Handicappers' Racing Form

"A Premier Resource for Free horse Racing Picks, Strong Longshots and Vulnerable Favorites."
Thoroughbred Racing Simulator is licensed and powered by Brisnet.
Visit us at tbrsimulator.com.
Contact us at support@tbrsimulator.com.
Follow us on X@tbrsimulator.
 
The Longshot Specialist!

Charles Town
Wednesday - March 13, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

CT-1   WIN (5/1/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/1/4)-(5/1/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/1/4)-(5/1/4)-(5/1/4) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (5/1/4)-(5/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (5/1/4)-(5/3)-(8/2/3/7) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
CT-2   WIN (5/3) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (5/3)-(5/3/1) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
    TRI (5/3)-(5/3/1)-(5/3/1) 4 $0.50 $2.00 
    DD (5/3)-(8/2/3/7) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
    PK3 (5/3)-(8/2/3/7)-(5/2/4) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
CT-3   WIN (8/2/3/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (8/2/3/7)-(8/2/3/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (8/2/3/7)-(8/2/3/7)-(8/2/3/7) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (8/2/3/7)-(5/2/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (8/2/3/7)-(5/2/4)-(5/8/3/4/1) 60 $1.00 $60.00 
CT-4   WIN (5/2/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/2/4)-(5/2/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/2/4)-(5/2/4)-(5/2/4) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (5/2/4)-(5/8/3/4/1) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
    PK3 (5/2/4)-(5/8/3/4/1)-(1/6/7/4) 60 $1.00 $60.00 
CT-5   WIN (5/8/3/4/1) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (5/8/3/4/1)-(5/8/3/4/1) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (5/8/3/4/1)-(5/8/3/4/1)-(5/8/3/4/1) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (5/8/3/4/1)-(1/6/7/4) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (5/8/3/4/1)-(1/6/7/4)-(4/3/5/8) 80 $1.00 $80.00 
CT-6   WIN (1/6/7/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/6/7/4)-(1/6/7/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/6/7/4)-(1/6/7/4)-(1/6/7/4) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (1/6/7/4)-(4/3/5/8) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (1/6/7/4)-(4/3/5/8)-(4/3/7/10) 64 $1.00 $64.00 
CT-7   WIN (4/3/5/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (4/3/5/8)-(4/3/5/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (4/3/5/8)-(4/3/5/8)-(4/3/5/8) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (4/3/5/8)-(4/3/7/10) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
CT-8   WIN (4/3/7/10) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (4/3/7/10)-(4/3/7/11/10) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (4/3/7/10)-(4/3/7/11/10)-(4/3/7/11/10) 48 $0.50 $24.00 

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
CT-1   03/13/2024 2970ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($12.5K) Purse ($16.6K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LOVELY LUCY         (brown )LOPEZ EDUARDO 118 4.00 20% 4.10    
GOLDEN RUN         (collins t)BOCACHICA J 113 10.00    
NOBLE OBSESSION Feb23 Feb14 Jan04 Nov09   (gazzier k)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 118 2.00    
BOBBI TWO STEPS Oct28 Sep29 Jul26     (mangual)NUNEZ MAURICIO 118 10.00 5% 19.00    
TIDBIT Sep06 Jul21 Jul07     (viands r)ACOSTA D 118 1.80 27% 2.70    
SHARP CHEDDAR         (jones micha)MENDEZ MARSHALL 118 4.50    
 
CT-2   03/13/2024 4290ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($26.5K) 3 ALL PT- 7:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SUAVE STORY         (contreras javier)HO WESLEY 122 3.00    
  (by GOLDEN YEARS out of SPOOKY STORY by GHOSTLY MINISTER)
TOWN HOT         (pyke joseph)PELTROCHE F 122 10.00    
  (by CAPO BASTONE out of AFRICAN RAINBOW by KINSHASA)
GHOSTLY LEO Feb02 Jan13       (gazzier kristy)RODRIGUEZ V 122 4.00 19% 4.30    
  (by GATTOPARDO out of RAYO LASER by GHOSTZAPPER)
BRADLEY DO RIGHT Feb22 Feb01 Jan11 Jan03 Dec16 (obed-letts ke)RIVERA JAVIER 122 2.00    
  (by STORMY'S MAJESTY out of STAR OF TAURUS by ALDEBARAN)
CAFFEINENNICOTINE Feb24         (meehan eliza)WHITACRE GRANT 122 2.50 27% 2.70    
  (by BLOFELD out of ALL THAT BEAUTY by FIBER SONDE)
A FAIR NOTION         (collins tim)MENDEZ MARSHALL 122 10.00    
  (by GREAT NOTION out of AUTUMN AFFAIR by BLACK TIE AFFAIR (IRE))
 
