The Thoroughbred Racing
Simulator
Handicappers' Race Results

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Fonner Park
Saturday - March 16, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss

FON-1   Win (7/3/4/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 3 1 1 $8.20 $8.20 0.20
FON-2   Win (7/9/8/2/6) 5 $2.00 $10.00 7 1 1 $9.80 $9.80 -0.20
FON-3   Win (5/8/2/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 5 1 1 $5.60 $5.60 -2.40
FON-4   Win (3/1/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 3 1 1 $3.00 $3.00 -3.00
FON-5   Win (7/2/4/3/6) 5 $2.00 $10.00 7 1 1 $10.20 $10.20 0.20
FON-6   Win (3/9/7/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 3 1 1 $3.40 $3.40 -4.60
FON-7   Win (5/3/10) 3 $2.00 $6.00 9 1 0 $4.40 -6.00
FON-8   Win (10/3/8/6/4) 5 $2.00 $10.00 5 1 0 $34.80 -10.00
FON-9   Win (4/3/7/9/5) 5 $2.00 $10.00 7 1 1 $8.00 $8.00 -2.00
FON-10   Win (1/9/6/3/7) 5 $2.00 $10.00 1 1 1 $27.40 $27.40 17.40

Simulator Race results

 
FON-1   03/16/2024 3960ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($6.7K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:30
See original race card.
:24 :48 1:012     1:134   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
QUALITY BOW 3 6 6 5   2nk 1¼ (castillo salin)RAMOS B 125 5.00 28% 2.60 3.10 W
RIGHT OF REFUSAL 5 1 4 32   3.2 2¼ (anderson da)MEDINA ANGEL 125 3.50 37% 1.70 0.90 P
OUR CLOVER GAL 2 4 2nk 1½   1nk 34 (gonzalez v)DELORME L 125 10.00 5.10  
PLUM ROSE 4 5 5 4   44(sanderson bruc)BETHKE A 125 15.00 7% 13.00 10.20  
SWEETNESS TO 1 2 1nk 6   6510½ (anderson c)HAAR NATHAN 125 8.00 5% 19.00 8.70  
POPS GIRL ALEXA 7 7 7 7   711¾ 611½ (hibdon n)MARTINEZ R 125 20.00 20.90  
TAP THE HEART 6 3 3.2 2½   5712 (haar j)ZIEGLER ZACK 125 12.00 12.80  
SCR  THE GREY BEAUTY               (gonzalez v)ROMAN KEVIN 125 2.50    
SCR  TRIBAL SPIRIT               (martinez kelli)MARTINEZ A 125 4.00    
 
FON-2   03/16/2024 3960ft DIRT FAST Allowance Purse ($9.7K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:59
See original race card.
:233 :471 1:001     1:132   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MORE THAN A DIVA 7 1 13 13   16 1(condon schuyler)BACON W 120 3.00 35% 1.80 3.90 W
MIDNIGHT LADY 4 9 8 510½   37 2(gourneau je)MEDINA ANGEL 121 4.50 3.45  
LAYAWAY 3 5 9 717½   611½ 3(thompson grady)RAMOS B 125 15.00 27.75  
SCOOT ALONG 6 6 35 37   49 4(martinez kelli)MARTINEZ A 121 15.00 5% 19.00 4.45  
SHUT IT CALI 9 8 6 612½   714½ 58 (bliss dean)HAAR NATHAN 125 3.50 25% 3.00 4.00  
TIFFANY'S FERRARI 2 2 23 23   26 69 (hibdon n)MARTINEZ R 121 5.00 7% 13.50 6.65  
MITOLE'S BAYTOWN 8 7 45 4   510½ 711¼ (condon schuyler)ROMAN KEVIN 121 4.00 9% 10.30 5.05  
STAND BY TIME 5 4 79 818½   815½ 813¾ (hibdon n)FACKLER CHRIS 121 15.00 22.50  
MOR FOXY 1 3 58 920½   920½ 918 (ramaekers eric)DELORME L 121 8.00 23.85  
 
FON-3   03/16/2024 3960ft DIRT FAST Optional Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($10K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:28
See original race card.
:234 :471 :593     1:123   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
HACKER 5 1 1 1nk   1nk 1¼ (black maris)MEDINA ANGEL 125 2.00 43% 1.30 1.80 W
AMERICAN SMOOTH 1 2 44 4   33 2¼ (gonzalez v)ROMAN KEVIN 125 3.00 2.65  
CAPTAIN SCOTTY 7 5 2 2nk   2nk 3(bunn shawn)BETHKE A 125 6.00 10.05  
RICKEY B 8 4 6 6   68 4(donlin d)RAMOS B 125 10.00 13% 6.80 6.65  
BROADWAY PETE 2 8 77 7   55(condon schuyler)MARTINEZ R 125 15.00 13% 7.00 14.80  
CHAMPION BY DESIGN 3 3 5 3   46 66 (martinez kelli)MARTINEZ A 125 10.00 8.90  
PUNCH EM 4 7 3 5   79 7(anderson c)HAAR NATHAN 125 8.00 6% 16.70 8.75  
FAR FROM FINAL 6 6 88 8   811 89 (davis j)DELORME L 125 5.00 8.05  
 
