tbrs_res_20240313.ct.html - Handicappers' Race Results by Thoroughbred Racing Simulator

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Charles Town
Wednesday - March 13, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

			Wager		Pick										Tot		Bet	Bet	Winning	Crct		Win	Pay			Pay				Profit/
			Type		Numbers										Tkts		Unit	Amt	Numbers	Res		Tkts	Unit			Amt				Loss

CT-1			Win		(5/1/4)										3		$2.00	$6.00	1	1		1	$8.80			$8.80				2.80
CT-2			Win		(5/3)										2		$2.00	$4.00	5	1		1	$5.40			$5.40				1.40
CT-3			Win		(8/2/3/7)										4		$2.00	$8.00	8	1		1	$10.40			$10.40				2.40
CT-4			Win		(5/2/4)										3		$2.00	$6.00	1	1		0	$9.00							-6.00
CT-5			Win		(5/8/3/4/1)										5		$2.00	$10.00	5	1		1	$9.60			$9.60				-0.40
CT-6			Win		(1/6/7/4)										4		$2.00	$8.00	1	1		1	$5.40			$5.40				-2.60
CT-7			Win		(4/3/5/8)										4		$2.00	$8.00	4	1		1	$3.20			$3.20				-4.80
CT-8			Win		(4/3/7/10)										4		$2.00	$8.00	11	1		0	$5.00							-8.00

Simulator Race results


CT-1			03/13/2024	2970ft		DIRT			FAST			Maiden Claimer ($12.5K)									Purse ($16.6K)				3UP		M/F		PT- 7:00
See original race card.
:22⁴	:47			:53³			PP	ST		C1	C2	C3	STR	FIN										M/L		W/P		B/E		F/O
1	LOVELY LUCY						1	6		2^nk			1^½	1^3½		(brown ro)LOPEZ EDUARDO 118								4.00		20%		4.10		3.40	W
4	BOBBI TWO STEPS						4	3		1^nk			2^½	2^3½		(mangual m)NUNEZ MAURICIO 118								10.00		5%		19.00		6.00	DQ↓5
2	GOLDEN RUN						2	4		3¹			3⁶	3^4¾		(collins tim)BOCACHICA J 113								10.00						18.90
3	NOBLE OBSESSION						3	5		4^1½			4⁸	3^4¾		(gazzier kri)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 118								2.00						3.10	DH
5	TIDBIT						5	2		5²			5^9½	3^4¾		(viands r)ACOSTA D 118								1.80		27%		2.70		1.20	S
6	SHARP CHEDDAR						6	1		6^9½			6¹⁴	6^9¾		(jones michael)MENDEZ MARSHALL 118								4.50						8.90

CT-2			03/13/2024	4290ft		DIRT			FAST			Maiden Sp Wt									Purse ($26.5K)				3		ALL		PT- 7:30
See original race card.
:24	:48¹	1:15		1:22			PP	ST		C1	C2	C3	STR	FIN										M/L		W/P		B/E		F/O
5	CAFFEINENNICOTINE						5	5		3^½	2^nk		2^½	1¹		(meehan elizabe)WHITACRE GRANT 122								2.50		27%		2.70		1.70	W
4	BRADLEY DO RIGHT						4	3		1^nk	1^nk		1^½	2¹		(obed-letts ketu)RIVERA JAVIER 122								2.00						2.60
2	TOWN HOT						2	2		6^9½	5⁹		4⁶	3⁴		(pyke joseph)PELTROCHE F 122								10.00						18.40
3	GHOSTLY LEO						3	4		5⁵	3^1½		3^1½	4^4½		(gazzier kristy)RODRIGUEZ V 122								4.00		19%		4.30		5.80
1	SUAVE STORY						1	1		4^4½	6¹⁴		5¹¹	5^16¼		(contreras javier)HO WESLEY 122								3.00		★				2.50
6	A FAIR NOTION						6	6		2^nk	4³		6¹³	6³⁰		(collins tim)MENDEZ MARSHALL 122								10.00						10.30

