADE Feb09 Feb03 Jan10 Dec13 Nov16 (adorno jean)MENDEZ MARSHALL 122 3.00 28% 2.60    
THUNDERHOUSE Mar01 Jan25 Dec22 Nov26 Nov02 (murdock stephen)CRUZ ANGEL 122 2.50 21% 3.90    
CURB THAT TIGER Feb21 Feb02 Jan04 Nov24 Oct25 (farrior a)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 122 6.00    
ASTRAYAL Mar01 Feb02 Jan04 Nov24 Oct27 (contreras javier)HO WESLEY 122 8.00 11% 8.40    
 
CT-4   03/21/2024 4290ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($10K) Purse ($19.6K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
PRINCESS HALO Feb29 Feb01 Jan10 Dec07 Nov15 (craig e)RIVERA JAVIER 120 15.00    
BONNIE BLUETOOTH Mar01 Feb16 Jan26 Jan05 Dec01 (brown )LOPEZ EDUARDO 120 3.50    
ARROWWOOD Feb21 Jan10 Nov03 Aug19 Aug12 (runco c)CHAVEZ ANDRES 113 3.00 18% 4.40    
JAMESTOWN ROAD Mar01 Jan26 Dec15 Dec08 Nov20 (jones micha)MENDEZ MARSHALL 120 5.00 9% 10.50    
LOVE OF GRACE Feb08 Dec04 Oct26 Sep30 Aug19 (collins tim)RODRIGUEZ V 120 12.00 5% 19.00    
SNEAKY LYNK Mar09 Feb21 Feb09 Jan31 Jan03 (boggs joa)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 122 1.40 47% 1.10    
MISS WAVE Feb21 Jan24 Nov08 Oct14 Aug19 (hillegass alex)RIOS-CONDE A 120 15.00    
 
CT-5   03/21/2024 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($15.7K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:53
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TREJO Dec13 Jan14 Dec16 Nov25 Oct27 (pickett crystal)BOCACHICA O 122 10.00 16% 5.20    
ADIOS COOL ARROWS Feb28 Feb09 Dec01 Nov10 Oct20 (delong ben)HO WESLEY 118 8.00 13% 6.50    
NET WORTH Feb16 Jan25 Jan11 Dec01 Nov10 (swan kirsten)SWAN KIRSTEN 122 20.00 5% 19.00    
REBEL WARRIOR Mar08 Feb16 Jan27 Sep20 Aug25 (lucas anthony)CHILO MAXIMO 120 15.00    
SHAMELESS APPEAL Oct27 Sep02 Aug11 Jul14 Jun22 (soldo e)NUNEZ MAURICIO 122 20.00    
JUDY'S ARMY Oct22 Sep10 Aug11 Jul15 May07 (vera miguel)ACOSTA D 122 4.00    
RAINBOW DAY Feb29 Feb08 Jan10 Dec01 Nov09 (runco c)CULLUM W 118 10.00 20% 4.10    
YO VINNIE Feb23 Dec16 Nov18 Oct28 Sep01 (runco c)CHAVEZ ANDRES 115 2.00 25% 3.00    
SCR  GREAT CALL Feb11 Jan12 Dec29 Dec09 Nov10 (meyers )ORTIZ ORLANDO 122 3.00    
10  AGAIN WE MEET Feb22 Jan31 Jan10 Dec13 Nov10 (sewell lenwor)CHILO JACINTO 122 20.00    
 
CT-6   03/21/2024 2970ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($27.4K) 3UP M/F PT- 9:21
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
WINDSOR'S MEMORY Mar02 Jan26 Jan12 Nov30 Oct25 (grams )ARAUJO VICENTE 120 8.00    
KRISTINACHRYSALIS Nov04 Oct14 Sep29 Jul14 May25 (farrior anthony)CRUZ ANGEL 116 1.80 19% 4.20    
PLAYING FOR TWO Mar02 Feb24 Feb14 Feb02 Jan12 (shanley timothy)RODRIGUEZ V 120 15.00 5% 19.00    
CHEROKEE CASTLE Feb21 Feb08 Jan26 Jan10 Dec04 (rideout an)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 122 2.00 39% 1.50    
MAD SWANN Mar01 Feb14 Nov04 Sep22 Aug31 (farrior a)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 116 4.00    
LET'S DO THIS Mar09 Oct26 Sep30 Sep07 Jul20 (aylor natasha)LOPEZ ANTONIO 120 15.00    
COWGIRL ATTITUDE Mar01 Feb10 Jan31 Jan18 Dec14 (adorno jean)MENDEZ MARSHALL 120 6.00 13% 6.40    
 
CT-7   03/21/2024 2970ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($25K) Purse ($29.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:49
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
AMIDSHIPS Mar02 Feb08 Jan18 Dec14 Nov16 (runco c)CHAVEZ ANDRES 113 4.50 19% 4.40    
HEY BOOTS Feb28 Feb03 Dec08 Nov16 Sep14 (brown )ARAUJO VICENTE 120 3.00    
GOLDEN ARM Feb29 Feb09 Feb03 Jan24 Jan13 (smith l)ORTIZ ORLANDO 122 3.50    
HE'S ORIENTATE Aug10 Jun24 Jun11 May20 Mar26 (heil nancy )LYAPUSTINA TAIS 120 20.00    
JEFFERSON NATIVE Feb29 Nov29 Nov16 Oct14 Aug25 (dollinger-sthr l)CRUZ ANGEL 124 3.00 10% 9.40    
BAYTOWN FROSTY Mar02 Feb08 Jan18 Oct21 Aug17 (mcentee pau)MENDEZ MARSHALL 124 2.50 43% 1.30    
 
CT-8   03/21/2024 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.7K) 3UP ALL PT-10:17
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LUCKYTOBEINAMERICA Feb01 Dec15 Dec07 Sep20 Sep06 (borges israel)CHILO MAXIMO 120 20.00    
CAYENNE CREEK Feb29 Feb08 Jan04 Apr01 Mar10 (davis e)HO WESLEY 122 6.00    
ROYAL THUNDER Feb29 Feb10 Jan24 Jan03 Dec16 (keller christ)CHAVEZ ANDRES 115 3.50 37% 1.70    
DR. RUSTY RAYMOND Feb29 Feb08 Dec08 Sep14 Jul06 (pickett crystal)BOCACHICA O 122 8.00    
BERNIE'S ON FIRE Feb23 Feb03 Jun15 May06 Apr27 (farrior a)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 122 5.00 17% 4.80    
MISTER WINSTON Feb04 Jan14 Dec24 Dec08 Nov19 (carlisle jo)MENDEZ MARSHALL 122 4.00    
SCR  JAMMIN STILL Feb29 Feb16 Oct12 Sep22 Sep04 (caison l)MAWING A 122 15.00    
SCR  SHANGHAI SUPERFLY Feb29 Dec08 Oct03 Jul05 Jun19 (dunham g)CULLUM W 120 12.00    
MYSTIC POINT Aug17 Jul28 Jun20 May18 Apr26 (stites w)ACOSTA D 122 8.00 5% 19.00    
10  NEVER CHANGE Feb23 Jan27 Oct12 Oct04 Sep08 (figgins o)BOCACHICA J 117 6.00 16% 5.40    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.