FON-4   03/16/2024 3960ft DIRT FAST Orphan Kist Purse ($25K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:57
See original race card.
:232 :48 1:002     1:132   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
P R ODDS SETTER 3 6 4 3½   13 1(wise jason)MEDINA ANGEL 125 1.00 39% 1.60 0.50 W
JOCOTE 5 3 36 41   23 2(anderson c)ROMAN KEVIN 120 6.00 6.80  
SING CHARMER SING 2 5 610 53   435 (compton jesse)FACKLER CHRIS 120 8.00 9.10  
HANK'S GAL 1 1 1nk 1nk   34(anderson c)HAAR NATHAN 125 2.00 22% 3.60 4.20  
TELLITTOTHEJUDGE 4 4 58 67   510½ 58 (bliss dean)DELORME L 120 8.00 10% 9.40 9.05  
INEWAGALLIKETHAT 6 2 2nk 2nk   612½ 619¾ (musquiz j)ZIEGLER ZACK 120 15.00 18.10  
 
FON-5   03/16/2024 5280ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($7.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:26
See original race card.
:252 :492 1:143     1:402   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SHAKEN AND SHIMMY 7 2 1½ 13 13 18 1(bliss dea)MEDINA ANGEL 125 2.00 22% 3.50 4.10 W
KAELY'S BROTHER 2 3 31 5 4 28 2(schindler kyle)FACKLER CHRIS 125 4.00 17% 5.00 3.70 P
FAKE SOLUTION 1 1 42 33 33 3310¾ (condon schuyler)MARTINEZ R 125 10.00 25.10  
FREE MAKER 5 7 86 7 6 510½ 410¾ (gourneau jerry)DELORME L 125 12.00 5.35  
PAYNTER'S BOY 4 8 6 23 5 611 513¼ (rushton temple)BACON W 120 10.00 16% 5.30 23.15  
AMERICAIN JOEY 8 4 2½ 4 23 49 614¾ (gonzalez v)ROMAN KEVIN 125 1.40 1.20  
STAGE DOOR 3 5 5 6 7 717 719½ (thompson grady)RAMOS B 125 12.00 11% 8.30 15.35  
ZOE'S PAPA CEE 9 9 76 810¼ 813¼ 825 828¼ (bumgardner jim)ZIEGLER ZACK 125 15.00 42.70  
LETHAL MOVE 6 6 97 915¼ 9100 9100 9100 (thompson grady)HAAR NATHAN 125 15.00 5% 19.00 24.50  
 
FON-6   03/16/2024 3960ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($6.7K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:55
See original race card.
:241 :474 1:002     1:124   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
PRESUMPTIVE CLOSER 3 2 3 1nk   1nk 1½ (gonzalez v)ROMAN KEVIN 125 1.40 49% 1.00 0.70 W
MOON CONNECTION 5 5 4 3.2   2nk 2½ (anderson c)HAAR NATHAN 125 8.00 6.70  
BUMPER POOL 4 6 7 5   435 (bethke a)BETHKE A 125 4.00 13.65  
WELDON G 6 1 1 2nk   34 4(black maris)MEDINA ANGEL 125 10.00 5.45  
SUBURBAN PRINCE 1 3 55 7   711½ 511½ (martinez kelli)MARTINEZ A 125 6.00 5% 19.00 19.35  
RIVERSPORT 7 4 2 4¾   56 613¼ (donlin d)RAMOS B 125 10.00 6% 16.90 10.20  
ASTERN BANKER 9 7 66 6   611 714¼ (condon schuyler)MARTINEZ R 125 4.50 24% 3.20 11.25  
WOODS OF CONGAREE 8 8 9 8   815½ 816¼ (martin steve)FACKLER CHRIS 125 15.00 57.45  
LEVEL 2 10 1011½ 1014¾   917½ 916½ (thompson grady)DELORME L 125 15.00 36.40  
10  OPPOSITION 10 9 88 911¾   1023½ 1027½ (thomsen paula)BACON W 120 20.00 34.80  
 
FON-7   03/16/2024 4290ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($2.5K) Purse ($5.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:24
See original race card.
:232 :482       1:20   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
OUTLAW X. 9 2 2nk 1nk   1nk 1(gonzalez v)ROMAN KEVIN 125 4.50 1.20  
SMART CALL 5 5 3 3.2   2nk 2(anderson c)RAMOS B 125 4.00 37% 1.70 4.60 P
PODEROSO EQUS 2 9 914½ 9   93(rushton stacy)HAAR NATHAN 125 6.00 11.10 S
10  FERRARI ROAD 10 1 1nk 2nk   33 4(muckey john)FACKLER CHRIS 125 10.00 5% 19.00 28.65  
OH BE ONE 7 4 66 7   68 5(bunn shawn)BETHKE A 125 15.00 26.65  
REVENIR 8 3 5 4   46(gonzalez v)MARTINEZ R 125 8.00 10.25  
POKER PLAY 3 6 8 8   77(arceo salvador)MARTINEZ A 125 8.00 33% 2.10 6.95  
PRIME CODE 1 8 4 5   5811¾ (black maris)MEDINA ANGEL 125 3.00 4.60  
CAMPS BAY 6 10 1015 1011¼   1011½ 912 (sanderson bruce)BACON W 120 12.00 51.70  
MINE MY TIME 4 7 78 6   89 1015¼ (lemburg mark)DELORME L 125 12.00 30.40  
 