CT-3			03/13/2024	4290ft		DIRT			FAST			Claiming ($5K)									Purse ($10.8K)				3UP		ALL		PT- 7:57
See original race card.
:23³	:47²	1:14²		1:21³			PP	ST		C1	C2	C3	STR	FIN										M/L		W/P		B/E		F/O
8	LLOYD						7	7		2¹	2¹		2^nk	1^¼		(chircop ste)BOCACHICA J 117								1.80		36%		1.80		4.20	W
2	HIALEAH NATIVE						2	3		7^7½	4⁸		3²	2^¼		(farrior ant)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 122								3.50		29%		2.50		3.30	P
3	CHANGE YOUR LUCK						3	2		1¹	1¹		1^nk	3^3½		(peltroche vanessa)PELTROCHE F 124								5.00		7%		13.70		1.50	S
6	GET OFF MY CLOUD						5	5		4⁵	5^8½		5^4¼	4^4¾		(adorno l)MENDEZ MARSHALL 124								4.50						4.80
4	SIENTE EL AMOR						4	4		3⁴	3^7½		4⁴	5^8½		(wilhelm t)NUNEZ MAURICIO 124								10.00						11.60
1	SMOKIN SMITTY						1	1		5^6½	6^10½		6^6¼	6^12½		(campbell)ARAUJO VICENTE 122								20.00						40.50
7	FEARNOUGHT						6	6		6⁷	7¹¹		7^8¾	7¹⁴		(clatterbuck frede)RODRIGUEZ V 124								6.00		5%		19.00		7.30
SCR	JUBAY															(racanelli j)BOCACHICA O 124								15.00

CT-4			03/13/2024	2970ft		DIRT			FAST			Allowance									Purse ($27.4K)				3UP		M/F		PT- 8:25
See original race card.
:22³	:46⁴			:53¹			PP	ST		C1	C2	C3	STR	FIN										M/L		W/P		B/E		F/O
1	ASUE						1	5		5^3¼			4^1¾	1^1½		(stites w)ACOSTA D 120								4.00						3.50
2	ONLY KIDDING						2	6		6^8¼			6^3¼	2^1½		(jones mic)ORTIZ ORLANDO 120								12.00		33%		2.00		10.40	P
5	LATE NITE MISTRESS						5	4		2^nk			1^nk	3^2¼		(contrera)LOPEZ EDUARDO 116								1.60		46%		1.20		1.20	S
4	UNCONSCIOUS MIND						4	2		3^.2			2^nk	4³		(davis russe)BOCACHICA J 115								20.00		5%		19.00		41.60
3	GOLDEN STAR						3	3		1^nk			3^.2	5^5¾		(grams c)REYNOLDS C 122								2.50						2.20
6	THIRSTY ACCOUNTANT						6	1		4^¼			5^2¼	6^6¼		(mcentee paul)WHITACRE GRANT 116								3.00						7.20

CT-5			03/13/2024	4620ft		DIRT			FAST			Claiming ($5K)									Purse ($11.8K)				3UP		ALL		PT- 8:53
See original race card.
:23⁴	:48¹	1:14²		1:29			PP	ST		C1	C2	C3	STR	FIN										M/L		W/P		B/E		F/O
5	LASTWALKTOFREEDOM						5	3		1¹	1¹		1²	1^¾		(rideout anth)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 122								3.50		39%		1.60		3.80	W
3	DOCTOR PARDO						3	2		4³	4⁴		2²	2^¾		(hanagan lela )MENDEZ MARSHALL 122								4.00		12%		7.20		3.30	P
6	ALDRINALINE						6	6		5^3½	3⁴		3⁴	3³		(brown ro)LOPEZ EDUARDO 122								3.00						4.50
1	MEETMARYSMAN						1	4		8^8½	6⁶		4⁵	4^3½		(jones mic)ORTIZ ORLANDO 122								15.00		5%		19.00		16.10
8	PINNACLE REEF						8	8		3²	5^4½		5⁵	5⁹		(runco c)CHAVEZ ANDRES 113								4.50		15%		5.50		5.30
2	JEFFERSON SECURITY						2	1		9^12½	9^18½		7^6¼	6^10¼		(carson laur)SANTIAGO WILFREDO 122								20.00						67.50
4	CHARITABLE WINDSOR						4	5		2¹	2¹		6^5¼	7^14¼		(hess g)RODRIGUEZ V 122								3.50		10%		9.50		2.50
7	I SEE NOTHING						7	7		7⁵	7^12½		8^11¼	8^15¾		(shanley timothy)BOCACHICA O 122								20.00						18.40
9	JOOBY DOOBY DOO						9	9		6^3½	8^14½		9^23¼	9^34¼		(reyes ru)ARAUJO VICENTE 120								20.00						37.90