CT-3   03/13/2024 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($10.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:57
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SMOKIN SMITTY Feb24 Feb17 Feb03 Jan13 Dec13 (campbe)ARAUJO VICENTE 122 20.00    
HIALEAH NATIVE Feb10 Feb02 Jan22 Jul23 Jul07 (farrior a)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 122 3.50 29% 2.50    
CHANGE YOUR LUCK Mar06 Feb15 Jan31 Nov29 Oct28 (peltroche vanes)PELTROCHE F 124 5.00 7% 13.70    
SIENTE EL AMOR Feb21 Jan31 Nov11 Oct25 Oct07 (wilhelm)NUNEZ MAURICIO 124 10.00    
SCR  JUBAY Feb22 Feb09 Jan04 Dec08 Nov30 (racanelli mark )BOCACHICA O 124 15.00    
GET OFF MY CLOUD Mar07 Feb15 Jan31 Jan25 Dec06 (adorno jean)MENDEZ MARSHALL 124 4.50    
FEARNOUGHT Feb10 Jan25 Jan10 Dec07 Nov22 (clatterbuck fre)RODRIGUEZ V 124 6.00 5% 19.00    
LLOYD Jan26 Jan12 Dec08     (chircop s)BOCACHICA J 117 1.80 36% 1.80    
 
CT-4   03/13/2024 2970ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($27.4K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ASUE Feb21 Jan31 Dec14 Dec01 Nov03 (stites w)ACOSTA D 120 4.00    
ONLY KIDDING Dec06 Nov15 Nov03 Jul16 Jun15 (jones m)ORTIZ ORLANDO 120 12.00 33% 2.00    
GOLDEN STAR Feb09 Dec21 Nov24 Sep15 Mar18 (grams timothy )REYNOLDS C 122 2.50    
UNCONSCIOUS MIND Feb08 Jan03 Dec15 Nov04 Oct13 (davis rus)BOCACHICA J 115 20.00 5% 19.00    
LATE NITE MISTRESS Feb08 Jan04 Dec06 Jun16 Apr19 (contre)LOPEZ EDUARDO 116 1.60 46% 1.20    
THIRSTY ACCOUNTANT Feb09 Jan26 Dec08 Nov09 Oct21 (mcentee paul)WHITACRE GRANT 116 3.00    
 
CT-5   03/13/2024 4620ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($11.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:53
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MEETMARYSMAN Feb21 Feb02 Nov30 Nov11 Oct25 (jones m)ORTIZ ORLANDO 122 15.00 5% 19.00    
JEFFERSON SECURITY Feb08 Nov11 Nov02 Oct19 Aug19 (carson la)SANTIAGO WILFREDO 122 20.00    
DOCTOR PARDO Feb21 Jan25 Jan12 Dec05 Nov07 (hanagan lel)MENDEZ MARSHALL 122 4.00 12% 7.20    
CHARITABLE WINDSOR Feb21 Jan31 Dec01 Nov11 Nov02 (hess g)RODRIGUEZ V 122 3.50 10% 9.50    
LASTWALKTOFREEDOM Mar02 Jan31 Jan12 Dec09 Nov25 (rideout an)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 122 3.50 39% 1.60    
ALDRINALINE Feb10 Dec16 Nov30 Nov11 Sep15 (brown )LOPEZ EDUARDO 122 3.00    
I SEE NOTHING Feb21 Feb02 Jan04 Dec09 Nov24 (shanley timothy)BOCACHICA O 122 20.00    
PINNACLE REEF Feb21 Feb08 Jan18 Dec01 Nov09 (runco c)CHAVEZ ANDRES 113 4.50 15% 5.50    
JOOBY DOOBY DOO Feb21 Jan31 Jan18 Jan04 Nov24 (reyes )ARAUJO VICENTE 120 20.00    
 