FON-8   03/16/2024 3960ft DIRT FAST Allowance Purse ($9.7K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:53
See original race card.
:234 :464 1:002     1:134   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ELIOT NESS 5 3 14 1   11 1½ (ramaekers eric)ZIEGLER ZACK 125 12.00 16.40  
BIG BOSS BEN 8 6 36 42   52½ (martinez kelli)MARTINEZ A 125 6.00 5% 19.00 3.00 P
SPECIAL OPERATOR 2 4 46 2   21 3¾ (gonzalez v)ROMAN KEVIN 125 3.00 1.45  
MONTEREY PENINSULA 6 7 910¼ 74   74(martinez kelli)HAAR NATHAN 125 15.00 5% 19.00 16.75  
10  STAR OF STARS 10 8 57 5   45(bethke a)BETHKE A 125 3.50 65% 0.50 13.05  
BREAD WINNER 1 5 7 85   36(black maris)MEDINA ANGEL 125 3.50 7.05  
SUEZ 3 2 8 97   97(hibdon n)MARTINEZ R 125 6.00 5% 18.60 15.85  
CASPER JUSTICE 4 1 24 3   68(sorensen mike)RAMOS B 125 15.00 5% 19.00 19.45  
STOCKPILER 7 10 1015¼ 1013   893 (compton r)FACKLER CHRIS 125 15.00 18.80  
BOLD COURAGE 9 9 6 6   1010(davis j)DELORME L 125 10.00 9.20  
 
FON-9   03/16/2024 3960ft DIRT FAST 29th Running Purse ($25K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:22
See original race card.
:234 :473 1:002     1:124   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MO SUMMER 7 4 2½ 2nk   1nk 1hd (anderson c)ROMAN KEVIN 125 3.50 10% 8.90 3.00 W
CALEB ON THE GO 4 1 4 42   2nk 2hd (wise jason)MEDINA ANGEL 122 2.50 32% 2.10 0.80 P
SHIPS LOG 3 2 1½ 1nk   3.2 32 (hoffman robert)RAMOS B 122 4.50 27% 2.80 6.10 S
JOEY'S VALENTINE 2 3 31 3½   444 (rivera gregorio )ZIEGLER ZACK 120 12.00 35.40  
PHLASH DRIVE 9 7 67 6   55(anderson c)HAAR NATHAN 122 10.00 6% 15.00 9.85  
YAYASGOTMOREGAME 5 6 53 5   66(thompson grady)DELORME L 122 12.00 5% 19.00 26.35  
JUDGE'S BRIBE 8 8 7 7   711¼ 710 (black marissa)MARTINEZ A 120 15.00 23.70  
10  NAME THE PRICE 10 10 810½ 8   815¼ 810¾ (dieter dalton)BACON W 122 6.00 26.80  
BARTENDERS MISTAKE 6 9 913½ 913½   918¼ 914½ (moss deb)MARTINEZ R 120 15.00 43.65  
KENHEDOIT 1 5 1014½ 1017½   1021¼ 1016¼ (dieter dalton)FACKLER CHRIS 120 12.00 36.20  
 
FON-10   03/16/2024 4290ft DIRT FAST Starter Allowance ($2.5K) Purse ($6.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:51
See original race card.
:234 :472       1:194   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
GOOSE DRANK WINE 1 3 5 64   42 1hd (rushton temple)DELORME L 125 3.00 37% 1.70 12.70 W
SANCOCHO (MEX) 9 5 6 43   32 2hd (castillo salin)RAMOS B 125 4.00 17% 5.10 2.40 P
KNIGHTED 3 2 3½ 3   23(muckey john)MEDINA ANGEL 125 12.00 7% 14.40 7.00 S
STEPHEN'S ANSWER 5 1 1½ 1nk   14(gonzalez v)ROMAN KEVIN 125 2.00 1.65  
10  DILLON ROCKS 10 7 2½ 2nk   55(bunn shawn)BACON W 120 8.00 9.00  
INCITATUS 8 6 4¾ 5   666 (rushton stacy)HAAR NATHAN 125 12.00 27.75  
PERVASIVE 7 9 1010¾ 811   814½ 7(muckey john)ZIEGLER ZACK 125 15.00 5% 19.00 19.75  
LIBERTARIAN 6 8 7 77   7810 (bethke a)BETHKE A 125 10.00 16% 5.20 23.10  
A. K. SAFARI 4 4 8 1012   916½ 913 (dieter dalton)FACKLER CHRIS 125 12.00 25.40  
GREY ROGUE 2 10 910¼ 911½   1019½ 1014 (hibdon n)MARTINEZ R 125 6.00 9.95  
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.