CT-6			03/13/2024	4290ft		DIRT			FAST			Maiden Sp Wt									Purse ($26.5K)				3		ALL		PT- 9:21
See original race card.
:23⁴	:48	1:14⁴		1:21⁴			PP	ST		C1	C2	C3	STR	FIN										M/L		W/P		B/E		F/O
1	LOVE IS WICKED						1	1		4³	3¹		2^nk	1^½		(johnson dewayne)LOPEZ ANTONIO 122								2.00		30%		2.40		1.70	W
6	RIDE THE BRAND						6	4		2^nk	1^½		1^nk	2^½		(grams ti)ARAUJO VICENTE 122								1.80		28%		2.60		2.10	P
2	YACHTSMEN						2	3		6^9¾	6³		3³	3^¾		(runco c)CHAVEZ ANDRES 115								10.00						7.60
5	DANTE'S INFERNO						5	6		7^17¼	7¹⁰		5⁴	4^1½		(johnson r)ACOSTA D 122								2.50						4.10
7	CANDY MAN CAN						7	7		5^3¼	4²		4^3½	5³		(jackson g)PELTROCHE F 122								10.00		15%		5.90		7.50
4	UNDERBOSS						4	5		3^1½	2^½		6⁶	6^18½		(contreras)NUNEZ MAURICIO 122								15.00		5%		19.00		24.60
3	SEATTLE PRINCE						3	2		1^nk	5²		7⁹	7^20¾		(craig e)RIVERA JAVIER 122								15.00						13.80

CT-7			03/13/2024	2970ft		DIRT			FAST			Starter Allowance ($5K)									Purse ($18.6K)				3UP		ALL		PT- 9:49
See original race card.
:22¹	:45⁴			:52¹			PP	ST		C1	C2	C3	STR	FIN										M/L		W/P		B/E		F/O
4	ELLE'SBIGSEACRET						4	4		2^nk			1²	1^½		(ginter raymond)BATISTA A 124								1.20		44%		1.30		0.60	W
5	GOLDEN G						5	5		3^4½			2²	2^½		(gillespie r)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 120								8.00		11%		8.30		18.10	P
3	MONTAUK DADDY						3	8		5^5¼			3²	3^2¼		(spriggs tosch)MENDEZ MARSHALL 120								4.00		21%		3.80		4.60	S
7	PIT STOP MAN						7	1		6^6¼			6^3¾	4^2¼		(ginter jr)ACOSTA D 120								6.00						10.60
1	ADVANCE CASH						1	7		4^4¾			5^3¾	5^2¾		(peltroche vanessa)PELTROCHE F 122								4.50						4.20
8	INSIDE RISK						8	2		8^7¾			8^4¾	6^3¾		(caison l)MAWING A 120								10.00		5%		19.00		17.10
6	SETTLEMENT DATE						6	3		7^6¾			7^4¼	7^4¾		(gomez anali)BOCACHICA J 115								20.00						53.90
2	SUPER JORDAN						2	6		1^nk			4^2¼	8⁵		(carson laur)SANTIAGO WILFREDO 120								20.00						24.20

CT-8			03/13/2024	4620ft		DIRT			FAST			Claiming ($5K)									Purse ($11.8K)				3UP		ALL		PT-10:17
See original race card.
:23³	:47³	1:13³		1:27⁴			PP	ST		C1	C2	C3	STR	FIN										M/L		W/P		B/E		F/O
11	YOUNG TURK						9	7		1^1½	1⁵		1^5½	1⁴		(farrior ant)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 122								4.00		★				1.50
10	SCHMEAR						8	9		6^4¾	3⁶		2^5½	2⁴		(shanley timothy)BOCACHICA O 122								8.00		5%		19.00		8.00	P
5	CHROME HEIR						4	6		9^14¾	9^17¼		5⁹	3⁷		(pickett g)ACOSTA D 122								20.00						45.10
7	SCOTCH NO ROCKS						6	5		5^4½	5⁸		6¹⁰	4^8¼		(delong ben)HO WESLEY 124								6.00		8%		11.40		7.40
3	LET FREEDOM SPRING						2	2		2^1½	2⁵		3^7½	5^10¼		(jones michael)MENDEZ MARSHALL 122								3.50		19%		4.10		4.50
4	ALPHA WHISKEY						3	4		3^3½	4⁶		4⁹	6¹²		(joy j)RODRIGUEZ V 122								2.50		47%		1.10		2.60
8	STAVANGER						7	8		8^7¾	7^10¾		7^10½	7^13¼		(racanelli j)CHILO MAXIMO 120								30.00						68.60
6	ASSERT DOMINANCE						5	3		4^4½	6^10½		8^14½	8^16¾		(ramos mi)RIVERA JAVIER 120								15.00						12.10
2	AKINGISALWAYSKING						1	1		7^6¾	8^14¾		9^16½	9^18¾		(murtaugh andrew)BATISTA C 122								20.00						40.80
SCR	BON BUENO															(gillespie r)BOCACHICA J 119								3.00
SCR	STAR ATTITUDE															(hillegass alexan)RIOS-CONDE A 122								10.00



	Labels:
	M/L	Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
	W/P	Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
	B/E	Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
	F/O	Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

	Two Groups of Contenders:
	Win Contenders
		The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
	Place/Show Contenders
		The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

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