CT-6   03/13/2024 4290ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($26.5K) 3 ALL PT- 9:21
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LOVE IS WICKED Feb22 Feb01 Jan11 Dec15 Nov24 (johnson deway)LOPEZ ANTONIO 122 2.00 30% 2.40    
  (by WICKED STRONG out of LOVES TO GLANCE by NOT FOR LOVE)
YACHTSMEN Feb02 Jan11 Nov02 Oct12 Sep16 (runco c)CHAVEZ ANDRES 115 10.00    
  (by ENGLISH CHANNEL out of HELLUVA HUNCH by TAPIT)
SEATTLE PRINCE Feb14 Jan24 Dec15 Nov25   (craig e)RIVERA JAVIER 122 15.00    
  (by LORD OF GREATNESS out of MUGU by BELLAMY ROAD)
UNDERBOSS Feb01 Jan13       (contrer)NUNEZ MAURICIO 122 15.00 5% 19.00    
  (by CAPO BASTONE out of EASTER FASHION by KELA)
DANTE'S INFERNO Jan11 Dec15 Nov24 Nov03   (johnson jamey )MONTANO JOSE 122 2.50    
  (by ALDRIN out of HOT SAUCE by PRIZED)
RIDE THE BRAND Feb24 Feb14 Jan13 Dec16 Nov03 (grams )ARAUJO VICENTE 122 1.80 28% 2.60    
  (by SUPER NINETY NINE out of SWEETEST MEMORY by OUTFLANKER)
CANDY MAN CAN Feb22         (jackson angelo )PELTROCHE F 122 10.00 15% 5.90    
  (by CANDYGRAM out of THREE ARCH BAY by ARCHARCHARCH)
 
CT-7   03/13/2024 2970ft DIRT RC9 FAST Starter Allowance ($5K) Purse ($18.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:49
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ADVANCE CASH Feb22 Feb02 Jan26 Jan10 Dec01 (peltroche vanes)PELTROCHE F 122 4.50    
SUPER JORDAN Jan31 Dec02 Aug17 Jun22 May29 (carson la)SANTIAGO WILFREDO 120 20.00    
MONTAUK DADDY Feb23 Feb14 Jan31 Jan05 Dec15 (spriggs tos)MENDEZ MARSHALL 120 4.00 21% 3.80    
ELLE'SBIGSEACRET Mar02 Feb23 Feb09 Jan31 Jan10 (ginter raymo)BATISTA A 124 1.20 44% 1.30    
GOLDEN G Feb15 Feb08 Jan18 Jan10 Dec14 (gillespie)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 120 8.00 11% 8.30    
SETTLEMENT DATE Mar02 Feb15 Feb09 Jan04 Dec08 (gomez ana)BOCACHICA J 115 20.00    
PIT STOP MAN Mar02 Feb23 Jan31 Jan18 Jan10 (ginter j)ACOSTA D 120 6.00    
INSIDE RISK Feb23 Feb08 Jan31 Jan10 Dec14 (caison l)MAWING A 120 10.00 5% 19.00    
 
CT-8   03/13/2024 4620ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($11.8K) 3UP ALL PT-10:17
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  BON BUENO Feb16 Feb01 Jan25 Jan12 Dec09 (gillespie)BOCACHICA J 119 3.00    
AKINGISALWAYSKING Jan31 Jan10 Dec13 Dec02 Nov15 (murtaugh andr)BATISTA C 122 20.00    
LET FREEDOM SPRING Sep09 Aug17 Jul16 Jun04 Apr29 (jones micha)MENDEZ MARSHALL 122 3.50 19% 4.10    
ALPHA WHISKEY Feb21 Jan31 Jan05 Dec04 Nov18 (joy j)RODRIGUEZ V 122 2.50 47% 1.10    
CHROME HEIR Feb21 Jan31 Dec02 Nov11 Oct21 (pickett crystal )ACOSTA D 122 20.00    
ASSERT DOMINANCE Mar01 Feb21 Jan27 Sep28 Sep01 (ramos agosto )RIVERA JAVIER 120 15.00    
SCOTCH NO ROCKS Feb15 Jan31 Jan04 Dec14 Dec01 (delong ben)HO WESLEY 124 6.00 8% 11.40    
STAVANGER Feb21 Jan31 Jan10 Dec02 Nov15 (racanelli mark)CHILO MAXIMO 120 30.00    
SCR  STAR ATTITUDE Jan05 May28 May20 Apr29 Apr02 (hillegass alex)RIOS-CONDE A 122 10.00    
10  SCHMEAR Feb21 Jan10 Dec07 Nov08 Oct19 (shanley timothy)BOCACHICA O 122 8.00 5% 19.00    
11  YOUNG TURK Feb03 Jan25 May25 May06 Apr16 (farrior a)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 122 4.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.